july 30, 2014...q2 2013 q2 2014 $0.66 $0.68 4¢ -5¢ -2¢ 3¢ -1¢ weather other revenue income &...
TRANSCRIPT
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Second Quarter 2014
Earnings Conference Call
July 30, 2014
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Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain information contained in this presentation is forward-looking information based on current expectations and plans that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking information includes, among
other things, statements concerning projected cost and schedule for the completion of ongoing construction projects, earnings per share guidance, and the economic recovery. Southern Company
cautions that there are certain factors that can cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking information that has been provided. The reader is cautioned not to put undue reliance on
this forward-looking information, which is not a guarantee of future performance and is subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of Southern Company;
accordingly, there can be no assurance that such suggested results will be realized. The following factors, in addition to those discussed in Southern Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year
ended December 31, 2013, and subsequent securities filings, could cause actual results to differ materially from management expectations as suggested by such forward-looking information: the impact
of recent and future federal and state regulatory changes, including legislative and regulatory initiatives regarding deregulation and restructuring of the electric utility industry, environmental laws including
regulation of water, coal combustion residuals, and emissions of sulfur, nitrogen, carbon, soot, particulate matter, hazardous air pollutants, including mercury, and other substances, and also changes in
tax and other laws and regulations to which Southern Company and its subsidiaries are subject, as well as changes in application of existing laws and regulations; current and future litigation, regulatory
investigations, proceedings, or inquiries, including the pending Environmental Protection Agency civil actions against certain Southern Company subsidiaries, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
matters, and Internal Revenue Service and state tax audits; the effects, extent, and timing of the entry of additional competition in the markets in which Southern Company’s subsidiaries operate;
variations in demand for electricity, including those relating to weather, the general economy and recovery from the recent recession, population and business growth (and declines), the effects of energy
conservation measures, including from the development and deployment of alternative energy sources such as self-generation and distributed generation technologies, and any potential economic
impacts resulting from federal fiscal decisions; available sources and costs of fuels; effects of inflation; ability to control costs and avoid cost overruns during the development and construction of facilities,
which include the development and construction of generating facilities with designs that have not been finalized or previously constructed, including changes in labor costs and productivity factors,
adverse weather conditions, shortages and inconsistent quality of equipment, materials, and labor, contractor or supplier delay, non-performance under construction or other agreements, operational
performance, operational readiness, unforeseen engineering problems, and/or delays associated with start-up activities, including major equipment failure, system integration, and operations; ability to
construct facilities in accordance with the requirements of permits and licenses, to satisfy any operational and environmental performance standards, including any Public Service Commission (“PSC”)
requirements and the requirements of tax credits and other incentives, and to integrate facilities into the Southern Company system upon completion of construction; investment performance of Southern
Company’s employee and retiree benefit plans and the Southern Company system’s nuclear decommissioning trust funds; advances in technology; state and federal rate regulations and the impact of
pending and future rate cases and negotiations, including rate actions relating to fuel and other cost recovery mechanisms; legal and regulatory approvals and actions related to the Plant Vogtle
expansion, including Georgia PSC approvals and Nuclear Regulatory Commission actions; actions related to cost recovery for the integrated coal gasification combined cycle facility under construction in
Kemper County, Mississippi (“Kemper IGCC”), including actions relating to proposed securitization, Mississippi PSC approval of Mississippi Power Company’s proposed rate recovery plan, as ultimately
amended, which currently includes the ability to complete the proposed sale of an interest in the Kemper IGCC to South Mississippi Electric Power Association, the ability to utilize bonus depreciation,
which currently requires that assets be placed in service in 2014, and satisfaction of requirements to utilize investment tax credits and grants; Mississippi PSC review of the prudence of Kemper IGCC
costs; the outcome of any legal or regulatory proceedings regarding the Mississippi PSC’s issuance of the Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for the Kemper IGCC, the settlement
agreement between Mississippi Power Company and the Mississippi PSC, the March 2013 rate order approving retail rate increases consistent with the terms of the settlement agreement, or the State of
Mississippi legislation designed to enhance the Mississippi PSC’s authority to facilitate development and construction of baseload generation in the State of Mississippi; the inherent risks involved in
operating and constructing nuclear generating facilities, including environmental, health, regulatory, natural disaster, terrorism, and financial risks; the performance of projects undertaken by the non-utility
businesses and the success of efforts to invest in and develop new opportunities; internal restructuring or other restructuring options that may be pursued; potential business strategies, including
acquisitions or dispositions of assets or businesses, which cannot be assured to be completed or beneficial to Southern Company or its subsidiaries; the ability of counterparties of Southern Company
and its subsidiaries to make payments as and when due and to perform as required; the ability to obtain new short- and long-term contracts with wholesale customers; the direct or indirect effect on the
Southern Company system’s business resulting from terrorist incidents and the threat of terrorist incidents, including cyber intrusion; interest rate fluctuations and financial market conditions and the
results of financing efforts, including Southern Company’s and its subsidiaries’ credit ratings; the impacts of any potential U.S. credit rating downgrade or other sovereign financial issues, including
impacts on interest rates, access to capital markets, impacts on currency exchange rates, counterparty performance, and the economy in general, as well as potential impacts on the benefits of the U.S.
Department of Energy loan guarantees; the ability of Southern Company and its subsidiaries to obtain additional generating capacity at competitive prices; catastrophic events such as fires, earthquakes,
explosions, floods, hurricanes, droughts, pandemic health events such as influenzas, or other similar occurrences; the direct or indirect effects on the Southern Company system’s business resulting from
incidents affecting the U.S. electric grid or operation of generating resources; and the effect of accounting pronouncements issued periodically by standard setting bodies. Southern Company expressly
disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking information.
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Vogtle Construction Site as of July 24th, 2014
3
Cooling Towers
Unit 3 Unit 4
Unit 3
Annex Building
Nuclear Island Heavy Lift Derrick
Turbine Island
Condenser
Assembly
Unit 3 CA03
Turbine Island
Nuclear Island Unit 4
Unit 3 Containment Vessel
Module Assembly
Building
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Progress
Set bottom head
Nuclear island wall placements
Condenser assembly
Initiated CA20 module fabrication
Reactor vessel delivery (pic below)
Near-term
• Continue module fabrication
• Continue nuclear island wall installation
• Turbine building vertical construction
On the horizon
• Set CA04
• Set CB65
Unit 3 Unit 4
Vogtle Construction Update
4
Progress
Initiated CA01 module assembly
Nuclear island wall placements
Condenser installation completed
Initiated annex building construction
Near-term
• Set CA05 (wall module) (pic below)
• Set containment vessel lower ring
• Complete cooling tower vertical construction
On the horizon
• Nuclear island concrete placement to ground level
• Set CA01 module
• Initiate shield building installation
Unit 3 - CA05 Unit 4 – Reactor vessel
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Vogtle Units 3&4 Nuclear Island Activity
5
Current
View
Near Term
Unit 3 Unit 4
Unit 3 Unit 4
CA04
CA05
CB65
Lower Ring
CA05
Formwork
Concrete Placed
Pedestal Concrete
under CVBH
CA04
CB65
Formwork
Concrete Placed
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Kemper IGCC Update
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Progress “Pipe-tight” – 900,000 linear feet installed & ready for testing
Completed pneumatic pressure tests for both gasifiers
Water & wastewater systems ready
Upcoming • Combined Cycle in-service
• First gasifier fire expected late 3rd quarter or early 4th quarter
• First syngas production expected late this year
Kemper Project Risks
• Start-up activities
• Operational readiness
• Unforeseen engineering problems
• Labor costs & productivity
• Adverse weather conditions
• Shortages & inconsistent quality of equipment & materials
• Labor, contractor, or supplier delay
• Non-performance under construction or other agreements
• Operational performance
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Southern Power Project – Macho Springs
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Location: Luna County, New Mexico
Capacity: 50 MW*
• Acquired from First Solar in May
• 20-Year PPA with El Paso Electric
*Represents 100% Ownership (90% SPC, 10% Turner)
Southern Power, partnered with Turner Renewable Energy, now
has a solar portfolio of 7 projects totaling 291 MWs
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Q2 2014 Earnings Results
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Q2 YTD
Earnings Per Share $0.68 $1.08
Impact of increase in Kemper cost estimate - $0.26
Earnings Per Share x-items $0.68 $1.34
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Q2 2013 Q2 2014
$0.66
$0.68
4¢
-5¢
-2¢
3¢
-1¢
Weather
Other
Revenue
Effects
Non-fuel
O&M
D&A
Other Taxes Other
Income &
Deductions
Traditional
Operating
Companies 4¢
2¢
1¢
Interest
Expense
Q2 2014 vs. Q2 2013 Adjusted EPS Drivers
9 Note: Excludes Q2 2013 EPS impact of -32¢ related to increase in Kemper Project cost estimates; GAAP EPS was $0.34 for Q2 2013
-2¢
Shares
1¢
Other
Operating
Revenues
1¢
Economic
Growth
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13 Months of Continued Industrial Sales Growth
Retail Sales
10
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
Total Retail
As Reported Weather Normal
2.0%
1.3%
3.0%
2.1%
-0.6%
0.0%
3.0%
0.9%
Q2
• 10 largest industrial segments all
reflected year-over-year growth in
the 2nd quarter
• Housing related industries (lumber,
stone, clay & glass, and textiles)
continued to improve
• Elba Island LNG facility at
Savannah port to be one of
our largest customers
As Reported Weather Normal
8.5%
2.4%
2.9%
4.5%
0.3%
-0.1%
2.9%
1.1%
YTD
4.1% 3.2%
2.7%
1.7%
5.5%
7.9%
1.0%
3.6%
0.3%
4.4%
2.0%
3.3% 3.8%
Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14
Industrial Sales Growth % vs. Prior Year
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2014 Earnings Per Share
Q3 Estimate = $1.06 per share
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Appendix
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Generation Portfolio Diversity
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Capacity Factors Q2 YTD
2013 2014 2013 2014
Coal - PRB 75% 64% 74% 68%
Coal - Non-PRB 30% 43% 30% 44%
Gas - Combined Cycle 60% 60% 66% 58%
Energy Mix Q2 YTD
2013 2014 2013 2014
Natural Gas 39% 37% 43% 36%
Coal 39% 42% 36% 43%
Nuclear 16% 17% 16% 16%
Hydro/Other 5% 3% 5% 5%