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Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor Paulina Wilk June 2012 www.tse.fi/pei/

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Page 1: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

Kazakhstan slide packagefor a foreign investor

Paulina WilkJune 2012 www.tse.fi/pei/

Page 2: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

Contents

1. General information 3

2. Economic development 11

3. Political scene 17

4. Prosperity and consumption 22

5. External economic relations 27

6. Additional information 34

The information in this document is compiled and edited from a variety of sources.The Pan-European Institute assumes no responsibility for the completeness oraccuracy of the information.

Page 3: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

1. General informationa) Geographical facts

Land Area:land: 2 669 800 km2water: 47 500 km2total: 2 717 300 km2

Capital: Astana

Borders with:Turkmenistan 379 km,Aral Sea 1070 km,Kyrgyzstan 1224 km,China 1533 km,Caspian Sea 1894 kmUzbekistan 2203 km,Russia 6846 km.

Sources: CIA World Factbook

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Page 4: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

1. General informationb) Administrative and territorial constitution

Kazakhstan is divided into 14 provinces*:

Akmola, Aktobe, Almaty, Almaty Province, Astana, Atyrau, Baikonur, East Kazakhstan,Karagandy, Kostanay, Mangystau, North Kazakhstan, Pavlodar, South Kazakhstan, WestKazakhstan and Zhambyl.

Sources: CIA World Factbook*every province is subdivided into districts

4

Page 5: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

1. General informationc) Population

Population: Population growth rate:17 522 010 (July 2012 est.) 1,235% (2012 est.)

Major cities: (CityPopulation, 1.01.2012)Almaty 1 450 327Astana 742 918Shymkent 642 602Karagandy 475 370Aktobe 367 391Taraz 326 113

Share of urban population:59% of total population (2010)

Sources: CIA World Factbook

5

Page 6: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

1. General informationd) Basic facts

Industries:Oil, coal, iron ore, manganese, chromite, lead, zinc, copper, titanium, bauxite, gold,silver, phosphates, sulfur, uranium, iron and steel; tractors and other agriculturalmachinery, electric motors, construction materials

Agriculture:Grain (mostly spring wheat), cotton; livestock

Natural resources:Major deposits of petroleum, natural gas, coal, iron ore, manganese, chrome ore, nickel,cobalt, copper, molybdenum, lead, zinc, bauxite, gold, uranium

National Currency:Kazakhstani Tenge, KZT

Sources: CIA World Factbook,National Bank of Kazakhstan

Official exchnage rates:(As at June 8, 2012, National Bank of Kazakhstan)

EUR/KZT 186,77USD/KZT 148,64RUB/KZT 4,60

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Page 7: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

1. General informatione) Ethnicity & religion

Languages:Kazakh (Qazaq, state language)64,4%,Russian (official, used in everydaybusiness, designated the "language ofinterethnic communication") 95%(2001 est.)

Religions:Muslim 47%,Russian Orthodox 44%,Protestant 2%,other 7%.

Sources: CIA World Factbook (2009 cenzus)

Kazakh(Qazaq)63,10 %

Russian23,70 %

Uzbek 2,80%

Ukrainian2,10 %

Uighur1,40 %

Tatar 1,30%

German1,10 %

Other 4,50%

Ethnicity

7

Page 8: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

1. General informationf) Total population change*

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan*at the beginning of the year

14,2

14,4

14,6

14,8

15,0

15,2

15,4

15,6

15,8

16,0

16,2

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Mil

lio

ns

Population (million)

8

Page 9: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

1. General informationg) Population growth rate

Sources: The World Bank, WorldDevelopment Indicators; IndexMundi.com

0,00%

0,50%

1,00%

1,50%

2,00%

2,50%

3,00%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Population growth (% annual)

9

Page 10: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

1. General informationi) Transport infrastructure

Airports 97 (2010)

Ports & terminals Aqtau (Shevchenko),Atyrau (Gur'yev),Oskemen (Ust-Kamenogorsk),Pavlodar,Semey (Semipalatinsk)

Railways 15 079 kmbroad gauge: 15 079 km 1,520-m gauge (4 000 km electrified)(2010)

Roadways 93 612 kmpaved: 84 100 kmunpaved: 9 512 km (2008)

Sources: CIA World Factbook

10

Page 11: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

2. Economic developmenta) Real GDP growth

Sources: IMF World Economic OutlookDatabase April 2012p-projection

GDP per capita (PPP) estimate 2011:10 165 €(CIA, The World Factbook)

Exchange rates according to the National Bankof Finland, May 2012,EUR 1 = 1,2789 USD

0,0 %

1,0 %

2,0 %

3,0 %

4,0 %

5,0 %

6,0 %

7,0 %

8,0 %

9,0 %

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p 2013p 2017p

GDP estimate 2011:140,8 billion €

11

Page 12: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

Industry 31,70%

Wholesale & retailtrade; repair of motor

vehicles &motorcycles 14%

Real estate activities8,80%

Transportation &storage 7,10%

Construction 6,70%

Agriculture, forestry &fishing 5,10%

Professional, scientific& technical activities

4,60 %

Education 3,20%

Financial & insuranceactivities 3,10%

Information &communication

2,60 %

Other serviceactivities 13,10%

2. Economic developmentb) GDP by major sectors, 2011*

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan*preliminary data

12

Page 13: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

2. Economic developmentc) Labour force

2008 2009 2010 2011

Population 15 655 000 15 841 000 16 026 000 16 212 000*

Economically activepopulation

8 415 000 8 457 900 8 610 700 8 744 600

Unemployed 557 800 554 500 496 500 473 000

Unemployment rate 6,6% 6,6% 5,9% 5,4%

Unemployment projection 2012: 5,4%(IMF World Economic Outlook Database April 2012)

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan,United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision*forecast

13

Page 14: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

2. Economic developmentd) Employment by economic activity, 2011

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

Wholesale & retail trade; repair of motor vehicles…

Industry

Education

Construction

Transportation & storage

Human health & social work activities

Public administration & defence; compulsory…

Professional, scientific & technical activities

Real estate activities

Information & communication

Financial & insurance activities

Other service activities

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan

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Page 15: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

2. Economic developmente) Industrial production growth rate*

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan*growth as percent to previous year

0,0 %

2,0 %

4,0 %

6,0 %

8,0 %

10,0 %

12,0 %

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

15

Page 16: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

2. Economic developmentf) Industrial production growth rate* by sectors, 2010

7,2 % 5,8 %

26,5 %

-9,0 %

24,1 %

-31,7 %

49,4 %

2,8 %

13,2 %

21,4 %

35,6 %

11,5 % 12,2 %

-1,8 %

33,6 %

4,9 %9,0 %

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan*growth as percent to previous year

16

Page 17: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

3. Political scenea) Democracy

Democracy Index 2011Regime type: Authoritarian regimeDemocracy under stress

Overall rank

137/167

Electoral process & pluralism(on a scale from 0 to 10)

1,33

Functioning of government(on a scale from 0 to 10)

2,14

Political participation(on a scale from 0 to 10)

3,33

Political culture(on a scale from 0 to 10)

4,38

Civil liberties(on a scale from 0 to 10)

5,0

Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit

17

Page 18: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

3. Political sceneb) Business freedom

Ranking index Rank ofKazakhstan/

Total number ofcountries

World Democracy Audit overall ranking(World Audit, May 2012)

127/150

Press Freedom ranking(World Audit, May 2012)

128/150

Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012(World Economic Forum)

72/142

The 2012 Index of Economic Freedom(The Heritage Foundation)

65/179

Corruption Perceptions Index 2011(Transparency International)

120/183(11/20 within Eastern Europe

& Central Asia)

Ease of Doing Business 2012(World Bank)

47/183+11 change to the previous

year(6/24 within Eastern Europe

& Central Asia)18

Page 19: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

3. Political scenec) Doing business

Indicators Kazakhstan Eastern Europe &Central Asia

OECD

Starting a business

Procedures 6 6 5Time(days) 19 16 12Cost(% of income per capita) 0,8% 8,3% 4,7%Paid-in Min. Capital(% of income per capita) 0,0% 10% 14,1%

Registering property

Procedures 4 6 5Time(days) 40 33 31Cost(% of propert value) 0,1% 2,8% 4,4%

Source: The World Bank: Doing Business

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Page 20: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

3. Political scened) The most problematic factors for doing business

Sources: The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012*Answers selected by respondents

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%

CorruptionInadequately educated workforce

Access to financingInefficient government bureaucracy

Tax regulationsInflation

Tax ratesPoor work ethic in national labor force

Inadequate supply of infrastructureCrime & theft

Foreign currency regulationsRestrictive labor regulations

Poor public healthGovernment instability/coups

Policy instability

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Page 21: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

3. Political scenee) Taxes

Taxes Rate

The flat income tax rate 10,0 %

The standard corporate tax rate 20,0 %

Other taxes (excise taxes & VAT)& overall tax burden

21,5% of totaldomestic income

Governments spendings23,5% of total

domestic output

Public debt Less than 15% ofGDP

Sources: The Heritage Foundation

21

Page 22: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

4. Prosperity and consumptiona) Index of wages and salaries*

Exchange rates according to the National Bankof Kazakhstan, 12 June 2012,EUR 1 = 187,24 KZT

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan*as percent to previous year

-5,00%

0,00%

5,00%

10,00%

15,00%

20,00%

25,00%

30,00%

35,00%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Nominal

Real

22

Page 23: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

4. Prosperity and consumptionb) Average monthly earnings by economic activity, April 2012

0 € 200 € 400 € 600 € 800 € 1 000 € 1 200 €

Financial & insurance activitiesProfessional, scientific & technical activities

Information & communicationTransportation & storage

IndustryConstruction

Public administration & defence; compulsory…Administrative & support service activities

Wholesale & retail trade; repair of motor…Real estate activities

Accomodation & food service activitiesHuman health & social work activities

Arts, entertainment & recreationEducation

Agriculture, forestry & fishingOther service activities

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan Exchange rates according to the National Bankof Kazakhstan, 12 June 2012,EUR 1 = 187,24 KZT 23

Page 24: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

4. Prosperity and consumptionc) Average monthly income & outgoings*

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan*per capita

0 €

50 €

100 €

150 €

200 €

250 €

300 €

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Monetary income

Monetary outgoings

Exchange rates according to the National Bankof Kazakhstan, 12 June 2012,EUR 1 = 187,24 KZT

24

Page 25: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

4. Prosperity and consumptiond) Consumer Price Inflation (average, %)

Sources: IMF World Economic OutlookDatabase April 2012p-projection

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p 2013p 2017p

25

Page 26: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

4. Prosperity and consumptione) Retail trade turnover (billion €)

Exchange rates according to the National Bankof Kazakhstan, 12 June 2012,EUR 1 = 187,24 KZT

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

12,0

14,0

16,0

18,0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Bill

ion

s€

26

Page 27: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

5. External economic relationsa)Development of foreign trade (billion €)

Sources: National Bank of Kazakhstan

0,0

10,0

20,0

30,0

40,0

50,0

60,0

70,0

80,0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Bill

ion

s€

Export

Import

Exchange rates according to the Bank ofFinland, May 2012,EUR 1 = 1,2789 USD

27

Page 28: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

5. External economic relationsb) Foreign trade structure, 2010

Export Commodities Import

- Machinery & equipment 38,9%

74,9 % Mineral products 14 %

13,3 % Metals 11,9%

5,1 % Chemicals 14,2 %

3,4 % Food products -

3,3 % Others 21 %

Sources: Netherlands embassy in Astana and Almaty, Kazakhstan

28

Page 29: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

5. External economic relationsc) Major export and import partners in 2011

Sources: The Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan

China 18,5 %

Italy17,1 %

Russia 8,5 %

Netherlands7,5 %France 6,1 %

Switzerland5,6 %

Austria 4,4 %

Others32,3 %

Export

Russia42,8 %

China 13,2 %Germany

5,5 %

Ukraine4,6 %

USA 4,5 %

Italy 3,0 %

Others26,4 %

Import

29

Page 30: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

5. External economic relationsd)Foreign Direct Investment inflows (billion €)

Sources: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2011 Exchange rates according to the Bank ofFinland, May 2012,EUR 1 = 1,2789 USD

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

12,0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Bill

ion

s€

30

Page 31: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

5. External economic relationse) FDI stock

2000 2010

FDI inwardstock 7,9 billion € 63,6 billion €

FDI outwardstock 12,5 million € 12,6 billion €

Sources: UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2011;Exchange rates according to the Bank of FinlandMay 2012, 1 EUR = 1,2789 USD

31

Page 32: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

5. External economic relationsf) FDI by countries, 2010

Sources: Netherlands embassy in Astana and Almaty, Kazakhstan

Netherlands33,3 %

France 8,6 %

China 6,9 %

UK 5,9 %

Russia4,0 %

Others 41,3 %

32

Page 33: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

5. External economic relationsg) FDI by sectors 2010

Main sectors

Real estate activities, lease & services 50,6 %

Mining industry 20,7 %

Processing industry 12,1 %

Trade, repair of motor vehicles & household products 6,3 %

Construction 3,4 %

Transport & communications 2,3 %

Production, distribution of electricity, gas & water 0,6 %

Others 4,0 %

Sources: Netherlands embassy in Astana and Almaty, Kazakhstan

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Page 34: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

6. Additional informationa) Business services and authorities

BUSINESS SUPPORTING SERVICESFinpro in Russia and Kazakhstan

http://www.finpro.fi/en-US/Business/Market+Knowledge/Finpro+Russia/

Investment Promotion Agency of Republic of Kazakhstan “Kazinvest”http://www.kazinvest.kz/

Invest in Kazakhstanhttp://www.investkz.com/en/

Kazahkstan Investment Fundhttp://www.kif.kz/

SOME AUTHORITIESGovernment of the Republic of Kazakhstan

http://en.government.kz/Ministry of Finance

http://www.minfin.kz/index.php?lang=engMinistry of Foreign Affairs

http://portal.mfa.kz/Central Bank of Kazakhstan

http://www.nationalbank.kz/ Information subject to changes

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Page 35: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

6. Additional informationb) Embassy and European Comission’s Delegation

Embassy of Finland in KazakhstanContacts:

Finland ConsulateBogengai batyr 188-12Almaty, KazakhstanPhone.: +73272-922715E-mail: [email protected]

Delegation of the European Commission to KazakhstanContacts:

Kosmonavtov Street 62,Astana, 010000, KazakhstanPhone: +7/3172/ 979 561Fax: +7/3172/ 979 563Email: [email protected]

Information subject to changes

35

Page 36: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

6. Additional informationc) Other sources

CIA World Factbookhttps://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/kz.html

FINPROhttp://www.finpro.fi/en-US/Finpro/

International Labour Organizationhttp://www.ilo.org/global/lang--en/index.htm

The Agency of Statistics of Republic of Kazakhstanhttp://www.eng.stat.kz/Pages/default.aspx

The Heritage Foundationhttp://www.heritage.org/

Information subject to changes

36

Page 37: Kazakhstan slide package for a foreign investor · Caspian Sea 1894 km Uzbekistan 2203 km, Russia 6846 km. Sources: CIA World Factbook 3. 1. General information b) Administrative

6. Additional informationc) Other sources

The United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE)http://www.unece.org/

United Nations Conference of Trade and Developmenthttp://www.unctad.org/en/

United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects: The2010 Revision

http://esa.un.org

Information subject to changes

37