PART I

KNOWING HISPANICS

Continued Hispanic Growth

Growth in TraditionalHispanic States

Explosive Growth in New States

1. Nebraska 116.8%2. South Dakota 116.1%3. Mississippi 114.5%4. Louisiana 112.3%5. Iowa 112.0%6. Maryland 111.7%7. West Virginia 109.2%8. Georgia 102.6%9. Tennessee 100.9%

Over 100% Decadal Growth

128 Million Hispanics by 2050

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 20600

49 57

105

128

4.015

22

35

45.7

Middle "Baseline" Immigration

Fastest Growth – Population Share

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

87% 85% 83% 80% 76%70% 67% 65% 60% 56% 52% 47%

10% 11% 11% 12%12%

13% 13% 13%13%

13%14%

13%

3% 4% 5% 6%9%

13% 14% 16% 19% 23% 26% 29%

5% 6% 7% 8% 9%

Asian* Hispanic Black* White*

Continued Dispersion

Texas Projections

Will Be A Majority(NM, TX, CA, AZ, FL)

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

Hispanics

All Others

1. Laredo, TX 95.9%2. McAllen, TX 90.7%3. Brownsville, TX 88.1%4. El Paso, TX 82.3%5. Miami, FL 66.0%6. Las Cruces, NM 65.5%7. Visalia, CA 60.8%8. Merced, CA 55.1%9. San Antonio, TX 55.0%10. Corpus Christi, TX 54.1%11. Salinas, CA 51.5%12. Fresno, CA 50.9%

Cities - Hispanic Majority

1. The Hispanic population is greatly impacting the social, economic, educational, and religious landscape of North America.

2. Major national and multinational corporations and entities are making significant adaptations in their personnel, structures, and strategies to respond to this reality.

3. The rapid and widespread growth of North America’s Hispanic population sends Southern Baptists a clear message that we cannot reach all of North America for Christ without making an unprecedented commitment to evangelize and congregationalize this Hispanic mission field at our doorsteps.

 

Strategic Observations

4. The new forms of growth and new areas of settlement across the nation’s landscape suggest the need for new ways of thinking and strategizing regarding the Hispanic population in its diverse composition in this country. This has significant implications for all Southern Baptist entities (churches, associations, state conventions, and agencies).

5. These Hispanic population trends seem to follow discernable pathways likely to carry into the future and should be taken into account in the development of strategic plans.

Source: “Latino Growth in Metropolitan America,” The Brookings Institution Center on Urban & Metropolitan Policy and the Pew Hispanic Center.

Source: Pew Hispanic/Kaiser Family Foundation, 2002 National Survey of Latinos.

Strategic Observations

6. As Hispanics achieve majority status, will they assume majority responsibility?

Strategic Observations