james enck
DESCRIPTION
FTTH Conference 2013 Workshop Investors DayTRANSCRIPT
From Vicious to Virtuous Circle
Fibre to the Home Council Europe Investor Day 2013
The Experience from Project Owners – Part II
19th February 2013
CityFibre
• The UK’s leading urban shared fibre
infrastructure provider.
• 30,000 km of fibre, 50 UK towns and cities.
• Largest FTTH network in the UK.
• Gigler, delivering 1.0 Gbps consumer FTTH
services.
• Supported by the world’s leading investment
banks; Macquarie Capital, UBS and Citigroup.
• Rolling out citywide fibre infrastructure for public
services, mobile backhaul, businesses and
residents.
To empower the UK society by delivering
transformational fibre infrastructure that is
a foundation of the digital economy D
D
D
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 2
Shared Citywide Fibre
The UK’s Most Powerful Broadband Gigabit FTTH
Financial Horsepower:
Engineering Strength:
How to break the vicious circle?
3 (Source: Solon Strategy)
Potential partners and
customers want to see
strong financial backing
Potential investors and
lenders want to see firm
proof of demand…
…successfully
converted into
maximum utilization of
assets at scale…
…AND underpinned by
long-term contractual
commitments giving
visibility on investor
returns and long-term financial viability
Entrepreneurial Dilemma
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 3
Demand ?
Execution ?
Utilisation ?
Sustainability ?
Capital ?
Lessons From Abroad
4
Cross-subsidy from utility business (Norway,
Denmark, Germany)
• Captive service provider model, demand aggregation
model, low cost of capital
Cross-subsidy from existing telecom business (Hong
Kong, Turkey, Russia)
• Strong existing cash flows, cross-marketing strength,
mature corporate funding structure
Pure entrepreneurial capital (Netherlands)
• Established track record and investment from
incumbent unlocked lower cost of capital, regulated
pricing = long term visibility on shareholder returns
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 4
Key Themes
5
Strong cash flows from existing business mitigate
risk, allowing lower cost of capital
Strong equity backing from corporate entity with low
perceived counterparty risk, unlocks affordable debt
Captive service provider model, or open access with
contractual penetration commitment from anchor
Demand aggregation strategy to minimize execution
risk, increase visibility of investor returns
Pricing transparency and regulatory visibility
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 5
Don’t believe the hype
6 (Source: Solon Strategy)
UK broadband market is
more fragmented than
many European markets
Apart from Virgin, the
entire retail market is
captive to the
Openreach roadmap. No
real differentiation is
possible
In a non-Virgin town of
50k homes, alternative
SPs spend c.£2.5m per
annum consuming
Openreach products
Over ten years, this
would be more than
adequate to fund
ubiquitous fibre
throughout the town
The UK “exception” ?
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 6
CityFibre’s Model Attracts Institutional Finance
Creating a platform for large scale infrastructure rollout
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 7
Participating Investors
CityFibre Vehicle Holding Shared Fibre Assets
Participating Service Providers
End Customers
Equity, Debt ROI, Dividends
Wholesale Access
Retail Services
Access Charges
Service Charges
An
cho
r Tenan
cy Su
pp
orts In
vestmen
t
• Commitment by investors to
fund is supported by anchor
tenancy agreements:
• Anchor tenancy model provides
an environment of predictable
cash flows;
• Predictable cash flows enables
financing at a lower cost of
capital;
• Lower cost of capital leads to
attractive wholesale access
charges.
Delivering Infrastructure with Attractive Yields
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 8
5 years 10 years 15 years
Construction continues through yield phase
Initial Construction Phase Yield Phase
Anchor tenant commitment period (5 to 10 years)
Anchor Tenants Mitigate Demand Risks Engineering Partners Mitigate Delivery Risks
Natural Demand
Deliver in urban areas for optimal ROI
Private Equity Investors Infrastructure Funds
Investment risk reduction drives to a lower cost of capital
We’re all in this together
9 (Source: Solon Strategy)
Market risk partially
mitigated by long-term
contractual anchor
commitments
Execution risk mitigated
via city engagement
model
Utilization maximized
via exploitation of other
market verticals
First-mover advantage
and high RoI secures
sustainability
Availability of capital
increases, cost of
capital falls, subsequent
projects are easier to
fund
A Virtuous Circle
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 9
Demand
Execution
Utilisation
Sustainability
Capital
Thank You
10
James Enck
The report is available at:
www.cityfibre.com
www.oxera.com
FTTH Council Europe – February 2013 Slide 10
Oxera Draft for Comment: Strictly Confidential i
Feasibility and implications of a shared fibre access model in UK towns and cities
Economic review of CityFibre’s model in comparison with a co-investment model
February 19th 2013