jim - university of warwick · cmi jim mi gi mj then we have e di faitmj let di sjmj then mj 4 dj...
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Claim The Kaplan Meierestimator is the NM LE por censoreddataIn order to show this we first write down the nonparametriclikelihoodfunction
L FILIP Ti ki LpCT ya ghi
Reran a remark we mentionedf these are ties of
censoringanddeaths then we always assumethat the censoring
happens beforedeath
Step One can showthatthe Nonparametric likelihoodfunex.im
is maximised by assigningmassprobability
LiMi to fail if I I
Yei Kiin if O
Step2 Using 47 we havethat I K's 49
L Cmi jimMi
gI mjThen we have e di faitmj
Let di SjMjThensj mj 4 dj es
andmi ii Ej mj di l dj 133
Plugging 121 and13 into 141 gives
I Eiichi's Hip fami Iii Iit ii Ipozyonprooni
gEismmraffinfB it FITit
Then we can findthat L is maximised atKj
I andtherefore mni.fi jEii njEiTn i 11which leads to that thecorresponding
811 1 Et I E Thjj Yjet
is the Kaplan Meterestimator
T The large sample propertiesof the KaplanMeher estimators
It a Set as n P consistency
SH is approximately distributed as asy normalityevent
NC sets s JotdFu aC Him5 Fct
pCT Etwwe FM I n
andI Heu 4 Fens C Gini
a1pcysul.tl 0CmirCTikIsn1pct u C n PC Tsn IPCC ng
6 The hazard funithnRecall that
Sct ee
where Ale is the cummulativehazard function
i e Alt got dads
Then a natural estimator Peterson of acts can bederived as follows
Htt agent ig fni 1the
i EEL
p.hr jEgee J h F The Nelson Aalenestimator
Note that logic x x X
7 Applications e gto estimate the mean life time
IP T m IP T E m then m is called the
mean life timeWe let 5451then we can solve the
atom ofnationand
calculate into estimate the probabilityof loving an
extra time
IP Tst Seti