keynote @ jax 2009: bank it - hitting the wall?

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Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG Bank IT – Hitting the Wall ? The Financial Crises achieves instantaneously What the Markets Tried For Years

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The financial crises challenges IT in the financial industry more than any where else. In a place where many experiments were completed and project failure was a common thing, the budgets are getting tight and business contribution is a must. This is happening while load on IT systems is increasing. This presentation shows where IT in the financial industry has to change an shows the direction for such change.

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Page 1: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Bank IT – Hitting the Wall ?The Financial Crises achieves instantaneously What the Markets Tried For Years

Page 2: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Bank IT – First Mover with Many Successes

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 3: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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… and Many Huge @§!%-ups

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

More than 80% of IT projects with a budget > USD 1M are considered failures.

95% of all IT projects are not completed in time or in budget – that is if they are completed at all.

Still everything is marketed as great success – HAHA.

Page 4: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Bank IT in Decline?

0

50

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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Ind

ex (

2003

= 1

00)

IT-Budget Financial Services Europe*Eurex-Contracts**

DJ STOXX® Financials (31.12.200x)****

Electronic Money Orders in Germany per citizen

Sources:: *) Celent "IT Spending in Financial Services: A Global Perspective, New York, 9.1.2009, 28.12.2007, "IT Spending Trends in European Banking, 2005", Paris, 20.7.2005, "Celent Expects IT Spending at European Banks to Exceed EU44.6 bn in 2004", Paris, 26.4.2004**) Eurex Pressemeldungen 1.10.2008 und 5.1.2009***) Capgemini „World Payments Report 2008“; nur „non-cash“ d. h. elektronische ZV-Transaktionen****) Dow Jonex STOXX®, www….Zusammenstellung: Dr. Udo Milkau, 5.4.2009

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 5: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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The Market Will Take Care of It (IT?),,,

It is not the battle computer science vs. spaghetticode

It is TCO vs. business contribution

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 6: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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… So What Does It Mean?

From a business perspective IT must yield a well defined contribution to business IT has to deal with more load with less budget

From a technical perspective No more experiments !!! Time-to-Market before „scientific beauty“.

From a social perspective No more geek pampering !!! Users are King!

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 7: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

What Does this Mean forInfrastructure

Page 8: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Dynamic is the Magic Word

Virtualization: no fancy concept, but normal craftsmanship.

Speed: 14 days for setting up a new infrastructure is not a small miracle any more, in fact it is really slow.

Scalability: from „we own this anyway“ to „on demand“ models.

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 9: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Outsourcing !

IT cost is the main driver for outsourcing whole processes (BPO).

Security is no longer an excuse for „have to own“.

Identity Management makes tasks dividable.

Separation of infrastructure and applications through professional deployment procedures.

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 10: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

What Does this Mean forArchitects and Developers

Page 11: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Attack on Centralized Approaches ? !

RUP vs. Agile Development

SOA(religion) vs. SOA (idea)

Analysis & Design

Configuration & Change Mangement

Deployment

Business Modeling

Requirements

Test

Implementation

Inception ConstructionElaboration Transition

Phases

Project Managment

Environment

Initial E1 E2 C1 C2 CN T1 T2

Iterations

Disziplines

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 12: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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SOA– Reuse or Simply Overhead?

Source: http://blogs.msdn.com/usisvde/archive/2009/01/06/soa-is-dead-long-live-well-services.aspx

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 13: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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IT Experts Will Be Process Experts…

Portal Service …

Business Need

Process Design

JVM

JAVA Container

JSF Spring JSR 168

OSGI …

Hibernate

JNDI …

Groovy …

Old Style: 90% technology,10% process

Marketing now: 20% technology,80% process

Future: 5% technology, 95% process

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 14: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Programming Is NOT Creative!Code Should Be Generated…

Creativity takes place BEFORE code is written. That is especially true for complex programming problems.

User interface, algorithms and architecture building are creative processes.

Source: Liquid Technologies (rechts) http://www.liquid-technologies.com/ AndroMDA (links) http://www.andromda.org/

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 15: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

What Does this Mean forIT Operation

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Banana Software Will Be Returned to SenderIT Operation Is Overloaded as Is!

Bad software will not go live!

SW != theoretically possible problem solution.

Sep05

Okt05

Nov05

Dez05

Jan06

Feb06

Mar06

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Mai06

Jun06

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Okt06

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30.000

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0

Num

ber

of T

icke

ts

handledmanually

handledautomatically

SW Releases

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 17: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Factory Approaches and Their Limits…

Factory models are basdon economies of scaleand therefor rely onstandardization.

An excellent approach,

but

Economies of scale cannot be extended ad infinitum.

Factories can only cover „standard“, but differentiation is a key factor for business success.

marginal cost

item

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 18: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Cloud Computing or the Final Frontier for Administrators Today:

Good Administrator = know the infrastructure you are taking care of like your own back yard.

Effective administration = Instant reaction to upcoming issues within the known architecture based upon EXPERIENCE.

With Clouds: Application infrastructure changes by the second.

Formally highly valued knowledge is worthless. The experiences are tied to an static architecture an

cannot be reapplied to a dynamic infrastructure.

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG

Page 19: Keynote @ JAX 2009: Bank IT - Hitting the Wall?

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Outsourcing, Nearshoring, Offshoring or Would You Like to Consider Automation?

CRAFTSMAN MANUFACTURE INDUSTRY KNOWLEDGE WORK

Hans-Christian Boos, arago AG