josé pavão nunes world forum oecd june 2007 pension funds in portugal
TRANSCRIPT
José Pavão Nunes
World Forum OECD
June 2007
Pension Funds in Portugal
Summary• Introduction
• The importance of the Portuguese pension funds market
– Legal framework
– Pension funds market
– The structure of Portuguese pension
funds market
Summary• Features of the Portuguese pension
funds market
– Pension Plans
– Membership
– Pensions
– Financing level
– Investments
Introduction• Pension funds and their growth is intimately
linked to the level of Social Security payments
• High degree of interdependence between state welfare, corporate and personal provision as they are clearly complementary
• Population is ageing throughout the world but particularly in the more developed nations – Drop in birthrates – Increased life expectancy
Introduction
Resident Population Projection by age groups Portugal 2005 – 2050 (thousands)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2005 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Population < 15 Population 15-64 Population 65 +
Introduction
Resident Population ProjectionPortugal 2005 – 2050 (thousands)
10 000
10 200
10 400
10 600
10 800
11 000
2005 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Total Population
Introduction
Young and Aged Dependence Indices Projections Portugal 2005 – 2050
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2005 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Young Dependence I ndex Aged Dependence I ndex
Introduction
Ordinary state pensions are financed through a redistribution system (pay-as-
you-go)
System breakdown
Social Security System Reform
+Pension Funds Development
Introduction
• Pension funds (Portugal):– Supplementary to Social Security
System (SSS)– Way of financing occupational pension
plans (2nd pillar) and personal pension plans (3rd pillar)
– in some cases finances schemes that replace SSS (Banking sector)
Introduction• Pension Funds (EU)
The Directive on the activities and supervision of institutions for occupational retirement provision (IORP) represent both a challenge and an opportunity for the Portuguese pension funds market, namely:
– The EU pensions passport and supervision based on the home country control principle
– The possibility of companies of any Member State being allowed to manage pension funds of institutions located in a different Member State
Introduction
– The setting up of both freedom to provide services without barriers and freedom to invest subject only to coordinated prudential requirements
– The high level of protection and information for members and beneficiaries
The importance of the Portuguese pension funds
market
Legal Framework
Law no. 2/71 of 12th April 1971 • “companies whose aim is the management of
funds intended for group insurance relating to retirement, widow’s, disability or other pensions shall be governed by the provisions, suitably adjusted, applying to insurance companies”
Law no. 28/84 of 14th August 1984• Framework for supplementary payment
schemes
Legal FrameworkDecree-Law no. 325/85 of 6th August 1985 • First piece of legislation concerning pension
funds (no pension fund was set up under it).
Decree-Law no. 396/86 of 25th November 1986
• Allowed for the management of pension funds to be conducted by management companies set up for that purpose, as well as by life insurance companies.
Decree-Law no. 205/89 of 27th June 1989 • Retirement Saving Plans (RSP)
Legal Framework
Decree-Law no. 415/91 of 25th October 1991• Allowed for the financing by pension funds of
small and medium-sized companies’ supplementary pension schemes
• Less bureaucracy in the setting up of pension funds
• Participation of more than one manager in a pension fund
• Fund managers to take out insurance to guarantee payment relating to death or disability
• Distinction made between closed pension funds and open pension funds
Legal Framework
Decree-Law no. 204/95 of 5th August 1995• Equity Savings Plans (ESP) (to strengthen the
stock market )
Decree-Law no. 12/2006 of 20th January 2006
• Transposed EU Directive no. 2003/41/EC of 3rd June
Pension funds marketPension funds growth: 2001-2005
11,0
12,5
14,0
15,5
17,0
18,5
20,0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Pens
ion
Fun
ds
Mar
ket
(mill
ions
of
eur
os)
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Rea
l gro
wth
of
pens
ion
fund
s m
arke
t ab
ove
the
rea
l gro
wth
of
the
GD
P
Pension Funds Market (millions of euros)Real growth of pension funds market above the real growth of the GDP
Pension funds marketRatio of pension funds assets and insurance
assets to the GDP
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
PFA
/ G
DP
and
IA
/ G
DP0
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
PFA
/ I
A
PFA / GDP I A / GDP
(PFA + I A) / GDP PFA / I A
0.0
124.9
0.30.40.61.92.83.94.14.24.75.86,87.28.58.79.1
11.312.914.5
18.832.9
50.452.8
58.066.166.2
98.9117.4
123.2
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140%
NetherlandsI celand
SwitzerlandUnited States
United Kingdom (7)Finland (1)Australia
I reland (2)Canada
DenmarkJ apan (3)
Sweden (6)Portugal
New ZealandSpain (5)
PolandHungaryMexicoNorwayFranceAustriaBelgium
Czech RepublicGermany
I talyKorea
Slovak Republic (4)Luxembourg
TurkeyGreece
Pension funds marketThe importance of pension funds in OECD – 2005
In per cent of GDP
(1) Data for 2004 and 2005 include the statutory pension funds. (2) Source: Irish Association of Pension Funds. (3) Data do not include Mutual Aid Trusts; 2004 and 2005 data are estimates. (4) 2004 pension assets data is 2003. (5) Data for 2004 and 2005 include Mutual Funds. (6) Includes assets from the premium pension system for 2004 and 2005. 2005 data are
estimates. (7) 2005 pension assets data is staff estimates; 2002 pension assets data is 2001.
The structure of pension funds market
Growth in Pension Funds 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006*
Number of managing entities 30 28 28 27 26 27
Number of Pension Funds 236 231 229 221 223 232
Retirement Savings Plans (RSP) 17 20 21 22 20 20
Equity Savings Plans (ESP) 5 5 5 5 4 4
Other opened funds 19 19 20 21 28 33
Closed funds 195 187 183 173 171 175
Total Assets (millions of Euros) 14,808 15,879 16,283 15,185 18,982 21,171
Retirement Savings Plans (RSP) 411 401 412 430 446 485
Equity Savings Plans (ESP) 15 14 16 17 17 20
Other opened funds 205 239 292 351 508 665
Closed funds 14,177 15,225 15,563 14,387 18,011 20,001
Total Contributions (millions of Euros) 2,170 2,646 1,402 1,705 3,912 1,650
Retirement Savings Plans (RSP) 71 46 42 55 39 54
Equity Savings Plans (ESP) 3 2 1 2 1 2
Other opened funds 38 65 56 65 158 153
Closed funds 2,058 2,533 1,303 1,583 3,714 1,441
The structure of pension funds market
Closed / Opened pension funds
Closed RSP ESP Other open
94.5%
2.3%
0.1%
3.1%
5.5%
The structure of pension funds market
Closed Pension Funds and Collective Membership by economic sector (as % of total)
2004 2005
Banking 68.5% 71.1%
Communications and Transports 14.3% 12.8%
Production and distribution of electricity gas and water 6.5% 6.5%
I ndustry 6.0% 5.1%
I nsurance 1.8% 1.9%
Other fi nancial activit ies 1.0% 0.9%
Trade 1.2% 1.0%
Other 0.8% 0.6%
Features of the Portuguese pension funds
market
Pension Plans Closed Pension Funds and Collective Membership
by pension schemes (million of euros)2005
Closed pension funds 18,011
Defi ned Benefi t 17,717
Defi ned Contribution 30
Hybrid 264
Opened pension funds 971
RSP (Defi ned Contribution) 446
ESP (Defi ned Contribution) 17
Other 508
I ndividual membership (Defi ned Contribution) 129
Collective membership 379
Defi ned Benefi t 332
Defi ned Contribution 45
Hybrid 2
Membership Number of members and beneficiaries by type of
pension fund
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2005/2004
(a) Members 283,244 282,026 269,557 265,006 262,271 -1.0%
Closed funds 178,940 174,355 161,430 154,570 148,266 -4.1%
Retirement Savings Plans (RSP)61,565 64,593 65,579 65,279 63,230 -3.1%
Equity Savings Plans (ESP)3,436 3,443 3,274 2,861 2,429 -15.1%
Other opened funds39,303 39,635 39,274 42,296 48,346 14.3%
(b) Beneficiaries (1) 112,813 118,581 110,166 109,740 115,629 5.4%
(a) + (b) 396,057 400,607 379,723 374,746 377,900 0.8%
(b) / (a) 39.8% 42.0% 40.9% 41.4% 44.1%
Membership Members and beneficiaries by economic sector
2005
41%
15%
11%
18%
5%
10%
49%
13%
12%
13%
3%
10%
Members Benefi ciaries
Banking Communications and Transports
Production and distribution of electricity gas and water I ndustry
I nsurance Other
PensionsPension versus Pension funds total amount
(million of euros)
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
(a) Pensions 891 927 931 950 953
(b) Pension funds total amount 14,808 15,880 16,283 15,186 18,982
(a)/(b) 6.0% 5.8% 5.7% 6.3% 5.0%
PensionsPensions and contributions versus pension funds
total amount
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Ben
efici
arie
s /
Mem
ber
s an
d
Pens
ions
/ C
ontr
ibui
tion
s
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Pens
ions
/ A
mou
nt o
f pf
and
Con
trib
utio
ns /
Am
ount
of
pf
Number of Benefi ciaries / Number of members
Pension / Contributions
Pension / Amount of pension f unds
Contributions / Amount of pension f unds
PensionsNumber of beneficiaries and paid benefits by
type of fund and type of benefit - 2005
NumberThousand of
eurosNumber
Thousand of euros
NumberThousand of
eurosNumber
Thousand of euros
NumberThousand of
euros
Retirement 48,096 351,471 3,387 25,608 - - 1,892 7,576 53,375 384,655
Disability 31,090 381,360 65 321 - - 2,152 9,868 33,307 391,549
Early retirement / Pre-
retirement7,465 108,054 347 1,030 8 19 287 810 8,107 109,913
Survival 20,007 61,115 275 2,514 5 24 195 446 20,482 64,099
Long duration
unemployment / 5 34 318 1,878 - - 35 79 358 1,991
106,663 902,034 4,392 31,351 13 43 4,561 18,779 115,629 952,207
92.2% 94.7% 3.8% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 2.0%
Closed funds RSPOther opened
fundsTotalESP
Pensions% of beneficiaries and paid benefits per type of
benefit - 2005
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Retirement Disability Early
retirement /
Pre-retirement
Survival Long duration
unemployment /
serious illness
Benefi ciaries Paid benefi ts
Pensions% of paid benefits (closed pension funds) per
type of benefit and economic sector – 2005
Retirement DisabilityEarly retirement
/ Pre-retirementSurvival Total
Banking 14.0% 38,2% 7.7% 3.7% 63.6%
Communications and Transports 14.3% 2.0% 0.1% 0.2% 16.6%
Production and distribution of
electricity gas and water4.2% 0.6% 0.3% 1.5% 6.6%
I ndustry 3.3% 0.9% 1.4% 0.8% 6.5%
I nsurance 0.9% 0.4% 2.2% 0.0% 3.5%
Other 2.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 3.0%
39.0% 42.2% 12.0% 6.7% 100.0%
Financing level Closed pension funds by economic sectors -
2005
Financing
level
Minimum
financing level
Banking 98% 115%
Communications and Transports 76% 93%
Production and distribution of electricity gas and water 94% 188%
I ndustry 96% 112%
I nsurance 107% 128%
Other fi nancial activit ies 93% 144%
Trade 104% 118%
Other 57% 72%
94% 117%
Investments Investments breakdown by type of pension funds
2005 (million of euros)
Bill and bonds issued
by the public
administration
4,526 25.1% 189 42.3% 0 0.0% 79 15.6% 4,794 25.3%
Bonds issued by the
private sector2,635 14.6% 123 27.5% 0 0.0% 148 29.1% 2,906 15.3%
Shares 3,991 22.2% 19 4.3% 16 94.1% 21 4.1% 4,047 21.3%
Mutual funds 3,838 21.3% 95 21.3% 0 0.0% 190 37.4% 4,123 21.7%
Lands and buildings 1,532 8.5% 8 1.8% 0 0.0% 7 1.4% 1,547 8.1%
Cash and deposits 1,181 10.1% 16 3.6% 1 5.9% 66 13.0% 1,901 10.0%
Other -329 -1.8% -3 -0.7% 0 0.0% -3 -0.6% -335 -1.8%
18,011 100.0% 447 100.0% 17 100.0% 508 100.0% 18,983 100.0%
TotalClosed funds RSP ESPOther opened
funds
Investments Geographical breakdown of the pension funds
assets 2005
5%
2%
17%
6%
26%
14%
9%
20%
2%
70%
Bill and bonds issued by thepublic administrationBonds issued by the privatesectorShares
Mutual f unds
Bill and bonds issued by thepublic administrationBonds issued by the privatesectorShares
Mutual f unds
Other
Portugal30%
Other Countries
70%
Port
ugal
0O
ther
Cou
ntri
eso
Investments Geographical breakdown of the pension funds
assets, by type of investment product- 2005
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Bill and bonds
issued by the
public
administration
Bonds issued by
the private sector
Shares Mutual f unds
EU 25*
Portugal
Other
South America
North America
Conclusion• The maturity of Portuguese pension
funds has been proved by its substantial contribution towards:
– Increasing the Portuguese social protection;
– Developing the financial markets in
Portugal;
– Improving the savings rate.
Conclusion• The main conditions that might invert
the current stagnation of the market and generate a new pension funds cycle are:
– The Social Security reform;– The changes related to the 3rd pillar
(personal pension plans), which might also involve tax reforms;
– The reinforcement of the funding basis;– The creation of a real and complete
European internal market and the provisions established in the Directive on the activities and supervision of institutions for occupational retirement provision.