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Public Financial Management Reforms in Rural Development Workshop

1

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20 May 2010

2

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20 May 2010Public Financial Management Reforms in Rural Development

karGPivDÆn¾vis½ysMxan;² Workshop

3 Public Financial Management Reforms in Rural Development Workshop

karpþÜcepþImsMxan;²rbs;rdæaPi)alkñúgkarGPivDÆn¾CnbTRbB½næENnaMTUlMTUlayelIkarsMerc)a

nén karRKb;RKghirBaØvtßúsaFarN³dl; MAFF, MOWRAM, MRD and MEFF

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20 May 2010


karGPivDÆn¾vis½ysMxan;²karkat;bnßyCasMxan;elIPaBRkIRkrbs;CatikñúgTsSvtSknøgmk³1997 (47%) – 2008 (27.5%)

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20 May 2010


ekIteLIgnUvkarERbRbYlelIPaBRkIRk 2004-2007

CSES 2004

CSES 2007 2008

ERbRbYl

ERbRbYl

km<úCa 34.80% 30.10% 27,5% -4.70% -2.60%

PñMeBj

4.60% 0.80% 0,3% -3.80% -0.5%TIRbCMuCn

25.80% 21.90% ?? -3.90% XX%

CnbT 39.10% 34.70% ?? -4.40% XX%20 May 2010


Provincial Poverty Rates 2004-2009

20 May 2010

Phnom Penh

SHV/Kep/Koh Kong

Kampot

Total

Kandal

Takeo

Svay Rieng

Kompong Cham

Prey Veng

Total

Battambang

Banteay Meanchey

Kompong Chnang/Pursat

Siem Riep

Kompong Thom

Total

Other Plauteau/Mountain

Kompong Speu

Total

Coa

stP

lain

sT

onle

Sap

Pla

teau

/Mou

ntai

n

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%0.3%

22.9%

19.9%

14.4%

17.8%

25.3%

22.9%

26.1%

26.9%

23.8%

28.8%

30.8%

33.7%

32.4%

34.2%

32.0%

39.5%

32.7%

36.1%

5%

23%

30%

27%

22%

28%

36%

37%

37%

32%

34%

37%

40%

52%

52%

43%

46%

57%

52%


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20 May 2010


Growth in GDP 2005-2009

20 May 2010


Forecasts in GDP 2010-2011

20 May 2010


karcUlrYmrbs;ksikmµkñúgplitplkñúgRsuksrub (GDP)

Breakdown of Real GDP by Sector 2003-2007Activity Growth Rates Sectoral Distribution 2003 2004 2005p 2006 2007p 2008p 2003 2004 2005p 2006 2007p 2008pAGRICULTURE,

10.50% -0.90% 15.70% 5.50% 5.00% 5,7% 32.00% 28.80% 29.40% 28.00% 26.70% 26.50%FISHERIES & FORESTRYCrops 21.90% -2.30% 27.60% 5.30% 8.20% 6.60% 15.00% 13.30% 15.00% 14.20% 14.00% 14.00% Paddy 22.20% -12.20% 43.70% 4.40% 7.50% 4.10% 8.20% 6.50% 8.20% 7.80% 7.60% 7.40%

Other crops 21.50% 9.50% 12.20% 6.50% 9.00% 9.50% 6.80% 6.80% 6.70% 6.50% 6.40% 6.60%

Livestock & Poultry 5.70% 3.90% 5.60% 8.20% 3.70% 3.80% 5.20% 4.90% 4.50% 4.40% 4.20% 4.10%Fisheries 1.70% -1.70% 5.60% 3.80% 0.80% 1.50% 9.30% 8.30% 7.70% 7.30% 6.60% 6.60%Forestry & Logging -3.00% 0.80% 5.10% 7.00% 1.10% 0.90% 2.60% 2.30% 2.20% 2.10% 1.90% 1.80%INDUSTRY 12.00% 16.60% 12.70% 18.30% 8.40% 4.00% 25.50% 26.90% 26.80% 28.60% 28.10% 27.50%SERVICES 5.90% 13.20% 13.10% 10.10% 10.10% 9.00% 37.60% 38.60% 38.50% 38.30% 38.30% 39.10%

20 May 2010


kareFVIksikmµcMruH

20 May 2010

smasPaBksikmµelI GDP enAkm<úCa

Outputs at Basic Prices

Percent Distribution

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Crops 44.7% 43.9% 48.4% 48.1% 49.0%

Paddy 24.5% 21.8% 27.0% 26.7% 26.4%

Other crops 20.1% 22.1% 21.4% 21.4% 22.5%

Maize 2.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 3.5%

Cassava 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 2.3% 2.5%

Sweet Potato 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6%

Mung beans 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9%

Soya beans 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 1.3% 1.3%

Ground nuts 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4%

Palm Oil 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Sesame 0.9% 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 1.1%

Vegetables 4.4% 4.3% 3.8% 3.9% 3.8%

Sugarcane 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%

Pepper 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Tobacco 0.8% 0.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0%

Jute 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Rubber 3.0% 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.5%

Other 4.2% 4.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5%

Livestock and Poultry 16.4% 17.2% 15.9% 16.3% 16.3%

Fisheries 31.4% 31.2% 28.7% 28.5% 27.9%

Forestry 7.6% 7.7% 7.0% 7.1% 6.8%

Total Agriculture 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


karlUtlas;mankMnt;kñúgvis

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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010


vis½yhirBaØvtßú hirBaØvtßúnig\Ntantamvis½y

Sector Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Agriculture (3.09%) (3.39%) (3.02%) (4.28%) (4.88%) (9.62%) (4.88%) Manufacturing (13.2%) (14.08%) (11.29%) (11.82%) (9.99%) (18.32%) (9.99%) Construction (5.85%) (5.12%) (6.32%) (7.75%) (10.24%) (14.41%) (10.24%) Wholesale & Retail (15.88%) (18.99%) (23.23%) (22.56%) (21.9%) (30.13%) (21.9%) Export (8.27%) (4.06%) (1.64%) (0.75%) (0.22%) N/A N/A Import (5.73%) (5.8%) (7.33%) (4.11%) (3.67%) N/A N/A Finance (7.19%) (5.23%) (1.16%) (0.69%) (0.58%) (12.27%) (0.58%) Real Estate & Public Utilities (4.67%) (2.63%) (6.44%) (8.61%) (7.91%) (13.37%) (7.91%) Services (33.68%) (35.33%) (29.12%) (33.01%) (28.79%) N/A N/A Other (2.43%) (5.36%) (10.47%) (6.4%) (11.81%) (1.51%) (0.83%) TOTAL (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%) (100%)Source: (NBC 2010)

20 May 2010


Financial Sector – Effect of GFC

20 May 2010

Deposits and Loans in Cambodian Financial Institutions - 2008 and 2009

Financial InstitutionLoan outstanding Deposit Balance # Borrowers # Depositors

31-Mar-08 31-Dec-09 31-Mar-08 31-Dec-09 31-Mar-08 31-Dec-09 31-Mar-08 31-Dec-09ACLEDA 418.64 538.24 417.32 688.02 192,889 247,987 291,169 603,224

PRASAC 36.06 64.09 0.13 0.48 71,129 87,945 3,140 1,444 AMRET 32.28 53.15 0.88 2.93 178,710 224,708 840 3,293 CEB 27.33 1.70 28,232 19,052 HKL 17.73 31.18 0.72 1.51 26,915 41,110 29,000 47,835 TPC 14.16 17.38 0.10 0.10 75,199 91,170 16,256 4,048

VFC 13.71 21.31 0.15 0.05 58,310 98,777 84 61 AMK 13.30 25.13 0.16 0.17 130,809 217,818 14,701 5,234

CREDIT 11.92 22.37 1.15 0.61 20,498 39,358 9,157 2,191

SEILANITHIH 4.62 6.29 0.32 0.41 4,850 10,433 5,313 11,017

CHC 2.58 0.01 6,921 4,462

IPR 2.31 4.00 - 0.00 3,261 4,219 - -

EAP 1.86 1.91 - 0.00 235 198 - 1

CBIRD 1.01 1.26 0.15 0.12 1,799 2,294 2,218 2,595

MAXIMA 0.96 1.71 0.01 0.00 1,611 2,467 4 - TFMF 0.18 0.09 - 0.00 802 131 - -

PAS 0.16 0.00 323 1 SATHAPANA 39.69 3.06 36,228 22,875 SAMIC 5.55 0.03 10,987 2,300 FUDF 1.44 0.00 2,545 - GCMF 1.26 0.00 868 - CHAMROEUN (NGO) 0.68 0.20 7,158 23,139 FirstFinance 0.49 0.00 39 - FarmerFinance 0.21 0.04 66 66 YCP 0.12 0.00 40 - Total 598.80 299.30 422.81 9.70 802,493 878,559 395,397 126,099 Million US$Source: Cambodian Central Bank

Increase in Loans Outstanding and Increased Write-offs in Bad

Loans

Apart from ACLEDA, decrease in Deposits, Reduced number of

Depositors

Overall Reductions in Loans, BUT very significant reduction in Deposits


Growth in Private Sector Credit

20 May 2010


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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010

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CnbT

20 May 2010

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CnbT

20 May 2010

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CnbT

20 May 2010

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20 May 2010

Low Private Investment and Innovation

Bad Infrastructure

Low Human Capital

Micro Risks (Property Rights,

Corruption, Taxes)

Coordination Externalities

Market FailuresPolicy FailuresPoor

Intermediation

Bad Local FinanceLow

AppropriabilityLow Social

Returns

High Cost of Finance

Low Economic Returns to

Economic Activity

High Poverty

Uneven Playing Field and Unequal

Access

Weak Human Capabilities and Unequal Access

Unequal Access to Opportunities

Lack of Productive Employment Opportunities Due to Low

Economic Growth

Education Health

Infrastructure

Other Productive Assets (Credit

and Land)

Poor Governance, Weak Institutions,

and Deficient Policy


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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010



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20 May 2010



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20 May 2010



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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010


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20 May 2010


Rural Sector Objective Tree

20 May 2010

Policy and legal frameworkInstitutional, administrative, research and education

Agricultural and Water technology transfer and

Extension

Food Security and Nutrition

Water Resource and Land ManagementAgricultural Marketing

and agri-business


Strategic Linkages between ADB, Rural Development Strategy and Rectangular Strategy

20 May 2010

Re

cta

ng

ula

r S

tra

teg

yS

tra

teg

y fo

r A

gric

ultu

re

an

d W

ate

r

AD

B S

ect

or

Str

ate

gy

AD

B S

tra

teg

y 2

02

0

Cambodia’s Rectangular Strategy for Growth, Employment, Equity and Efficiency

Good Governance

Enhancement of Agriculture

Capacity Building and HRD

Further Rehab and Construction of Physical

Infrastructure

PSD & Employment Generation

Cambodia’s Strategy for Agriculture and Water Development Goals 2010-2013

Policy and Regulation

Institutional Capacity Building

and HR Development

Research and

Extension

Agricultural Marketing and Agribusiness

Food Security

Water &Land Resource

Management

ADB Support Area 1:Sustainable Natural

Resource Development and Management

ADB Support Area 2:Food Security, Improved Agricultural

Productivity, Diversification and Commercialization

ADB Support Area 3:Rural Infrastructure (Rural

Roads and Irrigation)

Core Area: Infrastructure

Core Area: Environment and Climate Change

Core Area: Regional Cooperation &

Integration

Core Area: Financial Sector

Development

Core Area: Agriculture

ADB’s Strategy 2020

Str

engt

heni

ng P

ublic

F

inan

cial

Man

agem

ent


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20 May 2010

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Documents

rural development20

rural development workshop120

pfm coordination

tamepk bierbah

ayxamg visyksikm

fisheries forestrycrops21