jill k. cliburn based on work for the deed program american public power association and
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Opportunities in Public Power Wind: Lessons Learned from Successful Development and Marketing Projects. Jill K. Cliburn Based on work for the DEED Program American Public Power Association and Wind Powering America Program, US DOE June, 2006. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Opportunities in Public Power Wind:Lessons Learned from Successful
Development and Marketing Projects
Jill K. CliburnBased on work for the DEED Program
American Public Power Association
and
Wind Powering America Program, US DOE
June, 2006
Public power utilities:A unique market for wind development2000 systems, mostly city-owned
Serving 20 million customers—about 15% of the U.S. utility market
From < 1 thousand to > 1 million customers
Often working through (>60 nationwide) joint action agencies for energy supplies
Among America’s first utility wind programs and green power pioneers
Objectives9 case studies completed in 053 more in 06To support public power wind developmentTo inform potential development and marketing partnersTo spot trends and identify concernsAvailable in print or CD-Rom; summarized in this brochure
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Joint-action agencies and utilities examined
Arkansas River Power
Authority/Lamar
AMP Ohio/Bowling Green
Austin Energy
Platte River Power
Authority/Fort Collins
MEAN/Aspen
Missouri River/ Worthington/
Moorhead
Sacramento Municipal Utility Dist.
(SMUD)
Seattle City Light
Waverly, Iowa
Nebraska Public Power Dist.
Energy Northwest
Forest City Iowa/Community wind
examples
Sample matrix: Project definition
Austin
Energy
AMP Ohio/BG
ARPA/
Lamar
PRPA/
Ft CollinsDirect Ownership X X X
Outside power developer/
marketer
X X X X
Distributed generation system
X X
JAA with remote wind farm
X
Relatively low wind speed X
New Case: Energy Northwest
Nine Canyon Wind Project
• Developed, owned and operated on behalf of local public power subscribers• Marked Energy NW’s return to bond market• 95.9 MW total with planned expansion
• Phase 1: 48.1 MW• Phase 2: 15.6 MW• Phase 3: 32.2 MW (pending)• Also pending: A separate 50 MW project
New Case: Nebraska PPD and Partners
• 60 MW project near Ainsworth
• Excellent siting for resource and transmission
• NPPD and customers take 32 MW; otherpartners include OPPD, JEA, Grand Island
• Drivers included IRP, portfolio diversification, customer support.
• Strong community support. Homecoming battle cry: Blow ‘em away!
• Financed with municipal bonds over 20 years.
Trends
A review of all 12 cases revealed trends inProminent drivers
Project design
Opportunities
Concerns
Prominent Drivers
Project economics have to work, but planners are driven
to make the economics work because of
Customer interest
Risk management (environmental and fuel cost risk)
Commitment to leadership in clean energy
Community/economic development
Regulatory response
Project DesignPreference for direct ownership, even among systems that currently have PPAs
- Affords greatest control of the resource- Protects indigenous wind (community pride)- Satisfaction with PPAs depends on tailored benefits
Some munis and JAAs still use shorter-term or cash financing, but this is changing as projects grow
- Popular financing approaches- CREBs and other options coming in strong
Types of projects under consideration is influenced by the cost and availability of wind equipment
Opportunities
Changing economics influence project trends Larger turbines and larger wind farms encourage development partnerships
Transmission costs discourage some projects; encourage distributed wind, but on a utility (> 8 MW) scale
Project partners may be geographically dispersed
Utilities and community wind advocates finding more common ground, though challenges remain
Cautious optimism about CREBs and other financing options
Financing Opportunities Municipal bonds
CREBs and REPI
Value of REC sales
Taxable partners
Green power subscriptions
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A New Look at “Buy vs. Build”
Source: LBNL
Concern: Subscriptions or Rate-based Wind? Need to reach resource portfolio commitments as high as 20% -- Subscriptions can’t do it
Rate-based wind is perceived as a commendable, city-wide decision
Lower administration costs for rate-based wind
Lower risk when utilities don’t face monthly obligations to customers on contract
Some utilities believe in both green power marketing and rate-based wind, because marketing keeps customers educated and engaged.
Other utilities believe they cannot support both. If regulators require green power options, some systems say this discourages larger rate-based resource acquisitions.
Concern: Understanding RECs
Few munis have worked with RECs (green tags) so far
Customers believe that utilities that own wind generation are
producing green power whether or not they retain the RECs
Need to recognize and encourage utilities that facilitate wind
development through plant investments, while clarifying that
wind generation disembodied from RECs is not “green power.”
Growing opportunities to sell RECs to IOUs or power marketers
“Our customers believe they are getting all the green power from the turbine… We really don’t try to convince them otherwise, even though the RECs are sold throughout the (joint-action agency’s) system.”
- Small utility manager
Concern: Integration issues Diversity of viewpoints and experience
Distributed wind offers benefits, with costs
Integration services offer benefits, with costs
Better forecasting in the works
Most project sponsors say they are driven to solve problems in response to customer interest in wind
Conclusions: What is the outlook for
public power wind? JAAs can partner with local utilities and with each other to leverage large projects
Community wind partners (schools, etc) may work with local utilities
Some JAAs allow local utilities to subscribe. This allows early-adopters to jump-start a region-wide program
Great opportunities for utility-scale distributed wind are dampened by current wind industry conditions
Public power utilities are just beginning to get savvy about financing opportunities: Again, can the industry respond?
Resources from APPA and Wind Powering America
Brochure and case studiesCollaborations with WIGwww.repartners.org Web siteSee also, www.windpoweringamerica.comWebcasts and technical assistance to COUsAnnual Public Power Wind Pioneer Award
Who will be this year’s top Wind Pioneer?