jones soda co. (jsda.ob) · • thomas h. lee bought snapple at 44 cents a share, sold at...
TRANSCRIPT
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Soda Co.
Jones
February 20, 2005
Jones Soda Co. (JSDA.OB)
Christopher GoldenLong Fund Manager
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Soda Co.
Jones
Presentation Outline
• Brief background
• Thesis
February 20, 2005
• Thesis
• Additional opportunities
• Risks
• Summary
• Questions
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Beverage History
• Jones Soda Co. launched 6 flavors in 1995
February 20, 2005
• Energy drink, Whoopass launched in 2000
• Jones Juice launched in 2001
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Soda Co.
Jones
• The Product
• “Alternative Beverages” (aka “New Age”)» Contain less sugar, less carbonation, all-natural
February 20, 2005
» Contain less sugar, less carbonation, all-natural ingredients
• 3 main products» Jones Soda
» Jones Naturals
» Jones Energy (including Whoopass)
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Distribution History
• Began with grass roots distribution strategy» Unique venues, national clothing/ music stores
February 20, 2005
» Unique venues, national clothing/ music stores
• Continues with unique marketing strategy» Jones RV, emerging athletes
• Incorporates large direct-to-retail accounts
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Marketing
• Targets 12-24 year old market segment» Dependence on image more than taste
February 20, 2005
» Trendy
• Sets premium price points
• Gathers raw materials from third party vendors
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Soda Co.
Jones
• The Management
February 20, 2005
Peter Van StolkStrong leadership, experience from past distribution before
starting Jones
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Financial Snapshot
• Recent Price: $4.24
• Market Cap: $88 Million
February 20, 2005
• Market Cap: $88 Million
• Forward P/E: 30.29
• Revenue: $25.15 Million
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Forecasts (Prudential Equity Group)
• Volume of case sales up over 1.7 million
• Sales to increase over 26%
February 20, 2005
• Sales to increase over 26%
• Free cash flow increase $3 million
• EPS to $0.14, up from $0.06
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 1
Jones maximizes first mover status
• First mover provides differentiation with:
February 20, 2005
• First mover provides differentiation with:» Brand promotion strategy
» High product quality
» Price Premium
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 1 (first mover appeal)
• Characteristics provide easy distinction from
February 20, 2005
• Characteristics provide easy distinction from mainstream CSD
– Low cost marketing
» “attacking the streets”
– Powerful brand strength
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 1 (first mover differentiation)
• High product quality extends to all products» Sugar-free provides healthier alternative (Splenda)
February 20, 2005
» Management awareness of rising obesity
• Supplemental ingredients add nutrients» Ginseng, zinc, taurine, vitamins (Naturals)
» Riboflavin, niacin, vitamin B6, thiamin (Energy)
» Appeal in a heath conscious world
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 1 (first mover benefits)
• Price points adds to profitability
• Other first movers have achieved $100,0000,000
February 20, 2005
• Other first movers have achieved $100,0000,000 in sales
» Examples: Clearly Canadian, Snapple, Sundance
• Strong branding will help to maintain high gross margin
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 2
Jones succeeds with dynamic marketing
• New flavors, labels keep with fashion trends
February 20, 2005
• New flavors, labels keep with fashion trends
• Dynamic marketing keeps appeal over long run
• Direct customer interaction with “my jones”
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 2 (product cycle)• Jones constantly analyzes flavor success
» Management structure allows for quick reaction
» Out with the bad, in with the new
• New flavors create buzz, more revenue
February 20, 2005
• New flavors create buzz, more revenue» Holiday Pack was large success
» Flavors like Green Bean Casserole, Mashed Potatoes and Butter, Turkey and Gravy
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 2 (labeling like nothing else)
• Labels match company’s review of fashion trends
• Customers personalize 12 packs
February 20, 2005
• Customers personalize 12 packs
• Every label originates from customer submission
• Strategy keeps old customers, encourages new
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 3
Jones begins retail conquest, greater revenue
• New “direct-to-retail” distribution finds early
February 20, 2005
• New “direct-to-retail” distribution finds early success
• More distribution translates into greater sales
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 3 (“direct-to-retail”)
• High profile partnerships provide opportunity» Starbucks, Panera, Costplus, Barnes & Noble, 7-
Eleven, Target
February 20, 2005
Eleven, Target
• 12-ounce cans exclusive to Target opens door
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Thesis 3 (top line, bottom line)
• Net Sales (3rd Quarter) increased 31.6%
February 20, 2005
• Net Income (3rd Quarter) increased 47%
• Lot of room for growth: currently holds 5% of the 3.2% of the soda market for New Age beverages
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Soda Co.
Jones
Additional Opportunities
• Buyout• Thomas H. Lee bought Snapple at 44 cents a
share, sold at $14L.investment of $27.9 million
February 20, 2005
share, sold at $14L.investment of $27.9 million made profit of $872.1 million
• Later.. Cadbury Scheppes purchased Snapple from Triarc for $1.45 billion
• Cadbury buys Nantucket Nectars from Ocean Spray at an undisclosed price (Orangina also purchased)
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Soda Co.
Jones
Additional Opportunities
• Nasdaq Small Cap• Mkt value of securities: $50 million
• NI greater than $750,000
February 20, 2005
• NI greater than $750,000
• Minimum bid price: $4 (90 days)
• 300 Round lot holders (>100 shares)
So far, looking goodLL
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Before you pull your wallet out: RISKS
– Beverage industry highly competitive– Pressure from larger distributors
February 20, 2005
– Pressure from larger distributors
– Heavy dependence on distributors– Must continue to develop strong relationships
– Poor performance will maim company– Loss of high-profile accounts hurt reputation
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Soda Co.
Jones
• The Chart
February 20, 2005
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Soda Co.
Jones
• Closing Points and Summary
• Smaller company poised for growth
• MII loves easy VAR experience
February 20, 2005
• MII loves easy VAR experience
• Other company set buyout example
• Status on OTC Bulletin Board makes the risk-averse (spineless) weary of investment
• Trust your taste buds
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Soda Co.
Jones
Run with the little guy... create some change.
February 20, 2005
Questions Please
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Soda Co.
Jones
February 20, 2005