kingdom of spain economic policy and 2010 funding strategy secretary of state for the economy...
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![Page 1: Kingdom of Spain Economic Policy and 2010 Funding Strategy Secretary of State for the Economy February 2010](https://reader038.vdocument.in/reader038/viewer/2022103123/56649d775503460f94a599fd/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Kingdom of Spain
Economic Policy and 2010 Funding Strategy
Secretary of State for the EconomyFebruary 2010
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~2009~2
• Highlights
• The long growth cycle and the crisis
• Fiscal consolidation and structural reform
• Funding Strategy of the Kingdom of Spain
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3
• Long growth cycle previous to the international crisis • Important challenges ahead: Unemployment and deficit, consequence of the crisis but also symptoms of underlying structural shortcomings• The Spanish Government is determined to act:
• Fiscal consolidation: A cut of 5.7% of GDP in structural primary deficit in 2010-2013
• Structural reforms to boost potential GDP: Sustainable Economy, Bank Reorganisation, Pensions, Labour Market
• Strengths: Sound financial system, low Debt/GDP, institutional ability for reform
Highlights
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4
• Highlights
• The long growth cycle and the crisis
• Fiscal consolidation and structural reform
• Funding Strategy of the Kingdom of Spain
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5
1994-2008: Convergence and Debt reduction
Source: Eurostat.
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Spain
Euro-area
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Euro-area
Spain
Debt to GDP(% nominal GDP)
Source: Eurostat.
• GDP per capita has leapt forward, exceeding the average of EU-25
• Fiscal rigour during the good times allowed debt to GDP to be more than halved
GDP (Year on year real growth rates)
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10
15
20
25
30
Belgium Germany Spain France Italy
2000 2005 2009*
6
Investment binge: housing and beyond
Investment rate vs. Savings rate(% nominal GDP)
Source: Eurostat.* 2009Q3
18
22
26
30
34
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Savings rate Investment rate
Source: Eurostat.
• What has fuelled domestic demand is a soaring investment rate, with the national savings rate staying close to Eurozone average
• The housing boom is part of the story, but not the whole story
Savings rate (% nominal GDP)
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6789
1011121314
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Full-time equivalent employees Gross Value Added
7
Investment binge: housing and beyond
• The residential real estate sector grabbed a non-sustainable share of GDP and employment…
Source: National Statistics Institute, Spain.
Construction Sector: Gross Value Added and Employment (% Total Value Added and of Total Employment)
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8
Investment binge: housing and beyond
Investment in equipment (average growth, 1995-2008, %)
0
2
4
6
8
10
Germ
any
Netherlands
Finland
Austria
EU
-15
Denm
ark
UK
Italy
France
Spain
Source: Eurostat
Investment in equipment (average growth, 1995-2008, %)
0
2
4
6
8
10
Germ
any
Netherlands
Finland
Austria
EU
-15
Denm
ark
UK
Italy
France
Spain
0
2
4
6
8
10
Germ
any
Netherlands
Finland
Austria
EU
-15
Denm
ark
UK
Italy
France
Spain
Source: Eurostat
• …but Spain has also invested heavily in equipment, infrastructure and Research and Development
Investment in equipment (average growth, 1995-2008 in percent)
Source: Eurostat.
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
EU-27 GERMANY FRANCE ITALY UK SPAIN
Public Investment(% of GDP)
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0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Bel
gium
Ger
man
y
Spa
in
Fra
nce
Italy
Uni
ted
Kin
gdom
9
Intensive in employment
Source: Eurostat. Labor Force Survey.
Active population (Growth rates from 2005Q1 to 2009Q3)
Labor productivity (Relative to EU-27, PPP)
Source: Eurostat. Labor Force Survey.
• Residential construction attracted low skilled labour, dragging productivity lower
• Labour supply matched this demand with the help of immigration flows
100101102103104105106107
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
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95100105110115120125
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Spain Italy Germany France
8090
100110120130140
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Spain Italy Germany France
10
Cost competitiveness
Source: Eurostat.
Unit labour cost index(Relative to eurozone 1999=100)
Source: Eurostat
Manufacturing ULC index(Relative to eurozone 1999=100)
• Loss of competitiveness has been moderate in the tradable sector
• Nominal divergence stems from non-tradables (where the bulk of the adjustment is taking place)
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50
75
100
125
150
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Spain Germany France United States
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Spain Germany France United States
11
Exports show underlying improvement in supply
Share in world merchandise exports(Index 2000=100)
Share in world exports of services* (Index 2000=100)
Source: International Monetary Fund. Source: World Trade Organisation. * Services other than transportation and travel.
• In spite of brisk domestic demand and waning price competitiveness…
• …Spain's market shares have outperformed most of peers
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Share of service exports in the OCDE, by service
0
2
4
6
8
10
Tota
l
Tran
spor
tatio
nse
rvic
es
Tour
ism
Com
mun
icati
ons
Arch
itect
ural
,co
nstr
uctio
n,an
d en
gine
erin
g
Insu
ranc
e
Fina
ncia
l
Info
rmati
onse
rvic
es
Roya
lties
and
pate
nts
Oth
erPr
ofes
sion
alse
rvic
es to
Ente
rtai
nmen
t
Gov
ernm
ent
2000
2007
12
Services Exports’ market share has increased significantly
Source: OECD.
• Among others, services related to architecture, construction and engineering have more than doubled market share
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13
FDI flows have increased significantly
Source: World Investment Report 2009
• Outward FDI stock per capita has grown faster in Spain than in the Eurozone
• Remains a major destination of international investment
Outward FDI stock per capita relative to Eurozone
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
Italy
Sw
itzer
land
Chi
na
Can
ada
Bel
gium
Spa
in
Net
herla
nds
Ger
man
y
Hon
g K
ong
UK
Fra
nce
US
Source: World Investment Report 2009
Top receivers of FDI in 2008(Stock in millions of US $)
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
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4
8
12
16
20
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Spain Euro area (16 countries)
14
The crisis prompts an abrupt adjustment
july 2008 sept 2009 dif %
Total 19.382.121 17.935.095 -1.447.026 (100)
Construction 2.361.177 1.752.157 -609.021 (42,1)
Industry 2.731.068 2.377.211 -353.857 (24,5)
Services 13.150.027 12.599.061 -550.966 (38,1)
Sources: Eurostat. Labor Force Survey.
Unemployment rate (In percent)
• Rapid downsizing of residential sector: output, L (mainly in temporary contracts)
• Ripple effects on employment in other sectors
Sectoral employment (total number)
Sources: Eurostat. Labor Force Survey.
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1,9
-4,1
-11,4-11,0
-5,0
6,5
-14-12-10-8-6-4-202468
2007 2008 2009
%
Public Sector Balance
Private SectorBalance
15
Changes in sectoral and external balances
Source: National Statistics Institute, Spain.
• Large swing in private sector balance: plummeting Investment and soaring Savings
• Government Deficit jumps, but 2.5 points of GDP are one-off
• Current Account deficit has halved in 2009Sectoral balances
(% of GDP)
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• Highlights
• The long growth cycle and the crisis
• Fiscal consolidation and structural reform
• Funding Strategy of the Kingdom of Spain
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Policy Strategy for Sustainable Growth
• Prudent Macroeconomic Scenario 2010-2013
• Agreement on Fiscal Consolidation to bring the deficit back to 3% in 2013
• Structural Reforms:
• Structural Reforms in the goods markets
• Public Pensions System
• Labour Market
• Banking sector Restructuring
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The Government’s Macroeconomic scenario
• The output gap will be closed by 2013, after peaking in 2010
• External demand contribution to GDP will gradually wane as domestic demand gathers steam
• Potential growth will recover from a trough of 0.6% in 2010 to 1.6% in 2013
GDP -3.6 -0.3 1.8 2.9 3.1Final Consumption Expenditure -2.4 0.3 1.7 2.2 2.1Gross Fixed Capital Formation -15.7 -6.5 0.3 4.2 5.9
National Demand (contribution to GDP growth) -6.4 -1.4 1.4 2.6 3.0Exports of Goods and Services -12.4 2.8 5.2 6.9 7.4Imports of Goods and Services -18.7 -1.3 3.7 5.8 6.8
External demand (contribution to GDP growth) 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
2011 2012 2013Macroeconomic scenario 2009-2013
Source: Annual update of the Stability Programme.
2009 2010 (Growth rate in percent)
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Fiscal consolidation strategy
GDP -3.6 -0.3 1.8 2.9 3.1General Government Budget Balance (% of GDP) -11.4 -9.8 -7.5 -5.3 -3.0General Government Gross Debt (% of GDP) 55.2 65.9 71.9 74.3 74.1
2011 2012 2013
Source: Annual update of the Stability Programme.
(Growth rate in percent)Fiscal Adjustment Path 2009-2013 2009 2010
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• Substantial reduction in Spending and moderate increase in Revenues
• Already in 2010 a 2.2% cut in structural deficit
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Starting and final points of fiscal consolidation
20
• Temporary measures (changes in tax collection, one off investment funds) account for 2.4% points of GDP in 2009’s total deficit
• Total size of fiscal policy adjustment (structural terms): 5.7% of GDP
Source: Annual update of the Stability Programme.
Fiscal position 2009 2013General Government Balance (1) -11,4 -3Cyclical component (2) -1,4 0I nterest payments (3) -1,9 -3,1Temporary measures (4) -2,5 0Structural Primary Balance (1)-(2)-(3)-(4) -5,6 0,1
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Fiscal restraint measures
21
Source: Annual update of the Stability Programme.
Revenues ExpendituresVAT 0.7Excise Taxes 0.3400€ Tax Rebate Reform 0.4Savings Tax Reform 0.1SME Corporate Tax Reform -0.1Government Expenditure -0.8Additional cut in 2010 Expenditure -0.5Central Government Austerity Plan 2011-2013 -2.6Regional and local government Spending cuts -0.5
Measures adopted and announced (% of GDP)
2010 Budget
New Measures*
• Restraint in wage outlays for all public administrations through:• 10% replacement rate
• No new temporary hiring
• Strong moderation in wages
• Sizable cuts in investment, transfers and subsidies
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• We have done it in the past, which proves our compromise, the quality of our public finances, and the success of our fiscal discipline.
• Shared commitment to fiscal discipline and margin to secure further reductions in the deficit
22
Can we implement this?
-14.0
-12.0
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
*
20
11
*
20
12
*
20
13
*
* Annual update of the Stability Programme.
Net Lending (+)/Borrowing (-) of General Government
(% nominal GDP, EDP)
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0.0
12.5
25.0
37.5
50.0
62.5
75.0
87.5
100.0
112.5
125.0
Spain Ireland France Germany Italy UK USA
23Sources: European Commission, Annual update of the Stability Programme and International Monetary Fund.
Eurozone Average: 84.0%
2000-2010
Debt dynamics
• Even after the impact of strong stabilisation policies, Spain's Debt to GDP is significantly lower that the Eurozone average
55.2
65.9
39.7
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
FranceGermanySpain
2010F
Gross Debt-to-GDP (%) Gross Debt-to-GDP (%)
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1
3
5
7
9
11
13
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
*
2010
*
Spain Germany France Belgium Italy UK
24
Lowest interest burden within affordable limits
Ratio of interests to GDP of General Government
(% nominal GDP, EDP)
Source: European Commission.* European Economic Forecast Autumn 2009, European Commission.
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Structural Reforms in product markets
• Improving the institutional environment for business: by modernizing and simplifying government activities as well as increasing general government discipline
• Fostering competitiveness: by reducing the administrative burden of creating companies and reducing red tape
• Fostering modernization: promoting sectors that are at the base of economic activity (R&D, innovation and training), improving support for their integration into the overall value chain, and facilitating the internationalization of businesses
Estimated impact on GDP ⇨ + 0.32% in Potential GDP
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Residential Real Estate Sector
• Phasing out fiscal incentives for housing ownership from 2011 (deduction of mortgage payments)
• Removing barriers to the development of the rental market:
• Same fiscal treatment than ownership
• Creation of REITS
• Legal changes to strengthen certainty for landlords
• Tax Incentives for refurbishment provide some support
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Preventive financial support measures
Capital enhancement
and reorganisation
Credit stimulusLiquidity enhancement
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The financial system remains resilient
• Main source of perceived vulnerability regards losses stemming from lending to real estate developers
• Bank of Spain stress test: Operating income over 3 years is able to absorb losses of 40% of the portfolio of lending to real estate developers.
• Extreme assumptions of stress test: PD of 40%(3 times the peak of 1993) and LGD of 100 % (highly implausible)
28
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FROB: a tool for restructuring the banking sector
Rationale for the initiative
- Overcoming fragmentation in the savings and banks sector.
- Achievement of economies of scale to digest low interest margins and real estate impact.
Governance
- Independent management.
- Strong accountability to Parliament.
- Authorized by DG Competition.
Asset Operations
- Support to integration processes subject to conditions set by the banking supervisor.
- Instrumented through convertible preference shares with market-oriented remuneration.
Funding
- Public-private mix of capital (9 bn€).
- Agency-like funding programme coordinated with the sovereign programme.
29
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Pension System Reform
Proposed Measures:
• A progressive increase in the retirement age (to 67 years)
• Strengthening relationship between contributions and benefits
• A more flexible relationship between complementary social security and the public system
• Possible adjustment of other parameters of the current system
Expected Results: Sustainability of the pension system
30
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Labour Market Reform
• Five main guidelines:
• Stability in employment, by reducing market segmentation
• Reform of Collective Bargaining system
• Incentives for young workers’ employment and education
• Promotion of the integration of women in the labour market
• Worker intermediation and greater control of temporary occupational disability claims
31
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• Highlights
• The long growth cycle and the crisis
• Fiscal consolidation and structural reform
• Funding Strategy of the Kingdom of Spain
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• Significant reduction in net funding requirements and persistence of sound risk metrics• Liquidity, transparency and predictability will continue as guiding principles for the execution of our auction program• As for syndications, timing is dictated by the limit size of the line to be replaced (16.5 bn for longer tenors) and market conditions. • Innovations for 2010: 18-month T-bills reappear, Euro inflation linker still a project• Maintain our stable and diversified investor base
Highlights of Funding Strategy
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The funding strategy
Tesoro Funding in 2010(Billion euro)
1: Funding requirement = Net I ssuance 76.82: Redemptions bonds 2010 35.43: Net issuance medium long term 61.64 = 2 + 3 Gross I ssuance Medium-Long Term 97,0
5: Net Increase T-Bills 15.26: Assumption of RTVE debt 1.5
7 = 3 + 5 + 6: Net change outstanding debt 78.38: Forecast Outstanding Central Government Debt at end 2010 553.5Source: General State Budgets Bill 2010
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34.4
82.376.8
15.2
61.6
116.7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Total Net Issuance Letras del Tesoro netissues
Medium & long termnet issues*
2009 2010
(*) Includes foreign currency issues.
35
Funding programme in perspective
• Cut in Net Issuance: lower cash deficit and no exceptional increase in net financial assets
Funding Programme. 2010 vs. 2009(Net issuance in billion Euro)
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
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Short-term funding
• Net issuance in 2009 in line with initial announcement: 34.4 bn€. Gross issuance breakdown:
• 3-month Letras: 19.7 bn€
• 6-month Letras: 31.6 bn€
• 12-month Letras: 58.0 bn€
• Innovations in 2010:
• Calendar change: 3- and 6-month Letras auction 4th Tuesday
• 18-month T-bills relaunched: auction 3rd Tuesday
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Medium- and long-term funding
• Gross issuance: 2009 overshooting (ca. 25 bn €) due to higher than expected impact of the crisis
• Auction procedures unchanged: Quarterly calendar + potential off-the-run lines announced Friday prior to the auction
• Limit size per line: increased to 16.5 bn € for longer lines
• Bonos del Estado:
• New 5-year benchmark in March
• Current 3-year benchmark B 2.30% 04/2013 issued until 15 bn €
• Obligaciones del Estado:
• New 10 year O 4.00% 04/2020 (5 bn €) successfully syndicated in January
• Next syndication a 15 year line, to replace the matured O 4.80% Jan-2024), expected for February depending on market conditions
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38
Diversification of funding sources
• Recent foreign currency issuance:
• Eurobond 2.75% March 2012 ($ 1.0 billion)
• Eurobond 2.00% October 2012 ($ 2.5 billion)
• Tesoro Público is open to additional foreign currency issuance
• Floating Rate Note 3-Month EURIBOR-10 bps, October 2012 (€ 3.0 billion). Possible retapping in 2010
• Projects:
• European inflation-linked issues (HICP-ex tobacco)
• Schuldschein loans
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229
319 312
0
100
200
300
400
500
60019
95
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
(f)
Foreign Currency Other Letras Bonos y Obligaciones
307
358
475
554
39
Main features of Treasury funding strategy
Spanish debt portfolio
(€ billion)
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
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-75
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
Sep
-07
Oct
-07
Nov
-07
Dec
-07
Jan-
08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08
Jul-0
8
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09
Feb
-09
Mar
-09
Apr
-09
May
-09
Jun-
09
Jul-0
9
Aug
-09
Sep
-09
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10
Feb
-10
Germany Italy France Belgium Netherlands40
Recent widening might be an opportunity
Spread of the Spanish 10-year bond vs. main European peers (in bps)
Source: Bloomberg.
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41
Cheapening concentrated in the front end
Source: Bloomberg.
Spread of the Spanish 5-year bond vs. main European peers (in bps)
-75
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
Sep
-07
Oct
-07
Nov
-07
Dec
-07
Jan-
08
Feb
-08
Mar
-08
Apr
-08
May
-08
Jun-
08
Jul-0
8
Aug
-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09
Feb
-09
Mar
-09
Apr
-09
May
-09
Jun-
09Ju
l-09
Aug
-09
Sep
-09
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10
Feb
-10
Germany Italy France Belgium Netherlands
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An atractive market to invest in
42
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43
Increase in market liquidity
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Jul-
10
Ap
r-1
1
Jul-
11
Oct
-11
Ap
r-1
2
Jul-
12
Oct
-12
Jan
-13
Ap
r-1
3
Jul-
13
Jan
-14
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Jan
-16
Jan
-17
Jul-
17
Jul-
18
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Ap
r-2
0
Jan
-24
Jan
-29
Jul-
32
Jan
-37
Jul-
40
Jul-
41
4.20%3.90%
4.25%3.80%
3.25% 5.40%
5.35%5.00%
6.15%4.20%
4.75%
4.40%3.15% 5.50%
6.00%
5.75%4.90%
4.10%
4.10%
4.80%
2.75%
4.60%
4.30%3.30%
4.70%
2.30%
4.00%
On-the-run bonds
Average outstanding size: 13.5 bn €Target for average outstanding <10 years: 15 bn €Target for average outstanding >10 years: 15 bn €
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0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
45.000
50.000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020-2023
2024 2029 2032 2037 2040 2041
(Million Euros)
Low Debt Refinancing Risk…
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera. 44
Redemption profile of Bonos & Obligaciones
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Central Government Debt refinancing risk(in % of the total portfolio)
42
24
7
182220
182121
0
10
20
30
40
50
1 year or less 1 to 3 years 3 to 5 years
(%)
31.12.1995 31.12.1999 31.01.2010
Low Debt Refinancing Risk…
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
45
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46
…Thanks to relatively high duration and average life to maturity…
Duration & Average Life to Maturity of the Portfolio (Letras, Bonos and Obligaciones)
(in years)
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
4.77
6.78
4.79
4.16
6.69
5.52
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Duration Average life
France 6,24Netherlands 6,88Belgium 5,94Italy 7,07
Average life
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47
…while achieving lower Funding Costs
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
Average Funding Costs(in percent)
3.49
2.27
4.32
3.81
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Average cost of Debt outstanding Average cost at issuance
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48
Reliance on foreign funding relatively moderate
0102030405060708090
100G
ree
ce
Be
lgiu
m
Ita
ly
Au
str
ia
Fra
nce
Ire
lan
d
Ne
the
rla
nd
s
Ge
rma
ny
Fin
lan
d
Sp
ain
Un
ite
d
Sta
tes
Arg
en
tin
a
Un
ite
d
Kin
gd
om
External public sector debt in 2009(% of GDP)
Source: OECD.
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0
5
10
15
20
25S
lova
kia
Bel
gium
Gre
ece
Italy
Spa
in
Fra
nce
Eur
o ar
ea
Irel
and
Net
herla
nds
Ger
man
y
Aus
tria
Por
tuga
l
Fin
land
49
Banks financing of government debt in line with Eurozone average
Holdings of government debt November 2009(% of bank assets)
Source: Citi.
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Spanish Banks’ funding from ECB around Eurozone average
50
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%N
L
GE
IRL IT
ES
P
PO
GR
AU FI
FR
BE
jul-08 oct-09
Recourse to ECB funding (% of total bank assets)
Source: Deutsche Bank.
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51
Stable and diversified investor base
Government Bonds by Holder(Term investment, % of total portfolio)
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Spanish off icialinstitutions
Non residents
Households &Non f inanc.
Pension & MutualFunds
InsuranceCompanies
Credit Institutions
43.94%
33.37%
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52
Stable and diversified investor base
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
Letras del Tesoro by Holder(Term investment, % of total portfolio)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Spanish OfficialInstitutions
Non-Residents
Households & Nonfinanc.
Pension and MutualFunds
Insurance companies
Credit Institutions
35.57%
48.97%
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53
Government Bonds by Holder(Term investment, % of total portfolio)
Stable and diversified investor base
Source: Dirección General del Tesoro y Política Financiera.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
France Japan Germany Italy BENELUX Rest of EU Asia, Aficaand others
America Rest ofEurope
2006 2007 2008 2009
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54
Top Primary Dealers in 2009
Bonos y Obligaciones
Barclays
BBVA
Calyon
Santander
Société Générale
Letras
BBVA
Santander
Société Générale
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55
Thank you for your attention
Soledad Núñez – Directora General del Tesoro y Política Financiera [email protected]
Gonzalo García Andrés – Subdirector General de Gestión y Financiación de la Deuda Pública ggarcí[email protected]
José Ramón Martí[email protected]
Rosa [email protected]
Leandro [email protected]
Pablo de Ramó[email protected]
Ignacio [email protected]
Rocío Chico [email protected]
For more information please contact:Phone: 34 91 209 95 29/30/31/32 - Fax:34 91 209 97 10
Reuters: TESOROBloomberg: TESO
Internet: www.tesoro.es
José Manuel Campa Fernández– Secretary of State for the Economy
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
7020
00
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
(Billon €)
56
Annex: the Social Security Reserve Fund
The Social Security Reserve Fund amounted in December 2009 to approximately 5.7% (€
60bn) of GDP.
Social Security Reserve Fund asset holdings
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57
Annex: Ley de Economía Sostenible & General Agreement on Fiscal Sustainability
Competitiveness
- Society of Information.- Science, R&D.- Internationalisation of SME’s.- Education.- Reduction of administrative burden.
Tax measures
- Rental market: equal treatment with ownership.- Elimination of tax rebates: i.e. relief on mortgage payments, 400€ rebate on income tax.- Corporate Income Tax rebates related to R&D and to the environment.
Environment
- Energy Policy.- CO2 Emission-reduction.- Efficiency of transport and infrastructure.
Fiscal Sustainability
- Spanish regions to formulate quarterly reports to the Fiscal Policy Council.- Correction and surveillance of fiscal deficits.- Debt/GDP ratio to reach limit of 60% by 2013.