jorge r. piñoncuba: energy profile 20071 cuba energy profile 2007/08
TRANSCRIPT
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Jorge R. Piñon Cuba: Energy Profile 2007 1
CubaEnergy Profile 2007/08
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Jorge R. Piñon Cuba: Energy Profile 2007 2
Crude Oil Production mbd…
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Pebercan
Sherritt
Cupet
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North Coast Oil Reservoirs…
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Cuba’s Coastal & On Shore Blocks…
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Natural Gas Production MMm³…
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E
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Varadero Energas Plant…
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Boca de Jaruco Energas Plant…
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Cuba/Mexico/USA EEZ …
• December 16, 1977• Two Year Provisional Application• 112,000 km2 – 59 Bocks • USGS Undiscovered Resources P50
4.2 MMBO Oil
0.8 MMBO NGL
8.6 BCFG Natural Gas
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EEZ Exploration Blocks…
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Cuba/Mexico/USA EEZ …
N25-29, N36 Repsol-Spain (40%) NorskHydro-Norway (30%)
ONGC-India (30%)
N16, N23-24, N33 Sherritt-Canada (100%)
N34-35 ONGC-India (100%)
N44-45, N50-51 Petronas-Malaysia (100%)
N53-54, N58-59 PDVSA-Venezuela (100%)
N31-32, N42-43 PetroVietnam (100%)
N37 Petrobras (100%)
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USA-Cuba-Mexico Eastern Gap…
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Supply/Demand Balance mbd…
_______________________________________________2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Crude Production 65.5 57.9 52.3 51.6 51.7Refinery Production 52.0 44.6 46.8 43.9 46.3
Crude Imports 45.2 38.7 43.4 40.4 45.1Products Imports 42.5 52.2 58.2 65.8 52.5Total Imports 87.7 90.9 101.6 106.2 97.6
Petroleum Demand 147.2 146.4 145.7 144.2 147.2Inventory Built/Draw 12.8 8.3 8.2 17.1 3.3
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Crude Oil Refinery Capacity mbd…
_______________________________________________
La Habana (Shell/Esso) 121 / 20Santiago de Cuba (Texaco) 101 / 22Cienfuegos (PdvsaCupet S.A.) 66 / 53*Total 288 mbd
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Refinery Production 51.9 44.6 46.8 43.9 46.3
Operable Capacity % 23.5 20.1 21.2 19.9 21.0
* Cienfuegos 2008
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Cienfuegos Refinery…
Crude Capacity 66 mbd
Hydrotreater 8Cat Reformer 8Light Ends Frac 10
2008 Runs/Yield: 51 mbd
LPG (2%) 1 Naphta (16%) 8Diesel (22%) 11Jet-Kero (10%) 5Fuel Oil (51%) 26
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Cienfuegos Crude Arrivals…
Andros Four Moons
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Cienfuegos Refinery…
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2007 petroleum consumption by product …
3% 6%
22%
5%
64%
LPG
Mogas
FO+Crude
Diesel
Jet+Kero
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LPG consumption mbd…
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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Kero consumption mbd…
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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Diesel Consumption mbd…
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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FO + Crude Consumption mbd…
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
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Transportation FuelsDistribution and Marketing
2006 Sector
Rationalization
Fuel Facilities
2093 > 754
Distribution Terminals
326 > 23
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Petroleum Imports/Equity Value($mm)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Ven. Imports 0.899 1.187 1.877 2.260 2.430
Canadian % 0.121 0.221 0.273 0.360 0.401
Total $mm 1.020 1.408 2.150 2.620 2.831
WAAC $bll: 27.58 33.52 48.86 55.74 62.91
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Cuba’s Alternatives…
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Electric Power Sector
2007 Installed Capacity 5766 MW
Thermo-Electric (7) 2940 (60%)Diesel Power Clusters 1300Fuel Oil Power Clusters 587IPP Co-Gen Facilities 446Energas 376Other 117Peak Demand 2500 MW
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Electric Power Sector
Diesel Power Clusters - Grupos Electrogenos
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Electric Power Sector…
2007 Electric Demand 17,621 MWh
Residential 6,161
Industry 4,700
State 2,758
Other 1,048
Losses 2,954
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Electric Power Sector…
2006 Transmission System
6,816 km of 220kV & 110kV Lines 9,224 km Subtransmission 33kV33,400 km Primary Distribution Lines26,923 km Secondary Distribution Lines
116,000 New Posts & 22,000km New Lines10,400 New Transformers
$362 million
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Sugarcane Industry
5 Year Development Program Potential
1 MM hct 60 mt/hct 60 MMmt13.5 %/mt Sugar 22 gal/ton Ethanol16 MMmt Bagasse 85 Kwh/220 Kwh
50/50 Production Model$0.12 lb sugar $1.85 gal ethanol $41.25 Mwh
$3-5 billion Captial Investments $2.7 billion Revenues
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