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    Kingfisher Airlines Acquires a stake in Air Deccan: The Indian AviationSector Moves towards Consolidation

    On May 31, 2007, United Breweries Holdings Limited (UBH), the parent company of

    Kingfisher Airlines (Kingfisher), a 'value carrier'1based in Bangalore, acquired a 26

    percent stake in Deccan Aviation Private Limited (DAP), which owned Air Deccan

    (Deccan), the pioneer of low-cost airline in India, also based in Bangalore. UBH paid

    Rs. 5.5 billion2 to acquire the stake, which made it the largest shareholder in DAP.3

    UBH said that it would subsequently make an open offer to all the shareholders of

    DAP, for an additional 20 percent stake.4

    Vijay Mallya (Mallya), the Chairman of UBH (and Kingfisher) who became the Vice-

    Chairman of Deccan after the acquisition (Ramki Sundaram became the CEO and

    Capt. G. R. Gopinath - formerly the Managing Director of Deccan - became the

    Executive Chairman of Deccan after the acquisition), said that the Kingfisher-

    Deccan combine would cover both low and premium fare segments. It was announced

    soon after the acquisition that Deccan would continue with its low-cost business

    model.5 The airline would also focus mostly on Tier II and III city routes, while

    Kingfisher would operate on the high density metro routes.6

    The Kingfisher-Deccan combine became the largest domestic airline in India in

    terms of fleet size, with 71 aircraft.7 The combined entity offered 537 flights to

    69 cities daily.8 In addition to this, the combined market share of Kingfisher-

    Deccan was estimated to be about 30 percent, positioning them in the second place

    after Jet Airways, a full service private airline, whose market share was estimated

    to be about 34 percent in mid 2007.9

    After the acquisition, both the airlines formed a team to study their operations andsuggest areas in which costs could be pruned. The team would also suggest how the

    two airlines could share each other's infrastructure to achieve maximum

    synergies.10

    Mallya said that Kingfisher and Deccan expected to save Rs. 3 billion, through

    1

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    combined operations, in the first year.11 He said that Deccan's network was a key

    asset that could be leveraged. Synergies were expected to arise in the areas of

    ground staff, aircraft, operation and maintenance, ground handling, baggage

    handling, increased connectivity, feeder services, and distribution penetration.

    Mallya indicated that the airlines could achieve savings by sharing reservation

    services, engineering services, service stations, spares, pilots, other crew, and

    parking bays at airports.

    Also, both Kingfisher and Deccan operated identical aircraft (the Airbus A-320

    family and ATR-72-500). This was expected to save engineering and maintenance

    costs for both the airlines. Earlier, Deccan had posted a loss of Rs. 2.13 billion

    during the quarter ending March 31, 2007.12 Kingfisher was also reportedly losing an

    average of Rs. 120 million, on average revenues of about Rs. 22 billion, every

    month.13 It was expected that the synergies achieved through combined operations

    would improve the financial health of both the airlines.

    The alliance was also expected to allow Kingfisher to achieve its goal of operating

    flights on international routes. As of mid 2007, the Indian government issued

    international operations permits only to those airlines that had completed five

    years of domestic operations. As Kingfisher was only two years old (it started

    operations in May 2005), it would have had to wait for three more years to fly on

    international routes. But acquiring a stake in Deccan, which would reach the

    stipulated condition of five year of operations in 2008 (Deccan started its

    operations in August 2003), could allow Kingfisher to fly to international

    destinations starting in the second part of 2008. Mallya said that he would have an

    internal arrangement to lease out Kingfisher aircraft to Deccan 'to maximize the

    benefit of overseas routes'.14

    In a report released in March 2007, the Center for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA), an

    airline industry consultancy based in Sydney, had predicted that increasing losses

    and excess capacity would result in consolidation in the Indian aviation sector.15

    The Kingfisher-Deccan deal was the third alliance in the Indian aviation sector, since

    2

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    the beginning of 2007. The year saw the merger of Jet Airways and Sahara Airlines

    (in April 2007), and Air India and Indian Airlines (in early May 2007). Talking about

    the trend of consolidation in Indian aviation sector, Mallya said that intense

    competition and the increasing number of budget carriers had led to under-pricing

    of tickets, which resulted in losses to the budget carriers as well as to the entire

    aviation sector. He felt that consolidation among the airlines would lead to less

    competition and stable fares.

    Kapil Kaul (Kaul), the CEO of CAPA (Indian subcontinent and Middle East), said that

    in spite of the encouraging traffic growth projections, it was "extremely difficult

    for a market to absorb so many new entrants in a short space of time."16 Kaul said

    that airport infrastructure and manpower shortages would result in increasing

    costs, and reduced efficiency and flexibility for the Indian aviation sector.17 There

    were 13 scheduled carriers in the fragmented Indian domestic aviation sector, as

    of early 2007.18 Kaul estimated that this number would fall to 8-10 by 2010.

    Analysts felt that the new entrants into the aviation sector had overestimated the

    number of prospective air travelers. They felt that the cost structure of airline

    operations was a key cause of the problems affecting domestic airlines. In the cost

    structure of airline operations, fixed costs like aircraft lease rentals, depreciation,

    and staff costs could be as high as 50 per cent of sales. And even a slight decline in

    traffic volume, or a nominal addition to the industry capacity due to the entry of

    new players, could adversely affect the existing operators. Analysts also felt that

    the operating cost for airlines was high in India because of high fuel prices,

    inadequate airport infrastructure, and lack of trained manpower.19

    The stabilizing of airfares due to mergers and alliances was expected to provide

    respite to small airlines which had been forced to reduce their fares drastically togain market share, but were facing losses as a result. Bundeep Singh Rangar, the

    Chairman of Indusview Advisors of Britain, a business advisory consultancy, said

    that the remaining low cost airlines in India could also become takeover targets in

    future.20 Kaul also predicted consolidation in the Indian aviation sector in the form

    of strategic alliances, market exits, and buyouts of smaller airlines."21

    3

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    Additional Readings and References

    1. "Now, Three-Year-Old Airlines Can Fly Abroad,"The Economic Times,

    http://ibef.org, December 14, 2006.

    2. "Aviation Consolidation Looming in India: Outlook 2007 Report

    Released,"www.centreforaviation.com, March 7, 2007.

    3. "Kingfisher Airlines Buys 26 Pct Stake in Air Deccan for 5.5 Bln

    Rupees,"www.abcmoney.co.uk, May 31, 2007.

    4. "Kingfisher Flies with Air Deccan,"The Indian Express, June 01, 2007.

    5. "Air Deccan Fares to Go up: Mallya,"www.expressindia.com, June 01, 2007.

    6. "Vijay Mallya Lands 26% Stake in Deccan Aviation,"The Hindu Business Line, June

    01, 2007.

    7. "Kingfisher-Air Deccan: Different, Yet Similar,"The Hindu Business Line, June

    01, 2007.

    8. C.H.Unnikrishnan, "'Air Deccan Helps Our Overseas Plans',"www.livemint.com,

    June 04, 2007

    9. Nandini Lakshman "Merger Mania Reshapes Indian Airlines,"BusinessWeek, June

    11, 2007.

    10. Virendra Parekh, "Indian Aviation Sector Expects M&A among Low Budget

    Carriers,"Khaleej Times, June 11, 2007.11. "India's Airline Industry Faces More Consolidation,"www.livemint.com, June 14,

    2007

    12. Rabin Ghosh "' Kingfisher-Air Deccan Merger Best Fit',"www.dnaindia.com, July

    25, 2007.

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