iwea future onshore & offshore pipeline reports august 2020...ireland’s offshore wind pipeline...
TRANSCRIPT
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It is strictly forbidden to share any part of this report with any third party, without a written
consent of IWEA. If you received this report by mistake or from a source other than IWEA, then
please contact IWEA ([email protected]) and follow with its deletion, so that we can ensure
this does not occur in the future.
Disclaimer
IWEA assumes no responsibility for the currentness, correctness, completeness or
quality of the provided information. Liability claims against IWEA based on losses of a
tangible or intellectual nature caused by the use or the failure to use the provided information,
or the use of incorrect and incomplete information are categorically excluded, unless IWEA can be proven to have acted with intent or gross negligence. All content is non-binding
and subject to change without notice. IWEA expressly reserves the right to change,
supplement, or delete parts of this report or the entire content without notice, and temporarily
or permanently discontinue the publication.
Terms of Use
•The data in this survey has been collected by:
• IWEA surveying the developers in its membership
• For non-members of IWEA, it has been supplied by MKO and MullanGrid
•If you would like to add your details to this survey or if you have any recommendations for future iterations, then please contact IWEA: [email protected].
Intro/Background
Creating Jobs ~8000 local construction jobs over 2 years
~400 local jobs for lifetime of the wind farm
Investment~€5 billion
More Community Benefit~€250,000 per turbine or
~€25 million/year or~€400 million over the lifetime
Funding Local AuthoritiesRates of €60 million per year or
€1.5 billion over the lifetime
Cleaner AirWill Reduce Carbon Emissions
by ~3 million tonnes per year or (~25% reduction for the electricity sector)
~90 million tonnes over the lifetime
The Climate Action Plan Proposes an Extra 4000MW of Onshore Wind by 2030
What does this look like for rural Ireland?
Onshore Wind:
4.2 GW Installed
9 GW Extra in Pipeline
4,400 MW
Feasibility
Stage
2,630 MW
Pre-
Planning
500 MW
In Planning
465 MW
With
Planning
185 MW
Planning &
Grid Offers
845 MW
Route to
Market
70 MW
Contracted
115 MW
Pending/
Unknown
105 MW
REFIT 2020
105 MW
REFIT
480 MW
RESS
260 MW
cPPA
0 MW
Merchant
25 MW
cPPA 2020
235 MW
cPPA
2020+
845 MW
Delivery
Status
Starting
Point for a
New Project
June 2020 Installed Capacity: 4215 MWWhere We
Are Now
In D
evelo
pm
ent
Where We
Need to Get ToTarget for 2030: 8200 MW
Projects Delivered
2020 Installed: 4215 MW
2030 Target: 8200 MW
50 MW
Contracted
but In
Planning
480 MW
RESS1
2021-2023
Corporate PPA Projects
Developer Corporate CountyTotal Capacity
(MW)Energisation
Year
Total
RESS1 Projects
Wind Farm County Developer RESS1 Capacity (MW)
Total
Onshore Wind: Planning Status
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
With Planning In Planning 2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Going Into Planning
Planning Status (MW)
Onshore Wind
Planning Application Using SID: Yes/No
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Going Into Planning
Usi
ng
SID
?
(Nu
mb
er
of
Pro
ject
s)
Usi
ng
SID
?
(Cap
aci
ty -
MW
)
SID Yes (MW) SID No (MW) SID Yes (#) SID No (#)
Using SID: Yes/No
By Capacity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Going Into Planning
Usi
ng
SID
?
(Cap
aci
ty -
MW
)
SID Yes (MW) SID No (MW)
Using SID: Yes/No
By Number of Projects
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Going Into Planning
Usi
ng
SID
?
(Nu
mb
er
of
Pro
ject
s)
SID Yes (#) SID No (#)
Onshore Wind: Location & Planning StatusExcludes REFIT Projects. Includes existing CPPAs and all other Future CPPAs/RESS Projects.
County With Planning In PlanningIn Advanced Pre-
PlanningFeasibility Stage Grand Total
Onshore Wind: Year of Planning Applications
Excludes REFIT Projects. Includes existing CPPAs and all other Future CPPAs/RESS Projects.
County
Sum of Capacity (Net MWs)
With Planning In PlanningGoing Into Planning
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Grand Total
Onshore Wind
Future Tip Heights (% Capacity)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
With
Planning
In Planning Going Into Planning Grand Total
<100 m 100-150 m 150-200 m Not Available
Onshore Wind
Future Turbine Capacity (% Capacity)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Grand Total
With
Planning
In Planning Going Into Planning
2-4 MW 4-6 MW Not Available
Onshore Wind
Planning Duration (% Capacity)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
With
Planning
In Planning Going Into Planning Grand Total
25 Years 30 Years >30 Years Not Available
Onshore Wind
Type of Grid Connection: DSO/TSO
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
With
Planning
In Planning Going Into
Planning
0 0 0 0 0 0
Nu
mb
er
of
Gri
d C
on
nect
ion
s
Typ
e o
f G
rid
Co
nn
ect
ion
(M
W)
Transmission (MW) Distribution (MW) Transmission (#) Distribution (#)
Onshore: Type of Grid Connection
DSO/TSO: By Capacity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
With Planning In Planning Going Into
Planning
0 0 0 0 0 0
Typ
e o
f G
rid
Co
nn
ect
ion
(M
W)
Transmission (MW) Distribution (MW)
Onshore: Type of Grid Connection
DSO/TSO: By Number of Projects
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
With Planning In Planning Going Into
Planning
0 0 0 0 0 0
Nu
mb
er
of
Gri
d C
on
nect
ion
s
Transmission (#) Distribution (#)
Onshore Wind
Number of Projects by Grid Connection
Excludes REFIT Projects. Includes existing CPPAs and all other Future CPPAs/RESS Projects.
Going Into PlanningGrand Total
2020/2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Transmission (MW)
Distribution (MW)
Total (MW)
Transmission (#)
Distribution (#)
Total (#)
Confidential
The content of this report is confidential andintended for the recipient specified in the first slide.It is strictly forbidden to share any part of this reportwith any third party, without the written consent ofIWEA. If you received this report by mistake or from asource other than IWEA, then please contact IWEA([email protected]) and follow with its deletion, sothat we can ensure this does not occur in the future.
Disclaimer
IWEA assumes no responsibility for the currentness,correctness, completeness or quality of the providedinformation. Liability claims against IWEA based onlosses of a tangible or intellectual nature caused bythe use or the failure to use the provided information,or the use of incorrect and incomplete informationare categorically excluded, unless IWEA can be provento have acted with intent or gross negligence. Allcontent is non-binding and subject to change withoutnotice. IWEA expressly reserves the right to change,supplement, or delete parts of this report or theentire content without notice, and temporarily orpermanently discontinue the publication.
Terms of Use
Caveat regarding the information contained in this report
This report was compiled using information submitted to IWEA by its members, based on their mostaccurate estimations of when their projects will apply for planning consent, and the make up of saidprojects in terms of capacity, turbine size etc. This information is subject to change and all the projectsincluded in this report may not be progressed.
The rate of development of this pipeline is also highly dependent on the policy framework that is put inplace by Government to facilitate offshore wind in this country over the coming months and years, withno route to commissioning a project currently in place.
There is also the possibility that some of the intended project sites in this pipeline will overlap andtherefore all projects would not be able to progress as planned.
Finally, there is the possibility that other organisations that are not members with IWEA have projectsplanned that are not captured in this pipeline report.
4 projects planned for the Atlantic Ocean
6 projects planned for the Celtic Sea
13 projects planned for the Irish Sea
Over 10 different developers involved
in projects
An expected average project capacity of
over 700 MWOver 16 GW
Ireland’s Offshore Wind Pipeline Overview – August 2020
23 Projects in the Irish offshore wind
pipeline
Projects and Approximate Capacity Excepted to Apply for Planning Consent
Number of Projects Capacity (MW)
Low High Low High
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
2 - 4 1 - 3 10 - 14 2 - 4 1 - 2
Cap
acit
y (M
W)
Capacity (Low) Capacity (High)
Year Expected to Apply :
Number of Projects:
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Pipeline Average
Cap
acit
y (M
W)
Year Expected to Apply for Planning
Average Expected Capacity of Project Applying for Planning Each Year
Expected Project Location
East Coast/Irish Sea South Coast/Celtic Sea West Coast/Atlantic Ocean
Number of projects Approximate Capacity (MW) Number of Projects Approximate Capacity (MW) Number of Projects Approximate Capacity (MW)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total
Per
cen
tage
of
Pro
ject
s
Year Expected to Apply for Plannning
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total
Per
cetn
age
of
Pro
ject
s
Year Expected to Apply for Planning
Expected Project Foundation Type
West Coast/Atlantic Ocean South Coast/Celtic Sea East Coast/Irish Sea Total
Fixed
Floating
Undecided
Total
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total
Per
cen
tage
of
Pro
ject
s
Year Expected to Apply for Planning
Expected Average Water Depth of Projects
West Coast/Atlantic Ocean South Coast/Celtic Sea East Coast/Irish Sea Total
20-40m
40-60m
60-80m
> 100m
Not Available
Total
2
14 Projects
7 Projects
0-10 km 10-20 km 20-40 km
Expected Distance from Shore to Project
Project Distance from shore and location Distance from Shore Atlantic Ocean Celtic Sea Irish Sea Total
0-10 km
10-20 km
20-40 km
Total
2
1
9 Projects
8 Projects
3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total
Per
cen
tage
of
Pro
ject
s
Year Expected to Apply for Planning
Expected Future Tip Heights
1
11 Projects9 Projects
2
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total
Per
cen
tage
of
Pro
ject
s
Year Expected to Apply for Planning
Expected Future Turbine Capacity