january 28th, 2003
DESCRIPTION
Kelley School of Business Presentation ATA Holdings Corp. Doug Doster Strategic Planner. January 28th, 2003. Northwest’s Non-Stop North American Routes. Next Generation Low Fare Carriers. Legacy Hub and Spoke Carriers. Cost Advantage Allows ATA To Offer Lower Fares. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
January 28th, 2003
Kelley School of Business Presentation
ATA Holdings Corp.
Doug DosterStrategic Planner
Northwest’s Non-Stop North American Routes
Legacy Hub and Spoke Carriers
Next Generation Low Fare Carriers
American Trans Air
5
Q3 2002 Major Airline Unit Cost (Cents per Available Seat Mile)
Cost Advantage Allows ATA To Offer Lower Fares
7.8
8.9
9.2
9.8
10.2
10.4
10.9
7.6
7.4
11.0
Southwest
ATA
America West
Continental
Northwest
Delta
Alaska
American
United
US Air
Yr/Yr Change
(2%)
(5%)
(11%)
(5%)
(2%)
(1%)
(2%)
(6%)
(3%)
(10%)
ATA’s CASM is one fifth lower than the average CASM of the top 9 major airlines
CASM (cents)
Rates exclude special charges
American Trans Air
6
Industry Fleet Age
Rapid Fleet Modernization will Improve Cost Structure• ATA’s fleet was one of the
oldest in the industry
• With the new aircraft order, ATA’s fleet is becoming the most modern in the industry
Note: Assumes other carriers add/subtract aircraft at a rate that maintains fleet ageSource: Deutsche Bank Alex. Brown 9/19/02 U.S. Fleet and Capacity Update
20.1
16.5
10.6 10.49.8
9.2 8.88.2 8.1
6.55.5
17.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
Northwest
ATA (12/3
1/00)
AirTra
nDelt
a
Amer
ican
Amer
ica W
est
US Airw
ays
Southwes
t
Alask
a
United
Continen
tal
ATA (12/3
1/02)
Ave
rage
Air
craf
t A
ge
American Trans Air
7
History of ATA1973 J. George Mikelsons founds Ambassadair Travel Club
in Indianapolis
1978 Deregulation of U.S. Airlines
1981 ATA begins Charter service, total revenues of $30.5M
1986 ATA begins Scheduled service, total revenues of $185M
1993 ATA completes initial public offering on the NASDAQ
1999 Revenues exceed $1.1B, making ATA the 11th US major airline
2000 ATA completes transaction for 50 new fully financed aircraft
2001 ATA begins successfully implementing new fleet and opens new Midway Terminal
2002 ATA receives approval for and funds $165 M government guaranteed loan
2002 ATA begins its 30th year of operations
American Trans Air
8
ATA Company Profile
• 30 Years in Business
- Operating Profits in all but 3 years
• Leading Market Share in Scheduled and Charter Service
- # 1 Airline at Chicago Midway and Indianapolis (Passengers)
- # 1 US Charter Airline (Revenue)
- # 1 Military Passenger Airline (Tied on Revenue)
• Re-fleeting to new aircraft with order for (40) B737-800, (12) B757-300 aircraft and (1) B757-200 aircraft
- Youngest schedule service fleet of any major airline
• Affordable Fare and Low-Cost Business Strategy
• Top Tier Financial Performance
• 10th Largest Major Airline in the US
- $1.3B in Revenue in 2002
American Trans Air
9
2002 Airline Capacity
ATA’s Revenue Sources• ATA’s revenue diversity has
benefited its performance since the 9/11 terrorist attacks
77%71%
4%
12%
11%
14%
11%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2002 ASMs ASMs by Gateway
Ava
ilabl
e Se
at M
iles
MilitaryHawaii
Indianapolis
Charter
Chicago- Midway
Scheduled Service
Other
American Trans Air
10
5 Year Passenger Growth
Scheduled Service Growth Leads Industry Majors• ATA leads the majors in
scheduled service passenger growth for the past 5 years
28%
12%8%
4%0%
-8%-12% -14%
-18%
60%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
ATA
Southwes
t
Alaska
Continen
tal
Ameri
can
Ameri
ca W
est
North
west
Delta
US Airw
ays
United
Per
cent
age
Gro
wth
Enplaned Passengers – 2002 (12 Months ended June) versus 1997 (12 Months ended June)
Source: Form 41
American Trans Air
11
ATA and Southwest Midway Airport Market Share
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%M
ar-9
8
Jun-
98Se
p-98
Dec
-98
Mar
-99
Jun-
99
Sep-
99D
ec-9
9M
ar-0
0
Jun-
00
Sep-
00D
ec-0
0M
ar-0
1
Jun-
01Se
p-01
Dec
-01
Mar
-02
Jun-
02
Sep-
02
Mid
way
Mar
ket
Sh
are
- E
np
lan
emen
ts
ATA
Southwest
ATA is the #1 Carrier in Chicago-Midway
Note: Chicago-Midway market share based on September 2002 enplanements
American Trans Air
12
ATA is the #1 Carrier in Indianapolis
Note: Indianapolis market share based on September 2002 enplanements
10%
12%12%13%13%13%
16%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
ATA US Airways Delta United Northwest American Southwest
Ind
ian
apol
is M
ark
et S
har
e -
En
pla
nm
ents
American Trans Air
13
An Honestly Different Airline
• Simplified Fee Structure- Administrative / change fee reduced to $50
- Reaffirm current standby policy allowing same day travel at no charge
- Reaffirm a policy that maintains ticket value when not used
- Reaffirm no advance purchase, no minimum stay requirements
- Top domestic fares capped at $299 each way
• New ad campaign emphasizing customer value
• Announced loyalty / frequent flyer program (September 30, 2002)- Builds customer loyalty / repeat customers
- Creates no liability beyond 11/30/04 when current program expires (Other programs continually build liability until miles are used)
- Drives consumers to internet - the most cost-efficient form of distribution
American Trans Air
14
ATSB Loan Provides Liquidity
•$168M loan guaranteed by the Air Transportation Stabilization Board
• Approved in September 2002, funded in November
• Out of the approximately 15 airlines that applied for federally guaranteed loans, ATA is one of only three airlines to close an ATSB loan
• Collateralized by aircraft, aviation parts, general equipment, and receivables
• Six year term, amortizes after 12 months
American Trans Air
15
Strategic Planning- Function as special projects /
internal consulting group
-Opportunity to work
with other departments
- Direct Exposure to upper-
level management on
critical projects
- Team Oriented
Strategic Planning Profile
Proforma
Financials
FINANCE
Process
Diagrams,
Labor
Negotiations
OPERATIONS
Market
Analysis
MARKETING
Presentations,
Financial Releases,
Industry
Comparisons
INVESTOR
RELATIONS
American Trans Air
16
Strategic Planning Process
Research
• Internet
• Libraries
• Proprietary databases
• Trade press
• SEC information
Analysis/Modeling
• Economic modeling
• Regression
• Risk Adjustment
• Excel
• Access
Understanding
• Group sessions
• Brainstorming
• Hypothesis testing
Communication
• Simplify
• Encapsulate
• Present
American Trans Air
17
Career PathVice President
Director
Strategic Planner
Staff
Clerical Operations Management– Maintenance– Flight Operations– Airport Services– Customer Services
Manager
MBA / Law School
Staff Management– Strategic Planning– Finance– Marketing– IS– Tour Operator
or
Sr. Strategic Planner
Financial Analyst
American Trans Air
18
ATA Kelley School of Business Alumni
Ken Wolff CFO and Executive Vice President
Jack Schultz Director, Accounting
Sean Frick Director, Strategic Planning
Brian Wilson Senior Operations Analyst
Doug Doster Strategic Planner
Peter Tamulonis Operations Analyst
Ryan Poeppelman Financial Analyst
American Trans Air
19
ATA’s “Five” Year Business Plan
Input Output Uses
• Detailed Financial Statements (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Statement of Cash Flows, etc.)
• Detailed Operating Statistics (Departures, Passengers, Seat Miles, etc.)
• Meaningful Metrics and Ratios (RASM, CASM, EBITDAR, Debt to Equity, etc.)
• Special Projects (Aircraft Acquisition Deal, Privatization, Government Loan Application)
• Supporting the Management Decision Making Process (Asset Allocation, Cost Control, Liquidity Analysis)
• Debt covenants
• Valuable source for historical information
• Begin with aircraft
• Historical unit utilization, revenue, and expenses applied to create income statement
• Income statement flows into balance sheet and cash flow statements
• Adjust for unique transactions and management input
Creation
• Developed according to GAAP
• Regression Analysis performed to determine cost and balance sheet drivers
• Historical data from 1997 to present input into model and updated monthly
• Formatting and printing macros
AMERICAN TRANS AIR