jeffrey f. dillon civil works branch seattle district · periodic update to descoping strategy to...
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US Army Corps of EngineersBUILDING STRONG®
Jeffrey F. DillonCivil Works Branch Seattle District
BUILDING STRONG®
Briefing Objectives
• Share Project Background and Authority Information• Review History of Green Duwamish ERP Cost
Management • Review Updated Cost Management Strategy and
Recommendations• Raise awareness of the Green Duwamish ERP among
WRIA 9 professionals.
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BLUF• Green Duwamish ERP = 45 separable elements delivering cost-shared ecosystem
restoration projects to the Green River
• Cost of delivering projects was higher than Water Resources Development Act (WRDA) authorization amount. Potential violation of Section 902 of WRDA 86
• Concerns over executing fully under 902 limit prompt HQ request to assess project costs and determine descoping strategy if necessary
• Descoping strategy developed. Required over 20% loss of benefits and reduction of 12 elements to get sufficiently under 902 limit.
• Recommended executing descoping strategy to improve HQUSACE support
• Updated project list and costs approved by HQUSACE in 2018
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A favorable Chiefs report dated December 29, 2000 was signed by the Chief of Engineers and submitted to Congress for consideration in WRDA 2000. The Green Duwamish Green River Ecosystem Restoration Project was subsequently authorized under Section 101(b) of WRDA 2000. Specific language follows:
PROJECTS SUBJECT TO FINAL REPORT. “The following projects for water resources development and conservation and other purposes are authorized to be carried out by the Secretary substantially in accordance with the plans, and subject to the conditions, recommended in a final report of the Chief of Engineers if a favorable report of the Chief is completed no later than December 31, 2000:
(26) DUWAMISH/GREEN, WASHINGTON. The project for ecosystem restoration, Duwamish/Green, Washington, at a total cost of $112,860,000, with an estimated Federal cost of $73,360,000 and an estimated non-Federal cost of $39,500,000.
Note: Executive summary from 2000 Final Feasibility Report states “estimated cost for recommended plan is $115,879,400.” Reason the cost was reduced in Chiefs Report remains unclear.
Authority
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Cost Management Flow Chart
Prepare Update PB3 / MCACES
TPC Exceeds Cost + Inflation
4. Submit to NWD
a. Updated PB3b. Scope Reduction
Memorandum, if applicable
NO
YES
YES
3. Scope Reduction Analysis / Memo
5. Submit to NWD
a. Updated PB3b. Sect 902 c. Scope Reduction
Memorandumd. Request to Exceed Cost
+ Inflatione. Cost ATR / Certification
2. Prepare Sect 902 Analysis
TPC DOES NOT EXCEED 902 LIMIT TPC EXCEEDS 902 LIMIT
NO
6. Submit to NWD
a. Updated PB3b. Sect 902 c. Scope Reduction
Memorandumd. Request to Exceed Cost
+ Inflatione. Cost ATR / Certificationf. Prepare PACR for next
WRDA Authorization
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Elements Constructed within Green Duwamish ERPProjects constructed by the Green Duwamish ERP since authorization in 2000. Costs are pulled from the Corps of Engineers financial systems to determine spent thru costs.
Elements completed by Green Duwamish ERP and Cost
Number Site Number
Project Name TPCE 2000* Actual Cost Status
1 17 Green River Park (Riverview) $767,039 $5,475,000
Completed under GD-ERP
2 8 Upper Springbrook Creek $532,616 $1,471,000
Completed under GD-ERP
3 2 Duwamish Site 1 $2,225,928 $3,202,000
Completed under GD-ERP
4 21 Lake Meridian Outlet $1,259,535 $5,134,000
Completed under GD-ERP
5 37 Big Spring creek $1,629,140 $5,028,000
Completed under GD-ERP
6 20 Meridian Valley Creek $651,178 $1,280,000
Completed under GD-ERP
7 15 Mill Creek Wetland 5K $2,845,501 $6,282,000
Completed under GD-ERP
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Elements Completed by Other Fed/Non-Fed Sources and Cost
Number Site Number
Project Name TPCE 2000* Actual Cost Status
1 40 Gale Creek Culvert $706,627 $212,000Done by Others-TPU
2 44 May Creek Culvert $517,315 $75,000Done by Others-TPU
3 23 Riverside Estates $1,068,519 $12,000,000
Done by Others- KC-FCD
4 25 Porter Levee Setback $1,606,812 $8,063,000
Done by Others-KC-FCD
5 42 Sweeny Creek $333,913 $497,219
Done by Other Corps Authority (CAP 206)
6 4 Codiga Farms $1,857,980 $1,707,380
Done by Other Corps Authority (CAP 1135)
7 33 Green River Gravel $12,229,958 $3,000,000
Done by Other Corps Authority (HHD OM)
In addition:City of Auburn completes Fenster Levee, a component of the mainstem Maintenance (site 24)
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Remaining Green Duwamish-ERP Elements Arranged by Implementation Tier
ImplementationTier
Site Number
Project Name 2016 Project First Cost($1000’s)
Project Fully Funded Cost($1000’s)
Env. Benefits(Eco Units)*
1 32 Mainstem LWD $ 2,280 $ 2,310 111.771 29 Turley Side Channel $ 1,518 $ 1,572 13.181 28 Hamikami Levee $ 1,221 $ 1,293 16.071 12 Mullen Slough $ 8,598 $ 9,329 78.731 30 Lones Levee $ 5,108 $ 5,680 39.431 11 Prentice Nursery $ 4,943 $ 5,629 16.961 14 Merlino Reach $ 4,918 $ 5,716 48.92
ImplementationTier
Site Number
Project Name 2016 Project First Cost($1000’s)
Project Fully Funded Cost($1000’s)
Env. Benefits(Eco Units)*
2 19 NE Auburn Creek $ 11,010 $ 13,596 64.982 36 Newaukum Creek $ 44,224 $ 56,663 192.002 26 Kaetch Side Channel $ 1,632 $ 2,102 7.192 39 Upper GR side channels $ 2,860 $ 4,081 8.492 31 Burns Creek $ 2,462 $ 3,689 13.00
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ImplementationTier
Site Number
Project Name 2016 Project First Cost($1000’s)
Project Fully Funded Cost($1000’s)
Env. Benefits(Eco Units)*
3 10 Garrison Creek $ 5,056 $ 8,593 14.843 1A Volunteer reveg $ 1,920 $ 4,040 107.143 34 Flaming Geyser Landslide $ 9,487 $ 17,730 51.433
35Flaming Geyser Side Channel
$ 6,878 $ 13,561 22.48
3 47 Sunday Creek $ 18,309 $ 47,559 62.723 16 Goedeke North $ 5,962 $ 12,064 36.683 1 Elliot Bay Nearshore $ 566 $ 1,221 3.39
Additional Info:● TPU completes partial scope of LWD placement (site 32) with placements below HHD● TPU completes partial scope of Sunday Creek (site 47) above HHD● King County constructed Porter Levee (site 25)● Early GD-ERP efforts on mainstem maintenance elements (site 24) at Boeing Levee and Upper Russell Road unsuccessful.
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DESCOPING STRATEGY- ALTERNATIVES
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5.3.2 Alternatives to Gain Budget SupportThe NWS/King County team explored many alternatives in response to the new TPCE costs. The team identified four (4) final alternatives to take forward in order to respond to the increase in TPCE costs and future potential to reach the Section 902 limit. Those alternatives were:
1. Do nothing- seek de-authorization2. Descope now and execute later 3. Continue to execute and descope later4. Do not descope- seek PACR and reauthorization
PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE: #2- Descope now and execute later
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DESCOPING STRATEGY- Results
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The PDT descoped to reduced the TPCE under the 902 limit using the least number of elements needed. Emphasis was placed on minimizing environmental benefit loss. Elements were selected from the entire portfolio and not restricted by tier.
An analysis was run to determine if any scenarios following the above prioritization could achieve a TPCE lower than the 902 limit and also meet the 20% target for benefit reduction (Policy Guidance)
DescopingTier Project Name
Fully Funded Cost($1000’s)
% of total $ Eco Units
% of total EU
2 Olson Creek $2,850 0.38% 5.36 0.37%2 Horsehead Bend $6,674 0.90% 10.55 0.73%2 Schuler Bros Reach $29,614 3.97% 59.90 4.12%2 Ray Creek $11,933 1.60% 17.80 1.22%2 Brunner Slough $11,268 1.51% 13.23 0.91%2 NE Creek Culvert $2,367 0.32% 3.71 0.26%3 Riverton Creek $4,746 0.64% 5.36 0.37%3 Gilliam Creek $13,430 1.80% 4.76 0.33%3 Mainstem Maintenance $307,767 41.29% 120.26 8.27%
4 Lower Springbrook Creek $59,119 7.93% 35.45 2.44%
4 Mill Creek East $34,041 4.57% 52.99 3.65%
4 Black River Marsh $1,007 0.14% 3.99 0.27%
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DESCOPING STRATEGY- Results (cont)
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Total reduction of ecological benefit is 22.94% from the values authorized in 2000. Total reduction of TPCE from $745,344K to $260,528K represents a reduction from 100.1% above the 902 to under the 902 by 10.8%. The TPCE is also under the cost plus inflation value.
Order of Element Removal Element Name
Element First Cost
Element % of Total
First Cost
Reduced GDERP
First Cost
Reduced GDERP Fully Funded Cost
GDERP 902 Limit
% overor under 902
Limit % Benefit Loss
Base Case - - $395,832 $745,344 > $372,517 100.1% --
1 Lower SpringbrookCreek $26,069 6.6% $369,763 $686,224 > $367,171 86.9% 2.44%
2 Mill Creek East $16,856 4.3% $352,908 $652,183 > $365,136 78.6% 6.08%3 Black River Marsh $651 0.2% $352,256 $651,177 > $365,201 78.3% 6.36%4 Gilliam Creek $6,971 1.8% $345,285 $637,747 > $364,848 74.8% 6.68%5 Mainstem Maint. $119,197 30% $226,088 $329,980 > $292,066 13.0% 14.96%6 Brunner Slough $7,188 1.8% $218,900 $318,711 > $291,312 9.4% 15.87%7 NE Creek Culvert $1,976 0.5% $216,924 $316,344 > $291,723 8.4% 16.12%8 Riverton Creek $2,814 0.7% $214,110 $311,599 > $291,105 7.0% 16.49%9 Horsehead Bend $4,927 1.2% $209,183 $304,925 > $291,417 4.6% 17.21%10 Ray Creek $8,119 2.1% $201,064 $292,992 > $291,157 0.6% 18.44%11 Olson Creek $2,158 0.5% $198,906 $290,142 < $291,373 -0.4% 18.81%12 Schuler Brothers $21,137 5.3% $177,769 $260,528 < $292,035 -10.8% 22.94%
Recommended PlanFirst Cost Reduction
Reduction % of Total
Reduced GDERP First
Cost
Reduced GDERP Fully Funded Cost
GDERP 902 Limit
% overor under 902
Limit
*All dollar figures are price
level October 2016, $1,000s
Scenario F, Cut 12 Elements $218,063 55.1% $177,769 $260,528 $292,035 -10.8%
BUILDING STRONG®
What else is included in the NWS descoping recommendation?
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Formalized Coordination with NWD to obtain approval prior to initiating a cost share agreement. Ensures element is appropriate in scope and supportable through budgeting process.
Routine updates of the TPCS (every 2-years) and 902 limit (annually). Ensures accurate tracking of progression towards descoping thresholds (75% of Cost + Inflation)
Periodic update to descoping strategy to reflect changes in project completion (by Corps or others). Ensures accurate adjustment to descoping priorities and impacts.
At NWD request, complete periodic IPR’s to brief overarching project updates and areas needing attention.
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Next Steps:
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Incorporate NWD comments and resubmit-Complete
NWD send report to HQUSACE CCB for review- Complete
NWD approves report; regain funding eligibility-Complete
Work with local sponsors to identify next set of elements to initiate- On-Going
Receive funds to initiate new project elements- On-Going