jmtaberne msc essay large-scale population displacement
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University of Bristol
School for Policy Studies
MSc in Development Administration and Planning
Code: M21X. Jos-Mara Tabern
Essay Title: Discuss the major consequences of large-scale population displacementprecipitated by violent conflict.
Unit Title: Contemporary Issues in Development
Lecturer: Fatima Mahmoud
Summer 1996
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The world of the 1990s is one of turbulent change. In the new system that emerged at
the end of the cold war, ethnic and civil conflicts have dominated the international
scene and humanitarian issues have increasingly become the focus of special attention1.
Images of war and displacement are flashed daily on our television screens, and
encapsulated in banner headlines quantifying the disasters from the battlefields of
Liberia, Rwanda, Burundi or Uganda and, less often, Angola, East-Timor and
Afghanistan, to name but a few. Civilians, not military personnel, are the prime victims
of these conflicts. They are threatened not only by bullets and bombs, but by the
massive social and economic dislocation engendered by war, which undermines those
very social, economic and political systems upon which people relies to secure their
basic human needs2. Sometimes oversimplifications and falsehoods become widely
accepted as the truth, largely on account of the mass media3.
Forced resettlement of populations has been characterised by high levels of violence,
inadequate logistical and health planning, and restrictions on people's ability to diversify
their sources of food and income4. However, the impact of displacement emergencies is
by no means confined to the refugees themselves. National administrations in the Third
World do not often have the means of looking after the mass arrivals of hundreds of
thousands of people5. It is the least developed countries that have been host to the
great majority of refugees over the past two decades. Refugee influxes often impose
heavy short- and longer-term burdens on such countries -or specifc areas within them-
and may aggravate the social, economic and environmental crises that they already
face6.
Humanitarian crises are intentionally created, and powerful political and economic
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pressures strive to ensure that they are sustained in order to achieve their objectives of
cultural genocide and political and economic power. This potent combination of factors
is increasingly referred to as 'complex emergencies', which differ from those spawned
by natural disasters in a context where the state has the capacity and willingness to
provide emergency assistance. In conflict-related humanitarian crises not only are the
means of independent survival blocked, but the means to mitigate the threat are often
deliberately denied or manipulated. The United Nations has been called upon to adress
simultaneously both the humanitarian and the political dimensions of conflict
situations7
; multilateral and bilateral agecies and NGOs play a relevant operational role
in displacement emergencies, spending enormous amounts of money.
Assistance and protection are more and more frequently being provided to displaced
people in the midst of active hostilities. Armed conflict not only creates refugees but
also erects sometimes unsurmountable obstacles to assistance efforts. It is almost
inevitable that one or all parties to a conflict will politicize humanitarian aid, viewing it
as a factor that could affect the outcome of the dispute8.
International guidelines for the provision of assistance to victims of armed conflict
emphasize that help must be neutral, impartial and humanitarian. Neutrality implies a
refusal to take sides. Impartiality implies that aid is given solely on the basis of need.
The humanitarian principle upholds the protection of life and the relief of human
suffering as the sole purpose of outside interference9. Of the Geneva Conventions of
1949, it is the Fourth Convention concerning the Protection of Civilian Persons in Time
of War, and the related Protocols of 1977, which are more relevant to the protection of
displaced populations either during war or in its aftermath. The Second Protocol
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concerns the protection of victims of non-international armed conflicts, and its
provisions are virtually identical10. Nevertheless, the UN General Assembly has stated
that 'humanitarian assitance should be provided with the consent of the affected
country and in principle on the basis of an appeal by the affected country' 11.
This raises several issues. If left unresolved, the problems of the displaced rebound
upon the societies that send and receive them. Refugees often become an integral part
of the dynamic that created them in the first place12. A refugee situation that persists
for years or even decades is not only a prescription for dependency, debilitation and
demoralization, but also a continuing formula for instability13. The longest-standing of
today's refugee problems, those of the Palestinians and the exiled Rwandese, are
sobering reminders of the potential for conflict inherent in unresolved displacement14.
In this essay I will discuss the major consequences of large-scale population
displacement precipitated by violent conflict. Given the breadth of this subject, I will
focus on a number of specific issues as 1) the political environment, 2) the operational
aspects and 3) the implications for the refugees or displaced people themselves. To
conclude, I will suggest the possibility of overcoming some of the problems examined.
The political environment
Aid, far from being politically neutral, is a political and economic resource15. In the early
1990s, the humanitarian system has become increasingly linked to wider agendas of
foreign policy and military strategy16.
International humanitarian law is far better developed for international than internal
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wars17. The most signigficant difference relates to whether the violence and
displacement takes place within a state's territory or abroad18. Therefore remains a
crucial distinction to be made between people who need international protection, and
those who can call on their own governments as a first line of defence19.
The international community is divided and ambivalent in its stance on the limitations
imposed by national sovereignity on humanitarian assistance to displaced people in
times of war20. For example, there is no international institution having a general
mandate to care for the internally displaced21
. Representatives of some states continue
to insist that sovereignity overrides all other principles of international interaction, while
others speak not only of a right but even a duty to intervene on humanitarian
grounds22.
Where governments fail to protect the interests of the mass of the people, or, worse
still, are repressive or discriminatory, this creates substantial problems in making relief
available23. The importance attached to sovereignity enables governments to withhold
the right to assistance which their citizens could otherwise claim from the UN and other
humanitarian agencies. Without government consent, bilateral and multilateral agencies
and NGOs are technically unable to operate within a nation's borders24. A few years ago,
the refusal of any government to acknowledge the existence of a war in its country
presented a dilemma for major donors, and particularly the various bodies of the UN,
who could not be seen to contradict government statements25. The UN Secretary-
General, Boutros Ghali, raised this question in a more general context in hisAgenda for
Peace. He wrote: 'Respect for [the state's] fundamental sovereignity and integrity are
crucial to any common international progress. The time of absolute and exclusive
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sovereignity, however, has passed; its theory was never matched by reality. It is the
task of leaders of states today to understand this and to find a balance between the
needs of good internal governance and the requirements of an ever more
interdependent world' 26.
The UN Security Council has changed the old approach, based on the existing law,
which represents a patchwork where entitlements depend on the type of conflict people
find themselves in (armed/unarmed, international/internal) and the category they are
classified into (combatants/civilians, refugees/internally dis- placed). Moreover, even
such diverse entitlements are, to a large extent, rhetorical because procedural means to
exercise them are lacking or beyond the reach of victims of conflict27. The new stance
has led to Military Humanitarianism, characterised by the development of 'safe havens',
the erosion of national sovereignity -ostensibly in order to protect human rights- the
military enforcement of economic sanctions, and an uneasy tension between the
humanitarian and military dimensions of peace-support operations28. So access of
victims to foreign or international aid does not have a clear-cut human-rights norms to
rely upon. Efforts are made instead to affirm a right of access tovictims of war for the
international community29.
Operational aspects
Irrespective of whether it is a classical refugee influx or one occuring in the context of a
wider humanitarian crisis, a refugee emergency calls for extraordinary logistical and
organizational feats30. The common approach to mass displacement is the so-called
'Refugee Continuum', comprising Relief, Care and maintenance and self-sufficiency,
Repatriation/internal resettlement, Resettlement/ reconstruction,
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Demobilisation/demining, and Economic integration31. This, however, is far from being
achieved in most of the cases.
The refugee emergencies of the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s took place mostly in tropical
and semi-tropical locations. Emergency procedures and supplies were largely geared to
warm climates. In the 1990s, there has ben a much higher proportion of winter
emergencies: the former Yugoslavia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Northern Iraq and Tajikistan,
to name just a few. Winter emergencies are more demanding in terms of fuel, clothing,
shelter and food requirements, and pose a distinctive set of threats to health. They
place additional demands on standby arrangements32. The capacities of the international
humanitarian system have been severely strained by the recent succession of refugee
emergencies. The problem is not simply the number and scale of emergencies. It has
also stemmed from the fact that few of the displacements have been resolved.
Consequently, resources deployed in reaction to one crisis have not been available for
the next33. Furthermore, delivery of humanitarian assistance is frequently disrupted or
halted because of threats to or actual attacks on the staff of relief organizations and
their facilities or vehicles, not to mention the refugees themselves34.
There is a lack of recognition of the fact that international aid interventions may serve
to reinforce inequalities in power, further contributing to the political and economic
marginalisation of the displaced35. The nature of the humanitarian intervention is itself
part of, and a contributing factor to, the complexity of modern emergencies36. So far,
the UN and its member states have mostly responded in a routine fashion, and
sometimes with dangerous improvisations which fail to acknowledge the depth and
complexity of the problems posed by war-related humanitarian crises around the globe.
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themselves promote inter-ethnic tensions, asset transfer, conflict and population
displacement46. Countries of asylum that are unwilling to make a permanent place for
refugees on their territory often compound the frustration of life in exile by resisting
any developments that imply local integration. They thus deny refugees a chance to
engage in productive activity and deny themselves the benefits of refugees'
contributions to the local economy47.
The conditions of displacement threaten the future ability of communities to participate
in the economic and political life of the country, as whole generations of children are
deprived of access to education. The violation of women by rape, the re-emergence of
slavery, and widespread violence-related disability further contribute to the process of
social dislocation and disempowerment of the war-affected48. Women and children
account for roughly 70 percent of a normal population in developing countries but make
up to about 80 percent of refugees worldwide. The high incidence of female heads of
family or unaccompanied women in many refugee groups gives rise to particular
protection and assistance needs49. By contrast, the incorporation of gender perspectives
in responses to disasters and emergencies is little developed, and remains relatively
unresearched and undocumented50. Approaches to emergencies as they currently stand
blatantly hand the power over women's traditional affairs to men...running food
distribution, water programmes, blanket, jerrycan and other distributions...re-assigning
the women's traditional respon-sibilities for food and shelter provision to men51. On the
contrary, every effort should be made in disasters to safeguard and strengthen family
and community structures52.
Children are among the principal victims of war. They are killed, maimed and
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traumatized during indiscriminate attacks on civilian communities. They are frequently
subjected to abhorrent practices, including torture, rape, detentions and conscription
into military service. They also suffer disproportionately from the side-effects of conflict,
such as famine, malnutrition, disease and separation from their families. Those who
survive are likely to be scarred for life53. The issue of cultural identity may become
crucial to refugees, especially in situations where children are growing up outside their
own country or area, or in the artificial situation of enclosed camps54, very often lacking
appropriate education.
People often prefer to stay close to their places of origin or normal residence, even at
considerable danger to themselves, whether as displaced persons, or as people having
constantly to move from one place to another55. Also, people afected by an emergency
may not be concentrated in a large settlement. Often, refugees prefer to disperse
among a sympathetic population on the other side of a national border, especially if
there are economic, kinship, ethnic or cultural links56. As with displaced persons, there
may be very compelling reasons for people not choosing to draw attention to
themselves by registering with the authorities57. In complex refugee situations where
neighbouring countries import and export refugees, internally displaced people
frequently coexist with refugees and suffering local inhabitants who have not been
uprooted58. In these settings, it is both unfair and counter-productive to assist refugees
while ignoring the humanitarian needs of others in very similar predicaments, including
people who have not even left their homes but who are subject to the same insecurity
and deprivation59, because such population movements represent one of the most
severe health and nutritional risks to war-affected communities. They also constitute a
threat to future food security, as it takes considerable time for farmers to rehabilitate
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their farms after prolonged absence. If others settle their land, this may provide a
recipe for future conflict60.
The environment is another loser: the nature of a refugee emergency does not allow for
proper environmental planning to take account of the ecological impact of a sudden
large-scale increase of population61. Emergency literature is filled with examples of
environmental degradation after massive population displacements.
Conclusion
Examples of ill-conceived programmes are numerous62. Some asylum countries hosting
large refugee populations are chafing under their burdens63. In many receiving
countries, the influx of people has destabilized the local environment and depleted
already scarce vegetation in semi-arid areas64. No state with a sizeable dispossessed
population encamped on its borders, or even at considerable distance from them, can
feel secure65. The high costs of militarisation and the provision of assistance to displaced
populations may necessitate a reduction in imports for consumption, production and
investment, and budget constrictions on health services and food security. Anyway, the
immediate economic impact depends on whether medium-term external credit is
available; in the longer term it hinges on whether the credit is paid66.
The failings of the international relief system have been evident for some time. In
Ethiopia, southern Sudan, Liberia, Mozambique and elsewhere, the UN succeeded in
concealing this fact to all but a handful of people closely involved in their operations67.
On the other hand, the trend of politicisation of humanitarian assistance is most marked
where the provision of emergency aid is combined with military intervention, as in the
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cases of Kurdistan, Somalia and Bosnia-Herzegovina68. The Gulf War and the creation of
a 'safe haven' for the Kurds brought this debate into the public domain and resurrected
the idea of military humanitarianism. Despite some early optimism, direct intervention
has created more problems than it has solved. In the former Yugoslavia, humanitarian
aid has been deployed consciously as an alternative to political engagement69.
Public opinion can be aroused by exposure to a refugee problem but meet a blank wall
in terms of policy response70, or affect relief programmes, which tend to be conceived
and delivered in a top-down manner that precludes discussion with the affected
community in general, overlooks gender considerations in particular, and may result in
inappropriate responses71. Unfortunately, such is the lack of accountability among the
major relief organisations, that the lessons seem destined not to be learned72.
The number of refugees and displaced persons increases every year. There are over
forty million of them these days. The cost in lives and human suffering is enormous.
The global society cannot continue to approach these and other global problems with
old-fashioned solutions and obsolete structures which seek only short-term,
unsustainable fixes. Even in the most optimistic of alternatives, voluntary re-settlement
or repatriation, there is a yawning gap between the repatriation assistance made
available to returning refugees and the enormous development needs of the areas to
which they return73. Disaster response should be, where possible, placed in the context
of development and not merely immediate relief. Any disaster response must take into
account first and foremost the needs and feelings of the victims of disasters, not the
logistics requirements of relief agencies and governments. The victims of disasters
should not be viewed just as the passive recipients of relief aid: they are part of a
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resilient social structure which has suffered a temporary disruption74. The question that
should be posed is, therefore, not just what the emergency relief needs are but how
they might be met in ways that will reduce vulnerability and contribute to development
in the long term75.
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ENDNOTES
1. Eliasson, J. (1992), p.542. Macrae, J. and Zwi, A. (1995), p.13. de Waal, A. (1995), p.3
4. Duffield, M. (1995), p.185. Ricca, S. (1990), p.696. UNHCR. (1993), p.997. Eliasson, J. (1992), p.558. UNHCR. (1993), p.699. Ibid, p.6810. Eade, D. and Williams, S. (1995), p.84711. Tomasevski, K. (1995), p.8012. UNHCR. (1993), p.1313. Ibid, p.40
14. Ibid, p.5015. Macrae, J. and Zwi, A. (1995), p.2716. Ibid., p.117. Tomasevski, K. (1995), p.1718. Green, R.H. (1995), p.4019. UNHCR. (1993), p.1320. Ibid p.7421. Ibid, p.2522. Ibid, p.7423. Macrae, J. and Zwi, A. (1995), p.1124. Ibid, p.1225. Hendrie, B. (1995) p.13226. UNHCR. (1993), p.7427. Tomasevski, K. (1995), p.7528. Eade, D. and Williams, S. (1995), p.81529. Tomasevski, K. (1995), p.7930. UNHCR. (1993), p.8631. Barford, M. (1995) p.6732. UNHCR. (1993), p.9733. Ibid., p.8734. Ibid., p.75
35. Macrae, J. and Zwi, A. (1995), p.2536. Duffield, M. (1995), p.5837. Pratt, B. and Boyden, J. (1990), p.48038. Eade, D. and Williams, S. (1995), p.85439. UNHCR. (1993), p.7540. Eade, D. and Williams, S. (1995), p.85641. Macrae, J. and Zwi, A. (1995), p.1442. Ibid., p.1543. UNHCR. (1993), p.9944. Ibid.
45. Sogge, D. (1995), p.10346. Duffield, M. (1995), p.64
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