kingdom of jerusalem cycles v - insiide track trading...bubble-bursting and currency debacle -...

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© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 1 www.insiidetrack.com 09/2010 Sept. 2010 - Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles are beginning with global geophysical instability projected to coincide with Middle East geopolitical instability in 2010/ 2011. That is when battles for the ‘Kingdom of Jerusalem’ are expected to escalate and pave the way for dramatic events in 2017/2018 and the years that ensue. The following are excerpts from the May & Sept. 2010 INSIIDE Tracks - addressing related cycles focused on 2011 and ultimately on 2017/2018. Nov. 2010 ushers in a related cycle that projects a high likelihood of flash-point battles in the Middle East - expected to ultimately usher in a new geopolitical reality. The significance of this cannot be overstated. If those cycles are fulfilled in 2010/2011, it would intensify the focus on 2017/2018 - when Jeru- salem ‘liberation’ & occupation cycles converge and are expected to usher in a decisive decade, stretching into 2027/2028. Much like the Fall of Acre - 720 years ago (2 mega cycles of time that each span 360 years or 360 giant degrees) - expected battles & government overthrows in 2011 should strongly impact the coming decades... Outlook 2010 - 2011... Mile Markers 04-29-10 - If you ask anyone along the Gulf Coast, April 19/20th could go down as a new ‘Date of Infamy’. Though it is still too early to tell, that date has the potential to be a ‘game-changer’ in America’s energy policy. How long will it be until a politician has the guts to yell: ‘Drill, baby drill!’ To put this - and several other events of the past few weeks - into proper context, it is critical to review the purpose of cycles in market, geopolitical and geophysical analysis. Most important, one must remem- ber that cycles are a means of timing events, just as a clock or calendar time events. This does NOT make them the cause. A clock striking 5:00 does not cause thousands of workers to suddenly stop working. And Jerusalem: 2010/2011 Cycles V Middle East Analysis Recap CONTENTS Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles.....1 INSIIDE Track excerpts……...1 - 5 “...Let us run with patience the race that is set before us.” Hebrews 12:1 by Eric S. Hadik Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles V 2010/2011 Battles Imminent

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Page 1: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles V - INSIIDE Track Trading...bubble-bursting and currency debacle - beginning in September--November 2007. Here again, September ushered in dramatic changes

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 1 www.insiidetrack.com

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles V © ITTC - 09/2010

Sept. 2010 - Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles are beginning with global geophysical instability projected to coincide with Middle East geopolitical instability in 2010/ 2011. That is when battles for the ‘Kingdom of Jerusalem’ are expected to escalate and pave the way for dramatic

events in 2017/2018 and the years that ensue.

The following are excerpts from the May & Sept. 2010 INSIIDE Tracks - addressing related cycles focused on 2011 and ultimately on 2017/2018. Nov. 2010 ushers in a related cycle that projects a high likelihood of flash-point battles in the Middle East - expected to ultimately usher in

a new geopolitical reality. The significance of this cannot be overstated.

If those cycles are fulfilled in 2010/2011, it would intensify the focus on 2017/2018 - when Jeru-salem ‘liberation’ & occupation cycles converge and are expected to usher in a decisive decade, stretching into 2027/2028. Much like the Fall of Acre - 720 years ago (2 mega cycles of time that each span 360 years or 360 giant degrees) - expected battles & government overthrows in 2011 should strongly impact the coming decades...

Outlook 2010 - 2011...

Mile Markers

04-29-10 - If you ask anyone along the Gulf Coast, April 19/20th could go down as a new ‘Date of Infamy’. Though it is still too early to tell, that date has the potential to be a ‘game-changer’ in America’s energy policy. How long will it be until a politician has the guts to yell: ‘Drill, baby drill!’

To put this - and several other events of the past few weeks - into proper context, it is critical to review the purpose of cycles in market, geopolitical and geophysical analysis. Most important, one must remem-ber that cycles are a means of timing events, just as a clock or calendar time events. This does NOT make them the cause. A clock striking 5:00 does not cause thousands of workers to suddenly stop working. And

Jerusalem: 2010/2011 Cycles V

Middle East Analysis Recap

CONTENTS

Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles.....1

INSIIDE Track excerpts……...1 - 5

“...Let us run with patience the race that is set before us.” Hebrews 12:1

by Eric S. Hadik

Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles V 2010/2011 Battles Imminent

Page 2: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles V - INSIIDE Track Trading...bubble-bursting and currency debacle - beginning in September--November 2007. Here again, September ushered in dramatic changes

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles V © ITTC - 09/2010

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 2 www.insiidetrack.com

a cycle does not cause events to occur.

However, in some cases cycles do become a type of self-fulfilling prophecy when observers react in anticipation of what is expected to come. Even then, however, reality will eventually resume control and validate or invalidate the preemptive actions of these observers.

The 3 ‘C’s of Cycles:

Culmination, Cessation & Creation...

In addition to NOT being a cause, cycles are NOT just a culmination. They might time an interven-ing culmination or cessation, but they also the crea-tion of a new phase or stage of the same process. The diagram (Hadik’s Cycle Progression) attempts to provide an illustration of this principle.

The reason for emphasizing this now is that 2010 & 2011 are two of those pivotal years that are expected to see a crescendo or culmination of certain cycles and the simultaneous creation of others.

In many ways, it could be like the parabolic part of a trend when an initial peak will be seen but will soon be surpassed as other, larger and more power-ful cycles take hold…

There are a myriad of reasons, cycles & anniver-saries that hone my focus to November 2010 for a decisive flash-point in the Middle East…the 11-Year Cycle of Middle East Wars… the Islamic Revolution and the anniversary of the November 1979 hostage-taking at the US Embassy.

The year of 2010 is a 31-year Cycle Progression from 1917 (Battle of Jerusalem; first Christian to en-ter/control Jerusalem in centuries; breakup of Otto-man Empire and restructuring of entire Middle East) to 1948 (War of Independence for Israel - from May 1948 to March 1949) to 1979 (Islamic Revolution; US/

Iran conflict) to 2010.

Within that Cycle Progression, the month of No-vember has timed or triggered each event. Novem-ber 2, 1917 was the Balfour Declation (preceding December 1917 liberation of Jerusalem); November 29, 1947 was Arab rejection of UN Partition Plan (Resolution 181) for Palestine; November 4, 1979 was US Embassy hostage-taking.

November 2010 is also linked to the oft-repeated Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles that reach fruition in 2011. It is 720 years (2 major cycles of 360 degrees) from the death of Qalawun in November 1290 - whose aim was to destroy all the Crusader states in Palestine/Middle East. His son completed the task in 1291 (with remaining conquests - like Haifa - in the ensuing 1-2 years).

The final 10% of that 720-year cycle began in November 1938, the precise time of a devastating decision for Jews in the Holocaust. The MacDonald White Paper was published on November 9, 1938, and approved by Parliament in May 1939... restricted number of Jews allowed to immigrate to Palestine from 1940 - 1944. The rest were left to fend for them-selves.

November is also the anniversary of other Ahmadinejad events. Could November 2010 be his

Hadik’s Cycle Progression TM

www.insiidetrack.com

Page 3: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles V - INSIIDE Track Trading...bubble-bursting and currency debacle - beginning in September--November 2007. Here again, September ushered in dramatic changes

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 3 www.insiidetrack.com

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles V © ITTC - 09/2010

downfall... or the beginning of his end??? Could an attack on Iran/Syria in November 2010 (preemptive or retaliatory) set the stage for a Middle East Peace Agreement in 2011 (culmination of ‘Kingdom of Jeru-salem Cycles’ discussed for a decade)???

A lot of ‘volatility’ is expected before then…

Watch November 2010 into late-2011 for the next stage in the Battle for the ‘Kingdom of Jerusa-lem’. IT

[End of excerpt from May 2010 INSIIDE Track.]

Outlook 2010 - 2011... The Expected… and the Unexpected

08-31-10 - September often ushers in a time of great transition. On a micro-level, families adjust to a dramatic change of pace - shifting from Summer va-cations, trips and sometimes boredom - to the school-time structure & regimen, sports & extra-curricular activities and the shift in seasons. It is a time that sees a sudden change from relaxation and/or com-placency to work, work, work. That change is pre-dictable. It is expected. Such is also the case on a macro-level, in politics, economics and/or military aspirations. A couple of examples come to mind…

For over 2 years - from 1999 into mid-2001 - I warned about War Cycles coming into play in August--October 2001 and a unique religious cycle in Sep-tember 2001 and cycles related to ‘surprise attacks on America’s shores’. September 2001 ushered in dramatic changes - from complacency to chaos to a great challenge for American Society.

For over 3 years - from 2004--2007, I tried to focus readers’ attention on September 2007 - when a cycle of great, global transition was expected (beginning with the Jewish Year of 5768 - on Sep-tember 13, 2007). Throughout 2007, I detailed the impact of the 17-Year Cycle that was projected to trigger a 2-3 year stock market crash, real estate bubble-bursting and currency debacle - beginning in

September--November 2007.

Here again, September ushered in dramatic changes - from complacency to chaos to a great challenge - for American, and Western, Society. And now, September 2010 is likely to usher in a new phase of dramatic changes that could ultimately cre-

ate a move from complacency to chaos to a great challenge for Global Society…

Commodities Rule

Consider this: The last 10 years has seen a steady transition - away from paper assets and into hard assets (commodities). The price/value of stocks, savings, Dollar-denominated assets of almost any kind and the Dollar itself have all dropped dra-matically.

Meanwhile, Gold & Silver surged 400--500%, the price of oil surged over 1,200% (and is still about 600% above its decade-ago lows), Wheat saw a surge of 500% and is currently about 200% higher than decade-ago levels, Sugar surged 500% from 2002 into 2010 (and is still 300% above 2002 lows), Soybeans are currently valued at about 250% of what they were in 2001… and most other commodi-ties are similar.

And, if prevailing technical & cyclical analysis is accurate, the Grain markets just put in a bottom in early-June 2010 (a cycle low that had been identified & anticipated for 6-7 months - see http://www.insiidetrack.com/grain_cycles.html for analysis dating back to December 2009) and are only in the early stages of a new bull market… IT

[End of excerpt from Sept. 2010 INSIIDE Track.]

Sept. 2010 - Sept.--Nov. 2010 represents the expected transition in Major Middle East cycles that is projected to pave the way for Jerusalem liberation cycles in 2017/2018 and a host of momentous cycles that converge in the decade that follows.

The Jewish Year of 5771, encompassing Sept. 2010--Sept. 2011, represents the convergence of multi-year, multi-decade, multi-century and even multi-millennial cycles related to Israel & the Middle East. For many years, turmoil has been projected for 2010/2011 - when renewed Middle East battles, coups or overthrows should ultimately have a direct and momentous impact on Israel. Those events could reach initial fruition in 2017/2018 - one ’week of time’ later - and trigger acceleration in the decade

that follows (leading into 2027/2028).

As already explained, geophysical cycles pro-jected massive earthquakes in 2010--2011, as com-

modity & inflation cycles predict another surge. IT

Page 4: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles V - INSIIDE Track Trading...bubble-bursting and currency debacle - beginning in September--November 2007. Here again, September ushered in dramatic changes

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles V © ITTC - 09/2010

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 4 www.insiidetrack.com

SEPTEMBER 2010 & THE 17-YEAR CYCLE: A NEW MIDDLE EAST REALITY?

8-30-10 - For the past 10+ years, I have outlined Middle East cycles converging during this time - with the

initial crescendo expected in 2011, when Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles reach fruition (see Focus 5768 Reports).

From a Jewish Year perspective, 5771 (encompassing most of 2011) begins in the coming month. Part of the

discussion on the 17-Year Cycle also focused on this time frame in the Middle East. With respect to Middle East

Peace Accords, September 2010 is when a new 17-Year Cycle begins. In order to understand why, let’s go back

about two decades...

A momentous 3-Year Process began on September 11, 1990, when President George H.W. Bush gave his

notorious ‘New World Order’ speech. This speech was in response to the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, an event that

has kept the US intimately involved - and located - in the Middle East for the past 20 years. (Don’t read anything

into that statement, other than an observation of two facts: Iraq invaded Kuwait and the US has had increased

troop strength in/around Iraq ever since. Others can debate the political, moral, ethical aspects of that sepa-

rately.)

The process accelerated with the Madrid Conference of October 30--November 1, 1991 - which included

Israel, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan & Palestinians - and continued with secret meetings in Dec. 1992. All of this cul-

minated - almost exactly 3 years later - with the signing of the Oslo Accord on September 13, 1993.

September 2010

September 13, 2010 is the culmination (and transition) of a 17-Year Cycle from the Oslo Accord. I would

not be surprised if September 2010 was, similarly, the beginning of a new 3-year process in a parallel to Sept.

1990--Sept. 1993. And, right on schedule, the US is preparing for peace talks with Israel & the PLO… in Sep-

tember 2010.

[Keep in mind that this topic is not suddenly being raised now, in response to the latest US plans. The sig-

nificance of September 2010 - culminating a decisive 17-Year Cycle in Middle East geopolitics - has been ex-

amined for over 2 years, including the August 2008 INSIIDE Track discussion on various Middle East Accords

during the month of September. September 2010 was the focus then - in 2008 - and September 2010 is the

focus now.]

Although its applicability is questionable, it is worth noting that late-2010 also represents a type of 16-year

‘Cycle Progression’, linking the only two Middle East nations to normalize relations with Israel - Egypt in 1978

and Jordan in 1994. Late-2010 is another 16-years forward and could bring about some sort of related event.

September/October 2010 is 1 ‘week’ of time - a 7-year period - from when Mahmoud Abbas resigned as

the first Prime Minister of the PLO. The interesting aspect of this is that Abbas was the PLO signatory on the

Oslo Accord in September 1993. So, September/October 2010 is a cyclically-significant time for Abbas.

Of course, September 2010 is also the culmination of a 3-year process that could be linked to the events of

September 6, 2007. That is the date of Operation Orchard, in which Israeli planes bombed and destroyed an

alleged Syrian nuclear facility, constructed with assistance and supplies from North Korea...

Almost unnoticed in this event was the initial ‘stress’ created between Turkey & Israel. Up until that time,

the two nations had been acting as allies, even conducting military exercises together. During Operation Or-

chard, Israel is alleged to have violated Turkish airspace - for which they quickly apologized. However, that

may have been a turning point in their relationship. The beauty of 20/20 hindsight allows us to see the steady

deterioration (subtle at first, but gaining momentum in the past year) of Turkish/Israeli relations since then. Sep-

tember 2010 is 3 years later.

Page 5: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles V - INSIIDE Track Trading...bubble-bursting and currency debacle - beginning in September--November 2007. Here again, September ushered in dramatic changes

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 5 www.insiidetrack.com

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles V © ITTC - 09/2010

A ‘Bear’ish Season

Another ‘process’ began in September 2007… As long-term readers know, 2007 was the culmination of

multiple 17-Year Cycles related to Stock Market manias & crashes, real estate bubbles, currency implosions, etc.

For over a decade, I identified September/October 2007 (the beginning of the fateful transition Jewish Year of

5768) as a time that would usher in a new global reality. And, as readers should be aware, I have repeatedly

linked the emergence (and/or hibernation) of the Russian ‘Bear’ with the emergence (and/or hibernation) of the

global, stock market ‘Bear’.

On September 11, 2007, the Russian ‘Bear’ awakened as Russia tested the ‘Father of All Bombs’ - in-

tended to offset the threat of the US ‘Mother of All Bombs’. (Do we see a pattern with these September 11th

dates? This test came exactly 17 Years after the New World Order revelation of September 11, 1990.) The

DJIA topped 1 month/30 days later - on October 11, 2007 (precisely 17 Years from its October 11, 1990 bottom).

The rest is history.

2010 - 2013: A Series of Cycle Culminations

September 2010 begins a series of cycle culminations. In addition to the 17-Year Cycle pinpointing Sep-

tember 2010, there is also a 10-year ‘Cycle Progression’, connecting the Sept. 11, 1990 introduction to the New

World Order with the Sept. 13, 2000 Oslo culmination. That is when Oslo I projected Palestinian statehood, an

event derailed when Arafat rejected multiple concessions at the Camp David meetings and instead declared a new

intifada. Sept. 11--13, 2010 is the next in this 10-Year Cycle. In 2011, Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles culmi-

nate…

Watch September 2010--September 2013 for multiple Middle East developments. IT

Information is from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Due to futures’ volatility, recommendations are subject to change

without notice. Readers using this information are solely responsible for their actions and invest at their own risk. Past performance is no guarantee of future

results. Principles, employees and associates of INSIIDE Track Trading Corporation may have positions in recommended futures or options. No part of this

publication may be reproduced or re-transmitted without the editor’s written consent. All Tech Tips (underlined and italicized) -- as well as the term Tech

Tips -- are trademarks of INSIIDE TRACK Trading Corporation and all unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited.

Copyright 2010 INSIIDE Track Trading Corporation

INSIIDE TrackTM newsletter is published monthly with periodic Special Reports. Eric S. Hadik -- Editor

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HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PER-FORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETI-CAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.