[email protected] geneva, may 2009 trade facilitation: links to logistics and development

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[email protected] Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Links to Logistics and Development Development

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Page 1: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

[email protected]

Geneva, May 2009

Trade Facilitation: Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and DevelopmentLinks to Logistics and Development

Page 2: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

10 global trends

Trade facilitation measures

Implications for development

Trade Facilitation – Links to Logistics and Development

Page 3: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

10 global trends

Trade facilitation measures

Implications for development

Trade Facilitation – Links to Logistics and Development

Loooong term

Page 4: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1.1.Exports of manufactured goodsExports of manufactured goods• Today 80% of developing

countries’ exports are manufactured goods, up from only 20% two decades ago

Page 5: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

2.2.Globalized productionGlobalized production• About 1/3 of global trade is

intra-company trade• Around 30% of trade is

trade in components and unfinished goods

Page 6: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

3.3.Increased security concernsIncreased security concerns• Security measures along

the entire supply chain

Page 7: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

4.4.New Geography of TradeNew Geography of Trade• Especially the share of South-South

trade has doubled since 1990

Page 8: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

5.5. Regional integration Regional integration

• Increased regional and transit trade

Page 9: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

6.6.Within Logistics expenditureWithin Logistics expenditure…inventory

holding decreases, and Transport expenditure increases

Data for USA, via DOT

Page 10: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

7.7.TechnologiesTechnologies• Containerization, shipping networks• Use of computers and Internet

Page 11: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

8.8.Privatizations / concessionsPrivatizations / concessionsPorts, Shipping lines, Railways, Airlines,

Airports

Page 12: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

9.9.Tariff reductionsTariff reductions• For most developing countries’

exports, international transport costs are 2 to 3 times higher than Customs tariffs on imports in developed countries. Aver age

Ar gentina

Ur uguay

Par aguay

Br azil

Chile

Bolivia

Per u

Ecuador

Sur iname

Venezuela

Colombia

Tr inidad and Tobago

Bar bados

Gr enada

St Vincent and the Gr enadines

St Lucia

Dominica

Antigua and Bar buda

St Kitts and Nevis

Dominican Republic

Haiti

JamaicaBahamas

Panama

Costa Rica

Nicar aguaHondur as

El Salvador

Belize

Guatemala

Mexico

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%

TARIFF/CUST

International freight

Import Customs duties USA

Source: Miccio/ Perez 2002

Page 13: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

10.10.Negotiations on trade facilitation Negotiations on trade facilitation at the World Trade Organizationat the World Trade Organization

Page 14: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized

production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

Page 15: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

10 global trends

Trade facilitation measures

Implications for development

Trade Facilitation – Links to Logistics and Development

Page 16: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized

production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

Page 17: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

advance ruling

Page 18: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

authorized traders

Page 19: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

Risk analysis

3. Security concerns

Page 20: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

Internet publication

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography

Page 21: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

5. Regional

integration

“Regional approaches”

Page 22: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

Separate release from clearance

Page 23: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

7. Technologies

Automated payments,Electronic documents

Page 24: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

Customs to accept commercial information, information platforms

Page 25: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

Transport costs and trade facilitation more important than tariffs !

Page 26: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

1. Manufactured goods 2. Globalized

production 3. Security concerns 4. Trade geography 5. Regional integration 6. Logistics 7. Technologies 8. Privatizations 9. Tariff reductions10. WTO negotiations

… a response to trends in international trade, transport, logistics and technologies !

Page 27: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

10 global trends

Trade facilitation measures

Implications for development

Trade Facilitation – Links to Logistics and Development

Page 28: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

““Aid for Trade” Aid for Trade”

Page 29: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

Trade and Transport Facilitation is not Trade and Transport Facilitation is not only good for trade but also has other only good for trade but also has other

positive side effectspositive side effects

The introduction of ICTs by Customs may encourage smaller companies to also connect to the internet.

Page 30: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

Trade and Transport Facilitation is not Trade and Transport Facilitation is not only good for trade but also has other only good for trade but also has other

positive side effects (cont.)positive side effects (cont.)

Capacity building raises the country’s overall human capital.

Page 31: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

Trade and Transport Facilitation is not Trade and Transport Facilitation is not only good for trade but also has other only good for trade but also has other

positive side effects (cont.)positive side effects (cont.)

A framework for bank guarantees for transit trade may also generally improve the financial system.

Page 32: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

Trade and Transport Facilitation is not Trade and Transport Facilitation is not only good for trade but also has other only good for trade but also has other

positive side effects (cont.)positive side effects (cont.)

A single window experience for trade may help to introduce single windows elsewhere.

Page 33: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

Trade and Transport Facilitation is not Trade and Transport Facilitation is not only good for trade but also has other only good for trade but also has other

positive side effects (cont.)positive side effects (cont.)

Reforms of legal regimes

that facilitate the use of

electronic documents may

also modernize other

business practices.

Page 34: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

Trade and Transport Facilitation is not Trade and Transport Facilitation is not only good for trade but also has other only good for trade but also has other

positive side effects (cont.)positive side effects (cont.)

Mechanisms to consult

with stake holders may

be beneficial for other

policy decisions as well.

Page 35: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

Trade and Transport Facilitation is not Trade and Transport Facilitation is not only good for trade but also has other only good for trade but also has other

positive side effects (cont.)positive side effects (cont.)

Increased transparency is good for good governance in general.

Page 36: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

Trade and Transport Facilitation is not Trade and Transport Facilitation is not only good for trade but also has other only good for trade but also has other

positive side effects (cont.)positive side effects (cont.)

Are poor countries poor because of red tape?

OR

Is red tape the result of a lack of development?

ANSWER: It is both

Page 37: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

More income to finance trade facilitation

-> Better trade facilitation-> More Trade-> More income to finance

trade facilitation

Page 38: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

The “tipping point”: Start with The “tipping point”: Start with Trade and transport facilitationTrade and transport facilitation

Trade and transport facilitation is good

for trade and for development

Development is good for trade and for trade and transport

facilitation

Page 39: Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, May 2009 Trade Facilitation: Links to Logistics and Development

10 global trends

Trade facilitation measures

Implications for development

Trade Facilitation – Links to Logistics and Development

Questions?

Questions?