item no.: 3a date of meeting: october 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · port market share analysis....

15
2019 Business Outlook & Strategic Initiatives October 30, 2018 Presented by: Tong Zhu – Chief Commercial Officer / Chief Strategy Officer Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018

Upload: others

Post on 06-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

2019 Business Outlook & Strategic Initiatives

October 30, 2018

Presented by:Tong Zhu – Chief Commercial Officer / Chief Strategy Officer

Item No.: 3ADate of Meeting: October 30, 2018

Page 2: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Global & US Trade & Economic Trends

10/29/2018 2

Global Economy• Has global economic growth peaked?

• World trade and manufacturing activity is softening

• Growth has become less even, favoring some emerging markets

• Trade friction and tariffs compound uncertainty and global economic risk

US Economy• US economy is strong, steady for now

• Strong domestic demand supported by low-inflation, high-employment

• US investment lagging, limiting economic growth

• US dollar has appreciated on strength of US economy and trade tensions

Page 3: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Global & US Trade & Economic TrendsIMPLICATIONS FOR THE NWSA GATEWAY

10/29/2018 3

Short Term Impacts• Some decline in two-way trade with China from January 2019

• Increased competition for WA/US exporters in global markets

• Increased competition between North American ports

Medium-Long Term Impacts• Shift in manufacturing and sourcing from China to other locations

• Increased exports to China and emerging markets in Southeast Asia

Page 4: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

10/29/2018 4

Transpacific Import Market Analysis(2010 – 2017; US only)(Source: PIERS)

Asia Pacific Share: 93%

Page 5: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Port Market Share AnalysisSeptember 2018 Year to DatePort reported data 35.2M

YTD TOTAL TEUthrough selected ports

4.2%1,426.4K

YTD Market Growth through selected ports

LALB 36%

NYNJ 15%

BC Ports 9%

Savannah 9%

NWSA 8%

Virginia 6%

Houston 6%

Oakland 5%

Charleston 5%

12.8M

5.3M

3.3M

3.2M

2.8M

2.1M

2.0M

1.9M

1.7M

September 2018 YTD Market Share & TEU volume

LALB NYNJ Savannah BC Ports Houston Charleston Oakland NWSA Virginia

336,033 324,029 238,188 207,767 179,319 62,687 62,235 9,195 6,9280K

100K

200K

300K

YOY T

2.7%6.5%

7.9%

6.7%

9.8%

3.8% 3.4%

0.3% 0.3%

YTD September 2018 year over year change in TEU

California NE & Midatlantic SE & Gulf BC Ports NWSA

Gateway Comparison – TEU & Market SharePORTS OF INTEREST, SEPTEMBER YTD(Source: American Association of Port Authorities)

Page 6: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Strategic Initiatives – Investing in Key InfrastructureT-5 & General Central Peninsula (GCP)

10/29/2018 6

Page 7: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Strategic Initiatives – Maximizing Export Potential• Explore short-haul rail service options between NWSA and Eastern Washington• Facilitate container drop/pull yards in Central Washington and Portland• Assess the viability of a Midwest regional rail hub

Page 8: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

• Continuing efforts to explore and expand agreements with beneficial cargo owners on a more direct basis

• Increase transload warehouse and distribution center capacity and services in the region

• Implement operational initiatives to drive continuous improvement in key service performance metrics (KPIs)

Strategic Initiatives – Business Innovations

10/29/2018 8

Page 9: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

10/29/2018 9

Business Outreach Efforts

Page 10: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Cargo Forecast – International Container(2018 – 2023)

Page 11: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Cargo Forecast – Domestic Container(2018 – 2023)

Page 12: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Cargo Forecast – Int’l + Domestic Container(2018 – 2023)

Page 13: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Cargo Forecast – Breakbulk(2018 – 2023)

Page 14: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Cargo Forecast – Autos(2018 – 2023)

Page 15: Item No.: 3A Date of Meeting: October 30, 2018... · 10/30/2018  · Port Market Share Analysis. September 2018 Year to Date. Port reported data. 35.2M. YTD TOTAL TEU. through selected

Thank you