japan’s roadmap for technology and human resources for lwr … · 2015-07-16 · implementing and...
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Japan’s Roadmap for Technology and Human Resources for LWR Safety
Nuclear Energy Policy Planning Division
Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI)
July 7, 2015
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1. Promotion of Strategic Development of Technologies and Human Resources
1. Maintaining and developing high-level nuclear technologies and human resources is imperative for smoothly decommissioning aged nuclear power plants, which are expected to increase in the future, as well as TEPCO’s Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plants.
2. Because enhancing the nuclear safety in surrounding countries ensures the safety of Japan, maintaining and developing high-level nuclear technologies and human resources which enable Japan contribute to their safety enhancement is essential.
3. GOJ promotes the development of technologies that contribute to safety improvement of LWRs including countermeasures against severe accidents and enhance their reliability and efficiency in order to reduce risks in case of an accident.
4. Under international cooperation, GOJ also facilitates R&D of nuclear technologies that serves the safety improvement of nuclear use, such as high-temperature gas-cooled reactors which are expected to be utilized in various industries including hydrogen production and which has an inherent safety.
<Description in the Strategic Energy Plan of Japan>
2
Decided by the Cabinet in April, 2014
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3
In response to a request from the Nuclear Power Subcommittee, the Working Group presented
issues from the public perspective, while the Atomic Energy Society of Japan (AESJ) called upon
their expertise to work out solutions and the draft of a roadmap. The roadmap for technology and
human resources for LWR safety was formulated by bouncing ideas off each other.
The objectives of this roadmap are to clarify roles among relevant personnel in academic societies,
government agencies, electric utilities, manufacturers, and research institutes, and to serve as a
common framework for implementing nationwide activities that will lead to improved safety of LWRs
without overlapping efforts.
This roadmap targets technologies that contribute to safety enhancements for LWRs, including the
smooth and safe decommissioning of NPSs. (Note that technologies related to the disposal of
radioactive waste that are the subject of the master plan for basic R&D on geological disposal (the
R&D map) and technologies related to the decommissioning of TEPCO’s Fukushima Daiichi NPS
are to be included in another roadmap that will be transparent to the public, and hence are not
covered in this roadmap.)
This roadmap will be reviewed at least once a year.
Present solutions and roadmap draft
Present issues from public perspective Working Group on Voluntary Improvement of
Safety, Technology and Human Resource
AESJ Researchers and engineers involved in LWR safety participate in planning as individuals
Requests formulation of
the roadmap compatible
with scenarios depicted in
the Strategic Energy Plan
Share details of the formulation process in a transparent manner
<Structure for formulating the roadmap>
Nuclear Energy Subcommittee
General public/local site community
Confirm Share
1-1. The Roadmap for Technology and Human Resources for LWR Safety
Published on June 16, 2015
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4
Method of Evaluating the Priority of Issues based on Their Importance
Eight evaluators selected from industry and academia rate each issue using an evaluation axis having two criteria: (A)
effectiveness in enhancing LWR safety and (B) importance to the maintenance and development of technology and human
resources for contributing to LWR safety enhancements.
The evaluators rate each issue according to three levels of importance: ◎ (very important), ○ (important), △ (less important).
The evaluation axis is examined as part of the rolling process implemented by the AESJ in order to review evaluation items
having overlap, to simplify expressions, and to review the rating method.
(A) Effectiveness in improvement of LWR safety
(Identify issues that are predicted to have effective outcomes)
(B) Importance to maintenance and development of technology and human resources
to improve LWR safety
(Identify issues that contribute to mid/long-term nuclear safety and needs of future
generations)
(2) Its resolution will be relatively effective in reducing risk
(1) Will contribute greatly to resolving issues revealed from the TEPCO’s
Fukushima Daiichi NPS accident (1) May serve as a basic infrastructure shared by many nuclear power entities
(3) May lead to the acquisition and cultivation of young human resources
through the discussions on unprecedented challenges (3) Is relatively cost-effective
(2) May lead to a worldwide breakthrough in the field of LWR safety
<evaluation axis> Each issue is given a rating of 0 to 6 points based on the two criteria (A) and (B) (with two points being allocated for each of (1)–(3)).
The priority of an issue is set based on the importance of issues determined from their ratings.
Draw up the roadmap overview with issues arranged along a time axis based on their resolution timelines.
Draw up the issue survey for issues that categorize each activity of technological and human resource development required for resolving issues
in the roadmap overview into suitable groups. The issue survey includes a summary of the issues, a list of activities, the basis for adopting the
issue, an analysis of the present condition, the anticipated effects, correlations with other issues, the process of implementation, and
implementing and funding entities.
Each issue is sorted into eight groups suggested by the Working Group in accordance with the anticipated effects of their resolution.
Any issue that has not been adequately defined or for which the
stakeholders are not clear is not included in the roadmap.
Formulate the roadmap with priorities assigned to issues
Note: (A) and (B) of the evaluation axis
rate the importance of each issue
from a short-term and a mid/long-
term perspective, respectively.
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④ Measures for
minimizing off-site
damage in the event
of an accident
③ Measures for
preventing on-site
damage from
expanding in the
event of an accident
In plant
高性能
蓄圧タンク
非常用冷却ユニット
RWSP RWSP
主蒸気安全弁
低圧注入
ポンプ
2次系減圧弁
補助給水系
大気
制御棒
蒸気発生器
②Reduction of accident
risk of existing light
water reactors, etc.
On site
Off site
To
firmly
establish
ind
epen
den
t efforts fo
r enhan
cing safety
based
on scien
tific basis an
d k
no
wled
ge an
d to
constru
ct a
framew
ork
capab
le of co
ntin
ually
main
tainin
g an
d d
evelo
pin
g
techno
logies an
d h
um
an reso
urces fo
r LW
R safety
while
inco
rpo
rating in
ternatio
nal fin
din
gs.
To
establish
an in
ternatio
nal co
llabo
rative sy
stem b
ased o
n
pub
lic confid
ence in
the fram
ew
ork
and
ind
epen
den
t activities
for safety
enhan
cemen
ts and
to m
ake stead
y in
vestm
ents n
eeded
fo
r ensu
ring safety
while red
ucin
g resid
ual risk
so th
at nuclear
po
wer is u
sed ap
pro
priately
as an im
po
rtant b
ase-lo
ad p
ow
er so
urce in
the en
ergy su
pp
ly-an
d-d
em
and
structu
re.
To
furth
er reduce th
e dem
erits and
enhan
ce the m
erits of n
uclear
po
wer so
that n
uclear p
ow
er play
s a stable ro
le in th
e sustain
able
energ
y su
pp
ly an
d m
easures ag
ainst g
lob
al warm
ing an
d to
pro
vid
e contrib
utio
ns to
the in
ternatio
nal co
mm
unity
in b
oth
techno
logy an
d h
um
an reso
urces.
~2030 ~2050 ~2020
⑤Safe decommissioning of existing reactors
Defen
se in d
epth
International society
General public/ local site community
Continuous revising
⑧ Maintenance and development of
human resources required for safe and
continuous use of light water reactors
Communication
with society
5
① Advancement of utilization of risk information for existing light water reactors, etc.
⑥Countermeasures for nuclear non-proliferation and nuclear security
⑦Development of innovative technologies applicable to light water reactors, which are beyond conventional ideas
Conceptual image of the coverage of the roadmap
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Arranging management measures to minimize risks and
organizations and schemes for them (S101M101L102_z01,M101L101_a02, M103L101_a04)
Continuously developing and maintaining human resources that actively act in the risk management fields within Japan and overseas
Internationally sharing latest knowledge on risk information and safety targets to contribute to worldwide nuclear safety (S110M106L103_d02)
Through attentive discussions, continuously reviewing
safety targets so that they can socially be agreed (S101M101L102_z01)
Having attentive discussions with society about risk reduction
targets of nuclear facilities (S103M102L101_b01)
Reducing risks by improving management and decision-making
based on latest risk information (M103L101_a04, S102M101_a01)
Arranging scheme and knowledge basis to effectively utilize risk
information(S101M101L102_z01,S110M106L103_d02, S103M102L101_b01)
Continuously taking actions to utilize effective risk reduction measures for designing and to design world-standard nuclear plants in which risks are minimized(S111M107L103_d42 ,S111M107L104_d10, L103_d16)
Internationally sharing risk information in which
uncertainty is limited and methods of utilization thereof (M104L103_c06, S103M102L101_b01)
Based on latest knowledge and technologies, continuously
grasping and refining all risks including those due to large-scale
natural disasters (M104L103_c06, S103M102L101_b01)
Utilizing risk information to heighten skills for local and broader area
disaster prevention (S104_b04, S104M101L102_b02-1&2&3)
Preparing methods and data to grasp risk information (S111_d13)
Har
dwar
e S
oftw
are
Hum
an
reso
urce
deve
lopm
ent
Gra
spin
g va
rious
ris
ks
Within Japan, developing human resources that are good at
handling risk information
Internationally sharing lessons learned from 1F accident (S110M106L103_d02)
Advancing analysis methods and utilizing latest technologies to refine information on risks of earthquakes and tsunami (S106_c04, S106_c05)
Grasping all risks of natural disasters and accidents other than
earthquakes and tsunami and reviewing importance of measures (S106_c03)
Tak
ing
mea
sure
s ba
sed
on r
isk
info
rmat
ion
Sha
ring
risk
info
rmat
ion
with
soc
iety
Utilizing risk information for management and decision-making (S111_d29, S102M101_a01, S102_a09)
Having attentive discussions with society about risks of nuclear
facilities (S103M102L101_b01)
Continuously accepting overseas trainees to training courses with regard to risk management
Arranging scheme and knowledge basis to accelerate risk reduction (S101M101L102_z01, S110M106L103_d02)
Developing human resources that can broadly observe various
fields related to risks including frequency of occurrence of natural
disasters
Continuously executing studies to obtain information on risks related to safety targets (S101M101L102_z01 , S103M102L101_b01)
Considering 1F accident to voluntarily reset safety targets (S101M101L102_z01 )
Continuously developing equipment that effectively reduces risks
including large-scale natural disasters that very rarely occur, and
utilizing the knowledge for designing (S111M107L103_d42)
Introduction and development of equipment utilizing information on
risks due to large-scale natural disasters (S110_c10)
Introduction and development of equipment utilizing knowledge
obtained from 1F accident (S111M107L103_d42)
Utilizing risk information to continuously heighten skills for local and broader area disaster prevention (S101M101L102_z01, S104M101L102_b02-1&2&3, M102L101L104_b08)
Roadmap for “①Advancement of utilization of information on risks of existing light water
reactors, etc.”
4.71,4.43 ◎ 4.71,4.43 ◎ 3.86, 3.71 ○
4.75,4.50 ◎ 4.63, 4.30 ◎
4.86,3.86 ○
4.43, 4.57 ◎
4.71,4.29 ◎ 3.86, 3.71 ○ 4.71,4.29 ◎ 3.86, 3.71 ○
3.88,3.25 ○
4.50,4.00 ◎ 4.50, 4.00 ◎ 4.63,5.13 ◎ 4.25, 4.25 ◎ 4.50,4.00 ◎
4.71,4.43 ◎ 3.50, 3.13○ 4.71,4.43 ◎ 3.50, 3.13 ○ 3.86, 3.71 ○
4.50,4.38 ◎ 4.43, 3.43 ○ 4.00, 2.88 ○ 4.25,3.13 ○ 4.43, 3.43 ○
3.86,3.71 ○ 3.86,3.71 ○ 4.71,4.43 ◎
4.71,4.43 ◎ 4.00, 2.63 ○ 4.25 3.13 ○
4.13,3.13 ○ 4.25, 2.75 ○ 4.5, 2.25 ○ 4.38, 2.38 ○
3.50,3.13 ○ 3.50,3.13 ○
4.71,4.43 ◎ 4.25, 2.75 ○ 4.5, 2.25 ○ 4.38, 2.38 ○ 3.25, 4.13 ○
Stage1 Stage2 Stage3
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Stage1 Stage2 Stage3 A
lway
s
inco
rpor
atin
g ne
w
know
ledg
e
into
saf
ety
mea
sure
s
Pre
vent
ing
oper
atio
nal t
roub
les
Human resource
development
Realizing safe operation
Obtaining and maintaining on-site workers
Impr
ovin
g w
ork
envi
ronm
ent
Improving reliabilities of nuclear plant systems
(S111M107L103_d42)
Advancing operational performance (M107_d25)
Realizing high operation rate and long-term stable
operation (S111M107_d24)
Advancing plant technologies and operational
management to prevent troubles
(S111_d29, S111_d30)
Developing state monitoring technologies for
reduction of exposure and reducing loads to
environment
(S111_d32, S111_d33-1)
Improving fuel reliability (Taking measures for fuel that
does not cause core meltdown)
(S111M107_d18-1&2,)
Advancing cores and improving their reliabilities
(S111M107_d24)
Further clarifying behaviors of reactor cores and
cooling water (S111M107_d17-1)
Optimizing operation management and reducing loads
to operators to ensure safe operation (M107_d34)
Through technical innovation, reducing risks of exposure
and loads of maintenance and operation to ensure safe
operation (L104_d35-1, L104_d35-2)
Tak
ing
mea
sure
s
agai
nst d
egra
datio
n ov
er
time
Further heighten performances of plant building
structures and materials (M107_d38)
Advancing safety against earthquakes (M106_d40-2,
M106_d40-1)
Improving reliabilities of nuclear plant facilities
(S111M107_d36)
Advancing methods to evaluate material degradation
(S111_d37)
Continuously improving reliabilities of nuclear plant
facilities (S111M107_d36)
Continuously improving reliabilities of nuclear plant
systems
(S111M107L103_d42)
Improving fuel reliability (Taking measures for fuel that
does not cause core meltdown) (S111M107_d18-1&2,
M199L199_d20)
Advancing cores and improving their reliabilities
(S111M107_d24 , M199L199_d19)
Drastically improving reliabilities of nuclear plant systems
(S111M107L103_d42)
Realizing safe operation by very long-life plants
(L104_d41)
Efficiently using fuel with improved reliability
(M199L199_d19, M199L199_d20)
Maintaining human resources that can manage plants
based on knowledge of phases from designing and
construction to decommissioning
Developing international human resources that have
knowledge and skills necessary for stable and safe plant
operation
4.50, 4.00 4.50, 4.00
4.50, 4.00
4.50, 4.38 3.63, 2.50 3.63, 3.88
4.00, 4.50 3.13, 4.13
2.50, 4.38 3.88, 4.38
4.13, 4.00
3.13, 4.13
4.13, 4.00 3.88, 4.38
3.13, 4.13 2.50, 4.38
3.50, 5.00
3.50, 4.50
3.50, 5.00
3.00, 5.00
3.50, 3.00 3.38, 3.00
3.50, 3.88
4.38, 4.5 4.38, 4.5 3.50, 2.75 3.25, 3.88 4.00, 4.50
Roadmap for “ ②Reduction of accident risk of existing light water reactors, etc.”
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Reviewing SA measures based on latest international knowledge (S110_c10, S111_d13,
S110M106L103_d02)
Through utilization of innovative
technologies and latest knowledge including
those for large-scale disasters, designing
world-standard light water reactors that
drastically reduce accident risks to
contribute to worldwide nuclear safety
(S111M107L104_d10,M199L199
_d19)
Man
agem
ent
Org
aniz
ati
ons,
etc
.
Human resource
development
Gra
spin
g im
pact
s
of d
isas
ters
incl
udin
g na
tura
l
disa
ster
s
Developing leaders and workers who are good at responding to accidents
Enhancing local disaster prevention skills against nuclear accidents through improvement of
disaster prevention plans (S104M101L102_b02-1, S104M101L102_b02-2,
S104_b04)
Grasping impacts of disasters occurring outside of plant including natural disasters and aircraft
crashes except earthquakes and tsunami and evaluating risks (S106_c03, S106_c07)
Establishing technologies for evaluation of impacts of earthquakes including fault displacements and
slope failures. Systematizing tsunami-proof engineering (S106_c04, S106_c05)
Pre
vent
ing
acci
dent
from
bro
aden
ing
Enh
anci
ng d
isas
ter
prev
entio
n sk
ills
of
soci
ety
Strengthening collaboration between plant and society, improving local nuclear
disaster prevention skills, and expanding the skills for broader-area disaster
prevention
(S104M101L102_b02-3, S104M101L102_b02-1,
S104M101L102_b02-2, M103L101_a04)
Arranging technologies and schemes for observation and prevention of natural disasters
(S105_a05, S107_c08)
Continuously improving methods to grasp and evaluate various behaviors
including those due to large-scale disasters to reduce uncertainty related to
evaluation (S101M101L102_z01, S103M102L101_b01)
Developing instruments and equipment used to better grasp the plant condition at time of
occurrence of an accident (S111_d11-2, S111_d32, S111_d14)
Developing, diversifying, and appropriately maintaining facilities and equipment to prepare for
accidents (S111_d33-1 , S111_d11-1, S111_d14, S104_c02, S111_d13,
S111_d30)
Improving training manuals and training methods to advance training courses for preparation for
accidents (S104_c02)
Kno
wle
dge
and
tech
nolo
gies
Improving analysis codes and evaluation tools used to analyze behaviors during accidents
including severe accidents (S112M107_d08)
Optimizing management including improvement of management such as improvement of methods
of communication with leaders and workers and introduction of new management methods
(S105_a05, S102_a12)
Enhancing functions of emergency support organizations including
introductions of new technologies and arrangement of schemes
(M101L101_a02)
Strengthening collaboration between plant and society (S104M101L102_b02-2,
S104M101L102_b02-1, S104_b03)
Arranging a scheme for introduction and utilization of dosimetry instruments that are available even
in case of a broader area disaster in order to exactly grasp condition around plant at time of an
accident (S104_b04)
Utilizing nuclear disaster prevention skills
including use of external emergency support
organizations that have been enhanced, in
order to enhance various, local and broader-
area disaster prevention skills (M101L101_a02,S104M101L102_b02-1,
S104M101L102_b02-2,
S104M101L102_b02-3, M103L101_a04)
Developing human resources that can show leadership and lead multiple
organizations to respond to accidents
Developing human resources that can
internationally act with regard to response to
accidents
Making efforts to increase human resources that can utilize scientific knowledge including that
about natural disasters for improvement of nuclear plant safety Developing and retaining human resources that continuously study knowledge about large-scale disasters and accidents that rarely
occur and can utilize the knowledge for safety improvement
Continuously optimizing observation schemes for observation based on latest
knowledge and technologies
Gra
spin
g im
pact
s fr
om
outs
ide
of p
ower
pla
nt
Impr
ovin
g sk
ills
to r
espo
nd to
acc
iden
ts w
ithin
pow
er p
lant
D
isas
ter
prev
entio
n sk
ills
(out
side
of p
lant
)
Developing technologies and schemes for
observation and prevention of natural disasters to
contribute to improvement worldwide natural disaster
prediction
Drastically reducing impacts of large-scale
disasters that very rarely occur and
uncertainty of risks (M104L103_c06)
Utilizing innovative technologies and
external emergency support organizations
to arrange management that can minimize
impacts to outside of power plant even in
case of severe accidents including large-
scale disasters
Through international standardization of
management, contributing to worldwide
nuclear safety (M101L101_a02,
M103L101_a04,
S110M106L103_d02)
Including accident management to designing to lead to development of innovative
technologies(S111_d12,M199L199_d20,M106_d06,S111M107L1
04_d10)
Designing light water reactors that drastically reduce accident risks(S111M107L104_d10)
Optimizing organizational structure and functionality to enhance risk management skills of
organizations (S104_c02, S102_a03)
Renewing latest knowledge about large-scale disasters including large-scale
earthquakes and large tsunami that very rarely occur, improving methods for
measurement of their impacts and evaluation of their risks, and continuing studies
to reduce uncertainty (M104L103_c06)
Based on international trends, improving severe accident
management including that for large-scale accidents that
very rarely occur to continuously reduce risks
(M103L101_a04,M106_d07,S110M106L103_d02)
4.43, 4.57 ◎ 3.75, 3.38 ○
4.75,4.50 ◎ 4.63, 4.30 ◎
4.50, 4.00 ◎ 3.00. 2.63 ○
4.71,4.29 ◎ 4.71,4.29 ◎
5.00,4.88 ◎
4.63,5.13 ◎
4.63, 4.00 ◎ 3.88, 4.38 ○ 3.13, 2.88△ 4.63, 5.13 ◎ 4.63,5.13 ◎ 2.50, 4.38 ○
4.71,4.43 ◎ 3.86, 3.71 ○
4.75,4.13 ◎ 4.38, 4.50 ◎4.25, 2.88 ○
4.38,4.50 ◎ 4.63, 3.75○ 4.25, 2.88 ○
5.00,3.38 〇 4.86, 3.86 ○ 3.63, 2.50 △
4.50,4.00 ◎ 3.13, 3.25 △
3.88, 3.25 ○ 4.86,3.86 ○ 3.50, 3.13 ○
5.00,3.38 ○
5.00,3.38 ○ 3.50,2.75 △
4.25,3.13 ○ 3.38, 2.63 △ 3.50, 3.13 ○
4.00,2.63 ○
4.00, 2.63 ○ 4.25,3.13 ○ 3.50, 3.13 ○
4.50,2.25 ○ 4.25, 2.75 ○ 4.13, 2.13 ○
4.13,3.13 ○
4.25,2.75 ○ 4.50, 2.25 ○ 4.13, 3.13 ○ 4.38,2.38 ○ 4.25, 2.75 ○ 4.50, 2.25 ○ 4.25, 3.13 ○ 4.00,2.63 ○ 4.25, 2.75 ○ 4.50, 2.25 ○
4.38,2.38 ○ 4.25, 3.13 ○
Continuously designing light water reactors that drastically reduce accident risks
(S111M107L104_d10) 4.63,5.13 ◎
Stage1 Stage2 Stage3
Roadmap for “③Measures for preventing on-site damage from expanding in the event of an accident” and “④Measures for minimizing off-site
damage in the event of an accident”
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Stage1 Stage2 Stage3 C
rea
tin
g a
sch
em
e fo
r
eff
icie
nt
de
co
mm
issio
nin
g
pro
ce
ss
Intr
od
ucin
g a
nd
de
ve
lop
ing
tech
no
log
ies fo
r sa
fe
dis
ma
ntle
me
nt
Co
ntr
olli
ng
wa
ste
s s
afe
ly
Human
resource
development
Considering methods for efficient decommissioning
(S113_d43)
Developing technologies for safe dismantlement
(S113_d44)
Using technologies and ideas used in foreign countries
and at 1F site (S113_d44)
Obtaining people’s understanding of the way of waste
disposal (S103_b06)
Considering schemes and methods to reduce and
reuse wastes (S103_b05)
Developing human resources that can predict the
ways of use of nuclear power that are consistent with
decommissioning plan and the relationship with the
energy policy
Standardizing decommissioning plan
(S113_d43)
Considering use of site (M107_d48)
Developing technologies to construct disposal sites
(S113_d45)
Considering better reactor designs from
decommissioning (M107_d47)
Standardizing dismantling technologies
(M107_d47)
Operating and managing disposal sites
(M107_d46)
Continuously maintaining human resources that can
manage the safe decommissioning process
Developing human resources that can contribute to safety
of light water reactors by entirely grasping plant life cycle
from designing through operation and maintenance to
decommissioning
Operating sites while getting consensus
(L103_d49)
2.75, 3.00
4.00, 3.00
3.00, 3.50
3.00, 3.50
3.63, 4.13
3.63, 4.13
3.50, 3.13 3.38, 2.63
2.88, 3.13
2.88, 3.13
2.25, 2.50
2.50, 2.38
Roadmap for “⑤Safe decommissioning of existing reactors”
9
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Stage1 Stage2 Stage3 Im
pro
vin
g p
lant
desig
ns
from
vie
wpoin
t of security
Impro
vin
g s
chem
es o
f pla
nt
opera
tion a
nd m
anagem
ent
from
vie
wpoin
t of security
Giving enlightenment and education to countries newly
introducing nuclear power plants, mainly in Asia, and
supporting establishment of education organizations (centers
of education: COE)
Contr
ibuting t
o inte
rnational
eff
ort
s for
non
-pro
lifera
tion a
nd
nucle
ar
security
(E
ducating a
nd
develo
pin
g h
um
an r
esourc
es)
Introducing concept of resistance against nuclear proliferation
and considering improvement of safeguard effectiveness by
designing and improvement of difficulty of radioactive material
diversion
(S109M104L103_d26)
Incorporating nuclear security measures into designs to expect a
synergistic effect of reduction of accident occurrence risks
(S109M104L103_c12,
S109M104L103_c11)
Developing technologies and schemes to detect nuclear
security threats
(S109M104L103_d28)
Grasping computer security state (S109M104L103_d27)
Deriving performance standards for designs with high resistance
against nuclear proliferation and demonstrating their
effectiveness
(S109M104L103_d26)
Continuously improving both nuclear security measures and
safety measures
(S109M104L103_c12,
S109M104L103_c11)
Through efforts for non-proliferation and nuclear security at
facilities within Japan, obtaining reliability from people and
international society
Arranging a scheme to effectively developing human resources
that are responsible for plant operation, etc. based on mutual
understanding of safety and security
Analyzing computer security threats to continuously advance the
protection measures
(S109M104L103_d27)
Supporting independence of education systems in countries newly
introducing nuclear power plants, mainly in Asia, and establishing a
network with education organizations (COE)
Establishing nuclear plant management systems
dedicated for no nuclear security risk and for peaceful
use
(S109M104L103_c12,S109M104L103_d28 ,
S109M104L103_d27, S109M104L103_c11,
S109M104L103_d26) Establishing technologies and schemes to reduce risks by nuclear
security threats as much as possible
(S109M104L103_d28)
Japan should actively contribute to international problems of non-
proliferation and nuclear security
Making efforts to educate and develop human resources by
qualifying systems with regard to nuclear security education, etc.
While the international framework is advanced for
measurements for non-proliferation and nuclear security,
human resources from Japan should highly contribute to
the operation of it
Establishing and developing an unremitting network
with education organizations (COE) in countries newly
introducing nuclear power plants and other countries
2.88, 3.50
3.88, 3.25
3.38, 3.00
3.88, 3.25
3.38, 3.00
2.88, 3.50
3.50, 3.38 3.50, 3.38
3.13, 3.38 3.13, 3.38
3.88, 3.25
3.50, 3.38
3.13, 3.38
3.38, 3.00
2.88, 3.50
Roadmap for “⑥Countermeasures for nuclear non-proliferation and nuclear security”
10
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Stage1 Stage2 Stage3
Through technical innovation, reducing
exposure risks and loads to maintenance and
operation to ensure safe operation
(L104_d35-1, L104_d35-2)
Through utilization of latest knowledge
including that for large-scale disasters,
designing international-standard light water
reactors that drastically reduce accident risks
in order to contribute to international nuclear
safety
(S111M107L104_d10, M199L199_d19,
M199L199_d20,)
Realiz
ing a
nd m
ain
tain
ing s
afe
opera
tion
by
innovation o
f desig
ns a
nd technolo
gie
s
Introducing innovative technologies into plants while continuously improving reliability of nuclear plant systems (S111M107L103_d42)
Human
resource
development
Developing young resources from medium- and long-term viewpoint to retain resources that are responsible for future nuclear safety
Establishing nuclear plant management systems dedicated for no nuclear security risk and for peaceful use
( S109M104L103_c12,S109M104L103_d28,S109M104L103_d27, S109M104L103_c11, S109M104L103_d26)
Developing state monitoring technologies for reduction of exposure and optimizing operation
management to reduce loads to maintenance and operation staff and to ensure safe operation
(S111_d32, S111_d33-1, M107_d34)
Improving fuel reliability (Taking measures for fuel that does not cause core meltdown)
(S111M107_d18-1, S111M107_d18-2, S111M107_d24, S111M107L104_d10, M199L199_d19)
Incorporating accident management into designing to lead to development of innovative technologies
(S111_d12, M106_d06, S111M107L104_d10, M199L199_d20,)
4.50, 4.00
4.63,5.13 2.50, 4.38 3.88, 4.38
4.63, 4.00 3.13, 2.88 4.63,5.13 3.88, 4.38
4.13, 4.00 4.13, 4.00 3.13, 4.13 4.63,5.13 2.50, 4.38
4.38, 4.5 4.38, 4.5 3.50, 2.75 3.25, 3.88 4.00, 4.50
3.88, 3.25 3.50, 3.38 3.13, 3.38 3.38, 3.00 2.88, 3.50
Roadmap for “⑦Development of innovative technologies applicable to light
water reactors, which are beyond conventional ideas”
11
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(Ref.) Results of priority rating for each issues (AESJ) ①
① ② ③ ① ② ③
S101M101L102_z01 Safety goal setting and risk recognition in light of the Fukushima Daiichi accident 4.71 4.43 ◎ 1.71 1.57 1.43 2.00 1.29 1.14
S102_a03 (During normal operation) Optimization of organizational structure/functional division 3.50 2.75 △ 1.13 1.13 1.25 1.75 0.50 0.50
S102_a09 Sophistication of organizational management toward risk information utilization 4.00 2.88 ○ 1.50 1.25 1.25 1.63 0.63 0.63
S102_a12Framework building and human resource development toward comprehensive decision making based on
risk information (including uncertainty)3.13 3.25 △ 1.38 0.88 0.88 1.50 0.63 1.13
S102M101_a01
・Launching an examination of a structure for utilizing risk information (including related human resource
development)
・Establishment of a structure for utilizing risk information (standardization of sophisticated risk
4.43 3.43 ○ 1.57 1.57 1.29 1.57 0.71 1.14
S103M102L101_b01 Conduct of communication utilizing risk information 3.86 3.71 ○ 1.57 1.00 1.29 1.86 0.71 1.14
S104_b03 Efforts for smooth cooperation between on-site SA countermeasures and off-site emergency preparedness 4.13 2.13 ○ 1.63 1.13 1.38 1.50 0.25 0.38
S104_b04 Provision of external event information useful for effective emergency preparedness measures 4.13 3.13 ○ 1.75 1.38 1.00 1.63 0.50 1.00
S104_c02Sophistication of emergency procedures and training for responding personnel (strengthening of response
capabilities to accident, etc.)5.00 3.38 ○ 1.88 1.63 1.50 1.63 0.75 1.00
S104M101L102_b02-1Strengthening of cooperation between nuclear emergency response organizations/structures (including
involvement with local emergency preparedness)4.25 2.75 ○ 1.75 1.25 1.25 1.63 0.50 0.63
S104M101L102_b02-2 Efforts for smooth information linkage between on-site and off-site emergency preparedness 4.50 2.25 ○ 1.88 1.38 1.25 1.63 0.25 0.38
S104M101L102_b02-3・Preparedness for nuclear emergency response that takes into account wide-area emergency
preparedness (promotion of on-site and off-site cooperation)4.38 2.38 ○ 1.88 1.38 1.13 1.50 0.38 0.50
S105_a05Sophistication of criteria for information sharing and decision making in emergency response
(sophistication of environmental impact assessment and event progress prediction) and training on4.50 4.00 ◎ 1.75 1.38 1.38 1.75 1.00 1.25
S106_c03Early identification of risks caused by external events other than earthquakes and tsunamis, and extraction
of external events to be examinated continuously4.43 4.57 ◎ 1.71 1.57 1.14 1.71 1.57 1.29
S106_c04Establishment of techniques for assessing safety/securing safety for nuclear plant against tsunamis
(systematization of tsunami-protection engineering)4.75 4.50 ◎ 1.75 1.63 1.38 1.75 1.50 1.25
S106_c05Establishment of a technique for earthquake impact assessment used for risk assessment (including
assessment of risks such as fault displacement and slope failure)4.63 4.25 ◎ 1.50 1.63 1.50 1.88 1.13 1.25
S106_c07Operation control that takes into account external events (occurrence prediction technique, impact
assessment technique, etc.)3.75 3.38 ○ 1.13 1.38 1.25 1.50 1.00 0.88
S107_c08 Establishment of a structure for surveying/monitoring low-frequency external events 3.00 2.63 △ 1.00 1.13 0.88 1.13 1.00 0.50
S110_c10 Achieving a framework for continuous efforts for new findings on external events (natural phenomena, etc.) 3.88 3.25 ○ 1.25 1.38 1.25 1.63 0.88 0.75
S110M106L103_d02
・Participation in formulation of IAEA standards, etc. concerning external events in light of the Fukushima
Daiichi accident
・Contribution to formulation of IAEA standards, etc. concerning external events
3.50 3.13 ○ 1.38 1.25 0.88 1.50 0.88 0.75
S111_d11-1 Diversification and sophistication of the final heat sink 4.63 3.75 ○ 1.88 1.63 1.13 1.63 1.00 1.13
S111_d11-2Diversification and sophistication of SA instrumentations and SA equipment, and equipment design
technology4.75 4.13 ◎ 2.00 1.38 1.38 1.63 1.38 1.13
S111_d12Fundamental improvement of accident controllability through efforts for design that comprehensively
considers layers 1 to 3 (design) to layer 4 (AM countermeasure) and layer 5 (emergency preparedness) of4.63 4.00 ◎ 1.88 1.63 1.13 1.63 1.13 1.25
S111_d13 Improvement of the risk assessment method and its application to SA countermeasures 4.86 3.86 ○ 1.86 1.43 1.57 1.57 1.00 1.29
S111_d14 Optimization/sophistication of operation management of SA components 4.25 2.88 ○ 1.75 1.38 1.13 1.50 0.75 0.63
S111_d29 Sophistication of maintenance/operation control through risk information utilization 4.50 4.38 ◎ 1.25 1.63 1.63 2.00 1.00 1.38
(B)
ID Corresponding title in the task survey sheet
(A) Effectiveness of
safety improvement
for light water
reactors
(B) Technological /
human resource
maintenance /
development that
contributes to safety
improvement for light
water reactors
Overall
assessment of
importance
(A)
12
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13
(Ref.) Results of priority rating for each issues (AESJ) ②
① ② ③ ① ② ③
S111_d30 Establishment of maintenance control of SA components 3.63 2.50 △ 1.75 0.88 1.00 1.25 0.63 0.63
S111_d32Sophistication of state surveillance/monitoring techniques (precursor monitoring/diagnosis, remote
monitoring/diagnosis, etc.)4.38 4.50 ◎ 1.13 1.88 1.38 1.75 1.25 1.50
S111_d33-1Sophistication of exposure reduction technologies (water quality management technology, remote
operation/robot technology, radiation protection technology)4.38 4.50 ◎ 1.50 1.50 1.38 1.50 1.50 1.50
S111_d37 Increase in reliability of structural material 3.50 4.50 ○ 0.75 1.50 1.25 1.75 1.25 1.50
S111M107_d17-1 Sophistication of technique for assessing core/thermal-hydraulic design 4.00 4.50 ◎ 1.13 1.63 1.25 2.00 1.00 1.50
S111M107_d18-1 Reliability improvement and sophistication of fuels 4.13 4.00 ◎ 1.25 1.63 1.25 1.63 1.00 1.38
S111M107_d18-2Reliability improvement of fuels (establishment of fuel standards, etc. and clarification of safety margin
assessment method)4.13 4.00 ◎ 1.13 1.63 1.38 1.88 0.88 1.25
S111M107_d24 Sophistication of plant operation technology and core design control 3.13 4.13 ○ 0.38 1.38 1.38 1.75 0.75 1.63
S111M107_d36 Sophistication of ageing assessment method/countermeasure technique 3.50 5.00 ◎ 0.63 1.50 1.38 2.00 1.38 1.63
S111M107L103_d42 Reliability improvement and sophistication of systems, structures and components (SSC) 4.50 4.00 ◎ 1.75 1.63 1.13 1.50 1.13 1.38
S111M107L104_d10 Establishment of global-standard light water reactor design with strengthened resilience 4.63 5.13 ◎ 1.88 1.63 1.13 1.75 1.63 1.75
S112M107_d08 Sophistication of the safety analysis method 5.00 4.88 ◎ 1.88 1.63 1.50 2.00 1.13 1.75
M101L101_a02Strengthening of the response capabilities of the emergency organization for minimizing the risk of the
whole plant (strengthening of external support, etc.)4.00 2.63 ○ 1.63 1.13 1.25 1.38 0.63 0.63
M102L101L104_b08Establishment of an innovative technology and a light water reactor system that will achieve waste and
TRU reduction3.25 4.13 ○ 0.63 1.63 1.00 1.13 1.25 1.75
M103L101_a04 Establishment of risk governance for responding to large-scale natural disasters 4.25 3.13 ○ 1.75 1.25 1.25 1.63 0.75 0.75
M104L103_c06・Continuous contribution to reduction of uncertainties concerning findings on low-frequency external events
・Continuation of research on reduction of uncertainties concerning findings on low-frequency external4.71 4.29 ◎ 1.57 1.71 1.43 1.86 1.14 1.29
M106_d06 Deepening and implementation of defense in depth according to the safety improvement 3.13 2.88 △ 1.13 1.13 0.88 1.63 0.50 0.75
M106_d07Development of specific criteria for judging whether or not to restart operation after external events such as
earthquakes, and their sophistication3.38 2.63 △ 1.00 1.00 1.38 1.75 0.75 0.13
M106_d40-1 Maintenance control tied with assessment of seismic safety (buildings) 3.38 3.00 △ 1.13 1.25 1.00 1.63 0.50 0.88
M106_d40-2 Maintenance control tied with assessment of seismic safety (components) 3.50 3.00 ○ 1.00 1.38 1.13 1.63 0.63 0.75
M107_d25 Sophistication of running performance (event progress suppression, shutdown function, L/F, etc.) 3.63 3.88 ○ 0.88 1.50 1.25 1.88 0.88 1.13
M107_d34Reduction of burdens on maintenance staff/operators through streamlining and labor saving of
maintenance/operation control3.50 2.75 △ 0.50 1.38 1.63 1.63 0.38 0.75
M107_d38 Sophistication of building structures and materials 3.50 3.88 ○ 1.13 1.38 1.00 1.50 1.25 1.13
M199L199_d19Pursuit of life extension of fuels by developing an innovative technology (material development, etc.) and
reviewing the fuel concentration2.50 4.38 ○ 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.50 1.63 1.25
M199L199_d20 Development of a fuel/control rod resistance to accidents 3.88 4.38 ○ 1.75 1.25 0.88 1.38 1.75 1.25
L103_d16Development of a design technology/maintenance control method for minimizing the whole plant risk posed
by external events4.25 4.25 ◎ 1.38 1.63 1.25 1.75 1.13 1.38
L104_d35-1Application of an innovative technology (automation of maintenance/operation, etc.) that increases the
effect of maintenance and supports operation3.25 3.88 ○ 0.88 1.38 1.00 1.63 1.00 1.25
L104_d35-2Application of an innovative technology (remote operation, robot technology) that minimizes the exposure
risk4.00 4.50 ◎ 1.50 1.50 1.00 1.50 1.38 1.63
L104_d41Development of an innovative technology (material development, etc.) for ultra-long life plant operation
(operation for over 60 years)3.00 5.00 ○ 0.63 1.13 1.25 1.63 1.63 1.75
(A) (B)
ID Corresponding title in the task survey sheet
(A) Effectiveness of
safety improvement
for light water
reactors
(B) Technological /
human resource
maintenance /
development that
contributes to safety
improvement for light
water reactors
Overall
assessment of
importance
13
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(Ref.) Results of priority rating for each issues (AESJ) ③
① ② ③ ① ② ③
S103_b05 Achievement of clearance cycle 2.75 3.00 △ 0.50 0.75 1.50 1.63 0.63 0.75
S103_b06 Securing of disposal sites 4.00 3.00 ○ 1.13 1.50 1.38 1.88 0.75 0.38
S113_d43Establishment of a method for establishing a decommissioning plan based on the past record of
decommissioning, and its review based on the past record of decommissioning3.00 3.50 △ 0.63 1.00 1.38 1.75 0.63 1.13
S113_d44 Disassembly of components with high radioactive level 3.63 4.13 ○ 0.75 1.63 1.25 1.63 1.00 1.50
S113_d45 Improvement of social acceptance by establishing technique for designing/assessing disposal sites 3.50 3.13 △ 0.88 1.38 1.25 1.38 0.63 1.13
M107_d46 A rational method for managing L3 disposal facilities for decommissioning 3.38 2.63 △ 0.63 1.25 1.50 1.50 0.63 0.50
M107_d47 Reflecting the past record of decommissioning in the plant 2.88 3.13 △ 0.38 1.13 1.38 1.38 0.75 1.00
M107_d48 Reuse of buildings/sites after plant component removal 2.25 2.50 △ 0.38 0.75 1.13 1.63 0.50 0.38
L103_d49 Support for site release after plant component removal 2.50 2.38 △ 0.38 1.00 1.13 1.25 0.63 0.50
S109M104L103_c11
・Mitigation and minimization of the impact of sabotage (formulation of a crisis management/emergency
response plan, etc.)
・Mitigation and minimization of the impact of sabotage (establishment/assessment of a structure )
・Mitigation and minimization of the impact of sabotage (internationalization)
3.38 3.00 △ 1.13 1.38 0.88 1.75 0.63 0.63
S109M104L103_c12
・Assessment of the impact of the strengthening of nuclear security measures on the safety measures
・Examination of the safety risk posed by man-made hazards
・Integration of safety and nuclear security in “defense in depth”3.88 3.25 △ 1.13 1.63 1.13 1.75 0.75 0.75
S109M104L103_d26
・Examination of applicability of the nuclear proliferation resistance concept
・Derivation and demonstration of the effectiveness of a design basis with high resistance to nuclear
proliferation
・Application of a design basis with high resistance to nuclear proliferation
2.88 3.50 △ 0.50 1.38 1.00 1.50 0.88 1.13
S109M104L103_d27
・Computer security - analysis of threat and defense from it
・Computer security - sophistication of defense
・Computer security - further sophistication of defense3.13 3.38 △ 0.38 1.38 1.38 1.63 0.88 0.88
S109M104L103_d28
・Development of a method for detecting nuclear security threats
・Development of a monitoring/detection system using big data
・Management with nuclear security threat risk reduced to the extent possible3.50 3.38 △ 0.63 1.50 1.38 1.38 1.13 0.88
ID Corresponding title in the task survey sheet
(A) Effectiveness of
safety improvement
for light water
reactors
(B) Technological /
human resource
maintenance /
development that
contributes to safety
improvement for light
water reactors
Overall
assessment of
importance
(A) (B)
14
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Appendix
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Nuclear power is an important base-load power source as a low carbon and quasi-domestic energy source, contributing to stability of energy supply-demand structure, on the major premise of ensuring of its safety, because of the perspectives;
i. superiority in stability of energy supply and efficiency,
ii. low and stable operational cost and
iii. free from GHG emissions during operation.
16
<Description in the Strategic Energy Plan of Japan>
1. Nuclear Energy Policy in the New Strategic Energy Plan of Japan
Decided by the Cabinet in April, 2014
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Dependency on nuclear power generation will be lowered to the extent possible by energy saving and introducing renewable energy as well as improving the efficiency of thermal power generation, etc. Under this policy, GOJ will carefully examine a volume of electricity to be secured by nuclear power generation, taking Japan’s energy constraints into consideration, from the viewpoint of stable energy supply, cost reduction, global warming and maintaining nuclear technologies and human resources.
<Description in the Strategic Energy Plan of Japan>
○GOJ has started discussion on the energy mix in the Advisory Committee for Natural Resources and Energy and established a new experts’ Working Group to examine cost of each power source. The draft proposal on the energy mix has just been shown by the Advisory Committee in the end of April 2015 and this proposal will be further discussed toward the final conclusion.
17
1-1. Dependency on nuclear power generation
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3.1 2.1 1.0
12.1 5.8 8.5 7.6
3.0 3.8~ 11.4
17.9 23.9
1.1 2.2 0.6 3.3
1.7 0.6
3.4
5.1 2.3 12.8
4.2
2.6~ 7.7
3.0
3.4
1.7 2.3
1.5 5.5 10.8
21.0
21.7
15.6~ 17.5
24.7~ 30.1
3.0 1.3
2.5
1.6
2.5
0.3 1.3
0.04 0.02 6.0
6.0 0.2
2.8
1.6
0.01
3.3
2.1
0.03
0.03
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
Nuclear Coal LNG Wind Geothermal Hydropower Small- &
medium-
hydraulic
Biomass Oil Solar
(10kW more)
Solar
(less than
10kW)
Gas
cogeneration
Oil
cogeneration
Policy related
cost
Accident risk cost
CO2
Fuel
Operation & manage-
ment
Additional safety
measures cost
Capital
Legend
Yen/kWh
Nuclear Coal LNG Wind Geother-
mal Hydropo-
wer
Small- & medium- hydraulic
Biomass Oil Solar
(10kW more)
Solar (less than
10kW)
Gas cogener-
ation
Oil cogener
ation
Capacity Factor Operation Year
70% 40 years
70% 40 years
70% 40 years
20% 20 years
83% 40 years
45% 40 years
60% 40 years
87% 40 years
30・10% 40 years
14% 20 years
12% 20 years
70% 30 years
40% 30 years
Generation Cost Yen/kWh
10.1~ (8.8~)
12.3 (12.2)
13.7 (13.7)
21.6 (15.6)
16.9 (10.9)
11.0 (10.8)
23.3 (20.4)
29.7 (28.1)
30.6 ~43.4 (30.6
~43.3)
24.2 (21.0)
29.4 (27.3)
13.8 ~15.0 (13.8
~15.0)
24.0 ~27.9 (24.0
~27.8)
Deduction of
heat value
(7.7~9.3)
Deduction of heat value (6.3~7.0)
※3 () : Costs without policy related cost
※2 Capacity factor in 2011 calculation Coal:80%、LNG:80%、Oil:50%、10%
※1 The result of the sensitivity analysis of the change in fossil fuel price.
(Ref.) Evaluation of Nuclear Power Generation -Economic Efficiency
【Source】 Extraction (preliminary translation) from documents released in the 7th Working Group on Verification of Power Generation, Long-term Energy Supply and Demand Outlook Subcommittee, Advisory Committee for Natural Resources and Energy, METI 18
The impact of the 10% change of the fossil fuel price(Yen/kWh)
Coal
±0.4
LNG
±0.9
Oil
±1.5
Sensitivity analysis of the fossil fuel price change
Additional safety measures cost doubles Decommissioning cost doubles Decommissioning and compensation cost increases by 1TYen Reprocessing and MOX Fuel fabrication cost doubles
Sensitivity analysis
+0.6
+0.1
+0.04
+0.6
<Projected costs of generating electricity (2014 model plant)>
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The nuclear power generation cost is estimated with consideration not only for cost directly related to power generation, but also for future cost such as decommissioning cost, nuclear fuel cycle cost including cost for permanent disposal of radioactive waste, accident risk cost including damage compensation cost and decontamination cost, social cost, namely policy related cost including subsidies for power plant siting and R&D expense for “Monju” and etc.
Accident risk cost (0.3Yen/kWh~) ・The accident response cost of the Fukushima Daiichi accident is estimated 12.2TYen which can be corrected to 9.1TYen in consideration of power output of model plant and etc.
・The lower limit of the estimated value is presented because the damage compensation cost can increase in the future. The accident risk cost will increase 0.04Yen/kWh as decommissioning and compensation cost increases 1TYen.
Policy related cost (1.3Yen/kWh) ・The cost contains 345BYen (2014FY) subsidy for power plant siting (130BYen/year) and R&D cost for “Monju” (130BYen/year) and etc.
Additional safety measures cost (0.6Yen/kWh) ・Add 60.1BYen which is the estimated cost for additional safety measures for new regulation
Nuclear fuel cycle cost (1.5Yen/kWh) ・The half of spent fuel is stored for 20 years and reprocessed after that, and the other half is stored for 45 years and reprocessed after that.
・The cost contains front-end cost (0.9Yen), back-end cost (total: 0.6Yen, reprocessing : 0.5Yen, high-level radioactive waste:0.04Yen).
Capital cost 3.1Yen
Operating and maintenance cost
3.3Yen
Nuclear fuel cycle cost 1.5Yen
Policy related cost 1.3Yen
Accident risk cost 0.3Yen~
Additional safety measures cost 0.6Yen
Nuclear power
generation cost
10.1Yen/kWh~
Capital (3.1Yen/kWh) ・Building cost (0.37MYen/kW(440BYen/plant)), fixed asset tax (1.4%)、decommissioning cost (71.6BYen)
Socia
l cost
Pow
er g
enera
tion c
ost
※Capacity: 1.2GW Operating rate: 70% Discount rate: 3% Operating period of plant: 40 years
Operating and maintenance cost (3.3Yen/kWh) ・Employment cost (2.05BYen/year), repair cost (2.2%), overhead cost (8.44BYen/year)
19
(Ref.) Evaluation of Nuclear Power Generation -Economic Efficiency
【Source】 Extraction (preliminary translation) from documents released in the 8th Long-term Energy Supply and Demand Outlook Subcommittee, Advisory Committee for Natural Resources and Energy, METI
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2030
Solar 74.9 7.0%
Wind 18.2 1.7%
Geothermal 10.2~11.3 1.0~1.1%
Hydropower 93.9~98.1 8.8~9.2%
Biomass 39.4~49.0 3.7~4.6%
Composition of electrical sources
and electricity generation(billion kWh)
2030
Oil 31.5 3%
Coal 281.0 26%
LNG 284.5 27%
Nuclear power 231.7~216.8 22~20%
Renewable energy 236.6~251.5 22~24%
Total 1065.0 100%
2030
Renewable energy
22~24% (approx.)
LNG
27% (approx.)
Coal
26% (approx.)
Oil 3% (approx.)
LNG 27%
Oil 12%
Coal 24%
Average in the
last 10 years
before 3.11
Nuclear
power
27%
Renewable energy 11%
Nuclear power
22~20% (approx.)
※All the numbers are approximate
(Ref.) Energy Best Mix – Outlook of Composition of Electric Power Sources
【Source】 Extraction (preliminary translation) from documents released in the 8th Long-term Energy Supply and Demand Outlook Subcommittee, Advisory Committee for Natural Resources and Energy, METI 20
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Period up to the completion of decommissioning measures (30 to 40 years in the future)
Phase 3 Efforts to stabilize the NPP
Phase 1 Phase 2
Period up to the start of the fuel removal from the spent fuel pool (within 2 years)
Period up to the start of the fuel debris removal (within 10 years)
The current Roadmap was revised in June, 2013. The Government of Japan is now in the process of the revision, taking account of
the “Strategic Plan” which NDF has just released on April 30.
Fuel Removal from Spent Fuel Pools of Unit 1-4
Fuel Debris Removal from Unit 1- 3
③ ②
Dose Reduction, Leakage Identification & Stop Leakage, Technology Development for Debris Removal
Fuel Debris Removal
Present
Unit 1
Unit 4 (Removal was completed)
Steps for Spent Fuel Removal ; ①Rubble Removal & Dose Reduction ②Installing Fuel Handling Machine ③Fuel Removal
①
Unit 2
Unit 3
Preparing for rubble removal
Dose reduction is underway
Rubble removal & dose reduction is underway
Cold shutdown achieved • Achieve cold shutdown • Significantly reduce
radiation releases
Dec. 2011 Nov. 2013 Dec. 2021 30 to 40 years in the future
21
1-2. Mid-and-Long Term Roadmap towards the Decommissioning of Fukushima Daiichi NPPs
Installation of Fuel Debris Removal Equipment
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22
2-③ Investigation and
Analysis inside Reactor
2-② Water Confinement
of PCV
2-④ Retrieval of
Fuel Debris
3. Radioactive Waste
Management
NARAHA Remote Technology
Development Center
(Mock-Up Test Facility)
OKUMA Analysis and Research Center
(Radioactive Material Analysis and Research Facility)
1. Spent Fuel
Management
2-① Decontamination
inside R/B
1-2. R&D Activities for Decommissioning
Governmental total budget from FY2011 to FY2016 for decommissioning and contaminated water management is 189.2 BY.
‒ Remote grouting
etc.
‒ Robot machine
etc.
‒ Robot investigation
‒ “Muon” detection
‒ SA code analysis
etc.
‒ Remote retrieval system
‒ Criticality control
‒ Transfer & Storage
etc.
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1-3. Existing Light Water Reactors
○On the premise that safety comes before everything else and that every possible effort is made to resolve the people’s concerns, judgment as to whether nuclear power plants meet the new regulatory requirements will be left to the Nuclear Regulation Authority (NRA).
○In case that the NRA confirms the conformity of nuclear power plants with the new regulatory requirements ,which are of the most stringent level in the world, GOJ will follow NRA’s judgment and will proceed with the restart of the nuclear power plants.
<Description in the Strategic Energy Plan of Japan>
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PWR
BWR
Tomari
Ohma
Onagawa
Fukushima Daini
Hamaoka
Tokai
Fukushima Daiichi
Kashiwazaki Kariwa
Sendai Ikata
Genkai
Shimane
Shika
Tsuruga
Takahama
Ohi
Mihama
Higashidori(Tokyo)
Higashidori(Tohoku)
ABWR
29 24 21 20 25 18 17
21 9
28
38
36 35 23 22
40 39 30 29
26
34 21 17
25 23 5
37 33 20
21 10
32 31 27 30
36
31 19 13
9
27
30 29
Reactor-type
Under NRA Review for
basic design and concept
(Total 25 Units)
Age
Capacity
(Applied Date for NRA Review)
Not Start Operation
→ Permitted in Feb. 2015
→ Permitted in Sep. 2014
(Ref.) Nuclear Power Plants in Japan (As of July 1, 2015)
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**Based on “the Basic Act on Disaster Control Measures” and “the Act on
Special Measures concerning Nuclear Emergency Preparedness”
Preparation and enhancement of the disaster prevention and evacuation plan
*Not required by the nuclear reactor law
Safety Reviews and Inspections process of NRA
Local acceptance process * No legal requirements Local acceptance process
Disaster prevention and evacuation plan
*Not a legal
prerequisites for restart
Date Reactor Applicant
Sep. 10 2014
Sendai NPS, Unit 1 and 2
Kyusyu Electric Power
Feb. 12 2015
Takahama NPS, Unit 3 and 4
Kansai Electric Power
Permitted reactors
Review of basic design and
concept (for permission of reactor
installment license change)
Review of detailed
design (for approval of
construction works plan)
Assessment of Operation
management systems, etc.
(for approval of operational safety programs
(Ref.) Outline of processes for restart of NPPs
25
Date Reactor Applicant Date
Mar. 18 2015
Sendai NPS, Unit 1 Kyusyu
Electric Power
May 27 2015 May 22
2015 Sendai NPS,
Unit 2
Approved reactors
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【Promotion of the nuclear fuel cycle policy】
1. GOJ will make efforts to reduce the volume and harmfulness of radioactive waste and create a nuclear fuel cycle that contributes to effective utilization of resources while adequately taking the past history into consideration and continuing to seek the understanding of relevant municipalities and the international community and will promote reprocessing and plutonium use in LWRs.
2. Specifically, GOJ will promote plutonium use in LWRs, and proceed with such measures as completion of the Rokkasho reprocessing plant, construction of a MOX fuel processing plant, and completion of the Mutsu interim storage facility on the underlying premise of ensuring safety. GOJ remains committed to the policy of not possessing reserves of plutonium without specified purposes. Also GOJ will promote R&D of fast reactors, etc., through international cooperation with the U.S. and France etc.
3. GOJ will position Monju as an international research center for technological development, such as reducing the amount and toxic level of radioactive waste and technologies related to nuclear nonproliferation. GOJ will take necessary measures for issues to be overcome , such as the re-establishment of systems to implement the above mentioned actions on its own responsibility.
<Description in the Strategic Energy Plan of Japan>
26
1-4. GOJ’s Stance on Spent Fuel Management (Nuclear Fuel Cycle Policy)
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(Ref) Current situation of Rokkasho Reprocessing Plant
Water Tests
Chemical Tests
Active Tests
Uranium Tests
Apr.2001 Sep.2004
Nov.2002 Dec.2005
Dec.2004 Jan.2006
Mar.2006
Ste
p1
Ste
p2
Ste
p3
Ste
p4
Ste
p5
Mar.2016
(Planned)
Completion
(Planned)
In January 2014, JNFL applied for a conformity assessment with the new safety
standards which were enforced in December 2013.
JNFL now plans to complete the RRP in March 2016.
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(Ref) Current Situation of MOX Fuel Fabrication Plant
Maximum fabrication capacity 130 ton-HM / year
Products MOX fuel assembly for domestic Light
Water Reactors(BWR and PWR)
Size of main building 85 m x 85 m
3 basements, 2 elevated
Location place Neighborhood of
Rokkasho Reprocessing Plant
Construction cost 210 billion yen
Although JNFL started construction work of MOX Fuel Fabrication Plant in October 2010,
construction work was interrupted temporarily by the influence of the earthquake etc.
In January 2014, JNFL applied for a conformity assessment with the new regulations
which were enforced in December 2013.
JNFL now plans to complete the MOX Fuel Fabrication Plant in October 2017.
Progress of construction: 8.6%
(September 2014)
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General arrangement “GENERAL ARRANGEMENT ON THE ASTRID PROGRAM AND SODIUM FAST REACTOR COLLABORATIONBETWEEN THE FRENCH COMMISSARIAT A L’ENERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ENERGIES ALTERNATIVES, THE JAPANESE MINISTRY OF ECONOMY, TRADE AND INDUSTRY AND THE JAPANESE MINISTRY OF EDUCATION, CULTURE, SPORTS, SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY” was signed on May 5th, 2014 (Termination: Dec. 31st, 2019).
Implementing Arrangement “IMPLEMENTING ARRANGEMENT ON THE ASTRID PROGRAM AND SODIUM FAST REACTOR COLLABORATION BETWEEN THE FRENCH COMMISSARIAT À L’ÉNERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ÉNERGIES ALTERNATIVES, AREVA NP, JAPAN ATOMIC ENERGY AGENCY, MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES, LTD., AND MITSUBISHI FBR SYSTEMS, INC. ” was signed on August 8th, 2014 (Termination: Dec. 31st, 2019).
Japan and France are cooperating SFR development, including ASTRID program in the area of plant system design and R&Ds (Component and analysis code development, Measures for severe accident, Fuel).
General Arrangement Signing Ceremony at Palais de l'Élysée
(May 5th, 2014)
(Ref.) Japan-France Cooperation on ASTRID Project
- Outline of Cooperation -
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Radioactive wastes shall be disposed by the methods described below based on the radioactive
level and type.
Nuclear power plant Reactor internals , control rods and etc.,
The radioactive level is not higher
than clearance level.
(In this case, wastes don’t need to
be clarified as the radioactive waste.
Origin of waste
Rad
ioactiv
e level
Low
High
Dismantled concrete and metals
Reprocessing facility※2 Vitrified Waste
High level radioactive waste
※2: Geological disposal only from reprocessing facility
Geological
disposal
Waste fluid, filter, expendable suppliers
such as gloves
50m
0m
300m
Reference: Prepared by ANRE based on the release from Nuclear Regulation Authority
and 2007 Report of Advisory Committee on Energy and Natural Resources
0.01% (※1)
0.2% (※1)
2.2% (※1)
97.6% (※1)
※1:Waste amount and rate based on the example of BWR(1100MW) Plant
Near surfaces trench disposal (L3)
Near surfaces pit disposal (L2)
Intermediate depth disposal (L1)
Generated weight of waste:537k ton(※1)
(Ref) Situation of Radioactive Waste Disposal etc.,
30
Spent Fuel