jefferies 2015 energy conference · 11/12/2015 · 2015 energy conference carrizo oil & gas,...
TRANSCRIPT
JEFFERIES 2015 ENERGY CONFERENCE Carrizo Oil & Gas, Inc. November 12, 2015
CRZO 2 CRZO 2
Forward Looking Statements / Note Regarding Reserves
This presentation contain statements concerning the Company’s intentions, expectations, projections, assessments of risk, estimations, plans or predictions for the future, beliefs, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance and underlying assumptions and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements relating to the Company’s business and financial outlook, cost and risk profile of oil and gas exploration and development activities, quality and risk profile of Company’s assets, liquidity and the ability to finance exploration and development activities, including accessibility of borrowings under the Company’s revolving credit facility, hedging activities, growth strategies, ability to explore for and develop oil and gas resources successfully and economically, estimates and forecasts of the timing, number and results of wells we expect to drill and other exploration activities, drilling inventory, downspacing, estimates regarding timing and levels of production or reserves, estimated ultimate recovery, the Company’s capital expenditure plan and allocation by area, cost reductions and savings, efficiency of capital, changes in oil and gas prices, the price of oil and gas at which projects break-even, future market conditions in the oil and gas industry, ability to make, integrate and develop acquisitions, midstream arrangements and agreements, gas marketing strategy, lease terms, expected working or net revenue interests, the ability to adhere to our drilling schedule, acquisition of acreage and 3-D seismic data, including number, timing and size of projects, planned evaluation of prospects, probability of prospects having oil and gas, acreage, working capital requirements, liquids weighting, rates of return, net present value, 2015 – 2016 exploration and development plans, any other statements regarding future operations, financial results, business plans and cash needs and all other statements that are not historical facts. Statements in this presentation regarding availability under our revolving credit facility are based solely on the current elected borrowing base commitment amount and amounts outstanding on such date. The amounts we are able to borrow under the revolving credit facility are subject to, and may be less due to, compliance with financial covenants and other provisions of the credit agreement governing our revolving credit facility.
You generally can identify forward-looking statements by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” budgeted,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “goal,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “projection,” “scheduled,” “should,” or other similar words. Such statements are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, those relating to the worldwide economic downturn, adverse market conditions and assessments, availability of financing, the Company’s dependence on its exploratory drilling activities, the volatility of and changes in oil and gas prices, the need to replace reserves depleted by production, operating risks of oil and gas operations, the Company’s dependence on key personnel, factors that affect the Company’s ability to manage its growth and achieve its business strategy, results, delays and uncertainties that may be encountered in drilling, development or production, interpretations and impact of oil and gas reserve estimation and disclosure requirements, activities and approvals of our partners and parties with whom we have alliances, technological changes, capital requirements, timing and amount of borrowing base determinations (including determinations by lenders) and availability under our revolving credit facility, evaluations of us by lenders under our revolving credit facility, the potential impact of government regulations, including current and proposed legislation and regulations related to hydraulic fracturing, oil and gas drilling, air emissions and climate change, regulatory determinations, litigation, competition, the uncertainty of reserve information and future net revenue estimates, acquisition risks, availability of equipment and crews, actions by our midstream and other industry partners, weather, actions by lenders, our ability to obtain permits and licenses, the results of audits and assessments, the failure to obtain certain bank and lease consents, the existence and resolution of title defects, new taxes and impact fees, risks associated with the trend towards increased anti-development activity, delays, costs and difficulties relating to our joint ventures, actions by joint venture partners, results of exploration activities, the availability and completion of land acquisitions, completion and connection of wells, and other factors detailed in the “Risk Factors” and other sections of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual outcomes may vary materially from those indicated.
Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of the particular statement or, if not stated, the date printed on the cover of the presentation. When used in this presentation, the word “current” and similar expressions refer to the date printed on the cover of the presentation. Each Forward-looking statement is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement and the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these risks and uncertainties. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all information that potential investors may require.
We use certain terms in this presentation such as “Potential”, “Potential Reserves”, “Potential Exposure”, “Estimated Resource”, “Unrisked Exploration Potential” and “Unrisked Reserve Potential”, “Recoverable” and similar terms that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. Our Probable (2P) and Possible (3P) reserves do not meet SEC rules and guidelines (including those relating to pricing) for such reserves. These terms include reserves with substantially less certainty, and no discount or other adjustment is included in the presentation of such reserve numbers. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014, File No. 000-29187-87, and in our other filings with the SEC, available from us at 500 Dallas, Suite 2300, Houston, Texas, 77002. These forms can also be obtained from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.
This presentation includes “non-GAAP financial measures” as that term is defined in Regulation G. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and information reconciling these non-GAAP financial measures to the Company’s financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP are included at the end of this presentation.
CRZO 3 CRZO 3
Acreage focused on high-quality, low-cost oil and condensate resource plays Eagle Ford Shale, Delaware Basin, Utica Shale, and Niobrara Formation
Solid financial position / liquidity Net Debt-to-EBITDA of ~2.5x at end of Q3, pro forma for recent equity offering Significant liquidity available under the revolver No near-term debt maturities Well-hedged through 2016
Significant operational flexibility Leasehold obligations can be easily managed Ability to quickly ramp production growth back up as prices recover
Large resource potential >490 MMBoe of probable reserves, equivalent to ~3.2x proved reserves (1)
>55% of undrilled locations are economic (IRR > 10%) below $45/Bbl
Strong technical team Management team has drilled >750 horizontal wells EURs consistently rank among the best in our core areas Highly efficient drilling and completion operations
Carrizo Today Positioned for a Low Commodity Price Environment
(1) Based on internal estimate of reserves as of 9/30/15.
CRZO 4
9/30/15 Proved NPV10 ($MM)
Eagle Ford 1,502
Niobrara 63
Utica 30
Marcellus 59
Total 1,654
Portfolio of Assets
Marcellus Shale 32,800 net acres 18.5 MMBOE Proved
Utica Shale 28,700 net acres 1.6 MMBOE Proved
Niobrara Formation 35,100 net acres 5.9 MMBOE Proved
Eagle Ford Shale 84,000 net acres 129.4 MMBOE Proved
Delaware Basin 26,000 net acres
Notes: Based on 9/30/15 internal reserves and SEC pricing ($59.21/Bbl and $3.06/Mcf).
CRZO 5
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120SC
OO
PEa
gle
Ford
Dela
war
e W
olfc
amp
HzN
W S
helf
HzM
idla
nd V
tBo
ne S
prin
g Hz
Mid
land
Wol
fcam
p Hz
Mar
cellu
sBa
kken
DJ B
asin
CBP
HzCB
P Vt
San
Joaq
uin
San
Juan
Bas
in -
Gal
lup
Mis
s Lim
eCl
evel
and
Faye
ttev
ille
Uin
ta V
tCo
tton
Val
ley
HzPi
cean
ceN
W S
helf
VtCa
na W
oodf
ord
Hayn
esvi
llePi
neda
leEa
gleb
ine
Utic
aM
arm
aton
Pow
der R
iver
Arko
ma
Woo
dfor
dU
inta
Hz
Jona
hBa
rnet
tG
rani
te W
ash
TMS
Free
ston
e Tr
end
Barn
ett C
ombo
Gul
f Coa
st
Estim
ated
Bre
ak-E
ven
WTI
($/B
oe; 2
2.5:
1 O
il /
Gas
Rat
io)
Source: ITG Investment Research. (1) Based on internal estimates.
Carrizo Acreage is Concentrated in Low-Cost Basins
Carrizo’s Eagle Ford Weighted Average Break-Even Cost is <$40/bbl (1)
CRZO 6 CRZO 6
Manage capex to preserve balance sheet and liquidity Financial leverage is below peer average and significant liquidity is available on the borrowing base
Manage leasehold obligations to preserve assets
Eagle Ford acreage can be held with <1 rig; minimal leasehold obligations in Utica and Niobrara Hold full-year average oil production roughly flat with 4Q 2014
Production guidance has been increased four times due primarily to strong well performance and operational efficiencies and yields growth vs. 4Q 2014
Drive cost reductions and efficiencies throughout operations
Eagle Ford wells costs are down >35% vs. late 2014 Test Delaware Basin acreage
Started flowback on initial two operated wells and recently TD’d third operated well Take advantage of opportunities to expand core positions
Acreage has been bolted-on in all core plays since the beginning of the year and additional offers are currently outstanding
Highlights of 2015 Plan
CRZO 7
$380
$25 $45 $30
$5 $55
Eagle Ford
Utica
Marcellus/ Other
Niobrara
2014 2015 Est.
Eagle Ford 519 380
Utica 48 25
Niobrara 108 45
Delaware Basin 1 30
Marcellus/Other 40 5
Land & Seismic 142 55
Total Capital 858 540
Land & Seismic Detail
Eagle Ford 20 Utica 5 Niobrara 15 Other Land 15 Seismic -
2015 Capital Program
Continued focus on oily plays
Results in growth vs. Q4 2014
Manages leasehold obligations
2016 D&C capital program expected to be significantly lower than 2015 given current commodity price outlook
Note: 2015 D&C capital estimates represent the midpoint of guidance range.
(All figures in $MM)
Delaware Basin
CRZO 8 CRZO 8
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
Net
Dai
ly P
rod,
(MBo
epd)
Oil NGL Gas
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
Net
Dai
ly P
rod,
(MBo
epd)
Eagle Ford Niobrara Utica Marcellus Barnett Other
Oil plays have driven growth in recent years
Targeting crude oil production growth of 21% Y-o-Y in 2015
Positioned to reaccelerate production growth as commodity prices recover
Downshifting Production Growth in 2015
26%
10%
64%
Note: 2015E production represents the midpoint of guidance.
% of Total
CRZO 9
Financial Leverage is Below Peer Average Net Debt / LTM EBITDA
Note: CRZO EBITDA computed in accordance with debt covenants and therefore debt is net of cash and excludes debt premium/discount; LTM EBITDA excludes/includes LTM EBITDA of assets sold/acquired. CRZO pro forma for recent equity offering. Note: Net debt is Q3’15 adjusted for Q4’15 capital market transactions and M&A. Peer companies include BCEI, EPE, FANG, GPOR, LPI, MTDR, OAS, PDCE, PE, PVA, REXX, RSPP, SN, WLL. Source: Bloomberg, Company reports.
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
Adju
sted
Net
Deb
t / L
TM E
BITD
A
CRZO 10
Sustainable Growth Project Development Summary (1)
(1) Based on 9/30/15 internal reserves and SEC pricing ($59.21/Bbl and $3.06/Mcf). NPV10 value excludes future hedge gains of $99.2 million at the SEC price deck.
Undrilled Well Details (PUD & Probable)
Net Acres
Drillable Net
Acres
Net Proved
Developed Wells
Net Proved
Undeveloped Wells
Additional Net
Probable Wells
Total Net
Undrilled Wells
Effective Lateral Length
(Ft.) Frac
Stages
Spacing Between
Laterals (Ft.)
Well Spacing (Acres/
well) Eagle Ford 84,000 78,500 224 217 724 941 6,120 25 330/500 45/70 Niobrara 35,100 32,400 60 9 593 602 4,200 15 300/450 40/60 Utica 28,700 23,300 4 0 148 148 8,000 33 800 150 NE PA Marcellus 5,000 4,400 27 4 2 6 6,000 22 1,000 140 Total 152,800 138,600 315 230 1,467 1,697
Undrilled Undrilled
Proved Developed
Proved Undeveloped Probable
Total Undrilled
Total 2P
Proved Developed
Proved Undeveloped Probable
Total Undrilled
Total 2P
Eagle Ford 49.6 79.8 270.8 350.6 400.2 900 602 1,725 2,327 3,227 Niobrara 4.0 1.9 112.9 114.8 118.8 49 14 238 252 301 Utica 1.6 0.0 106.3 106.3 107.9 30 0 285 285 315 NE PA Marcellus 15.8 2.7 1.5 4.2 20.0 56 3 4 7 63 Total 71.0 84.4 491.5 575.9 646.9 1,035 619 2,252 2,871 3,906
Net Reserves (MMboe) NPV10 ($ Million)
CRZO 11 CRZO 11
Eagle Ford Shale The Premier Industry Asset
84,000 net acres Acreage almost entirely in the volatile oil window 15+ year drilling inventory with all locations identified, planned, and de-risked
Project To-Date 280 gross / 229 net wells drilled 27 gross / 25 net wells awaiting completion
2015 Operated Activity 2-3 rig program Drill 70 gross / 63 net wells Frac 67 gross / 60 net wells
CHK
EPE
EOG
CRZO Producing Pads Black Oil Gas CRZO Volatile Oil
MRO
CHK EOG
EOG
CRZO 12 CRZO 12
Eagle Ford Shale Optimizing the Development Program
500 Ft Spacing 330 Ft Spacing Black Oil Gas Volatile Oil
330 Ft Producer Stagger Stack 330 Ft Well 2H 2015
Performance of 330 ft. spaced wells looks very similar to wells drilled at wider spacing in each area tested
Testing further downspacing through stagger-stacks in the Lower Eagle Ford
Initial Upper Eagle Ford test on flowback
Testing a variety of completion enhancements including engineered completions, diversion techniques, increased proppant loading and advanced microseismic, and fiber optic monitoring
Upper EF Completion Optimization
LASALLE
CRZO 13 CRZO 13
Eagle Ford Shale Stagger Stack – Potential to Materially Expand Inventory
330 ft. 330 ft. 330 ft. 330 ft.
440 ft. 440 ft. 440 ft.
• Current development • 330 ft. effective spacing • ~1,090 total locations at
full 330 ft. spacing
• Full stagger stack • 165 ft. effective spacing • ~80% increase to
inventory
• Partial stagger stack • 220 ft. effective spacing • ~45% increase to
inventory
330 ft. 330 ft. 330 ft. 330 ft.
100 – 150 ft.
540 ft. 540 ft.
• Partial stagger stack • 270 ft. effective spacing • ~20% increase to
inventory
CRZO 14
>80% of locations have a WTI break-even cost of $39/Bbl or less
Eagle Ford Shale PV-10 Break-Even Oil Price by Project Area
4%
12%
8%
22%
13%
19%
3%
6%
4% 3% 2%
3%
$31.00
$34.50 $35.25
$35.50
$37.50 $38.25
$39.00
$45.00 $45.75
$47.00 $47.50 $48.50
-
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
$30
$32
$34
$36
$38
$40
$42
$44
$46
$48
$50
% O
f Tot
al E
F Lo
catio
ns
PV-1
0 Br
eak-
Even
Oil
Pric
e ($
/Bbl
)
% Of Total EF LocationsPV-10 Break-Even Price
CRZO 15 CRZO 15
Eagle Ford Shale Well Economics Summary
Type Curve
Total Well Cost $4.6 MM
Frac Stages 25.5
Lateral Length 6,120 ft.
EUR
Gross 510 Mboe
Oil Only 393 Mbo
Net 380 Mboe
F&D Cost $12.11 / Boe
IRR &
NPV (1)
$75 NYMEX Oil IRR >100%
NPV $6.9 MM
$65 NYMEX Oil IRR 96%
NPV $5.1 MM
$55 NYMEX Oil IRR 54%
NPV $3.2 MM
$45 NYMEX Oil IRR 26%
NPV $1.4 MM NYMEX NPV10
Breakeven $38.00
(1) Economics include ~$2.75/Bbl deduct to NYMEX for oil; $3.00/Mcf NYMEX gas price; NGL pricing 23% of NYMEX oil price.
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
105
120
135
150
165
180
195
210
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Cum
ulat
ive
Oil,
MBO
Daily
Ave
rage
Oil,
BO
PD
Producing Months
Daily Production, BOPD Cum Production, MBO
CRZO 16 CRZO 16
Delaware Basin Wolfcamp Shale Focus Area
Carrizo focus (Wolfcamp Shale A Bench)
~26,000 net acres in Culberson and Reeves counties targeting the oil and condensate windows Initial development targeting
Culberson/Reeves border Continuing to block up other
acreage positions
Recent industry results have been strong following changes in completion techniques
Targeting Upper Wolfcamp A in areas with potential for Eagle Ford profitability
Potential for other stacked pay development Bone Springs Wolfcamp B Wolfcamp C Wolfcamp D / Cline
CRZO 17
12,400 net acres located along Culberson/Reeves border either closed or expected to close
Seek to create operated drilling units that support at least 7,500 ft. laterals
Acreage located near strong industry wells, as indicated on the following page
Flowing back initial two operated wells and recently TD’d third operated well
2015 Operated Activity 1 rig program Drill 5 gross / 4.2 net wells Frac 2 gross / 1.6 net wells
Cimarex
Capitan
BHP
EOG
Reeves Culberson
Delaware Basin Initial Development Area
CRZO 18 CRZO 18
Delaware Basin Nearby Industry Well Performance
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 6 12 18 24
Cum
ulat
ive
Oil
Prod
uctio
n (M
bbls
)
CRZO EF TC 6,000’ lateral
Cimarex
Capitan
BHP
Culberson Horizontal Wolfcamp A Wells
Months since first production
Chart Displays Oil Production For:
6 Cimarex Wolfcamp A Bench wells (3 are 2015 completions)
5 Capitan Wolfcamp A Bench wells
2 BHP wells (Horseshoe Springs)
Wells are normalized to 6,000’ lateral
EF type curve is shown for comparison
CRZO 19 CRZO 19
Utica Shale High-Rate, Rich-Condensate Focus Area
28,700 net acres Wagler wells’ condensate production exceeded type curve over first ~170 days by ~15% CGR remains strong at ~225 Bbls/MMcf
Evaluating potential for future well cost reductions Mostly 5 + 5 year and HBP leases ~35% HBP
Project To-Date 4 gross / 3 net wells drilled 16 gross / 12.8 additional wells drilled with spudder rig 6 pads built near midstream infrastructure
2015 Operated Activity
Fracked 2 gross / 1.7 net wells Prepare for Southern Guernsey infrastructure build-out
CRZO 20 20
Type Curve
3-String 2-String
Total Well Cost $9.0 MM $8.2 MM
EUR
Gross 898 Mboe
Condensate Only 451 Mbo
Net 727 Mboe
F&D Cost $12.38 / Boe $11.28 / Boe
IRR &
NPV(1)
$75 NYMEX Oil IRR 43% 54%
NPV $5.7 MM $6.5 MM
$65 NYMEX Oil IRR 28% 35%
NPV $3.5 MM $4.3 MM
$55 NYMEX Oil IRR 16% 21%
NPV $1.3 MM $2.1 MM
NYMEX NPV10 Breakeven
$49.00 $45.50
(1) Economics includes $7.50/Bbl deduct for condensate, 20% NYMEX oil for NGL mix assuming ethane rejection, and $3.00/Mcf NYMEX gas less $1.25/Mcf
Utica Shale Guernsey County Type Curve Economics
CRZO 21 CRZO 21
Niobrara Formation Preserving Option Value
Weld County
Noble
HBP Acreage
Non-HBP Acreage
Above oil-in-place cut-off
Below oil-in-place cut-off
35,100 net acres Have tested multiple benches and spacing configurations Participating in high-density projects with Noble and Whiting to test A, B, and C benches Plan to participate in a non-operated Codell test by early 2016
Project To-Date 132 gross / 56 net wells drilled 9 gross / 5 net wells awaiting completion
2015 Operated Activity Drilled 13 gross / 5 net wells Frac 11 gross / 6 net wells
CRZO 22
Niobrara weighted average break-even cost of $49/Bbl
Niobrara Formation PV-10 Break-Even Oil Price by Area
29%
45%
26%
$43.25
$51.25
$66.00
-
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
% O
f Tot
al N
io L
ocat
ions
PV-1
0 Br
eak-
Even
Oil
Pric
e ($
/Bbl
)
% Of Total Nio Locations
PV-10 Break-Even Price
CRZO 23 CRZO 23
Niobrara Formation Type Curve Economics
(1) $8/Bbl deduct to NYMEX oil; $3.00/Mcf NYMEX gas; NGL pricing 15% of NYMEX oil price.
Area 1 / 2A Type Curve
Total Well Cost $2.8 MM
EUR
Gross 289 Mboe
Oil Only 217 Mbo
Net 243 Mboe
F&D Cost $11.52 / Boe
IRR &
NPV (1)
$75 NYMEX Oil IRR 75%
NPV $2.9 MM
$65 NYMEX Oil IRR 46%
NPV $1.9 MM
$55 NYMEX Oil IRR 25%
NPV $0.9 MM NYMEX NPV10
Breakeven $45.75
Daily Production, BOPD Cum Production, MBO
CRZO 24 CRZO 24
Acreage position provides years of inventory with a best-in-class breakeven cost
Solid financial position provides liquidity to weather a prolonged downturn
Ample operational flexibility to reaccelerate or further decelerate quickly in response to commodity prices
Top-tier operational team with significant experience in unconventional plays
Positioned to capitalize on opportunities
Summary
Appendix
CRZO 26 CRZO 26
Guidance Summary
Carrizo Production and Cost Guidance Trailing Four Quarter Actuals
Q4 2015 and FY 2015 Guidance
ACTUAL GUIDANCE1
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 FY 2015
Production Volumes:
Crude Oil (Bbls/d) 22,130 21,373 22,284 23,573 24,100 - 24,500 22,850 - 22,950
NGLs (Bbls/d) 3,022 3,529 3,494 3,757 3,400 - 3,600 3,500 - 3,600
Natural Gas (Mcf/d) 75,283 58,159 62,042 51,710 52,000 - 56,000 56,000 - 57,000
Equivalent Production (Boe/d) 37,696 34,595 36,118 35,948 36,167 - 37,433 35,683 - 36,050
Unhedged Price Realizations:
Crude Oil (% of NYMEX oil) 94.6% 88.9% 94.7% 94.6% 91.0% - 93.0% N/A
NGLs (% of NYMEX oil) 26.5% 29.0% 20.6% 20.7% 18.0% - 23.0% N/A
Natural Gas (% of NYMEX gas) 63.9% 85.0% 54.5% 59.0% 53.0% - 58.0% N/A
Realized Gain on Derivatives ($MM) $12.0 $49.1 $45.1 $47.7 $48.0 - $49.0 N/A
Production Costs:
Lease Operating ($/Boe) $6.68 $6.97 $7.11 $6.72 $6.75 - $7.25 $6.85 - $7.05 Production Taxes (% of Oil & Gas Revenues) 4.21% 4.02% 4.07% 4.01% 4.25% - 4.50% 4.00% - 4.25%
Ad Valorem Taxes ($MM) $2.9 $3.0 $1.7 $2.0 $2.0 - $2.5 $9.0 - $9.5
G&A Expense (Cash only, $MM) $13.9 $18.5 $10.9 $11.7 $12.0 - $12.5 $53.1 - $53.6
DD&A Expense ($/Boe) $25.51 $23.73 $24.14 $24.57 $19.25 - $20.25 $22.75 - $23.25
(1) Updated Q4 and FY 2015 guidance provided on November 4, 2015.
CRZO 27 CRZO 27
Financial Position
Revolving Credit Facility (due 2018) Facility revised October 30, 2015
$685 million borrowing base commitment with interest rate of LIBOR + 1.50% - 2.50%
- Undrawn at October 30, 2015
Consortium of 19 banks led by Wells Fargo
Restrictive covenant: Net Debt < 4.75x TTM EBITDA for 2016
- < 4.375x in 2017, returning to < 4.0x thereafter
7.50% Senior Unsecured Notes (due 2020) $600 million outstanding
Callable on September 15, 2016
No liquidity or performance-based covenants
6.25% Senior Unsecured Notes (due 2023) $650 million outstanding
Callable on April 15, 2018
No liquidity or performance-based covenants
Corporate Credit Rating B1/B+
CRZO 28
Period Type of Contract Daily Volume (MMBtu/d) Floor Price Ceiling Price
Short Put Price
Basis Differential
Cash From Restructuring
($MM) % of Q4 Gas
Forecast1
Q4 2015 Total Volume 30,000 56% Swaps 30,000 $4.29
(1) Q4 2015 gas production guidance of 54.0 MMcf/d at midpoint, oil at 24,300 Bbls/d.
Period Type of Contract Daily Volume
(Bbl/d) Floor Price Ceiling Price Short Put
Price Basis
Differential
Cash From Restructuring
($MM) % of Q4 Oil Forecast1
Q4 2015 Total Volume 16,200 $39.0 67% Collars 16,200 $50.00 $67.34
Q1 2016 Total Volume 18,000 $18.3 74% Swaps 8,000 $60.03 Collars 10,000 $52.13 $72.60
Q2 2016 Total Volume 13,750 $9.3 57% Swaps 9,750 $60.03 Collars 4,000 $50.00 $76.50
Q3 2016 Total Volume 13,750 $9.3 57% Swaps 9,750 $60.03 Collars 4,000 $50.00 $76.50
Q4 2016 Total Volume 13,750 $7.9 57% Swaps 9,750 $60.03 Collars 4,000 $50.00 $76.50
FY 2016 Total Volume 14,807 $44.8 Swaps 9,315 $60.03 Collars 5,492 $50.97 $74.73
Hedge Position
Note: Crude oil hedge position includes sold call options in 2017-2020. Volumes sold and weighted average ceiling prices are as follow: 2,500 Bbls/d at $60.00/Bbl in FY 2017, 3,388 Bbls/d at $60.00/Bbl in FY 2018, 3,875 Bbls/d at $62.50/Bbl in FY 2019, 4,575 Bbls/d at $65.00/Bbl in FY 2020.
CRZO 29 CRZO 29
Eagle Ford Shale Operator Comparison
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
1800
2100
2400
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
BOPD
Eagle Ford March 2015 Average Production By Well
BOPD/Well Avg. TVD MCFD/Well
MCF
D
13000
12250
11500
10750
10000
9250
8500
7750
7000
TVD
,Ft
Source: IHS - Total Volume Divided by Active Wells for Companies with More than 100 Active Wells
CRZO 30
Eagle Ford Shale API Gravity
Source: DrillingInfo initial completion reports.
Dimmit
Zavala
Webb
Frio Atascosa
LaSalle
McMullen
92%
5%
3%
Q3 2015 Net Sales Revenue by Product
Oil
Gas
NGL
0%3%
97%
Q3 2015 Volumes by API Gravity
≥ 50
46 - 49
35 - 45
CRZO 31 CRZO 31
API gravities increase from NW to SE with increasing depth and thermal maturity
Trend-wise, data are very consistent and over the length of a 10,000’ wellbore gravities can change 2O in API
Light crudes generally classified as <= 50O API
Condensates generally classified as >50O API
The majority of Carrizo’s acreage is in the rich condensate/volatile oil window Rector gravity = 60O API Wagler gravity = 55O API Brown gravity = 49O API
API gravity trends are consistent with condensate gas ratios
Utica Shale Point Pleasant Condensate API Gravity
Rector
Brown
Lawsons
Waglers
CRZO 32 CRZO 32
Niobrara Formation Acreage Ranking
Identified several discreet areas within Niobrara project and evaluated development potential and economics separately Ranking criteria: Geologic /
petrophysical quality Activity level Production results
CRZO 33 CRZO 33
Sickler
Solanick
Plushanski
Kile
Mazzara
Yarasavage
Bonnice
Giangrieco/Trecoske
Baker
Frystak
Ricci
Susquehanna County
Wyoming County
Williams Pipeline – interconnects with Millennium and Tennessee pipelines
Tennessee Pipeline
Penn Virginia pipeline with connection to Transco
5,000 net acres Productive capacity of ~80 MMcf/d net 95% of acreage HBP’d on 1,000’ spacing Focus on operational efficiencies and cost control Limit production when local gas prices are especially weak
Project To-Date 98 gross / 32 net wells drilled 11 gross / 4 net wells awaiting completion
Marcellus Shale NE Pennsylvania