it technology trends for 2010-2012
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- Tell me a fact and I will learn ittell me a truth and I will believe itbut tell me a story and it will livein my heart forever -Indian Proverb
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r
We are at one of those moments
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SPEEDInfinite bandwidth
and going for real-
time data
SCALEUnprecedented
processing power
and storage sizes
SOFTWARERadical change in
data analysis
SENSORSNew kinds of data
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-"The fact of the matter is, this is nota downturn, this is a bit of a reset-
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Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer : CES keynote speech 6/1/2010
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Enterprise computing is headed for massive changes
We will see radical changes inhardware technology this year (2010)and SAP is more than prepared to takeadvantage.
He cited the following components: super-large in-memory systems
parallel computing
on-demand software cloud computing
mobile phones
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Virtually free and unlimited:
bandwidth and storage
Storage and bandwidth: areimproving performance and
cost efficiencyeven faster than
processor speedis .
The marginal cost is falling topractically zero.
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What do we carry in our pockets ?
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Passage from "solid" to "liquid" modernity
Social forms and institutions no longer have enough time tosolidifyand cannot serve as frames of reference andvirtually no distinctions between what we do to live and whatwe do to work.
Individuals have to splice together an unending series of
short-term projects and episodes.
In liquid modernity the individual (under conditions ofuncertainty) must:
be flexible and adaptable
be constantly ready and willing to change tactics at short notice
abandon commitments and loyalties without regretto pursuenew opportunities
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Passage from "solid" to "liquid" modernity
Social forms and institutions no longer have enough time tosolidifyand cannot serve as frames of reference andvirtually no distinctions between what we do to live and whatwe do to work.
Individuals have to splice together an unending series of
short-term projects and episodes.
In liquid modernity the individual (under conditions ofuncertainty) must:
be flexible and adaptable
be constantly ready and willing to change tactics at short notice
abandon commitments and loyalties without regretto pursuenew opportunities
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Enterprise 3.0
Enterprise 3.0 is about the
radical (liquid) changes
because ofconvergence:
technology business
management trends
Enterprise 2.0 is the use
of emergent social
software platforms:
within companies between companies and
their partners
between companies and
their customers.
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Enterprise 3.0:
BUSINESS AS UNUSUAL Bold business is coming back
Smart and creative actions
Innovative technologies
Fresh innovations
Rethinking: will not bebusiness as usual.
A radical and agile mind is
emerging that will surprisethe old business guard.
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For CIOs, 2010 is a year in which their veryprofession will be redefined permanently
from one of internallyoriented focus on:
processes
systems
to one of emphasis on : driving new revenue
engaging more intimately
with customers simplifying every aspect of
the companys operations.
The roles of CIO and
COO will overlap when
IT assumes more
responsibility for: executing business
strategy
managing operations
exploiting opportunities
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2010: CIO business goals
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Reducing costs
Optimizing/consolidating processes
Optimizing productivity
New analytics usage
Risk management and governance
Improvement ofdaily processes
Delivering a better service experience
Strengthening customer trustIncrease repeat customer businessImprovingcustomer relations
IT services at 99.99% reliability
Allowing technology consumerization
Customers
Employees
Enterprise Service
Resilience
New products
New markets
Manage change needs ( training and quality )Innovation
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Customer Responsiveness
RESPONSIVENESSTHE
NEW GOLD STANDARD
emphasizing the
importance ofcustomer
responsiveness as ameasure of success
relative to a traditional
focus on service
availability
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How different are they
consumerization commoditization
interchangeable standardization
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Consumerization
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New technology to the
consumer marketahead of business
markets.
Home based IT is more
capable than that
provided in theirworkplace ?
Defense>business>home
1970s > 1990s > 2010s
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Commoditization and Interchangeable
market based on undifferentiated products
Commoditization usually leads to lower prices sinceundifferentiated products produce perfect competition
Some technology products are certainly becoming
interchangeable but what's really commoditizing?
Not software, not hardware, not services, ONLY broadband
False commoditization can create substantial risk when
premier products (substantial additional value to offer) are
more expensive .
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dont confuse
INTERCHANGABLE and COMMODITIZATION and then
STANDARIZATION
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What is happening today?
MEGAtrend: Cloud computing
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CompTIAs December 2009 survey (CIOs multinational)
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Technology adoption life cycle
Adapted from Geoffrey Moores Crossing the Chasm
MassMarketAdoptionEarly
AdoptersThe
Chasm
Late
Adopters
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Technology Adoption Life Cycle
Chasm
Technologies Virtualization Convergence
Industry in a box Mobile End user computing Security
IT Management Complexity Data Center Cloud Computing Talent replacement and
augmentation ITIL V3
Applications Analytics (BI), event and data mining processing
BPM (Business Processes) Risk Management Compliance and governance Integration of applications (SOA and mashups) Unstructured data management and storage Context/content WEB 3.0
Core application evolution
Chasm
IT Management
Innovation
Technologies
Innovation
ApplicationInnovation
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Growth: Digital Agenda
Broadband related growth (innovation)will be the big differentiator in 2010-2012
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2009: one of the worst years in history
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IT complexity tax
Moores sayings:
Moore's Law : states that
computing capability
increases 1 percent per
week.
Moore's Flaw : keeping up
with this flood tide of
innovation quickly becomes
too difficult (and too costly)
for anyone to manage.
IT complexity tax:
CIOs pay with time, sweat and
money for every innovation,
every business process
improvement they implement.
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improve service, reduce cost, manage risk
Cost of
Operations
Quality of
Service
Risk of
Failure
+
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Reduce Complexity with an Architecture
Elimination of complexity
Requires companies to
redraw their IT architecture
Simplify technologies
Manage service
IT architecture
Provides the big picture
for what applications
support which
processes, how
applications interact,
and how they share data
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a great wine is a complex wine
But, is complex IT a great IT ?
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But now we need new IT Architecture
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Enterprise Strategy
Fire andhope!
Enterprise Architecture
Business Operating Environmentand IT Infrastructure
Transition
Planning
Architecture
Governance
Bus Archture IT Architecture
AEICorporate
Yankee
Group
SaturnGroup
Yarn
Division
Knits
Division
SenecaPlant
RaleighPlant
Cash
Management
Shipping
Accounting
Component
Design
YarnBuying
OrderEntry
Com onent
Scheduling
Yarn
Dyeing
Inventory
Assortment
Planning
ComponentKnitting
Tagging&Packing
Business
Structure
Business
Locations
Change Programs
Soln Outline Macro Design Micro Design Devt, etc.
Program Architecture
Soln Outline Macro Design Micro Design Devt, etc.
Program Architecture
TechnologyAvailability
BusinessOpportunity
Bus Strategy IT Strategy
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Reduce Complexity by Managing
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* From SYMANTEC
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DATA CENTER MANAGEMENT 2010
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Data Center Management 2010
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Integrated
Components
User Interface
Launch-in-Context
Reporting
Security
Deployment
Health
TransactionEvents
MainframeEvents
SecurityEvents
NetworkEvents
ApplicationEvents
StorageEvents
SystemEvents
PerformanceEvents
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Data Center Management 2010
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Integrated
Components
User Interface
Launch-in-Context
Reporting
Security
Deployment
Health
TransactionEvents
MainframeEvents
SecurityEvents
NetworkEvents
ApplicationEvents
StorageEvents
SystemEvents
PerformanceEvents
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ITIL v3 : 27 main processes
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Computing Platform Lifecycle
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another cure for complexity
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Power & cooling
Management software
ProCurveNetworking
ServersInternal storage
NewArchitecture
1980 2010 Pl tf Lif l
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1980 -2010 Platform Lifecycle
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Industry in a Box Companies
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Whats under the hood: Lego ?
Virtual Connectvirtualized
LAN and SANconnections
InsightSoftware
Capacity PlanningOrchestration
Disaster Recovery
StorageWorksEVA SAN
(Note: Matrix supportsany c-Class certified
FC SAN target)
Integrity andProLiantblade servers
All-in-One
Services, plusProLiant iCAP andpay as you grow
financing
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Wh d h h d 2
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Whats under the hood 2
Evolution to Cloud Computing : build off virtualization
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Evolution to Cloud Computing : build off virtualization
and internal Private Clouds
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Cl d i f
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Cloudy in your future
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Cl d S i L
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Cloud Infrastructure Services (IaaS)
Cloud Platform Services (PaaS)
Cloud End-User Services(SaaS)
PhysicalInfrastructure
Service Users
Clou
dProviders
Service
Providers
Cloud Service Layers
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Disruptive Innovations
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Disruptive Innovations
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Winners and losers: who now?
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Winners and losers: who now?
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15 billion ARMbased chipsshipped to date
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If looks could kill
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one size fits all end user computing is out
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one-size-fits-all end-user computing is out
2008 Standard desktop
configuration with
Microsoft OS and office
productivity tools
2011 Standard desktop
configuration
*book configured for Web-based applications
Desktop or application
virtualization on thin-client
device
SaaS alternatives to hosted
applications
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So what happened ?
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So what happened ?
The user:
Mobility and always
connected allows the
user to shop for his own
set of appliances.
Appliances will have two
flavors for content
CREATE AND CONSUME
CONSUME
IT:
IT will have to :
Supply content to this
appliances
Receive content from this
appliances
Content will be structured,
unstructured and multimedia
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6161
Kindle: content consumption
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Kindle: content consumption
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iPhone the content revolution
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iPhone the content revolution
The dean ofYale University's School of Management has
joined Apple as a new Vice President,
serving of the dean of a new "Apple University."
iPad: content consumption
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iPad: content consumption
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The future is here: WEB 3 0
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The future is here: WEB 3.0
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Digital Marketing Is Here To Stay !!
When I took office, only high
energy physicists had everheard of what is called the
World Wide`Web... Now even
my cat has it's own page.
- Bill Clinton
Much much easier
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Much much easier
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Enterprise social software is growing
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Enterprise social software is growing
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wikis
blogs forums microblogging
social bookmarking
video
photospodcasts
but were creating a new set of silos.
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but we re creating a new set of silos.
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Wikis
Blogs
Video
Micro
blogs
Forums
Book-
marksPhotos
Pod
casts
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