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John DeereCommitted to Those Linked to the Land
Deere & CompanyApril 2011
| Deere & Company | April 2011
Safe Harbor Statement & Disclosures
This presentation includes forward-looking comments subject to important risks and uncertainties. It may also contain financial measures that are not in conformance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP).
Refer to Deere’s reports filed on Forms 8-K (current), 10-Q (quarterly), and 10-K (annual) for information on factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from information in this presentation and for information reconciling financial measures to GAAP.
Guidance noted in the following slides was effective as of the company’s most recent earnings release and conference call (16 February 2011). Nothing in this presentation should be construed as reaffirming or disaffirming such guidance.
This presentation is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to buy any of Deere’s securities.
2
| Deere & Company | April 20113
Table of Contents
Slide #
John Deere Strategy 4
Macro-economic Tailwinds 25
Foundational Success Factors 35
Global Markets and Opportunities 43
John Deere Financial Services 50
John Deere Power Systems 55
Farm Fundamentals 58
Market and Currency Volatility 67
Appendix 70
John Deere Strategy
|5 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
Why is the John Deere Strategy evolving?
– Global macro-trends present significant opportunities for John Deere
– Global population and income growth
– Global infrastructure needs
– New customer segments
– Technology advances
No longer “business as usual”
6 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
We will help our customers – who cultivate, harvest, transform, enrich or build upon the land – meet the world’s dramatically increasing need for food, fuel, shelter and infrastructure
In so doing, we are supporting a higher quality of life around the world
7 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
Sustainable SVA Growth is delivered by distinctively serving our customers, employees and investors
– In this way, we can extend and enhance our financial and operating achievements of recent years
– Our challenge: to capture anticipated tailwinds by attracting more customers to the John Deere Experience across our six key geographies (US-Canada, EU-27, Brazil, CIS/Russia, India, China) in a manner that meets local needs while leveraging our global scale
8 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
Integrated portfolio of businesses each with a vital and specific role
Global Growth Businesses
–Invest in global expansion for profitable growth by capitalizing on macro-trends
Complementary Businesses
–Defend and grow share, enhance SVA, strengthen the channel of the Global Growth Businesses
Supporting Businesses
–Strengthen and further differentiate our Global Growth and Complementary Businesses
9 Deere & Company | April 2011
| Deere & Company | April 201110
Agricultural Equipment Solutions Construction Equipment Solutions
Global Growth Businesses
| Deere & Company | April 201111
Turf Equipment Solutions Forestry Equipment Solutions
Complementary Businesses
| Deere & Company | April 201112
John Deere Financial Services
John DeerePower Systems
Worldwide Parts Services
Supporting Businesses
IntelligentSolutions Group
| Deere & Company | April 201113
*Excludes fiscal 2009 expenses related to goodwill impairment and voluntary employee-separation, for reconciliation to GAAP see “2009 OROA Reconciliation to GAAP” slide in Appendix.
Exceptional Operating Performance - Equipment Operations
27.7% OROA in 2010, despite weakness in key regions such as Europe, and key businesses, such as construction equipment
12%
20%
28%
2001
2002
2003
2004
20052006
20072008
2009
2009, adjusted*
2010
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
% of Normal Volume
80%Low
100%Normal
120%High
12% OROA (SVA Neutral)
|
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
$ M
illio
ns
Sale of Trade Receivables to Credit
Adoption of SVA Model
Deere & Company | April 201114
Over $7 billion in Pension/OPEB contributions, 2001-2010
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities - Equipment Operations
SVA Model: Higher Cash Flow, More Consistently
| Deere & Company | April 201115
Note: For reconciliation of SVA to GAAP, please see “Equipment Ops SVA Reconciliation to GAAP” slide in Appendix
-1,400
-1,000
-600
-200
200
600
1,000
1,400
1,800
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
SVA (
$ m
illio
ns)
SVA Journey - Equipment Operations, 1991 - 2010
|
SVA Journey - Enterprise, 2002 – 2010
SVA in 2010 was $1.714 billion - the highest in company history
Deere & Company | April 201116
Note: For reconciliation of SVA to GAAP, please see “Enterprise SVA Reconciliation to GAAP” slide in Appendix
-600
-200
200
600
1,000
1,400
1,800
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
SVA (
$ m
illio
ns)
|
Short-Term Incentive (STI) 2010 2011
Bonus Calculation Based on individual Division’s performance
Based on Enterpriseperformance
Metric Weighting Divisionalperformance
Deere & Company | April 201117
Aligned High-Performance Teamwork
Integral part of strategy, reinforced with compensation
2011 Enterprise Metric
Equipment Ops OROA 50%
Ag & Turf OROA 25%
C&F OROA 15%
Credit ROE 10%
2010 Divisional Metric
Equipment Operations:
A&T or C&F OROA 70%
Corporate Composite 30%
Credit Operations:
Credit ROE 30%
Corporate Composite 70%
| Deere & Company | April 201118
STI: Short-Term Incentive – Bonus focuses on OROA/ROECovers most worldwide salaried employees
MTI: Mid-Term Incentive – Bonus driven by sustained SVA creationAbout 8,000 management employees eligible
LTI: Long-Term Incentive – Primarily stock options Top 830 employees eligible
Minimum stock holding requirements for senior management (~ top 125)
Aligned High-Performance Teamwork
Integral part of strategy, reinforced with compensation
Global Performance Management reinforces alignment
Base pay changes linked to achieving goals
| Deere & Company | April 201119
Deep Customer Understanding (DCU) - Understanding our customers’ most important local needs, and translating these into winning products and services better than any competitor
Deliver Customer Value (DCV) - Profitably translating our customers’ needs into products and services at prices our customers are willing to pay
World-Class Distribution System - Enabling our customers around the world to participate in the unique John Deere Experience by developing world-class channels of dealers that are professional, profitable and sustainable businesses, oriented to the customer, aligned with John Deere and achieving market preeminence
Grow Extraordinary Global Talent - Enabling preeminent customer value and business results through extraordinary leaders and engaged employees delivering aligned high-performance teamwork globally
Critical to meeting our aspirations of realizing sustainable SVA growth through global expansion
Needed to serve a diverse set of global customers more effectively
|
Commitment to execute and monitor all initiatives critical to our success
Performance metrics
–Traditional financial measures based on what we are delivering today to our stakeholders
Health metrics
–Based on the company’s Success Factors, are the qualities, attributes and actions being introduced to ensure the sustainability of our performance over time
20 Deere & Company | April 2011
| Deere & Company | April 201121
Performance Measures Metric Target
Sales Net Sales Growth Target $50B* (2018, at mid-cycle)
Profitability Return on Sales (Operating Margin) 12% (2014, at mid-cycle)
Asset Efficiency Asset Turns 2.5x (2018, at mid-cycle)
Health Measures Metric Target
Exceptional Operating Performance Quality % JDQPS certification
Disciplined SVA Growth Sales/SVA Mix by Geography % Non-US/Canada
Aligned High-Performance Teamwork Employee Engagement Employee Survey’s
Engagement Index
*Implies a CAGR of ~ 9% (2010 – 2018) vs. historical CAGR of 7-8%
|
Since 1837, the company has delivered innovative products of superior quality built on a tradition of commitment and integrity
–How we do business is critical to our continued success
22 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
What does this all mean to John Deere?
Sufficient “head room” for global growth in Agricultural Equipment Solutions and Construction Equipment Solutions
John Deere is well-positioned to create solutions that help our customers feed the world, grow alternative fuel stocks, and build major infrastructure
We need to maintain our strength in developed markets and grow in developing markets
Our current success factors (Exceptional Operating Performance, Disciplined SVA Growth, Aligned High Performance Teamwork) are foundational, and necessary but not sufficient, to meet our growth aspirations
23 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
The John Deere Strategy – In Summary
Accelerated emphasis on global growth –$50 B mid-cycle sales by 2018–>50% outside of U.S./Canada–Capitalize on increased global demand for food, shelter and infrastructure
Focus on improved profitability–12% mid-cycle margin by 2014
Continued adherence to OROA/SVA model–30% OROA at mid-cycle sales (12% at trough) with improved asset turns
Focus on two growth platforms–Global pre-eminence in agricultural-equipment solutions–Global construction-equipment operations (with presence in China)–Complementary/supporting businesses to help drive performance of global growth platforms
Revised metrics reflect strategic direction–“Performance” metrics align compensation to strategy–“Health” metrics introduced to monitor underlying factors (e.g., market share, quality) to ensure performance is sustainable
24 Deere & Company | April 2011
Macro-economic Tailwinds
Support John Deere’s Global Growth Businesses
|
Population and Income Growth
Most of population growth through 2050 in Asia and Africa• By 2050, world population will reach 9 billion, increasing from
6.3 billion today
• Aging population in North America, modest growth
• Shrinking and aging population in Europe
Large middle-class developing in China and India• 200 million households expected to join the middle class
26 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
Challenges Created by Population Growth
Feeding the world – agricultural output must double by 2050
• Gross output must increase @ 3.4% annually in next 10 years vs. 2.4% annual growth in past 10 years
• Natural resources under strain, especially water
Massive urbanization – migration from rural areas creates need for roads, power grids, water containment and distribution systems
• 2010 milestone: For first time, more than half the world population lives in cities
• 2050: More than 70 percent will live in cities
27 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
Sector
657Financial Institutions
621Construction
588Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry, Fishing
373Restaurants and Hotels
370Electricity, Gas, and Water
318Energy Mining and Quarrying
318Computer and Related Activities
Motor Vehicle and Motorcycle Sales, Repair, Maint. 218
Insurance 222
Processed Food
Educational Services
Radio, TV, and Communications Equipment 313
Real Estate & Dwellings 1,060
1,058Wholesale Trade
826
Other Business Activities 1,136
Medical, Dental, Veterinary, Other Health
762Transportation & Storage
Public Admin, Sanitary & Personal Srvs 1,324
692
Communications
Retail Trade except Motor Vehicle, and Motorcycle 543
583
231
3.2
2.9
2.1
3.2
2.9
3.4
2.9
2.8
2.4
2.9
3.6
2.6
2.8
3.1
2.9
3.5
4.5
3.7
2.4
2.3 182323
27
28283234
3536
38
3944
46525659
6670
80Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry, Fishing
Energy Mining and Quarrying
Construction
Processed Food
Electricity, Gas, and Water
Transportation & Storage
Wholesale Trade
Motor Vehicle and Motorcycle Sales, Repair, Maint.
Communications
Restaurants and Hotels
Financial Institutions
Public Admin, Sanitary & Personal Srvs
Radio, TV, and Communications Equipment
Educational Services
Insurance
Real Estate & Dwellings
Retail Trade except Motor Vehicle, and Motorcycle
Computer and Related Activities
Other Business Activities
Medical, Dental, Veterinary, Other Health
Share of growth from BRIIC1
PercentSector
Agriculture and Construction amongst the Top 10 industry sectors in the G-20 countries . . .
. . . Most of the growth in Agriculture and Construction between 2008-2020 will happen in the BRIIC countries
Real value-added 2005 USDNote: G20 countries account for 70% and 73% of agriculture and construction segments respectively.
Total global growth for agriculture is $840B and construction is $850B
1Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China
Source: Global Insight World Industry Monitor
Absolute increase in real value added 2008-20, $ Billions
CAGR 2008-20 Percent
Strong Global Tailwinds in Ag & Construction; Most Growth from Developing Economies
28 Deere & Company | April 2011
|
Developing Economies Growing Faster
While developed economies have always accounted for a larger share of GDP . . .
10.0
22.934.6
1.3
12.0
28.1
1990
5.2
11.3
1970
46.6
3.8
2008
Real GDP1
$ Trillions
6.1
CAGR,1970-2008Percent
3.3
34.6 43.062.0
12.0
3.0
203920202008
65.5
115.3
53.3
22.546.6
Real GDP1
$ Trillions
4.9
CAGR,2008-2039Percent
... their growth will slow significantly, relative to that of developing economies
1 Real GDP (expenditure method) base year 2005
Developed countries include OECD. Developing countries include all developing markets (Regions as defined by Global Insight)SOURCE: Global Insight World Market Monitor
1.9x2.6x
1.9
Developing Developed
29 Deere & Company | April 2011
| Deere & Company | April 201130
Dynamics of Food Demand
<$1.25per day
$1.25-2.50 per day
$2.50-10per day
>$10 per day
20% of world’s population(2/3rds experience hunger & malnutrition)
27% of world’s population(Most hunger problems solved at $2.50 threshold)
Services
Processed Products
Livestock Products
Commodities
Per Capita Income
Source: World Bank 2008
| Deere & Company | April 201131
12
28
72
75
83
12
13
14
15
15
19
21
3
4
4
7
12
20
20
1
2
4
13
16
0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010E
RMB (in billions)
Material Subsidy (basic subsidy for purchase of inputs)Grain Direct Subsidy (for growing encouraged crops)Seed Subsidy (for purchasing high-performing seed)Equipment Subsidy (for purchasing encouraged equipment)
15
17
31
52
103
127
Government Support of AgricultureChina
Source: China Ministry of Agriculture
140
|
(1) - 7.5% small farmers; 9.5% medium/large farmers
(2) - Tractors 6 years; Combines 8 years
(3) - Increases from 5.5% on 4/1/11 to 6.5% for small/medium farmers (<R$90 million annual revenue), and to 8.7% for large farmers (>R$90 million annual revenue)
Program Description Interest RateGrace Period Terms Expiration
MDA “More Food” National, <78 hp tractors 2% 3 yrs 10 yrsPerennialApproval
Pro-Tractor Sao Paulo state, <120 hp tractors 0% 2 yrs 5 yrs 12/31/11
Moderfrota National, equipment & capital goods 7.5%/9.5%(1) 1.5 yrs 6-8 yrs(2) 6/30/11
FINAME PSI National, equipment & capital goods 6.5%/8.7%(3) 2 yrs 10 yrs 12/31/11
Deere & Company | April 201132
• R$116 billion approved for 2010/2011 Agriculture and Livestock Plan
• R$100 billion targeted towards Agribusiness (large-scale operations)
• 8% higher than 2009/2010
• R$16 billion targeted towards family agriculture (small-scale operations)
• Government programs to support equipment purchases
Government Support of AgricultureBrazil
| Deere & Company | April 201133
Global Construction and Infrastructure Needs
2,266
2,356
1,888
6,509
2008
2,998
3,555
3,361
9,915
2020
3.6%
Infrastructure is expected to be the fastest growing segment of construction
Estimated gross spending as a percent of 2008 global GDP
2.4
3.5
4.9
ResidentialNon-residentialInfrastructure
CAGR2008-2020Percent
WW Construction spendingGross output, $ 2008 Billions
Construction12%
Mining & Quarrying7% Ag, Hunting,
Forestry & Fishing7%
All Other74%
Note: Construction and Mines & Quarries account for ~5% and ~4% of 2008 value-added WW GDP, respectivelySource: IHS Global Insight, March 2009; Off Highway Research; AEM; CCMA; Yengst; Deere analysis
| Deere & Company | April 201134
Construction spending 2020 absolute, Top 10 (Billions of 2008 $s)
2,101
1,439
607
579
409
359
353
289
288
273
China
U.S.
India
Japan
Spain
UK
France
Russia
Italy
Germany
Top 10 countries account for 68% of total U.S. & BRIC represent 47%China & U.S. alone account for 36% of total 2020 spending
Construction spending 2008-2020 change, Top 10 (Billions of 2008 $s)
Top 10 growers account for 78% of 2008-2020 growth China & U.S. represent 51% of total growth7 of top 10 growers are emerging countries
1,340
387
362
109
108
97
74
61
58
56
China
U.S.
India
Russia
Australia
Indonesia
Brazil
Saudi Arabia
Spain
Turkey
Infrastructure
Non-residential
Residential
All Construction
China Construction Market in 2020Forecasted to Surpass the USA in 2010
Infrastructure
Non-residential
Residential
All Construction
Source: IHS Global Insight, March 2009
Foundational Success Factors
Building on Core Strengths That Have Guided Our Success
| Deere & Company | April 201136
Asset Management Dramatic Reduction in Asset Intensity
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
'00 Q
3Q
4'0
1 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
2 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
3 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
4 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
5 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
6 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
7 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
8 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
9 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'1
0 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'1
1 Q
1
Rec
eiva
ble
s &
Inve
nto
ry to
Pre
vious
12 M
onth
s Sal
es
Prior Year
Current Year
Trade Receivables and Net Sales
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
Trade Receivables Net Sales
$M
illio
ns
1997 2010
• Avoided ~ $3.5 billion in working capital in 2010 vs. 1997
• Receivable level in 2010 consistent with 1997, with over 2x the sales
| Deere & Company | April 201137
Deere Quarterly Dividends Declared* Q1 2003 – Q2 2011
$0.11
$0.14$0.16
$0.20$0.22
$0.25
$0.28
$0.30
$0.35
$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
$0.20
$0.25
$0.30
$0.35
$0.40
'03 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
4 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
5 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
6 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
7 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
8 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'0
9 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'1
0 Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4'1
1 Q
1Q
2
* Adjusted for 2 for 1 stock split on 26 November 2007
| Deere & Company | April 201138
Productivity Improvement ~6% CAGR over 30 Years
• Deere’s net sales and revenues per employee have increased at a CAGR of ~ 6% since 1980
Net Sales and Revenues per Employee
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
| Deere & Company | April 201139
Manufacturing Efficiencies – Waterloo, IAJourney to a 6-Day Drive Train
Pro
duct
ion D
ays
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Prior to 2005 2005 2006 2007 2008
Relocation of 412 machinesEliminated 155 machines
Total evacuation of multi-story buildingsNew heat treat fully operationalSet-up improvementOn-site forging storageInsourcing of core processes
Machining departments based on part familiesArranged machines using cellular conceptsStarted evacuation of multi-story buildings
Run size optimization and set-up improvementDaily run size parametersOutsourcing non-core processes
-12 Days
-2 Days
-10 Days
-14 Days
| Deere & Company | April 201140
Investment in New Products and Technologies
Source: Deere & Company and competitor SEC filings
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Deere R&D $ Deere % Competitor A % Competitor B % Competitor C %
R&D as Percent of Net Sales
| Deere & Company | April 201141
Committed Bank Group Supports Credit Facility
• Average length of continuous relationship = ~28 Years
• $5.00 billion credit facility supporting commercial paper– $2.75 billion 49-month facility expiring in 2015
– $1.50 billion 37-month facility expiring in 2013– $750 million 364-day facility expiring in 2012
– Have not drawn on facility– $2.8 billion incremental capacity as of 31 January 2011
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Total Facility CP Outstanding as of October 31
Credit Facility Size & Commercial Paper Outstanding
$ m
illio
ns
|42
Net Sales by Product CategoryEquipment Operations - Fiscal Year 2010
Agriculture & Turf Construction & Forestry
Deere & Company | April 2011
Construction
Forestry
CWP
Other
Large Ag
Small Ag
Turf
Other
Global Markets and Opportunities
|
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 201020%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Deere & Company | April 201144
Growing Global Presence
• FY 2010 equipment net sales outside U.S. & Canada, while below historic FY 2008 levels, remain over 3x the level in FY 2000
$ M
illio
ns
Net Sales Outside U.S. and Canada
Net Sales Outside U.S. & Canada % of Total Net Sales
| Deere & Company | April 201145
Net Sales by Major MarketsFiscal Years 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007
(in millions of dollars) 2010 2009%
Change 2008 2007
United States 13,026 11,568 +13% 13,166 12,241
Canada 1,767 1,454 +22% 1,902 1,588
Western Europe 3,360 3,427 -2% 4,610 3,889
Central Europe & CIS 746 749 -0% 1,874 1,025
Central & South America 2,623 1,787 +47% 2,577 1,565
Asia, Africa & Middle East 1,431 1,166 +23% 1,062 761
Asia Pacific, Australia & New Zealand 620 605 +3% 612 420
Total 23,573 20,756 +14% 25,803 21,489
| Deere & Company | April 201146
Montenegro, Brazil Tractor Factory
Significant Commitments to Important MarketsBrazil
Horizontina, Brazil Combine Factory
Catalão, Brazil Sugarcane Harvester Factory
• Brazil converted ~14 million hectares from pasture land into crop land in last 10 years- Soybeans and sugar cane
• Deere projects ~20 million hectares will be brought into production in the next decade- Soybeans and corn
• Deere projects a ~5% CAGR in industry equipment sales over the next decade
|
• Russian Federation ~1.7 billion hectares of total land mass–Approximately 120-125 million hectares of arable land–Approximately 20-40 million hectares could come back into use
• Approximately 20 million hectares for production agriculture; remaining 20 million for other agricultural purposes, such as grazing
–Deere estimates “western-style” equipment used <25% of farmed hectares–> 70 dealer locations
• Additional ~60 million hectares of arable land in Belarus, Ukraine and Kazakhstan• Deere construction dealers and forestry distributors cover majority of Russia market
• Recent Announcements:• March 2011 – Plan to double the manufacturing space at the Domodedovo production facility near
Moscow and add new products such as log forwarders
• Plans also include establishing a leasing company in Russia for the sale of agriculture, construction and forestry machinery
Deere & Company | April 201147
Orenburg, Russia Seeding Assembly Factory
Significant Commitments to Important MarketsCIS
Kaluga Region, Land owned for future expansion
Domodedovo, Leased Assembly Facility
|
• Constant land available for Ag (~142 million hectares)
• Infrastructure investment projected to be ~9% of GDP by 2012 (~4.6% in 2008)• Annual industry tractor sales >400,000 units
-Launch of 5038D (38 hp) has significantly contributed to John Deere’s growth in India-5036C and 5041C tractors introduced in June 2010
-Designed and developed in India specifically for the India market-Targets the largest segment of the India tractor market (31 – 40 horsepower)-Export opportunities to select markets
• John Deere is the largest exporter of tractors from India
• Recent Announcements:
• January 2011 - ~ $100 million investment to build a new tractor factory and expand current tractor facility in Pune
Deere & Company | April 201148
Pune, India Technology CenterPune, India Tractor Factory Chennai, India Backhoe and 4-Wheel Drive Loader JV
Significant Commitments to Important MarketsIndia
Sirhind, India Combine Assembly Facility
|
Broad presence in market5 operations in place
Government support of agricultureCentral government spending on rural areas and farmers increased by 20% to 716 billion RMB in 2009The government raised minimum state purchasing prices for grain by 13-15% in 2009
Recent Announcements:December 2011 - ~ $50 million investment to build new factory in China to manufacture construction equipment for sale in China and for export to other markets
Deere & Company | April 201149
Significant Commitments to Important MarketsChina
Tianjin, China Drivetrain Factory
Xuzhou, China XCG Excavator JV
Tianjin, China Tractor Joint Venture
Jiamusi, ChinaCombine Factory
Ningbo, China Tractor Factory
John Deere Financial Services
| Deere & Company | April 201151
Portfolio Composition by Market
Information above includes all Deere lending activities worldwide. John Deere Capital Corporation is the largest lending operation of Deere & Company.
John Deere Financial Services$25.1 Billion Owned Portfolio at 31 October 2010
Australia3%
Latin America6%
Europe7%
U.S.73%
Canada11%
Other1%
Revolving Credit9%
Leasing12%
Installment Financing
57%
Wholesale / Floorplan
21%
Portfolio Composition by Geography
Portfolio Composition by Product
Ag & Turf87%
C&F13%
| Deere & Company | April 201152
281271 275 291
311 282
149
319
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Net Income ($ Millions)
John Deere Capital CorporationProfitability and Growth
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0.50%0.28%
0.16% 0.22% 0.29% 0.33%
0.70%
0.48%
Write-offs/Average Owned Portfolio
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
14.616.4
17.7 18.6 19.0 19.1 19.321.1
Administered Portfolio Growth ($ Billions)
| Deere & Company | April 201153
John Deere Capital Corporation Retail Notes60+ Days Past Due vs. Write-offs
Agriculture & Turf1
• Extremely low write-offs; average ~5 bps for last 10 years
• Even in severe Ag market of the 1980s, losses were comparatively low
-0.05%
0.45%
0.95%
1.45%
1.95%
2.45%
2.95%
3.45%
3.95%
'83 '86 '89 '92 '95 '98 '01 '04 '07 '10
Net Write-offs (Ag) Installments 60+DPD (Ag)
(1) 1982 – 1985 includes Construction; 1986 - 1994 includes Lawn & Grounds Care; beginning in 2009 includes both Ag and Turf equipment; As % of Owned Losses After Dealer Reserve Charges Source: 1982 – 1994 internal reporting, 1995 - 2009 JDCC 10-K filings, 2010 Deere & Company 8-K filed with SEC 24 November 2010
-0.05%
0.45%
0.95%
1.45%
1.95%
2.45%
2.95%
3.45%
3.95%
'95 '98 '01 '04 '07 '10
Net Write-offs (C&F) Installments 60+DPD (C&F)
Construction & Forestry• 2010 performance reflective of
market conditions; improving, though conditions remain challenging
|
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8
Time Since Origination
Res
ale
Val
ue
as a
% o
f O
rig
inal
Lis
t Pr
ice
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Deere & Company | April 201154
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8
Time Since OriginationR
esal
e V
alue
as a
% o
f O
rigin
al L
ist
Pric
e
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
U.S. Resale Value vs. Loan Balance7830 Tractor and 9670 Combine
(1) Model 7810 was replaced with Model 7820 in 2004. In 2007 the 7830 series was introduced to the market. Loan balance assumes a 30% down payment on the highest list price financed for 5 years with annual payments at a rate of 6.3%.
(2) Model 9650 was replaced with Model 9660 in 2004. Model 9660 was subsequently replaced with Model 9670 in 2006.Loan balance assumes a 30% down payment on the highest list price financed for 5 years with annual payments at a rate of 6.3%.
Loan Balance
Model Year
7830 Tractor (1)
Source for equipment values: North American Equipment Dealers Association
Model Year
9670 Combine (2)
Loan Balance
John Deere Power Systems
Engine Emissions and Technology
| Deere & Company | April 201156
Interim Tier 4 (IT4): • 50% Nitrogen Oxide (NOx) reduction• 90% Particulate Matter (PM) reduction• 100 hp emission break removed
Final Tier 4 (FT4):• 80% NOx reduction• 175 hp emission break removed
Same regulations from 75-750 hp
Tier 4 Engine Implementation
Final Tier 4
0
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00
Tier 1
Tier 2
Tier 3
Interim Tier 4
NOx, g/kw-hr
PM
, g
/kw
-hr
| Deere & Company | April 201157
Interim Tier 4Building on Proven Technology & Fuel Efficiency
Decision to use cooled exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) with diesel oxidation catalyst (DOC)/diesel particulate filter (DPF) driven by customer focus and needs analysis
• A simple solution– No additional fluids (Urea)– More operator friendly– Less complex to maintain
• A fuel efficient solution – optimal performance & fuel-choice flexibility– Tier 3/Stage IIIA cooled EGR John Deere 8320R rated the most fuel efficient tractor ever
reviewed at the Nebraska Test Lab– Operate efficiently with low-sulfur diesel and B5-B20 blends
• A field proven solution– Since 2005, John Deere cooled EGR engines have a proven record of reliability in on-the-farm
use• An integrated vehicle solution
– John Deere designs, manufactures and services the engine, drivetrain, hydraulics, cooling and electrical systems
– John Deere Precision Farming Technology delivers input and labor savings to increase yields• A fully supported solution
– John Deere dealers worldwide are highly trained to provide service and support as well as increase productivity / reliability / utilization of Deere machines
Farm Fundamentals
|
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010F 2011F
$ B
illio
ns
Government Payments Total Cash Receipts
Deere & Company | April 201159
U.S. Farm Cash ReceiptsOperating Cash Receipts and Government Payments
• Total cash receipts remain at historically high levels
• Record levels expected for 2011
Source: 1998 – 2009: USDA 14 February 20112010F – 2011F: Deere & Company Forecast as of 16 February 2011
| Deere & Company | April 201160
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,5001970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010F
2011F
$ B
illio
ns
Farm Debt Farm Equity Debt to Equity Ratio (%) Debt to Asset Ratio (%)
Source: 1970 – 2009P: USDA 11 February 20112010F – 2011F: Deere & Company Forecast as of 16 February 2011
U.S. Farm Balance Sheet Strong
| Deere & Company | April 201161
Corn, Soybeans, Wheat and Cotton PricesNearby Futures: 25 Mar 2006– 25 Mar 2011
Source: Chicago Board of Trade – Corn, Soybeans & Wheat; Intercontinental Exchange – Cotton
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
3/25/06 3/25/07 3/25/08 3/25/09 3/25/10 3/25/11
Do
llars
Per
Bu
sh
el
Corn
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
3/25/06 3/25/07 3/25/08 3/25/09 3/25/10 3/25/11
Doll
ars
per
Bu
shel
Soybeans
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
3/25/06 3/25/07 3/25/08 3/25/09 3/25/10 3/25/11
Do
llars
per
Bu
sh
el
Wheat
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
2.00
2.25
3/25/06 3/25/07 3/25/08 3/25/09 3/25/10 3/25/11
Do
llars
per
Po
un
d
Cotton
| Deere & Company | April 201162
Agricultural Growth – Energy2007 U.S. Energy Bill
• Significantly expanded mandatory levels of renewable fuels
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
Gal
lons
(bill
ions)
Corn-Based Starch Ethanol Advanced Biofuels
Source: Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007
| Deere & Company | April 201163
Uses of U.S. Corn Crop 2009-2020
Source: USDA Agricultural Projections to 2020, February 2011
32.0%
32.5%
33.0%
33.5%
34.0%
34.5%
35.0%
35.5%
36.0%
36.5%
37.0%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Feed & residual Ethanol for fuel Food, Seed, & Industrial (Less Ethanol) ExportsEthanol for Fuel as % of Total Corn Usage
Bush
els
(mill
ions)
| Deere & Company | April 201164
World Farm FundamentalsGlobal Stocks-To-Use Ratios
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009E
2010P
Corn
Wheat
Soybeans
Source: USDA - 10 March 2011
Cotton
| Deere & Company | April 201165
Agricultural Growth – EnergyU.S. Ethanol
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
99/00 01/02 03/04 05/06 07/08 09/10F 11/12F 13/14F 15/16F
Bush
els
(m
illio
ns)
U.S. Corn Used In Ethanol
Source: Informa – February 2011
| Deere & Company | April 201166
Daily Ethanol Margin Per Bushel Corn GrindBased on Nearby Futures Prices (Excl ITDA*)
*Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization (ITDA) totals ~$0.50 and is often disregarded in margin calculations because it does not influence short term production decisionsSource: Informa – March 2011
($0.50)
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
3/2
4/0
7
6/2
4/0
7
9/2
4/0
7
12/2
4/0
7
3/2
4/0
8
6/2
4/0
8
9/2
4/0
8
12/2
4/0
8
3/2
4/0
9
6/2
4/0
9
9/2
4/0
9
12/2
4/0
9
3/2
4/1
0
6/2
4/1
0
9/2
4/1
0
12/2
4/1
0
3/2
4/1
1
Market and Currency Volatility
|
Volatility / Uncertainty Metrics
68 Deere & Company | April 2011
0
100
200
300
400
Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11
Sp
read
(b
ps)
'A' Industrial Index 3-Year Spread
2005-2006 Avg.: 482007-Aug 08 Avg.: 113Sep 08-Dec 09 Avg.: 2092010 Avg.: 732011 YTD Avg.: 6611 Mar 11: 67
0
25
50
75
100
Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11
Perc
en
tag
e P
oin
ts
VIX
0
300
600
900
1,200
Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11
Basis
Po
ints
GECC 5 Yr CDS
0
125
250
375
500
Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11
Sp
read
(b
ps)
TED Spread
2005-2006 Avg.: 352007-Aug 08 Avg.: 95Sep 08-Dec 09 Avg.: 992010 Avg.: 212011 YTD Avg.: 1711 Mar 11: 23
2005-2006 Avg.: 132007-Aug 08 Avg.: 20Sep 08-Dec 09 Avg.: 372010 Avg.: 232011 YTD Avg.: 1811 Mar 11: 20
2005-2006 Avg.: 192007-Aug 08 Avg.: 65Sep 08-Dec 09 Avg.: 4112010 Avg.: 1782011 YTD Avg.: 11811 Mar 11: 108
|
Currency Movement Post Credit Crisis
Deere & Company | April 201169
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FYTD 2011
Appendix
| Deere & Company | April 201171
Enterprise SVA Reconciliation to GAAP
Equipment Operations 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Net Sales 11,703 13,349 17,673 19,401 19,884 21,489 25,803 20,756 23,573 Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 6,229 5,965 6,482 7,248 7,546 8,092 9,652 9,647 9,196 With Inventories at Standard Cost 7,147 6,925 7,477 8,312 8,634 9,205 10,812 10,950 10,494
Operating Profit 401 708 1,905 1,842 1,905 2,318 2,927 1,365 2,909 Percent of Net Sales 3.4% 5.3% 10.8% 9.5% 9.6% 10.8% 11.3% 6.6% 12.3%
Operating Return on AssetsWith Inventories at LIFO 6.4% 11.9% 29.4% 25.4% 25.2% 28.6% 30.3% 14.1% 31.6%With Inventories at Standard Cost 5.6% 10.2% 25.5% 22.2% 22.1% 25.2% 27.1% 12.5% 27.7%
SVA Cost of Assets (858) (831) (897) (998) (1,036) (1,094) (1,284) (1,301) (1,259) SVA (457) (123) 1,008 844 869 1,224 1,643 64 1,650
Financial ServicesOperating Profit 373 478 466 491 521 553 493 242 499 Change in Allowance for Doubtful Receivables 16 17 (8) (12) 15 17 (4) 68 (14) SVA Income 389 495 458 479 536 570 489 310 485 Average Equity Continuing Operations 2,019 2,079 2,163 2,110 2,424 2,524 2,355 2,732 3,064 Average Allowance for Doubtful Receivables 161 160 165 150 148 167 183 195 232 SVA Equity 2,180 2,239 2,328 2,260 2,572 2,691 2,538 2,927 3,296 SVA Income 389 495 458 479 536 570 489 310 485 less Cost of Equity (408) (420) (414) (410) (457) (480) (430) (458) (421) SVA Continuing Operations (19) 75 44 69 79 90 59 (148) 64 SVA Discontinued Operations 14 15 (11) 25 - - - - - Financial Services SVA (5) 90 33 94 79 90 59 (148) 64
Deere & Company - Enterprise SVA (462) (33) 1,041 938 948 1,314 1,702 (84) 1,714
(millions of dollars unless stated otherwise)
| Deere & Company | April 201172
Equipment Ops SVA Reconciliation to GAAP
Equipment Operations 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000Net Sales 5,848 5,723 6,479 7,663 8,830 9,640 11,082 11,926 9,701 11,169 Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 5,585 5,765 5,449 5,551 6,187 6,502 6,682 7,672 7,724 8,069 With Inventories at Standard Cost 6,702 6,846 6,442 6,494 7,131 7,488 7,703 8,711 8,739 9,039
Operating Profit 16 77 242 847 1,006 1,125 1,402 1,476 272 693 Percent of Net Sales 0.3% 1.3% 3.7% 11.1% 11.4% 11.7% 12.6% 12.4% 2.8% 6.2%
Operating Return on AssetsWith Inventories at LIFO 0.3% 1.3% 4.4% 15.3% 16.3% 17.3% 21.0% 19.3% 3.5% 8.6%With Inventories at Standard Cost 0.2% 1.1% 3.8% 13.0% 14.1% 15.0% 18.2% 16.9% 3.1% 7.7%
SVA Cost of Assets (804) (821) (773) (780) (856) (898) (924) (1,045) (1,049) (1,085) SVA (788) (744) (531) 67 150 227 477 431 (776) (392)
Equipment Operations 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Net Sales 11,077 11,703 13,349 17,673 19,401 19,884 21,489 25,803 20,756 23,573 Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 8,743 6,229 5,965 6,482 7,248 7,546 8,092 9,652 9,647 9,196 With Inventories at Standard Cost 9,678 7,147 6,925 7,477 8,312 8,634 9,205 10,812 10,950 10,494
Operating Profit (46) 401 708 1,905 1,842 1,905 2,318 2,927 1,365 2,909 Percent of Net Sales -0.4% 3.4% 5.3% 10.8% 9.5% 9.6% 10.8% 11.3% 6.6% 12.3%
Operating Return on AssetsWith Inventories at LIFO -0.5% 6.4% 11.9% 29.4% 25.4% 25.2% 28.6% 30.3% 14.1% 31.6%With Inventories at Standard Cost -0.5% 5.6% 10.2% 25.5% 22.2% 22.1% 25.2% 27.1% 12.5% 27.7%
SVA Cost of Assets (1,162) (858) (831) (897) (998) (1,036) (1,094) (1,284) (1,301) (1,259) SVA (1,208) (457) (123) 1,008 844 869 1,224 1,643 64 1,650
(millions of dollars unless stated otherwise)
| Deere & Company | April 201173
2009 OROA Reconciliation to GAAPEquipment Operations
Equipment Operations2009, as Reported
Exclude Goodwill Impairment &
Voluntary Employee-Separation
2009, as Adjusted
Net Sales 20,756 20,756 Average Identifiable Assets
With Inventories at LIFO 9,647 9,647 With Inventories at Standard Cost 10,950 10,950
Operating Profit 1,365 380 1,745 Percent of Net Sales 6.6% 8.4%
Operating Return on AssetsWith Inventories at LIFO 14.1% 18.1%With Inventories at Standard Cost 12.5% 15.9%
(millions of dollars unless stated otherwise)