january to july · 2016-10-19 · last update: sources : european commission (dg estat, dg agri),...
TRANSCRIPT
Last update:
Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008), GTA, FAO
SHEEP & GOAT - MARKET SITUATION - DASHBOARD 12/10/2016E
U P
rice
sEU
P
rod
uct
ion
EU
Trad
e
EU-28 exports
Wo
rld
Tra
de
487.9Heavy Lamb
(> 13 kg cw)- 0.2%
606.8Light Lamb
(< 13 kg cw) + 1.4%
€/100 kg carcass weight (cw)
Live
sto
ck S
urv
ey
- 1.3%
+ 3.4%
+ 0.3%
- 5.1%
Period:
Destination 2015 2016 2016 / 2015
35 712 43 016 + 20%
Libya 11 784 15 074 + 28%
Jordan 7 898 11 089 + 40%
Hong Kong 3 528 2 504 - 29%
Lebanon 2 863 2 062 - 28%
Switzerland 1 819 1 943 + 7%
Israel 8 1 675 +++
Ghana 1 308 1 578 + 21%
Other 6 504 7 090 + 9%
SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight)
January to July
39
UK300.539%
ES125.816%
FR86.911%
GR76.910%
IE58.48%
IT35.55%
DE21.03%
NL14.52%
PT11.31%
RO9.31%
Others28.64%
EU Main Sheep & Goat Meat Producers(In 1000 tonnes product weight)
Se
lf-s
uff
icie
ncy
25
6
23
4
20
0 21
1
20
1 21
2
14
5
15
3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan-Jul 15Jan-Jul 16
Sheep & goat imports
EU total importsQty in 1000 tonnes carcass weight
94
1
90
2
88
4
88
1
91
9
92
9
93
3
1 1
49
1 0
68
1 0
48
1 0
37
1 1
02
1 1
16
1 1
21
84%87% 88% 88% 87% 88% 88%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015 2016f 2017f
In 1
000
ton
ne
s c
arca
ss w
eig
ht
EU Self-sufficiency on sheep & goat meat(f = Forecast based on estimations)
NET Production Consumption Self-sufficiency
Period:
Origin 2015 2016 2016 / 2015
144 824 153 127 + 6%
New Zealand 126 838 136 757 + 8%
Australia 11 681 9 400 - 20%
For.JRep.Mac 1 698 1 960 + 15%
Chile 1 739 1 881 + 8%
Uruguay 1 276 937 - 27%
Iceland 364 801 +++
Argentina 516 769 + 49%
Other 713 621 - 13%
SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight)
January to July
EU-28 imports
95
00
0
90
83
1
88
60
4
87
46
3
86
40
6
85
50
0
84
21
8
84
30
4
86
56
3
13
11
3
11
39
9
12
98
5
13
06
6
12
56
3
12
35
4
12
35
8
12
42
3
12
71
4
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1000
he
ads
EU Sheep & goat populationDecember 2015
Sheep Goats
400
420
440
460
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
Evolution of heavy lamb prices€/ 100 kg carcass weight
Average 2011-2015 2015 2016
Evolution since last
weekEvolution since last
month
Evolution since last
yearWeek
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
620
640
660
680
700
Evolution of light lamb prices€/ 100 kg carcass weight
Average 2011-2015 2015 2016
Ne
w Z
eal
and
Ne
w Z
eal
and
Au
stra
lia
Au
stra
lia
EU
EU
Un
ite
d S
tate
s
Un
ite
d S
tate
s
Uru
guay
Uru
guay
0
50
100
150
200
250
2015 (up to July) 2016 (up to July)
Main Exporters of SHEEP&GOAT Products
Qty in 1 000 tonnes carcass weight
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
Ch
ina
+ H
. K
on
g
EU EU
Un
ite
d S
tate
s
Un
ite
d S
tate
s
Mal
aysi
a (u
p t
o M
ay)
Mal
aysi
a (u
p t
o M
ay)
Jap
an
Jap
an
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2015 (up to July) 2016 (up to July)
Main Importers of SHEEP&GOAT Products
Qty in 1 000 tonnes carcass weight
130.
4
59.5
44.4
30.8
27.2
14.7
10.0
6.0
5.3
4.2
3.5 9.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
In 1
000
ton
ne
s ca
rcas
s w
eig
ht
Change in Sheep Slaughtering
2015/2016 (up to June)
Jan-June 2015 Jan-June 2016
EU : - 0.5% 13.2
4.5
4.1
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
In 1
00
0 t
on
nes
car
cass
wei
ght
Change in Goat Slaughtering
2015/2016 (up to June)
Jan-June 2015 Jan-June 2016
EU : - 1.7%
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
Market Prices
(2016)
EU(Heavy Lamb)
New Zealand (Y-Lamb:North + South Island)
Australia(Trade lamb)
Uruguay(INAC prices)
€/100 kg carcass weight
477
1 221
1 6111 813 1 883
1 0531 300
976
392
241
171 81
35
173
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan_July15 Jan_July16
Live sheep exports
(Excluding pure-bred breeding)
Live Adult Live LambsQty in 1 000 heads
back to DashboardNext
EU
Pric
es 487.9Heavy Lamb
(> 13 kg cw)- 0.2%
606.8Light Lamb
(< 13 kg cw) + 1.4%
€/100 kg carcass weight (cw)
- 1.3%
+ 3.4%
+ 0.3%
- 5.1%
39 Evolution since last
weekEvolution since last
month
Evolution since last
yearWeek
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
400
420
440
460
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
Evolution of heavy lamb prices€/ 100 kg carcass weight
Average 2011-2015 2015 2016
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
620
640
660
680
700
Evolution of light lamb prices€/ 100 kg carcass weight
Average 2011-2015 2015 2016
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : Eurostat
UK300.539%
ES125.816%
FR86.911%
GR76.910%
IE58.48%
IT35.55%
DE21.03%
NL14.52%
PT11.31%
RO9.31%
Others28.64%
EU Main Sheep & Goat Meat Producers(In 1000 tonnes product weight)
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
130.
4
59.5
44.4
30.8
27.2
14.7
10.0
6.0
5.3
4.2
3.5 9.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
In 1
000
tonn
es ca
rcas
s w
eigh
tChange in Sheep Slaughtering
2015/2016 (up to June)
Jan-June 2015 Jan-June 2016
EU : - 0.5%
In 1
000
tonn
es c
arca
ss w
eigh
t
Source : Eurostat
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
13.2
4.5
4.1
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
In 1
000
tonn
es ca
rcas
s wei
ght
Change in Goat Slaughtering
2015/2016 (up to June)
Jan-June 2015 Jan-June 2016
EU : - 1.7%
Source : Eurostat
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : Eurostat
95 0
00
90 8
31
88 6
04
87 4
63
86 4
06
85 5
00
84 2
18
84 3
04
86 5
63
13 1
13
11 3
99
12 9
85
13 0
66
12 5
63
12 3
54
12 3
58
12 4
23
12 7
14
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1000
hea
ds
EU Sheep & goat populationDecember 2015
Sheep Goats
Source : Eurostat
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : GTA
New
Zeal
and
New
Zeal
and
Aust
ralia
Aust
ralia
EU
EU
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
Urug
uay
Urug
uay
0
50
100
150
200
250
2015 (up to July) 2016 (up to July)
Main Exporters of SHEEP&GOAT Products
Qty in 1 000 tonnes carcass weight
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : GTA
Chin
a + H
. Kon
g
Chin
a + H
. Kon
g
EU EU
Unite
d St
ates
Unite
d St
ates
Mal
aysia
(up
to M
ay)
Mal
aysia
(up
to M
ay)
Japa
n
Japa
n
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2015 (up to July) 2016 (up to July)
Main Importers of SHEEP&GOAT Products
Qty in 1 000 tonnes carcass weight
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : GTA
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
Market Prices
(2016)
EU(Heavy Lamb)
New Zealand (Y-Lamb:North + South Island)
Australia(Trade lamb)
Uruguay(INAC prices)
€/100 kg carcass weight
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : Eurostat
941
902
884
881 91
9
929
933
1 14
9
1 06
8
1 04
8
1 03
7
1 10
2
1 11
6
1 12
1
84%87% 88% 88% 87% 88% 88%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015 2016f 2017f
In 10
00 t
onne
s ca
rcas
s w
eigh
t
EU Self-sufficiency on sheep & goat meat(f = Forecast based on estimations)
NET Production Consumption Self-sufficiency
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : Eurostat
477
1 221
1 6111 813 1 883
1 0531 300
976
392
241
171 81
35
173
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan_July15 Jan_July16
Live sheep exports
(Excluding pure-bred breeding)
Live Adult Live LambsQty in 1 000 heads
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : Eurostat
EU-28 exports
Period:
Destination 2015 2016 2016 / 2015
35 712 43 016 + 20%
Libya 11 784 15 074 + 28%
Jordan 7 898 11 089 + 40%
Hong Kong 3 528 2 504 - 29%
Lebanon 2 863 2 062 - 28%
Switzerland 1 819 1 943 + 7%
Israel 8 1 675 +++
Ghana 1 308 1 578 + 21%
Other 6 504 7 090 + 9%
SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight)
January to July
100
150
200
250
300
back to DashboardPrevious
Source : Eurostat
256
234
200 21
1
212
201
145
153
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan-Jul 15Jan-Jul 16
Sheep & goat imports
EU total importsQty in 1000 tonnes carcass weight
back to DashboardPrevious
PageNext
Source : Eurostat
Period:
Origin 2015 2016 2016 / 2015
144 824 153 127 + 6%
New Zealand 126 838 136 757 + 8%
Australia 11 681 9 400 - 20%
For.JRep.Mac 1 698 1 960 + 15%
Chile 1 739 1 881 + 8%
Uruguay 1 276 937 - 27%
Iceland 364 801 +++
Argentina 516 769 + 49%
Other 713 621 - 13%
SHEEP & GOAT (Tonnes carcass weight)
January to July
EU-28 imports