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King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

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Page 1: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

King Saud UniversityWomen Students

Medical Studies & Science Sections

College of Science

Department of Statistics and Operation Research

Lectures of Stat_324

Page 2: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

CHAPTER FOUR

SOME DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

Page 3: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

4.1 Discrete Uniform Distribution:

If the random variable X assume the values with equal probabilities, then the discrete uniform distribution is given by:

)1(0

,...,,,1

),( 21

elsewhere

xxxXK

KXP K

Page 4: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

Theorem:

The mean and variance of the discrete uniform distribution are:),( KXP

)2(

)(

, 1

2

21

K

X

K

XK

i

K

ii

Page 5: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

EX (1):

When a die is tossed once, each element of the sample space occurs with probability 1/6. Therefore we have a uniform distribution with:

Find:1. 2. 3.

}6,5,4,3,2,1{S

6,5,4,3,2,1,6

1)6,( XXP

( 3)P x

(1 4)P x

(3 6)P x

Page 6: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

Solution:

1.

2.

3.

(1 4)P x 1 1 1 3

( 1) ( 2) ( 3)6 6 6 6

P x P x P x

2( 3) ( 1) ( 2)

6P x P x P x

2(3 6) ( 4) ( 5)

6P x P x P x

Page 7: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

EX (2):

Solution:

For example (1): Find 2 and

1

2

2 1

2 2 2 2 2 2

1 2 3 4 5 63.5

6

( )

(1 3.5) (2 3.5) (3 3.5) (4 3.5) (5 3.5) (6 3.5) 35

6 12

k

ii

k

ii

X

k

X

k

Page 8: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

4.2 The Bernoulli Distribution:

Bernoulli trials are an experiment with:

1) Only two possible outcomes.2) Labeled as success (S), failure (F).3) Probability of success , probability

of failure .

p1 ( 1)q p p q

Page 9: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

Theorem:

Bernoulli distribution has the following function:

The mean and the variance of the Bernoulli distribution are:

1( ) , 0,1 (3)X Xf x p q x

2 (4)p and pq

Page 10: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

Ex (3):

Solution:

Toss a coin and let the random variable x get a head, find:

1. 2.

( 1)P x 2,

( ) 1/ 2, 1/ 2x H P H q 0( 1) (1/ 2)(1/ 2) 1/ 2P x

21/ 2, (1/ 2)(1/ 2) 1/ 4p pq

Page 11: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

4.2.1 Binomial Distribution:

The probability distribution of the binomial random variable X, the number of successes in n independent trials is:

( , , ) , 0,1,2,...., (5)X n Xn

b x n p p q x nx

Page 12: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

Theorem:The mean and the variance of the

binomial distribution b(x, n, p) are:

* The Binomial trials must possess the following properties:

1) The experiment consists of n repeated trials.2) Each trial results in an outcome that may be

classified as a success or a failure.3) The probability of success denoted by p remains

constant from trial to trial.4) The repeated trials are independent.5) The parameters of binomial are n,p.

2 (6)np and npq

Page 13: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

EX (4):According to a survey by the Administrative

Management society, 1/3 of U.S. companies give employees four weeks of vacation after they have been with the company for 15 years. Find the probability that among 6 companies surveyed at random, the number that gives employees 4 weeks of vacation after 15 years of employment is:

a) anywhere from 2 to 5;b) fewer than 3;c) at most 1;d) at least 5;e) greater than 2;f) calculate

2and

Page 14: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

Solution:

2 4 3 3 4 2 5 1

6, 1/3, 2 /3

( ) (2 5) ( 2) ( 3) ( 4) ( 5)

6 6 6 61 2 1 2 1 2 1 2

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 32 3 4 5

240 160 60 12 472

729 729 729 729

n p q

a P x P x P x P x P x

0.647729

0 6 1 5 2 4

( ) ( 3) ( 0) ( 1) ( 2)

6 6 61 2 1 2 1 2

3 3 3 3 3 30 1 2

64 192 240 4960.68

729 729 729 729

b P x P x P x P x

Page 15: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

0 6 1 5

( ) ( 1) ( 0) ( 1)

6 61 2 1 2

3 3 3 30 1

64 192 2560.351

729 729 729

c P x P x p x

5 1 6 0

( ) ( 5) ( 5) ( 6)

6 61 2 1 2

3 3 3 35 6

12 1 130.018

729 729 729

d P x P x P x

Page 16: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

0 6 1 5 2 4

( ) ( 2) 1 ( 2) ( 0) ( 1) ( 2)

6 6 61 2 1 2 1 21

3 3 3 3 3 30 1 2

64 192 240 496 2331 1 0.319

729 729 729 729 729

e P x P x P x P x P x

2

1 6( ) (6)( ) 2

3 3

1 2 12(6)( )( ) 1.333

3 3 9

f np

npq

Page 17: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

EX (5):The probability that a person suffering

from headache will obtain relief with a particular drug is 0.9. Three randomly selected sufferers from headache are given the drug. Find the probability that the number obtaining relief will be:

a)exactly zero;b)at most one;c) more than one;d) two or fewer;e)Calculate

2and

Page 18: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

Solution:

3, 0.9, 0.1n p q

0 33( ) ( 0) 0.9 0.1 0.001

0a P X

0 3 1 2

( ) ( 1) ( 0) ( 1)

3 30.9 0.1 0.9 0.1

0 1

0.001 0.027 0.028

b P x P x P x

Page 19: King Saud University Women Students Medical Studies & Science Sections College of Science Department of Statistics and Operation Research Lectures of Stat_324

0 3 1 2

( ) ( 1) 1 ( 1) 1 [ ( 0) ( 1)]

3 31 [ 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.1

0 1

1 (0.001 0.027) 1 0.028 0.972

c P X p x P x P x

0 3 1 2 2 1

( ) ( 2) ( 0) ( 1) ( 2)

3 3 30.9 0.1 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.1

0 1 2

0.001 0.027 0.243 0.271

d P x P x P x P x