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TRANSCRIPT
8/1/2011
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Armen R. KemanianDept. Crop & Soil Sciences
Penn State University
Life Cycle Analysis for Bioenergy
University Park, PA
26-27 July, 2011
Carbon and Nitrous Oxide in LCA
Why is this important?Introduction
� In grain, forage, and biomass production systems both
the net C balance and the emission of N2O are the
main factors affecting the farm-gate LCA outcome
� Agriculture is responsible for approximately 75% of the
total GHG attributable to N2O emissions in the US
� EPA 2010: to qualify as “renewable”, advanced biofuels
GHG emissions must be 50% of those from petroleum
based fuel over the fuel lifecycle
� Management for improving the C balance or to reduce
N2O emissions may involve optimizing the outcome for
multiple criteria
� These are two pieces of a complicated puzzle! The rest
of the analyses focuses on these two pieces
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The C and N cyclesIntroduction
Inputs of organic Carbon through photosynthesis
Losses of CO2 or CH4 through respiration or fermentation
GRAIN
FORAGE
RESIDUES
Exported from farm for animal or human consumption.
Most C respired or fermented, a fraction returned as
manure or biosolid.
Exported or not, ~50% respired or fermented (CH4), the
rest returned to the soil as manure
Most returned to the soil, with a large fraction (>80%)
respired as CO2
� The net balance is usually accounted for in the soil organic
carbon pool, but as we can see, the overall LCA is more
evolved. I will focus on the crop and soil aspects
The C and N cyclesIntroduction
N2O
N2O
Emission during
Nitrification
Emission during
Nitrification
Emission during
Denitrification, N2 and N2O
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The carbon balance equationCarbon
This equation states that the change in storage is equal the gains of C
minus the losses of C for a given time interval
At equilibrium:
Sc = soil organic carbon
Rc = residue input
hx = humification coefficient
k = soil organic carbon decomposition (apparent respiration) coeff.
= Inputs - Outputs
The carbon balance equationCarbon
Soil carbon increases through
higher inputs:
Increase residue inputs!
Limitation is soil C saturation,
unlikely in most soils in temperate
conditions
Soil carbon increases through
reduction in losses:
Reduce k, the decomposition rate,
by maintaining the soil drier (with
crops that use the water, possible)
or cooler (more difficult) or flooded
(not the point obviously), or with
less mechanical disturbance,
and with minimal erosion
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Carbon balance and bioenergy cropsCarbon
Increase residue inputs
Simplistic proposition:
Biofuel production entails removing
biomass, not returning it to the soil
But…
This biofuel offsets emissions from
fossil fuel, therefore a neutral C
balance is possibly a net gain
More sophisticated proposition:
Capture more radiation and water
by intensifying the cropping
sequence (cover crops?)
Increase inputs through the roots of
perennials (depth)
Reduction in C losses
Tillage: reduce tillage type or
directly the frequency of tillage by
using perennial crops
Soil moisture: more cropping or
perennial crops minimize the
period of wet soils (e.g. after
harvest)
Erosion: perennial crops reduce
erosion, and so does the use of no-
till in most circumstances
Carbon balance and bioenergy cropsCarbon
There are too many factors to consider, how do we evaluate them?
(1) Experimentally (long term, limited number of scenarios)
(2) Using simulation models
DPM SPM RPM
Biomass
Labile
Meta-
stable
Stable
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DPM SPM RPM
Biomass
Labile
Meta-
stable
Stable
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
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))))COCOCOCO2222
KKKK3333(1(1(1(1 ----EEEE3333
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KK KK22 22 EE EE
22 22
KKKK3333EEEE3333
KKKK5555(1(1(1(1----EEEE5555
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KKKK9999EEEE9999
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KKKK6666(1(1(1(1 ----EEEE6666
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KK KK4m
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Carbon Input
Soil Carbon
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The sources of nitrous oxideNitrous Oxide
Nitrous oxide is produced by several processes in the soil, the most
important of which are microbial denitrification and nitrification
Denitrification consists on the sequential reduction of nitrate (NO3) to
NO, N2O, and N2
Nitrification is the process by which NH4 is oxidized to NO3; N2O is a
byproduct (~0.3%). The process is fast in aerobic conditions.
In terms of the N mass balance, the N2O losses are low. In GHG terms,
however, a loss of 1 kg of N2O-N equates to ~54 kg of C
So, a small flux that in GHG terms is too important. Quantifying it is as
challenging as it gets for LCA
Factors that promote the losses Nitrous Oxide
The whole process is somewhat perverse:
NH4 NO3
N2O
nitrificationdenitrification
N2, N2O
FertilizerMineralization
DepositionUrine / Manure
Fertilizer
MineralizationDeposition
NH3
� N entering as NH4 has two chances to be emitted as N2O � When residues decompose, a fraction of the N is recycled back through
NH4!� To uptake sufficient N a non-legume crop needs available NO3
(perennials somewhat bypass it by internal recycling; the extent to which it can be coupled to high biomass removal is unknown)
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Factors that promote the losses Nitrous Oxide
NH4 NO3
N2O
nitrificationdenitrification
N2, N2O
FertilizerMineralizationDepositionUrine / Manure
FertilizerMineralizationDeposition
NH3
Available C for heterotrophic respiration (residues, roots, organic matter)Low oxygen (< 10% of the absolute porosity filled with air)Fully anoxic conditions drive almost all of the denitrified N to N2; maximum N2O rates are shifted with respect to maximum denitrification rates
Typical rates: Natural environments < 1 kg N2O-N ha-1 yr-1
Ag systems ~ 2 to 4 kg N2O-N ha-1 yr-1
Higher losses reported > 40 kg N2O-N ha-1 yr-1
ManagementNitrous Oxide
By keeping NO3 low
Control of fertilization rates
Use of non-nitrate sources
Use of nitrification-inhibitors
Use of perennial crops?
Use of switchgrass / poplar or
willow as buffer strips?
By controlling factors affecting the rate other than the NO3 level
Place fertilizer away from C source
Manage soils to provide good
drainage, e.g. avoiding compaction
Minimize N inputs when soil is
moist and prone to higher moisture
(snowmelt; marginal lands)
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Nitrous oxide and bioenergy cropsNitrous oxide
There are too many factors to consider, how do we evaluate them?
(1) Experimentally (long term, limited number of scenarios)
(2) Using simulation models
(3) Yes, the same as slide 8 for C!
DPM SPM RPM
Biomass
Labile
Meta-
stable
Stable
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
KKKK1111EEEE1111
KKKK1111(1(1(1(1----EEEE1111
)))) KKKK2222(1(1(1(1----EEEE2222
))))COCOCOCO2222
KKKK3333(1(1(1(1 ----EEEE3333
))))
KK KK22 22 EE EE
22 22
KKKK3333EEEE3333
KKKK5555(1(1(1(1----EEEE5555
))))
KKKK9999EEEE9999
KKKK8888EEEE8888
KKKK6666(1(1(1(1 ----EEEE6666
))))
KK KK4m
4m
4m4mEE EE44 44
KK KK4l
4l
4l4lEE EE
44 44
KK KK77 77EE EE77 77
KKKK7777(1(1(1(1----EEEE7777
))))
KK KK55 55 EE EE
55 55
KK KK66 66EE EE66 66
DPM SPM RPM
Biomass
Labile
Meta-
stable
Stable
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
COCOCOCO2222
KKKK1111EEEE1111
KKKK1111(1(1(1(1----EEEE1111
)))) KKKK2222(1(1(1(1----EEEE2222
))))COCOCOCO2222
KKKK3333(1(1(1(1 ----EEEE3333
))))
KK KK22 22 EE EE
22 22
KKKK3333EEEE3333
KKKK5555(1(1(1(1----EEEE5555
))))
KKKK9999EEEE9999
KKKK8888EEEE8888
KKKK6666(1(1(1(1 ----EEEE6666
))))
KK KK4m
4m
4m4mEE EE44 44
KK KK4l
4l
4l4lEE EE
44 44
KK KK77 77EE EE77 77
KKKK7777(1(1(1(1----EEEE7777
))))
KK KK55 55 EE EE
55 55
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Carbon Input
Soil Carbon
A commentary on modelsModels
“… why do this? … The answer I’d give is that models are an enormously important tool for clarifying your thought. You don’t have to literally believe your model — in
fact, you’re a fool if you do — to believe that putting
together a simplified but complete account of how things
work … helps you gain a much more sophisticated
understanding of the real situation. People who don’t use
models end up relying on slogans that are much more
simplistic than the models — [fill in with your favorite
slogan] all of which are just wrong some of the time”.
Paul Krugman
November 18, 2010 http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/18/debt-deleveraging-and-the-liquidity-trap/
8/1/2011
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A simple model for a simple systemExample
Disclaimer: This is a hypothetical situation. The crop yield
and soil properties are fictional and any similarity with a
real situation is mere coincidence
Soil: 50 Mg C ha-1 in topsoil (0.3 m)
Crop: Maize producing
3 Mg ha-1 of root (~1.3 Mg of C)
8 Mg ha-1 of residue (~3.5 Mg of C)
8 Mg ha-1 grain, removed from the field
Fertilization: 150 kg N as ammonium nitrate
A simple model for a simple systemExample
Assume:
�The k or soil apparent respiration is 1.5% per year
� The humification is about 16% (i.e. stabilization of residue
inputs)
� About 0.75% of the fertilizer is lost as N2O
Then:
Soil C respired: 0.015 x 50 = 0.75 Mg ha-1 yr-1
Residue C humified: 0.16 x (1.3 + 3.5) = 0.77 Mg ha-1 yr-1
Therefore soil C is approximately in steady state
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A simple model for a simple systemExample
What about nitrous oxide?
N2O-N lost 0.0075 x 150 = 1.1 kg ha-1 yr-1
This is, approximately, equivalent to 0.06 Mg ha-1 yr-1 of C
lost.
Therefore, the GHG balance is slightly negative. It is worth
noting that nitrous oxide losses can be much larger
A simple model for a simple systemExample
We can conclude that:
Further removal of C by harvesting the residue may tilt the
balance towards soil C losses (and erosion).
However, removal coupled with the incorporation of a
cover crop may restore the equilibrium, effectively
intensifying the system. And if that cover crop includes a
legume, it may reduce the need of external N inputs.
Once again, models become extremely important to help
think through the impact of different management options
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There are limitations!Notes
�Quantitatively, most controls of soil carbon dynamics
have been incorporated in simulation models, yet we are
still unable to use these models without much
supervision
�Soil carbon is rarely uniform across the landscape
1 m 40 m 600 m
The Palouse as study caseNotes
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Frequency distribution of CsNotes
Frequency distribution of soil organic carbon in the profile (left panel), the top 0.3-m of the profile (middle
panel) and between 0.3 and 1.5 m in the Cook Agronomy Farm in eastern Washington (n = 177).
Huggins et al., unpublished
Profile SubsoilTopsoil
Soil Carbon and Carbon InputsNotes
Huggins et al., unpublished
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Topsoil C in the landscapeCART
CART for soil organic carbon in the topsoil (A.depth = thickness of the A horizon, curv.pln = plan curvature, ems00 =
electromagnetic conductivity in spring of 2000, Bw.depth = depth of the Bw horizon, flod = flow direction).
Huggins et al., unpublished
Soil carbon in the Palouse regionNotes
Fraction of cases in the upper, middle or lower third of
soil productivity and topsoil organic carbon
If productivity is stable:
25% of area could gain soil carbon
47% of area is likely at equilibrium with inputs
28% of area could lose soil carbon
Soil Carbon Low Medium High
Productivity
Low .175 .124^ 0.03^
Medium .102���� .119 .119^
High .062���� .096���� .175
8/1/2011
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Soil carbon in Texas, modeling studyNotes
Change in soil carbon when moving a system from till
(CT) to reduced till (RT) or no-till (NT), and viceversa.
SD=0.5 Mg ha-1
-1.00
-0.75
-0.50
-0.25
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
0 20 40 60 80 100
Ch
an
ge i
n S
OC
(M
g h
a-1
)
Years
Change from CT to RT
Change from CT to NT
Change from NT to RT
Change from NT to CT
Meki et al., unpublished
Soil carbon in Texas , modeling studyNotes
Change in soil carbon when moving a system from till
(CT) to reduced till (RT) or no-till (NT), and viceversa.
Meki et al., unpublished
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Nitrous oxide, hypothetical landscapeNotes
Concluding Remarks
� Tools are available that compute the carbon balance and
nitrous oxide emission of a system
� Variation in the landscape is known but difficult to
quantify and manage. Advances in this area are rapid.
� To provide useful outputs, simulation models need
adequate inputs
� Pairing biofuel production with landscape management
appears as a strategy that can greatly enhance the
appeal of bioenergy crops and have a favorable impact in
the LCA of biofuels
� As a side note, I will be happy to show the simulation
model Cycles to those interested in the C and N2O angles