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* Joint Bavarian - Slovenian Endeavor For Innovative Air Quality Analysis The JOSEFINA * project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia Ehsan Khorsandi, Thilo Erbertseder, Frank Baier, Michael Bittner 13 March 2018 - Grenoble

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Page 1: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

* Joint Bavarian - Slovenian Endeavor For Innovative Air Quality Analysis

The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia

Ehsan Khorsandi, Thilo Erbertseder, Frank Baier, Michael Bittner 13 March 2018 - Grenoble

Page 2: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

* Joint Bavarian - Slovenian Endeavor For Innovative Air Quality Analysis

The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia

correspondence: [email protected]

Page 3: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Context • Introduction (JOSEFINA project)

• Polyphemus/DLR model

• Comparisons to MODIS AOD and OMI TNO2

• Outlook and Summary

Page 4: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Objectives of JOSEFINA project Monitoring and forecasting of aerosols in Bavaria and Slovenia based on Copernicus observations Based on combining:

• in-situ measurements

• satellite-based observations

• numerical modeling

Page 5: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Motivation: • Provide spatial information on pollution for policy makers and risk

groups.

• Strengthening of satellite remote sensing for air quality monitoring in Bavaria.

• Surprisingly weak or missing decrease of monitored pollution at in-

situ stations in Bavaria.

• Persistent biases in surface particulate matter in dispersion models.

Page 6: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Anthropogenic emission

Biogenic emission

Transport Transport

Wet Deposition

Dry Deposition

GAS Aerosols Aerosols

Air pollutants’ circulation in the troposphere

Page 7: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Polyphemus

Transport Chemistry Aerosol

...and how it is modelled by Polyphemus/DLR

WRF Bio (Megan model)

Anthropogenic (TNO)

Land/canopy Initial and Boundary condition

Atmospheric condition Emissions CORINE/LAI Long distance transport

Dry and wet deposition

Gas concentration Aerosol

Page 8: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Point sources

VIIRS NOAA satellite-derived night light maps

OpenStreetMap roads paths

Original TNO (7km) New emission map (2.2 km)

Downscaling process of TNO EU scale emission data set

Page 9: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Reference run 2011: Polyphemus configuration

• WRF 3.5 (GSF driven), Skamarock et al., 2008 • 10 km resolution for Central Europe

• Polyphemus (1.9) /DLR, Mallet et al., 2007; Bergemann CIC 2012

• Central European mother nest (top at 9 km alt.) • two 2 km grid nests = Bavaria / Slowenia (top at 3 km alt.)

• TNO anthropogenic emission data, Kuenen et al., ACP, 2014

• downscaled to 2.2 km grid

• Megan biogenic emissions, Guenther 2015

• SIREAM-SORGAM (sectoral) aerosol modules, Sportisse et al., 2006

Page 10: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Reference run 2011: observation data used

• Bavaria (LfU) in-situ station data via EEA online archive: NO2, SO2, PM10

• OMI TNO2, Boersma et al., 2007, 2011 • monthly means, 1/8° gridded KNMI v2.0

• MODIS AOD, Levy et al., 2013

• 10 x 10 km² DB/DT collection 6 product

Page 11: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Average tropospheric NO2 (year 2011)

Model OMI

Note: negative NO2 bias d.t. poor satellite coverage during polluted cold seasons?

Monthly averages!

Page 12: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Average AOD for year 2011

MODIS Model*

Positive model bias, but polluted areas mainly covered (* only observation days included)

Daily data!

Page 13: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Average AOD for year 2011

MODIS Model

Strong South – North gradient

Daily data!

Page 14: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Average AOD for year 2011

MODIS Model

Northern Germany: MODIS highest AOD near the coast areas

Daily data!

Page 15: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Ehsan Khorsandi, OP, 27.09.2017

Influence of model aerosol type on AOD estimation in different heights

Page 16: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Ehsan Khorsandi, OP, 27.09.2017

Influence of model aerosol type on AOD estimation in different heights

Strongest influence near/above PBL height.

Page 17: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Ehsan Khorsandi, OP, 27.09.2017

PM (API)

µg/m3

PM (NO3)

µg/m3

Annual cycle strongly varies among species

Page 18: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Summary • First steps towards Bavarian-Slovenian spaced-based pollution monitoring • Model results show that AOD estimation is highly influenced by aerosols in

higher altitudes. Thus, vertical resolution is important to get comparisons right.

• Aerosol composition strongly varies during the year. Composition is important to verify and understand aerosol sources.

Page 19: JOSEFINA project: air quality monitoring and simulation ... · The JOSEFINA* project: air quality monitoring and simulation over Bavaria and Slovenia ... • WRF 3.5 (GSF driven),

Thank You