knight frank q1 2007 emerging growth centres
TRANSCRIPT
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Knight Frank Emerging Growth Centres - Quarter 1 2007
Research
Contents
Editorial 2
Chandigarh 4
Ludhiana 6
Lucknow 8
Guwahati 10
Bhubaneswar 12
Jaipur 14
Ahmedabad 16
Surat 18
Nagpur 20
Indore 22
Goa 24
Visakapatinam 26
Mysore 28
Coimbatore 30
Kochi 32
Summing Up 34
Emerging Growth CentresIndia Quarter 1 2007
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EditorialThe real estate action is no longer limited to the large metropolises of India but has now permeated to the
burgeoning smaller towns and cities. These emerging centres of growth are lending sparkle to India's
booming economy. What is leading this transformation?
The upswing of the Indian real estate sector has been an outcome of a number of positive micro and macro
factors. Consistent and sustaining GDP growth, expanding service sector, rising purchasing power and
affluence, proactive and changing government policies have all lent momentum to this rapidly growing
sector.
Accounting for almost 80% of the total office space absorption, the Indian IT/ITES sector has been the
primary demand driver. India's low cost-high quality and productivity model has given it a leadership
position in the outsourcing arena. In a bid to scale up their operations and to remain globally competitive,
the Indian IT/ITES companies are exploring the smaller towns and cities. Rising manpower and real estate
costs, plaguing attrition levels and very often risk mitigation have been the key reasons for this movement.
Positive economic growth has also translated in rising disposable incomes and growing aspiration levels
across India. Rising consumerism has created a demand for new retailing and entertainment avenues.Realising that consumers across cities have similar needs, albeit the scale may vary, new age retailers are
vying to cash in on the first mover advantage and are expanding into hitherto unexplored smaller cities.
Advent of organised retailing has also translated into real estate growth in these emerging locations.
Growth of the Indian 'Rich' (annual income>USD 4,700) and 'Consuming' (annual income
USD 1,000-4,700) class coupled with falling interest rates and other fiscal incentives on home loans has
increased the affordability and the risk appetite of the average Indian consumer thereby leading to a
substantial rise in demand for housing. This has been further fueled by the increase in the size of 25-55 age
group of earning population and the emergence of double income, nuclear families. Over the last decade
the average age of Indian home loan borrower has reduced by 10 years.
Another variable facilitating real estate growth in India is the growing urbanisation. According to United
Nations Population Division, the urban population in India will continue to grow at a rate of 2.5%
per annum for the next two and a half decade. As per the Census of India 2001, 41% of the totalpopulation of India will be living in urban areas by 2011. The number of cities with a population of one
million or more is also is expected to double from 35 recorded in 2001 to 70 by 2005. This increase in
population will generate incremental demand for housing and other real estate components.
All these factors together with increased liquidity in the real estate sector through the international real
estate funds and private equity funds will result in radically transforming the real estate landscape over the
next 3-5 years. India's investment scenario is already undergoing a sea change and has been seen to be
making roads in rural India with telecom, rural retailing, agricultural supply chain and logistics facilities,
micro-credit, etc. All these factors foretell that the real estate growth will soon spread out of the established
boundaries.
However, to support this growth and to make it more expansive, a lot needs to be done. Foremost is the
thrust on infrastructure. According to a World Bank estimate, India needs to invest an additional 3-4% of its
GDP on infrastructure to sustain its current levels of growth and to spread the benefits of growth more
widely. Some positive steps have already been taken in this direction. Huge investments in infrastructure to
the tune of $350 billion have been envisaged over the next five years. Connectivity may get a boost with
the completion of ~13,000 kms of roads under the Golden Quadrilateral, North-South-East-West (NSEW)
corridor and with 4-laning of all the major national highways. This will further facilitate the economic
development of smaller towns and cities in the country.
Figure 2
40
30
20
10
0
1995-9
9
2003-0
4
2005-0
9(pr.)
Average Age of Indian Borrower
AverageAge(inyears)
50
Source: Industry
Figure 1
8
6
4
2
0
2002
GDP Growth Rate
Rate(%)
10
Source: CSO
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007E
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Major real estate destinations of the country and some other emerging towns can be classified into three
broad categories depending upon the stage of real estate development that each one of them is
undergoing.
Category Cities Characteristics
Tier I Bangalore, Mumbai and NCR Fairly well established real estate market
Demand drivers quite pronounced
Tier II Hyderabad, Chennai, Pune and Kolkata Growing real estate markets
Experiencing heightened demand and
investments
Tier III Chandigarh, Ludhiana, Lucknow, Real estate markets yet to establish
Guwahati, Bhubaneswar, Jaipur, Perceived to have substantial potential
Ahmedabad, Surat, Nagpur, demand
Indore, Goa, Visakapatinam,
Mysore, Coimbatore, Kochi,Vijaywada, Mangalore, Trivandrum
and Baroda
40
30
20
10
0
1971
Rate of Urbanisation (1971-2011)
Rate(%)
50
5
15
25
35
45
1981
1991
2001
2011
Year
Figure 3
Source: Census of India, 2001
Table 1
As the Indian real estate sector moves higher on the growth curve, a number of state capitals and smaller
cities which have relatively better infrastructure and are able to support higher economic growth have
come into limelight. These emerging growth centres are characterised by low real estate costs, availability
of land for development, untapped manpower pool and rising quality of life. Many of these towns have
industrial and tourism driven economic base that can be leveraged for growth. Anticipating the latent
demand in these markets, a number of real estate developers and retailers have chalked out expansive plans
to harness the opportunity.
Through this report, Knight Frank India endeavours to delve further into the growth dynamics of 15
locations in India that are experiencing a paradigm shift in their economic and real estate scenarios and can
be classified as the emerging growth centres of the country. We have also ranked these 15 cities according
to the relative attractiveness as an emerging centre on the basis of five key decision making parameters, viz.
Real Estate, People, Physical Infrastructure, Social Infrastructure and Business Environment.
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Chandigarh
Overview
Chandigarh is the first planned city of India and is the capital of the two states of Punjab and Haryana.Designed on neighbourhood principle, the city is divided into self sufficient sectors. The commercial
hierarchy in the city follows cluster shopping, neighbourhood centre, community centre, sub-city centre
(Sector-34) and city centre (Sector-17). Residential sectors are divided on the basis of plot sizes. For
commercial space, common format in the city is that of Shop-Cum-Office (SCO) complexes. Owing to the
excellent social infrastructure, quality human resource base, continuous green spaces, compact size and
conducive government policies, Chandigarh has become an attractive IT/ITES destination.
Originally, Chandigarh's regional boundaries were confined to a radius of 8 kms that gradually increased
to 40 kms, incorporating a number of settlements from Punjab, Haryana and Himachal Pradesh. Mohali,
Kharar, Panchkula, Manimajra, Zirakpur and Dera Bassi are the locations in Chandigarh metropolitan region,
which are developing rapidly. Liberal policies, economic reforms and considerable investments in the
city have tapped the skilled labor pool while generating more employment opportunities and inviting
in-migration.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 4
105
90
75
60
45
30
15
0
Sector-9
Sector-17
Sector-22
Office Market Values
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
12,000
10,000
8,000
4,000
2,000
0
Rs./sq.f
t.
Locations
6,000
Rental Values Capital Values
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 5
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Chandigarh
Mohali/Panchkula
Zirakpur
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values
Locations
Current Scenario
The Chandigarh real estate market has witnessed unprecedented growth over the last few quarters. With
little scope left for further development within the main city, skyrocketing property prices and diluted
peripheral control act, intensive real estate development has taken place on the outskirts. Establishment of
Chandigarh Technology Park (CTP) in Manimajra north-east of Chandigarh and IT Park in Mohali has
provided requisite space for the IT/ITES companies considering their expansion plans in Chandigarh.
CTP, that has an area of 375-acres, is also an approved Special Economic Zone. It provides flexible space
options for technology companies with plots of various sizes, built-to-suit facilities and large and small
campus sites. Wipro, Infosys and IBM are the major tenants of this Park. DLF Group has developed
DLF Infocity within CTP to provide space to the IT/ITES occupiers.
The residential real estate market in Chandigarh does not have much to offer, due to the lack of space forfurther development. Most of the new residential developments are coming up in Panchkula, Mohali and
Zirakpur and Dera Bassi on Chandigarh-Ambala highway. Panchkula real estate market mostly consists of
residential developments in the form of bungalows, independent houses and flats. With rising demand and
proximity to Chandigarh, there are ready takers for the available land parcels.
New residential developments are in the offing in Zirakpur and towards Nada Sahib, where Haryana
Development Authority (HUDA) is coming up with new sectors for group housing. In Zirakpur most of the
development is happening near the intersection of NH-21and NH-20. Many local developers are acquiring
small land parcels and building residential colonies. Some of the better-known projects include
Silver City (I & II) on Ambala Road (NH-21) and Royal Estates.
Dell facility, Mohali Quark City, Mohali
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New residential developments by local builders, mostly in the form of townships, are coming up towards
Kharar Road, few of the more important ones being Gillco Valley, Sunny Enclave and Shivalik City.
Prominent retail locations in Chandigarh comprise the sector markets. While Sector-17 forms the city centre
with the presence of major brands, Sector-22 is an important market with wholesalers dominating the retail
set-up. Besides, the Sectors-8, 9, 35 and 26 also serve as important retail locations. Sector-9 is considered tobe the main financial and banking services hub of Chandigarh. In Mohali and Panchkula, the Local
Shopping Complexes (LSC) of every sector form the retail zone, catering to the basic needs of the
residents.
Chandigarh is an emerging market for organised retail. Among the upcoming projects, two multiplex
developments are coming up in Sector-17 and Sector-44. Centra Mall (150,000 sq.ft.), slated to be
operational by end-2007, is coming up in Chandigarh Industrial Area. Shalimar Mall and Bell Vista Mall,
under construction in Sector-5, will be operational in 2007. Bella Vista Mall will also have a hotel complex.
The prime residential locations in Chandigarh, which include sectors 4 to 10 command the highest values,
ranging between Rs.5,000-7,750/sq.ft. Other sectors command a price of Rs.3,300-4,400/sq.ft. With
developments on a fast growth trajectory, the demand for housing is expected to rise in the region.
Currently, Zirakpur has a price range of Rs.2,200-2,750/sq.ft. for plots and Rs.2,300-2,700/sq.ft. for flats
while residential developmets in Dera Bassi have capital values of Rs.1,300-2,000 /sq.ft.
Retail space supply in Chandigarh is restricted due to strict building bye-laws. Quoted lease rentals are
around Rs.120-180/sq.ft. per month for the ground floor and Rs.25-40/sq.ft. per month for first floor.
Within Chandigarh, two new projects are under construction currently; a mall-cum-multiplex in Sector-17
and another with a built up area of around 150,000 sq.ft. in the industrial area. Grade-A developments
comprising malls are coming up in Zirakpur, Dera Bassi and Mohali, under mega projects scheme. These
projects offer retail space at a rate of Rs.90-180/sq.ft. per month. However, with changing trends, a number
of hotels in mall developments are also in the pipeline.
On the commerical front, all the sectors in Chandigarh have common SCO format commanding a capital
value of around Rs.6,500-10,000/sq.ft. and with lease rentals of Rs.25-35/sq.ft. per month. The onlyexception is Sector-9, the centre for banking, financial and telecom services. The rentals here average to
about Rs.90/sq.ft. per month while the capital values are approximately Rs.9,750/sq.ft.
In the last six months, there has been a correction in the residential property market in Chandigarh. With
correction in the market, stabilisation is envisaged which will encourage transaction rate.
Corridor development is the latest buzz in Chandigarh region. Good connectivity at domestic and global
level, lower operational cost and easy availability of skilled labor, higher disposable incomes and lavish
lifestyle has put real estate on an upswing in the region. Chandigarh offers ample opportunity for hospitality
business as well. With more corporates establishing offices in the region, a significant demand of hotels is
witnessed. Further retail growth is envisaged along the highways in Zirakpur and Panchkula whereas
residential projects on Jalandhar Road and Ambala-Chandigarh highway will dominate the development.
Availability of land for real estate development in Mohali will ensure good quality real estate projects
fulfilling residential space demand from end users. Higher yields in Chandigarh will encourage the
development of integrated townships - self reliant developments encompassing residential, retail and
commercial units, over the next 3-5 years.
Rental and Capital Values
Outlook
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 6
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
C
handigarh
Mohali/Panchkula
Zirakpur
Retail Market Values
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
20,000
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Locations
Rental Values Capita l Values
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Ludhiana
Overview
Ludhiana, known for its hosiery and sports goods industries, is the most populated city of Punjab. Excellentconnectivity with major cities and a favourable business environment has made the city a preferred
investment destination of the state.
Though Ludhiana has witnessed considerable real estate growth in the past few years, most of the
developments have been unplanned and have resulted in extending the city boundaries. The major
commercial activities in Ludhiana were previously confined to Chaura Bazaar, Sarafan Bazaar, Lakkar Bazaar,
Purana Bazaar and Book Bazaar, which were item specific markets. Residential developments were
predominantly located in proximity to these prime commercial pockets. Over the years, these locations
have grown at a much faster pace than the respective growth in infrastructure.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 7
Office Market Values
Locations
71
70
69
68
67
66
65
64
63
62
FerozeGandhiMarket
Pak
howalRoad
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
6,000
Rental Values Capital Values
Residential development, Agar Nagar Ansal Plaza Mall, Ferozepur Road
Current Scenario
With the announcement of mega projects and liberal government policies, Ludhiana has attracted the
attention of a number of real estate investors. Of late, new locations like Mall Road, Link Road,
Ghumar Mandi, Feroze Gandhi Market, Sarabha Nagar Market and Ferozepur Road have emerged as
alternative markets to the commercial centre of Chaura Bazaar. Feroze Gandhi Market, located to the west
of the city, comprises mostly of mixed-use developments with retail component on the ground floor and
office space on the floors above. There is considerable demand for quality office space in this micromarket.
An interesting trend witnessed in the city has been the conversion of existing residential properties in the
central part of the city for commercial usage. Notably, over a period of time, a number of residential
developments in Pakhowal Road have been converted to retail and office spaces. Pakhowal Road will also
have the prestigious office-cum-retail project, City Centre (4 mn.sq.ft.), which is expected to become the
preferred office address for various firms.
Besides the above locations, Chandigarh Road will also witness commercial projects following the workplace
principle. The demand will be primarily led by the companies from the banking and financial sector,
telecom companies and other service sector corporates. At present, preference for stand-alone buildings is
gradually catching up in the city. In the long term, with the development of the international airport at
Halwara, commercial developments are expected to come up on Jalandhar Road as well.
The city has an active residential market. Sarabha Nagar, in the western part of the city has high-end
residential development. This location is an attractive retail market as well. Gurdev Nagar, BRS Nagar,
Kitchlu Nagar, Civil Lines and Club Road are the other residential locations offering quality residential
options. Residential developments in the city are also coming up in peripheral locations of South City and
Samrali Farms on both the sides of the canal. This includes an NRI township named 'Apna Punjab'.
Chandigarh Road has become the preferred destination for integrated townships and mixed-use projects.
Preference for plotted development rather than apartments is a distinguishing feature of the residential
market in Ludhiana.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 8
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
SarabhaNagar
RajguruNagar
ModelGram
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values*
Locations
* Capital values taken for plotted developments
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Lucknow
Overview
Lucknow, the state capital of Uttar Pradesh is a city of historical and cultural significance. Amongst the fewcities which can boast of rich architectural heritage, it is fast evolving as a modern real estate destination.
Increase in economic activity, changing aspirations of the resident population and potential for real estate
growth has led to massive changes within the city.
The erstwhile old city comprising locations like Aminabad and Chowk have given way to new centres of
growth like Gomti Nagar, Mahanagar, Janakipuram and Indiranagar in the suburbs. Though Hazaratganj
remains to be the CBD of the city, these emerging growth pockets have led to an increase in commercial
activities in the suburbs. Development is now not only limited to the main city and the suburbs but is also
active along the highways connecting Lucknow to other destinations. These include Sitapur Road, Faizabad
Road, Sultanpur Road, Raebareilli Road, Kanpur Road and Hardoi Road. Major township projects by
developers like Ansal, Sahara, Omaxe, Rohtas, Eldeco etc. have been proposed on these roads.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 10
Office Market Values
Locations
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Hazratganj
GolMarket
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.6,000
5,800
5,600
5,400
5,200
5,000
6,200
Rental Values Capita l Values
6,400
6,600
Charbagh
Sahara Ganj Mall, Shah Najaf Road Eldeco Sansar, Raebareilli Road
Current Scenario
Commercial activity in Lucknow, including retail and office sector, is mainly concentrated in and aroundHazratganj. Some other destinations like Kapurthala Commercial Complex in Mahanagar have also emerged
as alternate business centres. Offices in Hazratganj comprise those of banks, financial institutions, telecom
service providers, government agencies as well as those of some well known developers likes Parsvnath,
Halwasia, Rohtas, Eldeco, etc. Most of the developments in these locations are on the commercial complex
format and have been developed by local developers.
IT/ITES sector is yet to pick up in Lucknow and as such there is a lack of specific IT/ITES catering
developments. Also, anticipating the future demand, the STPI at Gomti Nagar is being revived. TCS and
Wipro are two IT companies going ahead with their plans in the city. Some quality office developments like
Shalimar Corporate Park and Pinnacle Towers are coming up in Gomti Nagar.
Till some time back, retail activity in Lucknow was largely unorganised in nature and concentrated in
locations like Hazratganj, Aminabad, Kaiser Bagh and to some extent in Mahanagar. Over the last few years,
with the Eastern Mall (250,000 sq.ft.) in Gomti Nagar and Sahara Ganj (400,000 sq.ft.) on Shah Najaf Road
becoming operational, organised retail has picked up in the city. However, MG Road in Hazratganj is still
the most significant retail highstreet of the city and has all major apparel, accessories and food and
beverage brands. Fun Republic Mall in Gomti Nagar is the latest addition to the city mall list and at least
8 more malls are in various stages of planning and development around the city.
The residential sector in Lucknow has witnessed a sea change in the recent times. Main city locations like
Chowk, Alambagh, Aminabad, Kaiserbagh are very congested and do not offer any new space for further
development. Some development in the form of rebuilding the old, demolished houses has however been
done in these locations. Hazratganj, Civil Lines and the Mall Avenue are the high-end residential locations of
Lucknow and have mainly bungalow style developments. A few premium residential apartments have also
come up on Mall Avenue.
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Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 12
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
MGRoad
ShahNajafRoad
Aminabad
Retail Market Values
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq
.ft.
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
Locations
Rental Values Capital Values
Indiranagar and Gomti Nagar are the suburban locations which are witnessing hectic residential
development. Both these locations have individual bungalows and as well as new apartment style
developments. Omaxe, Eldeco, Parsvnath and UP Township in collaboration with the Uppal Group and the
Chadha Group are developing apartment projects in Gomti Nagar.
Naya Haiderabad, Mahanagar and Janakipuram are chiefly higher and middle-income residential locations.Sahara has developed two projects - Sahara State Homes and Sahara Grace in Janakipuram. Arif Industries
Metro City apartment project is being developed in Paper Mill Colony near New Haiderabad.
On the outskirts of Lucknow, Sahara is coming up with a 175-acre township called the Sahara City Homes
on Hardoi Road. Not very far from there, Eldeco is developing a 200-acre Eldeco Town on Sitapur Road.
Towards south of Lucknow, on Raebareilli Road, Rohtas is building 2/3 bedroom apartments Rohtas Icon
near Vrindavan Yojna. Also, Eldeco has its plotted row house and bungalow scheme near South City.
Just off Raebareilli Road is the 250-acre Omaxe City Township project. This development will have
apartments and villas together with office and retail blocks. The township is expected to be operational by
early 2008. Besides these, townships by Ansals and Sahara on Sultanpur Road and by Lucknow
Development Authority on Kanpur Road have also been announced.
The unprecedented rise in demand for residential space has led to a similar rise in capital values. Values in
suburban locations like Janakipuram, Gomti Nagar, Indiranagar, Aliganj and Mahanagar have increased by
25-50% over the last 2 years. Quoted rates for residential developments by Omaxe, Eldeco and Parsvnath in
Gomti Nagar are between Rs.1,800-2,200/sq.ft. Residential developments in Jankipuram and Aliganj
command a rate of Rs.1,200-1,800/sq.ft. The new residential developments coming up on the outskirts of
the city on Hardoi Road and Sitapur Road range between Rs.1,000-1,200/sq.ft. Certain developments on
Raebareilli Road are quoting a rate of Rs.750-1,000/sq.ft.
Office space rentals in the CBD of Lucknow of Hazratganj are in the range of Rs.45-55/sq.ft. per month
while those in Gol Market and Mahanagar are at approximately Rs.30-45/sq.ft. per month. The rentals for
commercial space around Charbagh and in Alambagh are about Rs.40-50/sq.ft. per month.
The ongoing rentals on the highstreet of MG Road in Hazratganj are in the range of Rs.100-180/sq.ft.
per month whereas the capital values range between Rs.15,000-20,000/sq.ft. Other important retail
markets of the city like those of Alambagh, Aminabad and Kaiserbagh command a retail rental of
Rs.70-100/sq.ft. per month, depending upon location and frontage. The capital values in the same
locations range between Rs.6,000-8,000/sq.ft. The rentals in the two operational malls of the city, the East
End Mall at Gomti Nagar and Sahara Ganj on Shah Najaf Road, are similar and quoted to be in the range of
Rs.110-160/sq.ft. per month.
Lucknow real estate market has gained momentum over the last 2-3 years. The city offers substantial
potential for future growth and this is being supplemented by proactive policies of the state government.
Lucknow Development Authority (LDA) has taken active initiative in all round development of Lucknow.
Land banks are being auctioned in specified locations to bring about a planned development of the city.
Proper planning of the city's infrastructure and of amenities and utilities is being done to support future
growth and development in the city.
The entry of a number of national level developers and retail brands in the city points towards the positive
outlook for the city. With the backing of quality manpower availability, supportive policies and increasing
purchasing power, Lucknow will emerge as a key IT/ITES as well as retail destination of North India.
Rental and Capital Values
Outlook
09
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 11
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Gomtinagar
Jankipuram
HardoiRoad
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values
Locations
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Guwahati
Overview
Guwahati, the capital city of the state of Assam is heralded as the ingress to the northeastern states of thecountry. Guwahati has been the service centre for the oil industry and tea plantations and home to
important tea auctions.
Being the economic hub of the region, the city is witnessing considerable migration of population from
within the state as also from the neighbouring states. Within the span of a decade, the city has seen a
considerable population growth of over 40%. This extensive population growth has been responsible for
bringing upon a number of changes in the region. Residential units, hitherto comprising individual houses,
are being developed in the form of apartment buildings in prime locations of the city situated along the
main roads of the city, viz. RG Baruah Road and GS Road. Departmental stores, supermarkets and large
format stand-alone stores are coming up all over the city. Brand-consciousness has caught up with the city's
youths and highstreet retailing is flourishing in the region.
While IT has still not penetrated the city as in the other parts of the country, Guwahati has attracted a
number of insurance and FMCG companies. Typically, the government organisations are the majoremployers in the region. Most of the offices are located in Ulubari, the CBD of the city, and in Bhangagarh
both situated along the busy GS Road. The traditional retail markets of the city are concentrated in
Fancy Bazaar, Pan Bazaar and Paltan Bazaar.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 13
Office Market Values
Locations
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Ulubari
Ganeshguri
Rs./sq.f
t.per
month
Rs./sq.f
t.
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
6,000
Rental Values Capital Values
7,000
The Hub, GS RoadThe Cube, GS Road
Current Scenario
In the recent years, the city's real estate market has grown on a gradual note. Although developers in the
city had undertaken construction of a number of projects, both commercial and residential, time and again
these developments were halted due to government policies regarding Floor Area Ratio (FAR). These
hiccups notwithstanding, a number of multinational companies, predominantly in the banking sector, have
established their zonal head offices in the city. Majority of these financial institutions, including ICICI Bank
and HDFC Bank, have occupied office space along the GS Road.
Organised retail has been the most notable development in the city. While a number of food and beverage
chains like Caf Coffee day, Barista and Baskin Robbins have their presence in the city, others like
McDonald's are scouting for large format retail space to set up their flagship store. According to industry
sources, Pantaloon Retail is scheduled to enter the market with its Big Bazaar brand of retail format in a few
months' time. Currently, majority of the retail space developments are taking place on GS Road, right from
Paltan Bazaar to Six-mile, mostly in the form of stand-alone stores. The upmarket residential developments
in the vicinity provide the requisite catchment. In recent times, Ganeshguri has come up fast as an
important highstreet, which could be attributed to the flyover connecting the location to GS Road.
Some of the important large format retail developments in the city include Vishal Megamart (40,000 sq.ft.)
at Paltan Bazar and Hub (40,000 sq.ft.) at Bhangagarh, both of them operational since 2005. These mega-
stores are pulling in the crowds and are enjoying sufficient conversion of footfalls.
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Knight FrankEmerging Growth Centres - Quarter 1 200712
Bhubaneswar
Overview
Bhubaneswar, the capital of Orissa and the "Temple Town of India", is an important metropolis of easternIndia. The city is well connected with the rest of the country and has the potential to emerge as an
important growth centre.
Being the seat of administration in the state, Bhubaneswar has attracted a huge worker population, mostly
from the neighbouring locations, and has seen its population growth surge by 57% over the decade. The
prime economic drivers of the city have been trade and tourism. With the growth of IT/ITES prospects in
the city and the resurgence of the mining industry, Bhubaneswar is expected to evolve as a significant
urban centre of the country in the forthcoming years.
Though the infrastructure development in the city has been rather slow, there has been steady
development in the real estate sector of the city. A number of national level developers have expressed
interest to set up their projects in the city. With Janpath, the CBD of the city, facing paucity of land, new
commercial developments in the city are coming up in the north and southwest locations of the city.
Residential property in the city mostly comprises independent units in prime locations of Ashok Nagar,Forest Park, Jaidev Vihar and Bapuji Nagar with a few multi-storied apartments in Rasulgarh. Demand for
apartments and flats are expected to pick up with increasing preference shown by the HIG population of
the city.
A prime tourist destination of the country, Bhubaneswar has an active retail scenario. At present, retailing in
the city is largely unorganised and are located at Janpath, Cuttack-Puri Road, Ekamra Marg and
Bapuji Nagar. Several major brands have their outlets in the city with most of them concentrated in and
around Janpath.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 16
Office Market Values
Locations
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Janpath
Chandrasekharpur
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
6,000
Rental Values Capital Values
7,000
Fortune Towers, Chandrasekharpur
Current Scenario
The Bhubaneswar real estate market is government regulated with almost 70-75% of the land holding
vested with the state owned Orissa State Housing Board. Lack of space within the city has led to the
emergence of locations like Chandrasekharpur, Sailashree Vihar, Nandankanan and Patia in the north of
Bhubaneswar. Kalinganagar and Khurda are the other emerging locations in the southern part of the city.
The commercial real estate in the city at present comprises mixed-use development - office space in the
upper floors with retail on the ground and first floor. A few stand-alone office structures have been
developed by the local government to attract IT/ITES companies. Some of the major developments by the
State Government through Industrial Development Corporation of Orissa (IDCO) are the Tower 2000 in
Mancheswar Industrial Estate, IDCO Towers in Janpath and Fortune Towers in Chandrasekharpur which
houses prominent companies like TCS, Reliance Infocomm, Tata Teleservices, POSCO and Essar Steel.
The Orissa Government has accorded Priority Sector status to the IT sector to attract investment in to the
region. IT majors Infosys and Satyam who had set up their development centre in Bhubaneswar in 1997 are
contemplating expansion plans. An important development by IDCO has been the Infocity-I, the IT SEZ in
Chandrasekharpur.
Forum Mart, Off Janpath
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Adjacent to Infocity-I Delhi-based DLF Group is coming up with their IT Park in Chandaka Industrial Estate.
Genpact has also announced plans of setting up a BPO SEZ on 25-acres of land in the Mancheswar
Industrial Estate of the city. Apart from IT, a 60-acre biotechnology park is also planned in the city.
On the residential property front, the government had been the major provider of housing in terms of land
and built up space. However, deficient supply from the government has prompted the city's residents toturn towards the private developers to meet their housing demand. A number of township developments
have been proposed to come up in the suburban and peripheral locations. These include a 100-acre
township by Sahara India along the NH-5, the Club Town project in Chandrasekharpur and another
large-scale joint development by Bhubaneswar Municipal Corporation in Shaheed Nagar. Most of the
residential projects in the city are witnessing high absorption rates and the demand for residential units has
increased in the city in prime residential locations of Ashok Nagar, Bapuji Nagar, Shaheed Nagar and Surya
Nagar.
Bhubaneswar is also currently witnessing a perceptible change on the retail front. The 180,000 sq.ft.
Forum Mart off Janpath was the first organised retailing development in the city. According to industry
sources, retailers like Reliance and Bharti are scouting for land in the CBD. Besides this, several local
developers have plans for setting up large format malls through joint venture in the city.
In the last few years there has been an annual appreciation of almost 50% in office space values. Office
space in Janpath has lease values in the range of Rs.35-60/sq.ft. per month and capital values in this
location vary between Rs.4,000-7,500/sq.ft. The average lease rates for office space in other locations vary
between Rs.20-30/sq.ft. per month and the capital values range between Rs.2,400-4,000/sq.ft.
Presently, the residential market in terms of apartments in Bhubaneswar is driven primarily by investor
demand. As a result, prices in prime high-end residential locations have increased substantially over the past
year and are currently at a range of Rs.1,650-2,500/sq.ft. while mid-end apartments are at
Rs.1,600-1,800/sq.ft. Locations like Khurda, Patia and Nandankanan which have been promoted as the
growth corridors of the city, comprise duplex bungalows with high resale value. The residential
developments in these peripheral locations are witnessing very high absorption and prices are in the range
of Rs.1,500-1,800/sq.ft.
The retail lease rates in key highstreets of the city are estimated at Rs.45-60/sq.ft. per month while the
capital values are in the range of Rs.5,500-7,000/sq.ft. In secondary highstreets of Cuttack-Puri Road, rental
values are at Rs.35-45/sq. ft. per month and capital values are quoted at Rs.4,000-5,500/sq.ft.
The state government has been actively promoting Bhubaneswar as an upcoming IT/ITES destination.
Recently, to give further push to the sector, an International Institute of Information Technology (IIIT) was
launched at Gothapatna by the state government with support from the IT industry. There are also plans to
set up a 100-acres IT Park adjacent to the institute to house the IT companies. Real estate prices are
expected to rise further with demand arising from various MNCs and IT/ITES companies. Besides, with a
number of SEZs coming up in the neighbouring districts, including a 4,000-acre SEZ by POSCO, the
economy of the city will be further strengthened.
The government has called for participation from the private sector in industrial estates like Agro-tech Park
and Diamond Park in the region. The administration has also taken up major infrastructure projects to
improve connectivity between key cities, viz. Cuttack-Bhubaneswar and Sambalpur-Rourkela. Moreover,
work on airport expansion and modernisation is also underway. Besides these, a proposal for International
Airport and Air Cargo Complex is under consideration. All these developments are anticipated to augment
the overall attractiveness of the city and thereby draw investors in various sectors to the city.
Rental and Capital Values
Outlook
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 17
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
AshokNagar
ShashtriNagar
Nandankanan
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values
Locations
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 18
Retail Market Values
Locations
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Janpath
Cuttack-
PuriRoad
Rs./sq.f
t.permon
th
Rs./sq.f
t.
Rental Values Capital Values
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
6,000
7,000
EkamraMarg
13
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Jaipur
Overview
Jaipur, the bustling capital of Rajasthan, is a major international and domestic tourist destination. Widelyknown as the Pink City, Jaipur is fast transforming into a cosmopolitan city. Over the last 15 years, Jaipur
has undergone major economic reforms. Economic growth has led to expansion of urban space in the
region. With increasing disposable incomes and changing socio-economic environment, suburban and
peripheral locations have become the focus of development.
Old Jaipur, also known as the Walled City, houses traditional markets like Bapu Bazaar and Chand Pole.
MI Road is the prime office and retail location of Jaipur and has several multistoried commercial complexes.
Old city locations of Ramchandra Chaukari, Gangapol Chaukari and Jaleb Chowk are no longer preferred for
residential purpose as they are quite congested and have become more of commercial locations. Bani Park,
Raja Park, Malviya Nagar, Jawahar Nagar and Nirman Nagar are the high-end residential locations and are
characterised by the availability of plots and apartments.
Some land parcels are still available in the Walled City and developers are actively seeking these for
development. Upcoming IT projects and SEZs are expected to trigger off further development in the city ascommercial and residential demand is likely to pick up with the increase in economic activity.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 19
Office Market Values
Locations
36
MIRoad
SubhashMarg
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.ft.
9,500
9,000
8,500
8,000
7,500
7,000
Rental Values Capital Values
50
48
46
44
42
40
38
Current Scenario
Till late, office space in Jaipur was confined to multistoried commercial complexes on MI Road and the
locations in the vicinity. Due to the increase in demand for Grade-A office space, new developments are
coming up in Bani Park, JN Marg, Ashok Marg, Ahinsa Circle and on Tonk Road. Corporates like Tata AIG,
Genpact, HSBC, GAIL, Reliance Infocom, Yes Bank and Standard Chartered have their offices in the city.
With a number of IT parks coming up on Delhi Road, Sitapur Road, Tonk Road and Vaishali Nagar, these
peripheral locations are emerging as preferred IT destinations of the region.
Residential demand has moved from the Walled City to locations like Ashok Nagar, C-Scheme and Lal Kothi.
Vidhyadhar Nagar, Vaishali Nagar and Mansarovar are the upcoming residential locations on the outer
fringes of city. New residential projects like Omaxe City, Sushant Lok, Parsvnath Narayan City, Amarpali andVatika are coming along Ajmer Road, Tonk Road and Kalwar Road.
As with the other smaller cities of the country, Jaipur is also witnessing a retail boom. A number of malls in
variable retail formats have come up around the city. Gaurav Tower and Savitri Towers in Malviya Nagar,
Cityplex on Tonk road, Silver Square and Mall 21 are some of the existing malls in the city. At present,
a number of retail projects, including City Mall on Ashok Marg, Crystal Palm and MGF on Bhawani Road
and Golcha Trade Center on MI Road are under construction in the city.
Recently, a number of national level developers have entered the Jaipur real estate market and this has led
to increased competition for the local developers.
Crystal Court Mall, Malviya Nagar Residential development, C-Scheme
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 20
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
C-S
heme
BaniPark
TonkRoad
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values
Locations
3,500
4,000
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Rental and Capital Values
Outlook
With the entry of global firms in the city, the office market in Jaipur has been growing steadily to support
the ancillary activities. MI Road offers office space at rentals ranging from Rs.25-50/sq.ft. per month, while
office space on Subash Marg is available for capital values varying between Rs.7,800-10,000/sq.ft. and at
rentals in the range of Rs.35-55/sq.ft. per month.
In the residential segment, Bani Park, Malviya Nagar and Raja Park have witnessed an appreciation of
25-30% in the last two years. Capital values vary in the range of Rs.1,850-3,850/sq.ft. for plotted
developments in these locations. C-Scheme fetches the highest rates with capital values of apartments
ranging from Rs.3,300-4,000/sq.ft., while residential developments in Bani Park have capital values of
Rs.3,250/sq.ft. Civil Lines, Bajaj Nagar, Gandhi Nagar and Tonk Road are preferred mid-end residential
pockets with a price range of Rs.1,450-1,750/sq.ft.
Growth of retail in Jaipur is fueled by domestic and international tourism. Retail formats in the city cater
to established retail brands stores as well as to local handicraft stores. Capital values vary from
Rs.20,000-22,000/sq.ft. for shops in premium shopping malls whereas rental values vary from
Rs.70-110/sq.ft. per month. Malls in C-scheme have witnessed appreciation of approximately 35% in the
last one year due to excellent connectivity and proximity to the Walled City.
Jaipur is a growing market for real estate and has immense potential for expansion. Low operational costs,
availability of labour at cheaper rates, low attrition rates due to lack of regional competition and economic
reforms have led to many IT/ITES corporates exploring the market for their expansion plans. This has also
brought about a change in the construction quality and has ushered in a new era of development.
Investments from NRIs and inclination of service class for second home have supported the residential
market. Quality real estate and balance between demand and supply has led to a healthy market where
good appreciation in real estate values is envisaged over a period of time.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 21
Retail Market Values
Locations
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
MIRoad
SahkarBhawan
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
Rental Values Capital Values
5,000
0
MalviyaNagar
70
80
90
100
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
15
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Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 23
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Ambavadi
SatelliteRoad
Prahladpur
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values
Locations
16
Ahmedabad
Overview
Ahmedabad, the commercial capital of Gujarat, is referred to as Manchester of India owing to theestablished textile industry in the city. Stable business environment, traditional entrepreneurial skills and
liberal state policies have resulted in a vibrant economy of state.
Being designated as the 'Megacity' in the Union Budget, 2005 has brought substantial funding for
upgradation of infrastructure in the city. Projects like Ahmedabad Gandhinagar Metro Rail, Sabarmati River
Front Development, Bus Rapid Transportation System (BRTS) and expansion of city in a planned manner
have attracted a considerable amount of investment to the real estate market as well. Several town planning
schemes have led to development of organised space suitable for off-shoring business activities.
Presence of quality human capital, availability of land at reasonable prices and better connectivity make
Ahmedabad an attractive destination for business developments. Development of the Knowledge Corridor
and the approval of six SEZs are expected to form a strong economic base for the city. Also industrial
development across various sectors like pharma, chemicals, apparel and textile, has generated a number of
employment opportunities in the region.
Typically, Ashram Road is the established CBD of city with a number of government and corporate offices.
Central locations of CG Road, Satellite and Drive-in Road are also preferred due to better quality of space
and their proximity to residential developments in Kalupur, Daryapur, Raipur, Khadia and Jamalpur. The
traditional retail markets of Ahmedabad primarily include old city locations of Shahibaugh, Kalupur, and
Relief Road. Besides, textile mill land in the eastern part of the city has the potential for new retail,
residential and commercial ventures.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 22
Office Market Values
Locations
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
CGRoad
Ashram
Road
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
3,000
Rental Values Capita l Values
3,500
SGHighway
Current Scenario
Dynamic growth in the city has made a vast difference to the landscape of the city. With the CBD lacking
space for development, new micromarkets have emerged across the city. A number of office developments
have come up on SG Road, due to the congestion in the core city. The focus of development has shifted
from eastern Ahmedabad to the suburban and peripheral locations in the western part of the city.
As the cost for IT/ITES operations in Ahmedabad being lower by 40-50% as compared to the Tier I cities of
the country, substantial potential is envisaged for future IT/ITES investment. With several tax incentives,
concessions and a FAR of 2.25, the city is expected to attract more IT/ITES companies. Currently, IT/ITES
development in the city is at a nascent stage. Info City, an IT Park spread over 150 acres in Gandhinagar has
tenants like Microsoft, ACI and TCS. IT/ITES SEZ by the DLF Group, Mindspace IT Park by the Rahejas and
Gandhinagar Electronics Estate by Gujarat Industrial Development Corporation (GIDC) are expected to be
operational in the next few years.
In the residential segment, with the Old Central Zone of the city having reached saturation levels, locations
like Navrangpura, Naranpura and Ambavadi are witnessing strong demand for high-end apartments. Post
the 2001 earthquake, there has been a tremendous demand for low-rise buildings, bungalows and
row-houses. Suburban and peripheral locations like Bopal, Ambali, Shilaj, Satellite, Memnagar, Vastrapur,
Prahlad Nagar, Vasna and Paldi, are coming up with residential developments.
GDNR Info City IT Tower, Gandhinagar Piramyd Abhijeet, CG Road
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CG Road, the retail highstreet of the city, has been a favoured location for malls and exclusive show rooms
of various international brands. Of late, the SG Highway has become the most preferred destination for
organised retail due to availability of larger developments. At present, ten malls are operational in the city.
High propensity to spend, entrepreneurial spirit, wide product range and competition among the retail
chains are driving the retail market in the city. By end-2009, the city is expected to receive a supply of
4-4.5 mn.sq.ft. built up area in the retail segment.
The CBD office micromarket rental values are currently at Rs.18-27/sq.ft. per month. Rental values in the
western suburbs of the city are around Rs.18-22/sq.ft. per month, while peripheral micromarkets, which
had an appreciation of 27% in the last few months, have rentals in a range of Rs.22-24/sq.ft. per month.
In the residential segment, New Central Zone locations have witnessed around 16%-20% appreciation in
residential values in the last few years. Capital values of apartments in this micromarket are around
Rs.1,600-2,500/sq.ft. Western suburbs of the city witnessed strong appreciation of around 20%-24% and
the prevailing rates are around Rs.1,300-1,650 per sq.ft., while south western suburbs of Paldi, Vasna,
Pralhad Nagar and Vejalpur witnessed capital values rise to the current rates of Rs.1,200-1,450/sq.ft.
Retail high street developments have witnessed a rise in rentals of around 20% in the last few years. Rental
values in the CBD micro markets are quoted at around Rs.80/sq.ft. per month. Western suburban locations
have witnessed appreciation of around 21-25% and prevailing rates here are around Rs.100-115/sq.ft.
per month. Peripheral micro market has witnessed annual appreciation of 30% and rental values are around
Rs.150/sq.ft. per month.
Ahmedabad market can be said to be in a transition stage with the real estate sector getting more
organised and user specific. Over the next one year, the sector is expected to get an investment of
Rs.150 billon.
Multi-locational peripheral development has opened the potential for IT/ITES projects. Skilled labour,
availability of land in market, quality real estate, low operational costs, good connectivity, supportivegovernment policies and entrepreneurial culture are the strengths of this city. However, social infrastructure
has still not matched the desired pace, hence self-contained and integrated projects will have better
prospects.
With the IT/ITES SEZs becoming operational over the next few years, real estate development is expected to
promote the growth and development of Ahmedabad. Stable market growth and promising returns is
envisaged in Ahmedabad in the forthcoming years.
Rental and Capital Values
Outlook
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 24
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
CGRoad
SGHighway
Drive-inRoad
Retail Market Values
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Locations
10,000
12,000
Rental Values Capital Values
140
160
14,000
16,000
17
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Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 26
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Citylight
Bhatar
Adajan
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values
Locations
18
Surat
Overview
Surat, the second largest commercial hub in Gujarat, is also one of the major industrial locations of thecountry. It is renowned for its textile manufacturing, diamond cutting and polishing industries.
Over the last two decades rapid industrialisation, along with consequent urbanisation, have led to
large-scale conversion of agricultural land for residential, commercial and industrial use. Developers have
acquired large tracts of land in the peripheral locations and plan to sell them as plotted developments. The
CBD of the city, located along the Ring Road, is witnessing considerable space crunch and new
developments have come up in the suburbs of the city. Udhna Darwaza and Majura gate, to the south of
the city, has a small number of stand-alone structures to cater to the office space needs of the banking and
financial sector.
Locations like Ghoddod Road, Parle Point and Athwalines form the prime residential pockets of the city.
Majority of the retail markets are concentrated in these locations. Surat has a mix of local retail chains as
well as several national level retailers. Varechha forms the centre of diamond trade in the region. Another
major industry, the wholesale textile market, is located in the Ring Road.Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 25
Office Market Values
Locations
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Athwalines
UdhnaDarwaza
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
6,000
Rental Values Capital Values
7,000
Citylight
70
80
8,000
9,000
Current Scenario
The real estate market of the city has witnessed considerable activity in the past few years. While industry
sources hint at the black market component being behind the upsurge in real estate development in the
city, the fact that there has been a significant population growth of 62% during the last decade has
contributed to the development of high-rise apartments and row houses in the suburban locations of the
city.
Majority of the residential projects are coming up in the northwestern part of the city, in locations of Adajan
and Rander. The southern locations of Citylight and Piplod, the HIG pockets, too have a number of
Grade-A residential developments coming up in this micromarket by 2008.
Besides residential developments, which have been the most active segment of the real estate market, retail
projects are also on the rise. Majority of the retail developments are coming up at Piplod, along the Dumas
Road. Most of these retail projects are being developed as malls, as opposed to the prevalent formats
consisting of mixed use developments. Around four malls are underway in proximity to each other on the
Dumas Road. Approximately 2 mn.sq.ft. of new retail space is estimated to enter this micromarket, which
may, according to industry sources, amount to an oversupply situation. Amongst the notable mall
developments, Iscon Mall (325,000 sq.ft.) is expected to be operational by early 2007.
Surat lacks any form of organised office space and most of the corporates present in the city have taken
space in the various commercial complexes around the city. Currently, highstreets at Majura Gate, Parle
Point, Ghoddod Road and Athwalines comprise such commercial developments. Offices in the city mostly
cater to insurance companies, broking houses, coaching centres, etc. No major IT/ITES organisation has its
presence in the city currently.
Valentine Theatre, Piplod Raj Empire Multiplex, Bhatar Road
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Only a few MNCs like JM Morgan Stanley and ABN Amro are in Surat presently but with increasing
urbanisation of the region, more corporates are expected to enter the market in the near future.
The residential market in the city is witnessing an upswing in the prices over the past few years.New Grade-A residential developments in the city like Surya Darshan at Citylight and Aashirwad Palace at
Bhatar Road offer amenities like gymnasium and club houses which were previously not available to flat
buyers/owners in Surat. Currently, the residential prices exist within a range of Rs.1,650-2,700/sq.ft.
Ring Road in Surat is the commercial hub. The rates in this location vary in the range of
Rs.1,500-1,800/sq.ft. Sale is preferred over lease. The capital values at Ghoddod Road and Parle Point,
the other important commercial locations of Surat are in the range of Rs.6,000-8,000/sq.ft.
On the retail front, as with the office space, lease models are not popular in the city. Retail spaces on
Ghoddod Road and Parle Point are available at Rs.10,000-15,000/sq.ft. while rental values are quoted at
Rs.100-150/sq.ft. per month. Towards Udhna Darwaza, near the Ring Road, retail prices are within a range
of Rs.6,000-7,000/sq.ft. The rental values in the malls under development at Piplod Road are approximately
at Rs.65-70/sq.ft. per month.
Work on Surat airport will mark the onset of commercial real estate activity in the city. Direct air
connectivity with the rest of the country will provide an immense boost to the trade and commercial
prospects of the city. It shall also attract business tourists, thereby leading to an upsurge in the hospitality
segment, particularly on the Dumas Road.
Under the Surat Municipal Corporation (SMC) and Surat Urban Development Authority's (SUDA)
comprehensive development plan, a number of infrastructure projects are underway. Also, Gujarat Industrial
Development Corporation (GIDC) is to develop a Gems and Jewellery Park at Ichhapore near Surat, which
will expectedly firm up land prices around that region.
With regard to the residential property markets, prices are expected to increase further over the next
6-10 months in the locations of Adajan, Rander, Citylight and Piplod. The demand for residential units will
be persistently driven by end-users as well as investors. By the end-2008, as majority of the
underdevelopment projects are completed, the western and southern suburbs of the city will emerge as
important hubs.
The retail markets in the city are expected to become more organised with an increasing number of people
getting exposure to brand culture. Key retailers like McDonalds, RPG, Spencer & Co., Shoppers Stop, etc.
are seriously considering to enter the market. Attractive demographics and viable rentals are the two
decisive factors behind their plans to enter the Surat market.
Rental and Capital Values
Outlook
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 27
120
10080
60
40
20
0
ParlePoint
GhoddodRoad
Citylight
Retail Market Values
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Locations
10,000
12,000
Rental Values Capital Values
140 14,000
19
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Nagpur
Overview
Nagpur, besides being an industrial city, is a key business and administrative centre of Maharashtra. Thecity, spread over an area of approximately 253 sq.km., has witnessed a decadal population growth of
26.3% in 2001. Nagpur is undergoing major transformation and this is evident by the improving
infrastructure of the city, increasing focus of the local government on city development and the positive
changes in the real estate sector of the city.
The real estate prices, which had been inactive for many years, have witnessed a change with the
announcement of the Multi-modal International Hub Airport at Nagpur (MIHAN) in 2002-03. A number of
locations around the proposed MIHAN project have seen high escalation in land and residential rates. Major
companies like Satyam Infotech, GE, DLF, Shapoorji Pallonji, L&T Infotech, Patni Computers and Microsoft
have taken up large parcels of land in the SEZ within the Cargo Hub and this in turn will augment the
residential demand in the region. The prime residential projects in Nagpur, which mostly consist of
bungalows, are located in Chaoni, Dharampeth, Ramdaspeth, Shivajinagar, Wardhaman Nagar and Civil
Lines. The CBD locations of the city are Civil Lines and Sadat, while retail pockets in the city are
concentrated in Dharampeth, Gokulpeth, Sitabuldi, and Wardhaman Nagar.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 28
Office Market Values
Locations
44
42
40
38
36
34
32
CivilLines
Ramdaspeth
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
6,000
Rental Values Capital Values
Gandhibagh
Current Scenario
As the IT/ITES industry is at a nascent stage, Nagpur does not have dedicated office buildings. The few
IT companies in the city are located at the MIDC IT Park at Sadar and the IT Park at Parsodi. Developments
existing in the CBD locations and those in Itwari, Gandhibagh, Ramdaspeth and Dharampeth have a mix of
retail and office space. Insufficient demand as well as lack of good plot sizes has restricted new commercial
development in these micromarkets.
Around 1.2 mn.sq.ft. of office space is expected to come up in the market in the next 2-3 years. The
Empress City project which is expected to be operational by 2009 will contribute approximately
0.7 mn.sq.ft. of built up space. Some of the prominent developers in the city are Aditya Builders, Alankar
Real Estate, Himalaya Builders, Narang Builders and Shriram Builders.
The residential supply in Nagpur has grown by almost 100% over the last few years. With a number of new
projects mushrooming in various locations in the city, real estate development in Nagpur is on an upward
curve. Demand for housing in Nagpur arises from employees working in the local industries, businessmen,
IT/ITES and BPO professionals as well as those engaged in the insurance and banking sector. Since more
than half the population of the city constitutes of the middle-income and the upper middle-income group,
investments in residential properties by the local residents has shown a considerable increase.
The upcoming residential locations in Nagpur comprise Kamptee Road in the north-east, Khamla and
Hingna Road in the south-west and Besa and Wardha Road in the south. These locations have a number of
apartment complexes as well as stand-alone buildings coming up. Majority of the new supply is
concentrated in the southern zone (Wardha Road) near the upcoming Cargo Hub.
MIDC Infotech Tower, Parsodi Inox Multiplex, Vardhaman Nagar
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The increasing demand for housing has encouraged local developers to come up with new apartment
projects in Nagpur. Some of the notable residential projects in the city are Vyankatesh City by Sukhkarta
and Vyankatesh Builders, Sahara City by Sahara Industries and Empress City by KSL Industries. The concept
of developing large-scale township projects is getting a good response from the local residents and
investors. Companies like Satyam Infotech and Reliance have acquired large parcels of land for township
development in Nagpur.
As with the other emerging cities, the retail landscape in Nagpur is experiencing significant change. The
major drivers of this growth are the increasing propensity to spend of the local population who are mostly
entrepreneurs, as well as the emerging IT sector in Nagpur. New retail growth can be seen close to the
prominent residential and high-income group locations of Dharampeth, Ramdaspeth, Gokulpeth,
Byramjee Town, Gandhibagh, Itwari and Wardhaman Nagar. New malls are also coming up around
VIP Road, Variety Square, Wardhaman Nagar and Gandhibagh. Around 3.2 mn.sq.ft. of retail supply is
expected to come up in the city by 2009. The prominent upcoming retail projects in the city include two
large format malls by N Kumar Group on VIP Road and Khamla, both awarded to the group on
Built-Operate-Transfer (BOT) basis by the Nagpur Improvement Trust.
Due to the rise in demand, the residential sector capital values have seen an annual appreciation of as high
as 150-200%. The capital rates in the upmarket residential locations like Civil Lines and Byramjee Town
range from Rs.2,000-3,750/sq.ft. while Shivajinagar and Ramdaspeth command rates of
Rs.1,500-3,200/sq.ft. Upcoming locations like Wardha Road presently command an average rate of
Rs.2,000/sq.ft. while Kamptee Road and Katol Road command rates of Rs.800-1,250/sq.ft. Besa in the south
eastern part of the city commands rates in the range of Rs.1,000-1,500/sq.ft.
Office space rental values in the CBD locations of Nagpur range from Rs.40-45/sq.ft. per month while
Ramdaspeth and Dharampeth command rental rates of Rs.35-40/sq.ft. per month. Other locations like
Itwari, Gandhibagh and Central Avenue Road command lease rates of Rs.35-40/sq.ft. per month.
Rental rates in old retail markets range from Rs.50-65/sq.ft. per month while other retail pockets like
Dharampeth and Sitabuldi command rates of Rs.60-80/sq.ft. per month. Upcoming retail locations of
VIP Road and Variety Square command rental rates of Rs.90-120/sq.ft. per month, while Wardhaman Nagarcommands a lease rate of Rs.90/sq.ft. per month.
The 'R.K. Swamy's -BBDO Guide to Urban Markets, 2005' has ranked Nagpur as the 10th richest city in the
country. With infrastructure initiatives in place, Nagpur has a potential for developing into a much sought
after real estate destination. Availability of educated manpower, cheap real estate and land for large campus
developments are attracting many IT companies to this city.
The Nagpur Improvement Trust is planning around six mega township projects in various locations in the
outskirts of the city while the Nagpur Municipal Corporation has plans to develop shopping malls on
BOT model and earn revenues as lease rentals. In the next few years, residential, commercial and retail
activity will be concentrated on Wardha Road, Airport Road, south eastern and southern western locations
around the Ring Road. IT majors like Wipro, HCL and TCS have exhibited heightened interest to set up their
facilities in the city. Thus, with excellent infrastructure in place, a proactive local government and growing
momentum in the real estate sector, Nagpur is expected to attract considerable investments in the near
future.
Rental and Capital Values
Outlook
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 30
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
VIPRoad
Dharampeth
WardhamanNagar
Retail Market Values
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Locations
10,000
12,000
Rental Values Capital Values
21
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 29
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
ByramjeeTown
Shivajinagar
WardhaRoad
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values
Locations
3,500
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Knight FrankEmerging Growth Centres - Quarter 1 200722
Indore
Overview
Indore, the commercial capital of the state of Madhya Pradesh, is the hub of business and trading activitiesin the central India. The city is also well known for its textile industry.
Buoyed by a strong commercial base, Indore is fast becoming a favourable destination for major corporate
and foreign investors in the country. Developments such as the Special Economic Zone (SEZ) and
Auto Testing Track in Pithampur, IT Park at Khandwa Road, conversion of the domestic airport into an
international one are being undertaken at a rapid pace. Plans for developing a Super Corridor are also afoot
to improve connectivity between the eastern and the western parts of the city as well as to attract national
as well as Multi National Companies.
Encouraged by the various developmental activities underway in the city, a number of IT/ITES companies
have expressed their interest. MG Road, which can be classified as the CBD of Indore, has banks, insurance
and telecom companies' offices. Some similar offices and outlets are also located along the AB Road. With
the demand for office space market expected to rise in the next few years, real estate developers in the
region are gearing up to meet increased in demand.
There has also been heightend demand for apartments from the residents of the city. This has been on
account of rising land prices, scarcity of space within the city centre and aspiration for a modern lifestyle.
The demand for apartment-style housing could also be attributed to the fact that there has been
a 46% growth in the city's population in the decade, thereby emphasising the need to shift to alternative
housing.
Indores populace is mostly of entrepreneurs with high purchasing power. The city has a number of strongly
entrenched local brands along with national and international retailers. The old traditional unorganised
markets are slowly giving way to new organised retail markets by the arrival of new malls and shopping
centres in the city. Presently, the major retail growth can be seen in the central part of the city close to the
high-end residential locations of Palasia, Race Course, Saket and Gulmohar and also in upcoming locations
like Vijaynagar and MR 10.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 31
Office Market Values
Locations
19
MGRoad
ABRoad
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
5,200
5,100
5,000
4,900
4,800
4,700
Rental Values Capital Values
22.522
21.5
21
20.5
20
19.5
5,300
5,400
5,5005,600 Current Scenario
Over the last few years considerable real estate activity has been undertaken by developers in the city. Most
of these developments are taking place in the eastern part of the city near the Indore Bypass. While
developers like Satya Group and Omaxe Constructions have commenced their projects viz. Malwa County
and Omaxe City respectively, others like Parsvanath Developers, Ansal Housing, Vivan Infrastructure and
DLF Group have made large scale investments on the Indore Bypass region. Besides these, the Madhya
Pradesh government has earmarked 2,000-acres of land for an IT SEZ near the proposed international
airport. This proposed airport will be a catalyst for future real estate development in the neighbouring
locations. Another noteworthy development is the Crystal IT Park on 24-acres of land at Khandwa Road.
Prospective growth of the IT sector has fueled the growth of residential real estate in the city. Furthermore,
the revival of Pithampur and Dewas industrial estate have provided impetus to the real estate demand in
these industrial areas, as well.
Treasure Island Mall, MG Road BCM Heights, Navlakha Square
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Shalimar Township (23-acres) along the bypass was the first township concept successfully implemented in
Indore by the Mirchandani Group. Meanwhile, Sahara India Infrastructure and Housing has planned Sahara
City Homes on the Bypass at Bicholi Mardana. The integrated township development would be spread over
89-acres of land.
On the retail front, Indore already has a number of national and international brands. Treasure Island(0.6 mn.sq.ft.), located on MG Road, was the first organised retail format in the city. Another mall,
Mangal City (0.25 mn.sq.ft.) located at Vijaynagar Chowk has multiplex chain, R-Adlabs, as its anchor
tenant. With several prominent retailers considering venturing in the city, retail industry has great prospects
ahead in the city. Notably, Mumbai-based K Raheja developers are coming up with a hypermarket on
11-acres of land around the Bypass. Besides, a number of national level multiplex operators have also
announced their entry into the city.
Currently the existing retail space in Indore is approximately 0.86 mn.sq.ft. Around 1 mn.sq.ft. of new retail
space is expected to enter the market in the next few months. About 4-5 malls are in the pipeline and it is
expected that by 2009 approximately 3 mn.sq.ft. of retail space will be operational in the city.
Existing offices in Indore are located in mixed-use format developments which have retail spaces on lower
one/two floors and two/three floors above as office floors. Currently, the rental values for such spaces range
from Rs.20-22/sq.ft. per month while the capital values are quoted at Rs.5,000-5,500/sq.ft. Capital values
for office space have appreciated over 100% in the past year.
With the increase in demand from the middle class segment of the city, the residential rates in the prime
locations of the city have witnessed an appreciation of 10-15% in the past two years. Currently, the prices
quoted for a high-end apartment exist within the range of approximately Rs.1,300-2000/sq.ft.
The retail market in the city is on a growth curve. While majority of the highstreet retail is concentrated
within the city, new mall developments are taking place on the outskirts of the city. At present, the retail
rentals prevalent in the CBD of the city range between Rs.40-80/sq.ft. per month.
Indore is undergoing fast paced infrastructure development to match the future demand from various
sectors. The state government along with local authorities is taking several initiatives to promote Indore as a
premier destination for IT/ITES companies in Central India. Indore is on the radar of a number of IT
companies including Wipro and TCS. Developers like K Raheja and Unitech have already been allotted land
in the proposed IT SEZ. It is, therefore, implicit that Indore is about to witness hectic activity on the IT front
in the coming years.
The city is also expected to have a large influx of people in the next few years because of the job
opportunities generated by the upcoming IT Parks. As a result, demand for housing will increase to
accommodate the incoming population. The demand is expected to be conveniently met by supply as a
number of integrated townships are underway in the Indore Bypass region. The increasing population will
also have a positive impact on the retail growth in the city and open up opportunities for modern retailing.
Rental and Capital Values
Outlook
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 33
Retail Market Values
Locations
MGRoad
ABRoad
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
Rental Values Capital Values
VijaynagarChowrah
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
7,000
8,000
50
40
30
20
10
0
60
70
90
80
23
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 32
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Palasia
RacecourseRoad
MR10
Residential Market Capital Values
Rs./sq.f
t.
Capital Values
Locations
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
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Goa
Overview
The state of Goa, located along the western coast of the country, is a foremost tourist destination of thecountry. A steady growth of tourist inflow, both foreign and domestic, has resulted in the state achieving
one of the highest per capita income in the country.
An erstwhile Portugese colony, Goa is divided into two districts viz. North and South Goa with headquarters
at Panaji and Margao respectively. While Panaji, located in North Goa, forms the administrative capital,
Margao in south is the commercial centre of the state. Over the years, North Goa has witnessed a faster
economic growth, thereby overtaking its southern counterpart. Infrastructure development in the northern
part of the state led to early commercialisation of the region, while gradual regulated development in
South Goa provided the region with a dynamic hospitality industry, a number of five star deluxe hotels
along its coast-line.
Panaji, also the CBD of the region, has a number of government offices located at Patto while
18th June Road comprises the retail segment of the micro-market. Prime residential properties in Goa are
located in Dona Paula, Miramar and Caranzalem along the northern coast, while mid-end apartments arepresent in Margao in the south. Being a tourist hub, the retail markets in Goa are largely unorganised and
are located at beach towns of Calangute and Baga.
Source: Knight Frank Research
Figure 34
Office Market Values
Locations
45
0
Panaji
Margao
Rs./sq.f
t.permonth
Rs./sq.f
t.
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
6,000
Rental Values Capital Values
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
Current Scenario
With a number of initiatives taken up by the state government, Goa is emerging as an IT destination. As a
result, real estate market in the region has picked up considerably in the past year. Several national level
developers, including Delhi-based developers DLF and Parsvanath, have bought large parcels of land in
Goa. Another out-of-town developer, Pune-based Gera Developers, are coming up with their business
centre in the CBD of Panaji.
The state has recently set up an advanced 46-acre IT centre called Rajiv Gandhi IT Habitat at Dona Paula.
Besides housing BPO units, the centre will be engaged in the production of multi-media and entertainment
software. Plots have also been allotted to companies providing infrastructure facilities in the centre.
Another IT park has been proposed at Soccorro in North Goa. Meanwhile, Wipro has acquired 25-acres of
land adjacent to the IT Habitat for its R&D centre.
The government has approved five SEZs in the region, relating to various sectors, viz. gem and jewellery,
pharma, biotechnology, IT and services. Mumbai-based developers Raheja and Peninsula Group, along with
pharma companies like Cipla, have been allotted land for developing common infrastructure. At present,
Verna Industrial Estate houses a number of MNCs like Siemens, Cipla and Dlink.
Goa has a number of office developments coming up in the next few years. Majority of the developments
are clubbed with retail component on the ground floor. While Atria (30,000 sq.ft.) at Mapusa is a mix of
retail and office, Crossroads Avenue at Margao will have a mix of office, retail and residential units.
Currently, high-rise office developments like Dempo Plaza and Myles High Corporate Hub are limited only
to Panaji.
Patto Plaza, Panaji Myles High Corporate Hub, Panaji
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The residential property market in Goa is on an upswing. While villas and bungalows along the coast are
preferred by the premium segment, demand for multi-storied apartments is also on the rise. Most of these
residential developments have come up in Dona Paula and Miramar. Dynamix Group of Mumbai has a
140-acre residential township at Bambolim which offers high-end villas, bungalows and apartments. The
project will also have a five star resort by 2008. Random residential development is also noticed at Dabolim
in the south and in northern locations of Calangute, Mapusa, Caranzalem and Taleigaon. Panaji, which
comes under EDC (Economic Development Corporation) regulations due to its heritage status, has a
restricted development. Consequently, Porvorim has come up as a satellite township to the saturated Panaji
residential market.
Retail markets in the state, although highly fragmented, are gradually becoming more organised. While
mall developments are yet to come up, a number of multi-storied shopping centres are underway in Goa.
Two retail developments Osia Mall and Profit Centre are coming up in Margao, totaling to about
0.1mn.sq.ft. of retail space. Coastal towns of Candolim and Calangute have well develo