japan & jica’s experiences, risk governance and/for ... · why japan can dedicate on disaster...
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Japan & JICA’s experiences,
Risk Governance and/for
Resilience and Risk Reduction
=The 2nd Arab Conference on DRR=
TAKEYA Kimio
Senior Advisor, JICA [email protected]
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Japanese Experiences
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Why Japan can dedicate
on Disaster Risk Reduction
• Japan is one of the most natural hazardous
country in the world.
• More than 50% of population, living in the flood
plain
• More than 75% of whole asset located in the
flood plain
• How to prepare typhoon, flood, earthquake and
tsunami
• This is our countries key survival issue
• In the same time, one of the most technology
oriented developed country. 2
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Development Obstructed by Disasters
3
Disaster
Disaster
Disaster
Time
Development
Development
Obstructed
by Disasters
Normal Development Recovery Effort
How to fill the gaps?
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Up to 15th Century, Tone River
crossed the Kanto Plain from north
to south and flew into Tokyo Bay
From 1594 to 1654, Tone River was
connected to Pacific Ocean by
eastward channel
・After the flood in 1910, flood
control measures in upper and
middle reaches has changed from
“flood control allowing inundation”
to “sequential levees confinement”
・After this change, the maximum
discharge in the Tone River
Channel has increased, which
became the main challenge of
flood control in Tone River Basin
Tone River
Kinu River
Watarase River
Kokai River
Tone River
Kinu River Watarase River
Kokai River
History of flood control investment for Tone River (400years ago)
Source: Water and Disaster Management Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, Japan
Tokyo
Tokyo
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Ise Gulf Typhoon, 21 Sep. 1959 Japan
• Max pressure 895 hPa
• Max Wind Speed 75m/s,
• Casualties 5,238
• Almost same magnitude of Philippines
Typhoon Yolanda 2013
5
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Ise Gulf Typhoon, 21 Sep. 1959 Japan
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Development Obstructed by Disasters
7
Disaster
Disaster
Disaster
Time
Development
Development
Obstructed
by Disasters
Normal Development Recovery Effort
Prepare for the next exposure
“Build Back Better”
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Costal disaster-prevention
areas in Nagoya
* Where schools,
hospitals, meeting
grounds, public offices,
welfare facilities for
children, and other public
architectures located in
areas of Categories 2 – 4
are concerned, one or
more residential spaces
will be placed on the
architecture with the floor
height of the first floor of
N・P(+) 2 m or higher,
and with the height of N・P (+) 3.5 m or higher.
Atsuta Sta.
Category 2 area
Category 4 area
Category 3 area
To Nagoya Sta.
Nagoya Port
Kanayama Sta.
Article 39 of the Building Standards Act, “Disaster Hazard Areas”
Nagoya Area, after Typhoon 1959,
New Land Use Regulationsc
Source: Water and Disaster Management Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, Japan 8
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9 Source: Water and Disaster Management Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, Japan
New Building Code
applied to the Land Use Regulations
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Costal disaster-prevention
areas in Nagoya
* Where schools,
hospitals, meeting
grounds, public offices,
welfare facilities for
children, and other public
architectures located in
areas of Categories 2 – 4
are concerned, one or
more residential spaces
will be placed on the
architecture with the floor
height of the first floor of
N・P(+) 2 m or higher,
and with the height of N・P (+) 3.5 m or higher.
Atsuta Sta.
Category 2 area
Category 4 area
Category 3 area
To Nagoya Sta.
Nagoya Port
Kanayama Sta.
Article 39 of the Building Standards Act, “Disaster Hazard Areas”
Nagoya Area, after Typhoon 1959,
New Land Use Regulationsc
Source: Water and Disaster Management Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, Japan 10
Prevent to create new risk
which will be induced future
by the economic growth
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Source: Water Disaster Statistics, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure Transport and Tourism
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007
Area inundated (ha)
Number of fatalities and inundation area have dramatically been reduced in Japan
due to continuous investment in and efforts for flood mitigation.
Reduction of flood damages in Japan
by continuous investment 6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
Number of fatalities by flood
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Source: Water Disaster Statistics, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure Transport and Tourism
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007
Area inundated (ha)
Number of fatalities and inundation area have dramatically been reduced in Japan
due to continuous investment in and efforts for flood mitigation.
Reduction of flood damages in Japan
by continuous investment 6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
Number of fatalities by flood
Already there are the
culture & governance for DRR among
the citizens,
because we know without DRR effort
we can not survive
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JICA’s Overseas ODA,
Official Development Support
Experiences
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Japan as a world top donor for DRR
• GFDRR & ODI reports, 20 years of international
financing of disaster risk reduction (DRR)
• Donor financing is heavily concentrated with Japan
and the World Bank accounting for more than 50% of
the total.
14 1991-2010
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Total $13.5 billion 20 years of international financing of disaster risk reduction (DRR)
World Bank
$ 3.57 billion = 25.7%
Japan
$ 3.75 billion = 27.6%
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Pre-investment is much Cheaper than recovery cost,
but ・・・・・・
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JICA’s Support meet to the Priority Action
• The projects related to priority action 4 are increasing rapidly
compared to others.
• It entails the best mix of structural and non-structural measures.
0 0 0 0 0 2 292 2 4 6 12
25 32
280
4
96
1525 34
81
4743
68
116
159
206
259
5 1323
4254
30
50
100
150
200
250
300
~1980 1981~1985 1985~1990 1991~1995 1996~2000 2001~2005 2006~2008
Priority 1_Ensure priority of disaster risk reduction
Priority 2_Knowing disaster risk and act
Priority 3_Improve knowledge of disaster risk reduction
Priority 4_Reduce risks
Priority 5_Prepare in advance and be ready to act for emergency
Priority 4
Priority 2
Priority 5
Priority 3
Priority 1
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Example of
Practical Knowledge
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Example of Practical DRR Support
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Understand the risk,
Scientific evident based
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Algeria Seismic Micro Zoning Survey
damages of building
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Example of Practical DRR Support
21
Understand the risk,
Scientific evident based
Adapt for the Risk
Response Plan Urban Planning
Building Codec
Education Anti Earthquake Hospital
Transportation
Prepare, Mitigate the Risk
・・・ ・・・
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Tokyo is still preparing for the coming Mega
earthquake with urban planning
• Change fire hazard wooden houses to anti-burn city block
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Plan for Resilient Public Utilities Complex
24
Education Facilities (Gymnasium, etc.)
Pool (water for extinguishing fire)
Municipal Office
Police Station
Park (safety evacuation area)
Fire Station
Hospital
Maintaining a chain of command and public services and offering evacuation area are the most important things
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Example of Japan’s Knowledge : Lifeline
・Quake-resistant Ductile Cast Iron Pipe
Ishinomaki City, Miyagi Prefecture
<Electricity > <Gas >
・Household Gas-meter
Gas supply is automatically cut at an outbreak of earthquake registering 5
・Valve remote emergency shut-off system
・Backup System of Electric System
・Vehicle-mounted Mobil electricity generator
・Emergency power generator
<Water >
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Example: Ishinomaki Red Cross Hospital
Plan Design Training
・contract of food supply with food store in emergency time
・base-isolated structure
・preparation of manual on emergency medical treatment
・access road to highway in emergency time
・disaster medical training
・disaster medical training by use of helicopters 26
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Enhance research & preparation
level up the civil minimum after disaster
• C:\DATA\DATA\日本の知見\耐震実験\www.bosai.go.jp\hyogo\movie.html
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How about the magnitude of big earthquake?
E/Q happens with long return period
Lesson learned of E/Q transferred to next generation?
If no, you can learn from examples
• C:\DATA\DATA\日本の知見\耐震実験\www.bosai.go.jp\hyogo\movie.html
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実写
奈良県
Every Natural Disaster has forerunning phenomenon
then we can predict disaster & let people evacuate
Even debris flow
We can predict
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Three factors to be level up
• There are a big gap between deskwork and
groundwork, good design but worst product
• Why?
30
Design
Knowledge
Quality
Control Integrity
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JICA’s Lesson Learned from
Mega Disaster
from 2011 March 11, Tsunami &
Thailand Flood
Pass
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JICA’s Lesson Learned from Mega Disaster
from 2011 March 11, Tsunami & Thailand Flood 1
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JICA’s Lesson Learned from Mega Disaster
from 2011 March 11, Tsunami & Thailand Flood 1
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JICA’s Lesson Learned from Mega Disaster
from 2011 March 11, Tsunami & Thailand Flood 1
• Was there anything out of our mind?
The ability to recognize risk
and take action properly
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• Was there anything out of our mind?
The ability to recognize risk
and take action properly
JICA’s Lesson Learned from Mega Disaster
from 2011 March 11, Tsunami & Thailand Flood 1
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continuous improvement to deal
with changing risk
• Was there anything out of our mind?
JICA’s Lesson Learned from Mega Disaster
from 2011 March 11, Tsunami & Thailand Flood 2
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• Was there anything out of our mind?
37
“multi-sector” and/or
“multilayer of defense
JICA’s Lesson Learned from Mega Disaster
from 2011 March 11, Tsunami & Thailand Flood 3
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Mainstream DRR as a cross spectral issue
into the every planning fields
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JICA’s Lesson Learnt from MEGA Disaster =2011 March 11, Tsunami & Thailand Flood=
• Was there anything out of our mind?
42
“multi-sector” and/or
“multilayer of defense The ability to recognize risk
and take action properly
Mainstreaming Of DRM
for Sustainable Development
Capacity of society
To cope with disaster continuous improvement to deal
with changing risk
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Conclusion
43
Back?
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Do not think DRR as cost,
but asset for the Development
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Sri Lanka : High level discipline
24 hours observation by the residents, continuous
best effort, who called gage keeper
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Spirits shown on the board of refuge shelter
Philippines Leyte after Typhoon Yolanda
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Spirits shown on the board of shelter
Philippines Leyte after Typhoon Yolanda
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Reply to the people's request,
Philippine Government Reconstruction Plan
48
Most important thing is the
“Leadership” to Mainstream DRR into
the Top Priority
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Spirits shown on the board of shelter
Philippines Leyte after Typhoon Yolanda
49
We have heavy responsibilities to
respond these people’s efforts on
the ground!
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JICA’s Main Propose to HFA2
• Importance of pre-disaster prevention &
mitigation investment
• Importance of central government role to lead
the mainstreaming DRR into the government
top priority
• As a second best selection, use the disaster as
a trigger to “Build Back Better”
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Thank you for
your attention