january – june 2013
DESCRIPTION
January – June 2013. Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey. Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover (based on responses received). July – December 2012. January – June 2013. Profile of respondents – by firm size Based on full and part time employment. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
January – June 2013
Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey
1
Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover(based on responses received)
Category by gross annual income
% of firms
0 – R1,5m 11.8%
R1,5m – R11,5m 53.9%
> R11,5m 34.2%
Total 100.0%
0-1.510.3%
1.5-11.555.9%
>11.533.8%
Firm distribution based on turnover
Category by gross annual income
% of firms
0 – R1,5m 10.3%
R1,5m – R11,5m 55.9%
> R11,5m 33.8%
Total 100.0%
July – December 2012 January – June 2013
0-1.511.8%
1.5-11.554.0%
>11.534.2%
Firm distribution based on turnover
2
Profile of respondents – by firm sizeBased on full and part time employment
Large (>100)
15%
Medium (20 - 100)43%
Small (10 - 20)25%
Micro (< 10)18%
3
Economic Impact CESA Membership earnings % of GDP
Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight 4
Fee earnings vs Gross Fixed Capital FormationRbn, real prices
Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight 5
Fee income, R billions Real 2000 pricesAnnualised | Deflator = CPI
Jun-96 Dec-97 Jun-99 Dec-00 Jun-02 Dec-03 Jun-05 Dec-06 Jun-08 Dec-09 Jun-11 Dec-120.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Source: CESA BECS6
Real Fee income, Real pricesAnnual Change | Deflator = CPI
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-97
Dec-97Jun-98
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-11
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
7
CESA Confidence Index
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-
96
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
Dec-1
30
20
40
60
80
100
120
-60.00%
-40.00%
-20.00%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
% Change (Survey to Survey) - bar, right axis Index
8
Industry Confidence
Source: CESA BECS, BER9
Real Fee income vs Industry confidenceDeflated using CPI
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-96Jan-97
Aug-97
Mar-9
8
Oct-98
May-9
9
Dec-99Jul-0
0
Feb-01
Sep-01
Apr-02
Nov-02Jun-03
Jan-04
Aug-04
Mar-0
5
Oct-05
May-0
6
Dec-06Jul-0
7
Feb-08
Sep-08
Apr-09
Nov-09Jun-10
Jan-11
Aug-11
Mar-1
2
Oct-12
May-1
3
Dec-13
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Confidence Fee income Rbn, Real prices - right axis
10
CESA Labour Cost IndicatorYear on Year percentage change
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-98
Jan-99
Jun-99
Jan-00
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
11
Employment vs REAL fee income (Rbn) (Deflated using the CPI & LCI)
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
8,500
10,500
12,500
14,500
16,500
18,500
20,500
22,500
24,500
Employment Revised (right axis) Income: CPI 2000 prices
Income : CESA LCI 2005 prices
• CPI: Consumer price index• LCI : Labour Cost Indicator
12
Employment vs Salary & Wage bill
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Salary/Wage bill (Rbn, Real prices) Employment - right axis
13
Discounting
Source: CESA BECS
JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
A B C D0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00By firm category: Jun-13
14
Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareJune 2013
Agricultural
Architecture
Mechanical building Services
Civil
Electrical / Electronic
Environmental
Facilities
Geotechnical
Industrial Process / Chemical
GIS
Hydraulics
Information Systems / Tech-nology
Marine
Mechanical
Mining
Project Management
Quantity Surveying
Structural
Town planning
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Source: CESA BECS15
Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in market share in the last 12 months
Agricultural
Architecture
Mechanical building Services
Civil
Electrical / Electronic
Environmental
Facilities
Geotechnical
Industrial Process / Chemical
GIS
Hydraulics
Information Systems / Technology
Marine
Mechanical
Mining
Project Management
Quantity Surveying
Structural
Town planning
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Source: CESA BECS16
Fee income earned by TOP THREE disciplines: R bn Real 2000 pricesMoving average (2 survey period): 2002 – June 2013
Source: CESA BECS
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13
Structural 0.475 0.465 0.551 0.574 0.801 1.233 1.459 1.26389
1.555 1.8711 1.30291
1.124
Proj Mang 0.461 0.32 0.283 0.356 0.442 0.495 0.663 0.7831 0.814 1.31624
1.3356 0.813
Civil - right axis 1.926 1.745 1.869 2.041 2.392 3.234 5.576 4.76046
3.751 3.3487 4.51279
5.172
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.9
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Structural Proj Mang Civil - right axis
17
Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share December 2011 – June 2013
Source: CESA BECS
Water
Transportation
Energy
Mining / Quarrying
Education
Health
Tourism/Leisure
Housing
Commercial
Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing
Other
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
Jun-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Dec-11
18
Fee earnings by selected sectorR billions, Real 2000 prices | Smoothed |2 survey average
DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN13
Water 1.260837227177
37
1.269555065604
23
1.267757149479
46
1.523770461585
27
1.850202863397
34
1.857434277417
84
1.581489519809
07
1.287593543319
59
1.244089302424
27
1.072 1.073 1.433 1.37 1.18
Transporta-tion
1.575108297427
52
1.825542644735
42
1.974222947277
62
2.944136742853
41
3.646032169337
63
3.037888761381
54
2.819041801453
37
3.113684008404
16
3.055383601478
24
2.506 2.378 2.811 2.672 2.729
Energy 0.439913377245
271
0.370728856985
092
0.325951192261
022
0.302604640991
086
0.432849370393
367
0.462874693302
059
0.275372653166
938
0.191351567206
801
0.239002604314
996
0.522 1.085 1.329 0.932 0.876
Housing 0.451593263420
059
0.503117736716
976
0.689816995169
426
0.836111008667
676
0.710115150524
567
0.801322720776
857
1.058851306995
86
1.087230902247
68
1.286933195373
56
1.303 0.971 0.684 0.579 0.675
Commercial 1.302687580181
86
1.240049716876
27
1.730634545045
95
1.827915665168
15
2.124135187345
56
2.056829057407
98
1.970152329202
04
2.210910013457
85
1.750397418514
78
1.808 1.812 1.642 1.607 1.308
0.3
0.8
1.3
1.8
2.3
2.8
3.3
3.8
Source: CESA BECS19
Fee earnings by sectorR bn Real 2000 prices (smoothed, 2 survey average)
JUN07
DEC07
JUN08
DEC08
JUN09
DEC09
JUN10
DEC10
JUN11
DEC11
JUN12
DEC12
JUN13
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
OtherAgriculture / Forestry / FishingCommercialHousingTourism/LeisureHealthEducationMining / QuarryingEnergyTransportationWater
Source: CESA BECS20
Fee income (Rm, Real prices) earned by key economic sectorsJune 2005 – June 2013
Jun-
05
Mar
-06
Dec-0
6
Sep-
07
Jun-
08
Mar
-09
Dec-0
9
Sep-
10
Jun-
11
Mar
-12
Dec-1
20
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Housing
Jun-
05
Mar
-06
Dec-0
6
Sep-
07
Jun-
08
Mar
-09
Dec-0
9
Sep-
10
Jun-
11
Mar
-12
Dec-1
20
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
Water
Jun-0
5
Jun-0
6
Jun-0
7
Jun-0
8
Jun-0
9
Jun-1
0
Jun-1
1
Jun-1
2
Jun-1
30
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Transportation
Jun-
05
Mar
-06
Dec-0
6
Sep-
07
Jun-
08
Mar
-09
Dec-0
9
Sep-
10
Jun-
11
Mar
-12
Dec-1
20
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,600
Energy
Jun-
05
Mar
-06
Dec-0
6
Sep-
07
Jun-
08
Mar
-09
Dec-0
9
Sep-
10
Jun-
11
Mar
-12
Dec-1
20
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Commercial
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-
05
Mar
-06
Dec-0
6
Sep-
07
Jun-
08
Mar
-09
Dec-0
9
Sep-
10
Jun-
11
Mar
-12
Dec-1
20
50
100
150
200
250
300
Health
21
E-Cape W-Cape
N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l E-Cape W-Cape
N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l
% Share
8.9 11 1.8 2.4 1.7 1.7 40.1 4.3 21.2 5.1 1.8
Change last 12 months
1.9 -3.6 -0.09999999999999
99
-2.1 0.7 -1 1.7 1.4 6.1 -4.6 -0.5
2.50
7.50
12.50
17.50
22.50
27.50
32.50
37.50
42.50
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
7
% Share Change last 12 months
% S
hare
(b
ar)
Provincial Market Share: June 2012Vs change in market share from June 2012
GAI
N
mar
ket s
hare
Source: CESA BECS22
Fee income earned by province (Rbn, real prices)High Capacity economies |TREND Annualised smoothed, average over 2 past surveys
Dec-98
Jun-99
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Eastern Cape Western Cape Gauteng Kwazulu Natal
Source: CESA BECS23
Fee income earned by provinceJune 2005 – June 2013| Rm real prices
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
100200300400500600700800900
1,000
Eastern Cape
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800
Western Cape
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
50
100
150
200
250
Northern Cape
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
50100150200250300350400450
Free State
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
50100150200250300350400450
North West
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Limpopo
24
Fee income earned by provinceJune 2005 – June 2013| Rm real prices
Dec-9
8
May
-00
Oct-0
1
Mar
-03
Aug-
04
Jan-
06
Jun-
07
Nov-0
8
Apr-1
0
Sep-
11
Feb-
130
5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
Gauteng
Source: CESA BECS
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
100
200
300
400
500
600
Mpumalanga
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000
Kwazulu Natal
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Africa
Dec-9
8
Apr-0
0
Aug-
01
Dec-0
2
Apr-0
4
Aug-
05
Dec-0
6
Apr-0
8
Aug-
09
Dec-1
0
Apr-1
20
100
200
300
400
500
600
International
Dec-9
8
May
-00
Oct-0
1
Mar
-03
Aug-
04
Jan-
06
Jun-
07
Nov-0
8
Apr-1
0
Sep-
11
Feb-
130
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Total Fee Earnings
25
Fee income earned (Real 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed
Dec-98
Jun-99
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
Lower Capacity High CapacityIndex Dec-98=100
High Capacity: Gauteng, Western Cape, Eastern Cape, Kwazulu NatalLow capacity: North West, Free State, Northern Cape, Limpopo, Mpumalanga
84% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces
Source: CESA BECS26
Provincial profile by economic sectorwhere fee earnings >50% of total earnings
Water (Full water cycle)
Transportation (land, air, road, rail, ports)
Energy (electricity, gas, hydro)
Mining / Quarrying
Education
Health
Tourism/Leisure
Housing (residential inc. land)
Commercial
Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing
Other
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Western Cape
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Gauteng
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Kwazulu Natal
0% 5% 10%15%20%25%30%35%
Eastern Cape
Source: CESA BECS27
Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis
93% of fees were earned in South Africa
Source: CESA BECS28
Fee income earned by type of clientPercentage share as at June 2013
Central5% Provincial
10%
Local21%
Parastatals20%
Private44%
Source: CESA BECS29
Fee income earned by type of clientPercentage share
Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private
Dec-09 15.7 9.9 27.4 12.8 34.2
Jun-10 16.37 13.91 20.42 12.69 36.61
Dec-10 14.8 12 18.14 11.7 43.4
Jun-11 13.6 11.8 19.8 12.1 42.7
Dec-11 5.3 7.5 26 14.3 46.9
Jun-12 8.1 14.3 22.8 20.5 34.3
Dec-12 2.8 5.3 31.2 15.2 45.5
Jun-13 5 10 21 20 44
2.5
7.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
27.5
32.5
37.5
42.5
47.5
Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13
Source: CESA BECS30
Fee income earned by type of clientR billion Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private
Source: CESA BECS31
Fee income earned by type of clientR billions Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Public Private
Source: CESA BECS32
Competition in tendering
DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN130%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Very Low Low Keen Very Keen Fierce
Source: CESA BECS33
Competition in tenderingPercentage of respondents that reported Keen to Fierce competition
Jun-0
0
Dec-0
0
01-Jun
01-Dec
02-Jun
02-Dec
03-Jun
03-Dec
04-Jun
04-Dec
05-Jun
05-Dec
06-Jun
06-Dec
07-Jun
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
01-Dec
2
Jun-1
1
Dec-1
1
Jun-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jun-1
386%
88%
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
102%
Source: CESA BECS34
% of Firms wanting to increase staff
Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff
Jun'10 16.6 11.9 11.9 1.7 0.4
Dec'10 81.5 10.07 18.3 18.34 5.8
Jun'11 66 8.3 51.8 52.75 6.6
Dec'11 74 4.8 36 22 6.9
Jun'12 86.5 17.5 38.2 22.2 6.6
Dec'12 61.2 12.5 19.9 18.1 7.5
Jun'13 50.8 20.9 46.2 30.5 24.2
5.0
15.0
25.0
35.0
45.0
55.0
65.0
75.0
85.0
95.0
Source: CESA BECS35
Engineering Skills Shortfall
Dec-97Jun-98
01-Dec
01-Jun
01-Dec2
Jun-00
Dec-00
01-Jun2
01-Dec3
02-Jun
02-Dec
03-Jun
03-Dec
04-Jun
04-Dec
05-Jun
05-Dec
06-Jun
06-Dec
07-Jun
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
10-Dec
Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
% Wanting to increase engineers % of firms experiencing difficulties in recruiting engineers% of firms experiencing difficulties in recruiting (PDI) engineers
Source: CESA BECS36
Recruitment problems
Eng Technolo-gist
Technician Other Tech-nologist
Other PDI Eng PDI Tech-nologist
PDI Techni-cian
Jun'10 52.7 15.6 41.2 28.8 42.9 60.9 27.8 60.5
Dec'10 86.7 17 25 10 0.4 98 48 35
Jun'11 62.4 56 27.5 31.5 10.8 83 79 68.8
Jun'12 88 59 55 10.7 1.7 95 96.2 32.2
Dec'12 70.8 46.7 42.5 10.7 18.2 78 52.9 45.4
Jun'13 41.8 38.2 11.7 3.6 1.9 52.6 35.4 28.7
10.0
30.0
50.0
70.0
90.0
110.0
Source: CESA BECSNote: Data for December 2011 not available due to changes in questionnaire37
BursariesPercentage of Salary and Wage bill
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
38
BursariesR mill Real 2000 prices (Annualised)
Source: CESA BECS
Rm
Jun-0
0
Dec-0
0
01-Jun
01-Dec
02-Jun
02-Dec
03-Jun
03-Dec
04-Jun
04-Dec
05-Jun
05-Dec
06-Jun
06-Dec
07-Jun
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
10-Dec
11-Jun
11-Dec
12-Jun
Dec-1
2
Jun-1
3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Trend line – 2 year average
39
Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Percentage of Payroll
Jun'05 Dec'05 Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10 Jun'11 Dec'11 Jun'12 Dec'12 Jun'130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
40
Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rbn, Real 2000 prices
Jun'05
Dec'05
Jun'06
Dec'06
Jun'07
Dec'07
Jun'08
Dec'08
Jun'09
Dec'09
Jun'10
Dec'10
Jun'11
Dec'11
Jun'12
Dec'12
Jun'13
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Dat
a no
t ava
ilabl
e
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
41
Training (Direct costs)Percentage of Payroll
Dec-9
7
Dec-9
8
Dec-9
9
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
20.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
42
Training (Direct costs)Rand millions, Real 2000 prices
Dec-97Jun-98
Dec-98Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
43
Jun-99
Dec-99Jun-00
Dec-00Jun-01
Dec-01Jun-02
Dec-02Jun-03
Dec-03Jun-04
Dec-04Jun-05
Dec-05Jun-06
Dec-06Jun-07
Dec-07Jun-08
Dec-08Jun-09
Dec-09Jun-10
Dec-10Jun-11
Dec-11Jun-12
Dec-12Jun-13
-40.0
-20.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Net % Change of respondents expecting an increase in capacity utilisationAverage Utilisation Rate
Net
% C
hang
e
Util
isati
on
Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff
Source: CESA BECS44
Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysPercentage of total fee income earned
Dec-99
Jun-00
Dec-00
Jun-01
Dec-01
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
%7.9 11.5
11.7
6.8 9.5 7.9 8.4 15.5
15.6
14.6
16.6
15.8
13.3
12.5
11.2
10.3
11.25
11.09
13.7
9.5 18.5
23.4
15.5
18 24 9.4 8.3 9.94
2.5
7.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
27.5Including foreign clientsExcluding foreign clients
Source: CESA BECS
Trend line – 2 year average
45
Escalation trendsYear-on-Year Percentage Change
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 4.3 5 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.7
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
11.0
13.0
• CPI Basket Revised in January 2013• Forecasts based on latest Treasury estimates
(Budget 2013/14)
Source: Treasury estimates Budget 201346
Labour unit cost indicatorYear-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)
Source: CESA BECS
Jun-
98
Dec-9
8
Jun-
99
Dec-9
9
Jun-
00
Dec-0
0
01-Ju
n
01-D
ec
02-Ju
n
02-D
ec
03-Ju
n
03-D
ec
04-Ju
n
04-D
ec
05-Ju
n
05-D
ec
06-Ju
n
06-D
ec
07-Ju
n
07-D
ec
08-Ju
n
08-D
ec
09-Ju
n
09-D
ec
10-Ju
n
10-D
ec
11-Ju
n
11-D
ec
12-Ju
n
Dec-1
2
Jun-
13-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
47
Labour unit cost indicatorAnnual Average Year-on-Year Percentage Change
Source: CESA BECS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
48
Typical Employment BreakdownJanuary – June 2013
Professional Engineer Pr.Eng
Professional Architects
Professional Quantity Surveyors
Professional Other
Technologists Pr TEchENg
Technicians PrTechni
Unregistered technical staff: Engineer
Unregistered technical staff: Technologist
Unregistered technical staff: Technician
Unregistered technical staff: Other
Technical Assistants
Draughtspersons
Laboratory / Survey Assistants
Administration / Support staff
Total
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Black Coloured Asian White
Source: CESA BECS49
Typical Employment profile as at June 2013
Total employment 24,356
Source: CESA BECS
Skill Dec-12 Jun-12%
ChangeAdministration 5,343 6,424 20.2%
Draughts person 1,216 1,500 23.3%
Lab Assistant 386 367 -5.0%
Prof Arch 33 36 8.6%Prof Eng 2,750 3,209 16.7%Prof Other 566 593 4.7%
Prof QS 43 96 123.5%
Tech Assistant 1,727 1,425 -17.5%Technician 274 317 15.6%Technologist 747 998 33.7%Unreg Eng 2,463 2,994 21.6%
Unreg Tech other 1,386 2,448 76.6%
Unreg Technician 1,902 2,876 51.2%Unreg technologist 1,127 1,073 -4.9%
Grand Total 19,964 24,356 22.0%
50
Employment profile based on sample of surveys received
Source: CESA BECS
Race / GenderPercentage Change
Jun13 vs Dec12
Percentage Share Jun-13
Percentage Share Dec-12
Change in market share
Asian 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 0.5%
Female 29.7% 2.7% 2.3% -0.4%
Male -6.6% 4.2% 5.0% 0.8%
Black 16.6% 30.9% 29.8% -1.1%
Female 15.5% 11.9% 11.5% -0.3%
Male 17.3% 19.1% 18.3% -0.8%
Coloured 17.4% 7.4% 7.1% -0.3%
Female 15.0% 3.0% 3.0% -0.1%
Male 19.1% 4.4% 4.1% -0.2%
White 10.4% 54.8% 55.7% 1.0%
Female 11.3% 15.5% 15.7% 0.2%
Male 10.1% 39.2% 40.0% 0.8%
Grand total 22.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0%
51
07-Dec
08-Jun
08-Dec
09-Jun
09-Dec
10-Jun
10-Dec
11-Jun
11-Dec
12-Jun
Dec-12
Jun-13
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Black Asian Coloured White
Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceDecember 2007– June 2013
Source: CESA BECS52
Colum
n1
Dec-9
9
Jun-
00
Dec-0
0
01-Ju
n
01-D
ec
02-Ju
n
02-D
ec
03-Ju
n
03-D
ec
04-Ju
n
04-D
ec
05-Ju
n
05-D
ec
06-Ju
n
06-D
ec
07-Ju
n
07-D
ec
08-Ju
n
08-D
ec
09-Ju
n
09-D
ec
10-Ju
n
10-D
ec
11-Ju
n
11-D
ec
12-Ju
n
Dec-1
2
Jun-
130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Employment profileBlack only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment
Source: CESA BECS53
Changing profile of female engineers
54
Equity Distribution by firm type
Source: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN13
Pty Ltd
0.875 0.862 0.83 0.911 0.831 0.908 0.862 0.9138
0.837 0.892 0.872 0.848 0.866 0.893 0.859
CC 0.118 0.118 0.147 0.083 0.147 0.076 0.1188
0.0831000000000
001
0.065 0.081 0.056 0.137 0.122 0.078 0.112
Part-ner-ship
0.00800000000000001
0.02 0.023 0.006 0.022 0.016 0.019 0.0031
0.098 0.027 0.072 0.015 0.0122
0.029 0.029
10.0%
30.0%
50.0%
70.0%
90.0%
110.0%
55
Ownership / Equity: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships
African: Including black, coloured and asianSource: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN130.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
Trend Line
56
Black Ownership & Equity: (including Asian and Coloured)% Share of total ownership and employment
African: Including black, coloured and asianSource: CESA BECS
JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN130%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0%
1%
2%
3%
Black equity as % of total equity Black equity as % of total employment - right axis
57
African (Black) ownership / equity as % of total ownership / equity by type of company | December 2008 – June 2013
Source: CESA BECS
Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner
Dec-08 0.135 0.815 0.368 0
Dec-09 0.196 0.889 0.518 0
Dec-10 0.152 0.359 0.455 0.125
Jun-11 0.153 0.552 0.37 0.222
Dec-11 0.208 0.857 0.365 0.143
Jun-12 0.197 0.796 0.36 0.2
Dec-12 0.226 0.75 0.62 0.111
Jun-13 0.263 0.9 0.709 0.125
5.0%
15.0%
25.0%
35.0%
45.0%
55.0%
65.0%
75.0%
85.0%
95.0%
58
Quality Management System
Source: CESA BECS
Large Medium Small Micro Total
Dec-10 1 0.93 1 1 0.974
Jun-11 0.92 1 1 0.87 0.95
Dec-11 1 0.931 0.92 0.773 0.899
Jun-12 0.945 0.926 0.923 0.842 0.911
Dec-12 1 0.926 1 0.8235 0.933
Jun-13 1 0.93 1 0.83 0.94
10%
30%
50%
70%
90%
110%
59
ISO 9001:2008 Certificate
Source: CESA BECS
Large Medium Small Micro Total
Dec-09 0.909 0.421 0.143 0.167 0.452
Dec-10 0.923 0.25 0 0.2 0.45
Jun-11 0.538 0.556 0.571 0.125 0.478
Dec-11 0.846 0.379 0.292 0.091 0.352
Jun-12 0.889 0.393 0.346 0.053 0.407
Dec-12 0.867 0.4 0.2 0.059 0.378
Jun-13 0.888888888888889
0.379310344827586
0.176470588235294
0 0.328358208955224
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
75%
85%
95%
60