kaleidoscopio_20151202
DESCRIPTION
kaleidoscopioTRANSCRIPT
1MONEX Grupo Financiero / Kaleidoscopio
Kaleidoscopio
IPC 43,417 puntos (-1.3%)
AmxL 13.3 (-3.1%)
Walmex* 43.8 (-0.4%)
Elaborado por: Juan Francisco Caudillo
Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb
-50
50
x10
MACD (-127.434)
3035
40
4550
5560
65Relative Strength Index (43.5759)
390395400405410415420425430435440445450455460465
x1000.0%
88.6%
100.0%
78.6%
88.6%
C ?
c)
C)
D)
E)
IPC (43,984.90, 44,024.95, 43,386.18, 43,417.05, -567.848)
Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3MACD (-0.18637)
35
40
45
50
55
60
65Relative Strength Index (39.4919)
13.0
13.5
14.0
14.5
15.0
15.5
16.0
16.5
17.0
17.5
78.6%
88.6%
AMXL (13.7500, 13.7800, 13.3000, 13.3300, -0.33000)
2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5MACD (0.15886)
404550556065707580Relative Strength Index (48.6399)
27282930313233343536373839404142434445464748
38.2%
50.0%
78.6%88.6%
WALMEX* (43.7400, 44.2200, 43.6600, 43.8200, +0.16000)
02 de diciembre de 2015www.monex.com.mx
@monexanalisis
Fuente: Metastock
2MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio 2
FemsaUbd 161.7 pesos (-0.4%)
GmexicoB 35.7 pesos (-1.9%)
GfnorteO 90.3 pesos (-1.3%)
Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5MACD (0.47158)
40
45
50
55
60
65
70Relative Strength Index (50.9385)
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
23.6%
38.2%
61.8%
78.6%
FEMSAUBD (160.000, 163.250, 160.000, 161.680, +0.65999)
Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
MACD (-1.18762)
303540455055606570Relative Strength Index (30.7145)
3536373839404142434445464748495051
0.0%
78.6%
100.0%
127.2%
GMEXICOB (36.4000, 36.4400, 35.2000, 35.6600, -0.85000)
Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb
-2.0-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.52.02.53.0MACD (0.42089)
303540455055606570
Relative Strength Index (52.4683)
75
80
85
90
95
100.0%
112.8%
127.2% GFNORTEO (91.5000, 92.0200, 89.3100, 90.3100, -0.29000)
Fuente: Metastock
3MONEX Grupo Financiero / KaleidoscopioFuente: Metastock
Kaleidoscopio InternacionalBOVESPA 44,915 puntos (-1.3%)
EDC* 214.8 pesos (-3.1%)
EDZ* 718.9 pesos (+4.4%)
Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb-30-25-20-15-10
-505
10152025MACD (-4.96789)
25303540455055606570Relative Strength Index (42.6454)
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
5000.0%
78.6%
161.8%
200.0%
A)
B)
C)
EDC* (217.000, 219.200, 212.000, 214.060, -8.74001)
Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
x100
MACD (-379.491)253035404550556065
Relative Strength Index (41.3183)
400
450
500
550
600
x100
78.6%
127.2%
161.8%
A)
B)
C) C)?
IBV (45,046.39, 45,338.44, 44,579.30, 44,914.53, -132.219)
Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 Feb
-50
0
50
MACD (3.73978)3540455055606570758085Relative Strength Index (52.8627)
35404550556065707580859095
100105110115120
x10
0.0%
78.6%
261.8%EDZ* (702.000, 726.000, 701.010, 715.000, +26.9001)
4MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Indicadores Técnicos
Emisoras (IPyC)Ultimo
PrecioSoporte Resistencia
Var vs
Soporte
Var % vs
Resist.
Rend. /
RiesgoRSI (9)
PMS
10 Días
% Precio
vs PM
PMS 30
Días
% Precio
vs PM
PMS 100
Días
% Precio
vs PM
PMS 200
Días
% Precio
vs PM
IPyC 43,417 40,000 45,000 -7.9% 3.6% 0.5 44 44,354 -2.2% 44,557 -2.6% 43,999 -1.3% 44,284 -2.0%
AC* 102.0 88.0 108.0 -13.8% 5.8% 0.4 51 104.2 -2.1% 103.6 -1.5% 97.5 4.4% 95.7 6.2%
ALFAA 34.2 30.0 36.0 -12.2% 5.4% 0.4 54 34.5 -0.9% 34.5 -1.1% 33.7 1.4% 32.5 4.8%
ALSEA* 58.9 53.0 62.0 -10.0% 5.3% 0.5 57 59.4 -0.9% 57.0 3.2% 53.1 9.7% 49.7 15.6%
AMXL 13.3 13.0 14.5 -2.5% 8.8% 3.5 45 13.9 -4.4% 14.1 -5.5% 14.7 -10.2% 15.2 -14.2%
ASURB 248.4 225.0 270.0 -9.4% 8.7% 0.9 38 258.9 -4.2% 261.8 -5.4% 253.3 -2.0% 234.8 5.5%
BIMBOA 47.3 40.0 50.0 -15.3% 5.8% 0.4 54 47.5 -0.5% 47.2 0.2% 43.9 7.1% 42.9 9.2%
CEMEXCPO 10.2 8.5 11.0 -16.3% 8.4% 0.5 49 10.2 -0.7% 10.6 -4.9% 12.3 -21.2% 13.4 -32.3%
COMERUBC 51.5 44.0 54.0 -14.5% 5.0% 0.3 83 50.8 1.2% 49.6 3.7% 48.6 5.6% 48.7 5.4%
ELEKTRA* 347.4 300.0 365.0 -13.7% 5.1% 0.4 59 356.4 -2.6% 342.9 1.3% 319.5 8.0% 364.6 -5.0%
FEMSAUBD 161.7 145.0 170.0 -10.3% 5.1% 0.5 46 164.1 -1.5% 164.6 -1.8% 152.8 5.5% 146.9 9.1%
GAPB 150.5 130.0 165.0 -13.6% 9.6% 0.7 48 156.2 -3.8% 153.5 -2.0% 141.6 5.9% 122.7 18.4%
GCARSOA1 74.3 65.0 80.0 -12.5% 7.7% 0.6 41 74.7 -0.5% 75.3 -1.3% 74.0 0.4% 69.5 6.4%
GENTERA* 32.0 27.0 34.8 -15.6% 8.7% 0.6 49 33.2 -3.8% 31.5 1.4% 28.6 10.6% 28.0 12.4%
GFINBURO 32.3 30.0 35.0 -7.2% 8.2% 1.1 49 32.1 0.8% 33.2 -2.7% 34.6 -7.0% 36.3 -12.2%
GFNORTEO 90.3 80.0 97.0 -11.4% 7.4% 0.6 53 91.1 -0.9% 91.0 -0.8% 85.0 5.8% 85.7 5.1%
GFREGIO 86.1 80.0 93.0 -7.1% 8.0% 1.1 34 88.6 -2.9% 89.6 -4.0% 91.3 -6.1% 87.5 -1.7%
GMEXICOB 35.7 35.0 40.0 -1.9% 12.2% 6.6 26 37.1 -3.9% 39.3 -10.1% 41.4 -16.1% 44.0 -23.3%
GRUMAB 249.0 215.0 262.0 -13.7% 5.2% 0.4 45 252.0 -1.2% 252.7 -1.5% 231.9 6.9% 213.8 14.2%
ICA* 3.2 3.0 4.5 -6.8% 39.8% 5.8 13 5.5 -72.3% 6.8 -109.9% 8.1 -151.3% 10.6 -229.9%
ICHB 57.8 50.0 62.0 -13.5% 7.2% 0.5 54 57.4 0.7% 59.1 -2.2% 58.8 -1.7% 60.9 -5.4%
IENOVA* 73.1 65.0 82.0 -11.0% 12.2% 1.1 36 74.5 -1.9% 76.7 -5.0% 76.4 -4.6% 79.3 -8.5%
KIMBERA 39.5 35.0 42.0 -11.3% 6.4% 0.6 44 40.2 -2.0% 40.1 -1.6% 37.9 4.0% 35.0 11.3%
KOFL 129.3 110.0 135.0 -14.9% 4.4% 0.3 55 129.2 0.0% 126.8 1.9% 121.6 5.9% 123.4 4.5%
LABB 13.0 11.5 14.0 -11.5% 7.8% 0.7 72 12.3 5.6% 12.0 7.6% 13.8 -6.4% 15.2 -17.2%
LALAB 40.5 38.0 44.0 -6.2% 8.6% 1.4 36 41.8 -3.1% 42.5 -4.8% 39.4 2.9% 35.6 12.3%
LIVERPOLC 216.6 200.0 240.0 -7.6% 10.8% 1.4 41 227.1 -4.9% 230.6 -6.5% 211.4 2.4% 193.2 10.8%
MEXCHEM* 40.2 38.0 44.0 -5.4% 9.6% 1.8 43 42.2 -5.1% 42.9 -6.8% 43.4 -8.1% 43.7 -8.8%
OHLMEX* 19.7 17.5 21.0 -11.2% 6.5% 0.6 49 19.5 1.2% 20.7 -5.2% 22.4 -13.5% 24.1 -22.1%
OMAB 78.8 75.0 88.0 -4.8% 11.7% 2.4 36 86.0 -9.1% 86.4 -9.6% 86.1 -9.2% 79.4 -0.8%
PE&OLES* 197.8 190.0 235.0 -4.0% 18.8% 4.8 41 208.3 -5.3% 222.6 -12.5% 234.1 -18.3% 253.3 -28.0%
PINFRA* 205.3 175.0 220.0 -14.8% 7.1% 0.5 51 206.7 -0.7% 207.3 -1.0% 190.4 7.3% 181.0 11.9%
SANMEXB 30.7 26.0 33.0 -15.3% 7.5% 0.5 50 32.3 -5.2% 30.7 0.0% 28.1 8.4% 29.7 3.1%
SIMECB 39.3 38.0 42.5 -3.3% 8.1% 2.5 55 38.9 1.1% 42.0 -6.9% 44.4 -12.9% 44.2 -12.5%
TLEVICPO 96.4 83.0 105.0 -13.9% 8.9% 0.6 52 96.0 0.5% 94.9 1.6% 99.3 -3.0% 104.9 -8.8%
WALMEX* 43.8 38.0 47.5 -13.3% 8.4% 0.6 36 45.3 -3.3% 44.6 -1.7% 41.1 6.2% 39.0 10.9%
Principales Indices
Dow Jones (EUA) 17,730 15,000 18,000 -15.4% 1.5% 0.1 63 17,761 -0.2% 17,676 0.3% 17,195 3.0% 17,586 0.8%
S&P (EUA) 2,080 1,800 2,115 -13.4% 1.7% 0.1 64 2,084 -0.2% 2,076 0.2% 2,035 2.1% 2,065 0.7%
Nasdaq Comp (EUA) 4,686 4,000 4,750 -14.6% 1.4% 0.1 66 4,664 0.5% 4,634 1.1% 4,467 4.7% 4,453 5.0%
UKX (RU) 6,421 5,500 6,500 -14.3% 1.2% 0.1 61 6,338 1.3% 6,333 1.4% 6,350 1.1% 6,616 -3.0%
DAX (Alemania) 11,190 9,000 11,350 -19.6% 1.4% 0.1 62 11,162 0.3% 10,916 2.5% 10,617 5.1% 11,085 0.9%
CAC (Francia) 4,906 4,000 5,000 -18.5% 1.9% 0.1 52 4,908 -0.1% 4,896 0.2% 4,798 2.2% 4,902 0.1%
IBEX (España) 10,342 8,800 10,500 -14.9% 1.5% 0.1 57 10,303 0.4% 10,334 0.1% 10,386 -0.4% 10,812 -4.5%
FTSEMIB (Italia) 22,552 19,000 22,800 -15.7% 1.1% 0.1 58 22,349 0.9% 22,345 0.9% 22,378 0.8% 22,688 -0.6%
NKY (Japón) 19,938 15,500 20,000 -22.3% 0.3% 0.0 62 19,869 0.3% 19,356 2.9% 19,238 3.5% 19,444 2.5%
HSI (China) 22,480 19,000 23,300 -15.5% 3.6% 0.2 51 22,442 0.2% 22,608 -0.6% 22,858 -1.7% 24,543 -9.2%
IBOV (Brasil) 44,915 40,000 50,000 -10.9% 11.3% 1.0 31 46,931 -4.5% 46,972 -4.6% 47,782 -6.4% 50,441 -12.3%
IPSA (Chile) 3,605 3,300 4,000 -8.5% 11.0% 1.3 22 3,752 -4.1% 3,808 -5.6% 3,799 -5.4% 3,884 -7.7%
Principales Divisas
MXN (Peso-Dólar) 16.56 16.25 17.30 -1.9% 4.4% 2.4 46 16.56 0.0% 16.61 -0.3% 16.59 -0.2% 15.97 3.6%
EUR (Euro-Dólar) 1.06 1.05 1.15 -1.0% 8.4% 8.0 38 1.06 -0.2% 1.08 -1.7% 1.11 -4.2% 1.10 -4.0%
GBP (Libra-Dólar) 1.49 1.45 1.60 -3.0% 7.1% 2.4 29 1.51 -1.1% 1.52 -1.8% 1.54 -2.9% 1.53 -2.6%
JPY (Yen-Dólar) 123.23 118.00 125.00 -4.2% 1.4% 0.3 62 122.84 0.3% 122.26 0.8% 121.78 1.2% 121.51 1.4%
BRL (Real B.-Dólar) 3.84 3.70 4.05 -3.6% 5.5% 1.5 57 3.77 1.6% 3.81 0.7% 3.69 3.8% 3.38 11.8%
ETFs (pesos)
NAFTRAC (IPyC) 43.4 38.0 46.0 -12.5% 5.9% 0.5 43 44.5 -2.3% 44.6 -2.7% 44.0 -1.4% 44.3 -2.0%
ANGEL (200% IPyC) 24.4 22.0 27.0 -9.8% 10.7% 1.1 41 25.6 -4.8% 26.0 -6.5% 25.7 -5.3% 27.0 -10.7%
DIABLO (-100% IPyC) 14.4 14.0 16.5 -2.6% 14.8% 5.8 48 14.2 1.0% 14.2 0.9% 14.5 -1.0% 14.7 -2.3%
EDC* (300% Emergentes) 214.8 150.0 270.0 -30.2% 25.7% 0.9 41 230.1 -7.1% 239.6 -11.6% 247.9 -15.4% 317.7 -47.9%
EDZ* (-300% Emergentes) 718.9 600.0 1,200.0 -16.5% 66.9% 4.0 53 674.8 6.1% 661.7 8.0% 711.2 1.1% 591.7 17.7%
FAS* (300% Financ. EUA) 520.0 410.0 600.0 -21.2% 15.4% 0.7 63 524.3 -0.8% 511.4 1.6% 497.4 4.4% 492.2 5.3%
FAZ* (-300 Financ. EUA) 650.0 630.0 900.0 -3.1% 38.5% 12.5 32 655.7 -0.9% 680.3 -4.7% 742.2 -14.2% 734.1 -12.9%
GLD* (Oro) 1,670.0 1,700.0 2,200.0 1.8% 31.7% 17.7 25 1,700.8 -1.8% 1,777.3 -6.4% 1,774.5 -6.3% 1,762.3 -5.5%
SLV* (Plata) 220.9 230.0 280.0 4.1% 26.8% 6.5 39 224.9 -1.8% 237.5 -7.5% 236.2 -6.9% 238.3 -7.9%
DIA* (Dow Jones) 2,944.7 2,500.0 3,050.0 -15.1% 3.6% 0.2 57 2,939.9 0.2% 2,919.4 0.9% 2,836.5 3.7% 2,784.2 5.5%
SPY* (S&P) 3,460.0 3,000.0 3,600.0 -13.3% 4.0% 0.3 58 3,469.0 -0.3% 3,449.2 0.3% 3,368.0 2.7% 3,287.3 5.0%
QQQ* (Nasdaq) 1,896.5 1,500.0 1,900.0 -20.9% 0.2% 0.0 59 1,890.6 0.3% 1,872.5 1.3% 1,799.0 5.1% 1,727.3 8.9%
EWZ* (Brasil) 381.0 330.0 480.0 -13.4% 26.0% 1.9 33 400.8 -5.2% 394.3 -3.5% 419.9 -10.2% 468.6 -23.0%
EWJ* (Japón) 206.3 175.0 220.0 -15.2% 6.6% 0.4 50 208.2 -0.9% 206.4 0.0% 203.3 1.5% 199.4 3.3%
EWG* (Alemania) 444.2 380.0 500.0 -14.5% 12.6% 0.9 59 445.8 -0.4% 443.9 0.1% 443.8 0.1% 447.6 -0.8%
EWU* (Inglaterra) 285.2 245.0 325.0 -14.1% 14.0% 1.0 53 285.6 -0.1% 287.4 -0.8% 288.5 -1.1% 288.1 -1.0%
EWP* (España) 501.9 475.0 600.0 -5.4% 19.5% 3.6 40 510.0 -1.6% 521.3 -3.9% 532.8 -6.2% 527.3 -5.1%
ERUS* (Rusia) 225.5 180.0 225.0 -20.2% -0.2% 0.0 60 220.8 2.1% 212.1 5.9% 211.0 6.4% #N/A N/A #¡VALOR!
Fuente: Monex con base en Bloomberg
5MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Análisis Técnico
6MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
Dirección de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil
Carlos A. González Tabares Director de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil T. 5231-4521 [email protected]
Daniela Ruíz Zárate Analista Económico T. 5231-0200 Ext. 0019 [email protected]
Fernando E. Bolaños S. Gerente de Análisis / Industrial, Petroquímico, Telcos T. 5230-0200 Ext. 0720 [email protected]
J. Roberto Solano Pérez Analista Bursátil / Construcción, Vivienda y Fibras T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4451 [email protected]
Verónica Uribe Boyzo Analista Bursátil / Alimentos y Bebidas T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4782 [email protected]
Giselle N. Mojica Plascencia Analista Bursátil T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4287 [email protected]
Laura Villanueva Ramírez Analista Bursátil T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4768 [email protected]
Stephany Ramírez Rojas Analista Deuda Corporativa T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4262 [email protected]
J. Francisco Caudillo Lira Analista Técnico Sr. T. 5231-0016 [email protected]
Astianax Cuanalo Dorantes Analista Sr. de Sistemas de Información T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4790 [email protected]
Directorio
7MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
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