kpit_technologies_290813

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  • 7/29/2019 KPIT_Technologies_290813

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    Sector : IT

    Sector view: Positive

    Sensex: 18,129

    52Weekh/l(Rs): 145/92

    Marketcap(Rscr): 2,545

    6mAvgvol(000Nos): 346

    Bloombergcode: KPITIN

    BSEcode: 532400

    NSEcode:

    KPIT

    FV(Rs): 2

    PriceasonAug29,2013Companyratinggrid

    Low High

    1 2 3 4 5

    EarningsGrowth

    CashFlow

    B/SStrength

    Valuationappeal

    Risk

    Sharepricetrend

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    Aug12 Dec12 Apr13 Aug13

    KPITCummins Sensex

    Shareholdingpattern

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Sep1 2 Dec12 Mar1 3 J un13

    Promote rs FIIs Othe rs

    Rating: BUYTarget(13 months): Rs148CMP: Rs131Upside: 12.9%ExitTrigger*: Rs118

    August29,2013

    Research Analys t :

    [email protected]

    Expr ess Idea

    *Exittriggeristhepricelevelbelowwhichinvestorshouldexitposition

    KPIT Technologies Ltd

    Momen tum to con t inue d r iven by s t rong dea l p ipe l ine and focused

    cl ien t m ining

    KPITTechnologiesthroughitsconsistentexecutionandnichecapabilitieshas

    registered sustained revenue growth. This is evident in the 30%+ revenue

    growthin

    FY13

    despite

    the

    weakness

    in

    its

    SAP

    business

    (~25%

    of

    revenues).

    Thiswasonthebackofstrongdemandtraction inIESandAutoengineering

    businesswhichgrewat5.5%/5%CQGRoverthesameperiod.Morerecently,

    thedealfunnelhasshownsubstantialimprovement(+50%inlast69months)

    with 67 large deals in the pipeline (US$1030mn). SAP and Automotive

    business are also expected to pickup in H2 FY14 further supporting the

    revenuetraction.Froma longertermperspective,KPITs increased focuson

    miningitsmarqueeclientbasethroughitsBusinesstransformationservicesis

    expectedhelpmaintainthedecentbusinesstraction.

    Opera t ing m arg in to expan d su ppor ted by SAP bus ines s , rupee and

    oper a t ional leve rage

    KPITsoperatingprofitabilitysufferedoverFY1112onthebackofintegration

    oflowmarginacquisitions,higheronsitegrowthandcontinuedinvestments.

    InFY13too,marginhadtobearthebruntduetotheimpactoftechnological

    reset intheSAPbusiness.Goingforward,owingtothe improvingoffshoring

    (especiallyintheSAPbusiness),weakrupeeandoperationalleveragedueto

    strong volume led traction (due to deal rampups) in key SBUs, we expect

    margin performance to improve. Improving client mining as seen in the

    9%/7%revenueCQGRforTop5/Top10clients(exCummins)shouldalsobode

    well from the margin perspective. Additionally, higher locals /green card

    owners

    amongst

    KPITs

    US

    employee

    base

    may

    result

    in

    relatively

    lower

    impactofprotectionistmoves.

    Valuation s a t 8x FY15E earn ings a re at tr active ; Maintain BUY

    Consistent execution and continued traction which has been a hallmark of

    KPITs business performance over past two years, should continue going

    forwardtoo.Ourexpectation issupportedbythe improvingoveralldemand

    environmentintheUS,bettermanagementcommentaryandgreenshootsin

    discretionaryservicesspending.Consequently,weexpectcompanytowitness

    15%/27% dollar revenue/INR EPS CAGR over FY1315E. P/E valuations at 8x

    FY15Eearningsareattractive.

    FinancialsummaryY/e31Mar(Rsm) FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15ERevenues 15,000 22,386 26,654 31,232

    yoygrowth(%) 49.0 49.2 19.1 17.2

    Operatingprofit 2,171 3,641 4,467 5,167

    OPM(%) 14.5 16.3 16.8 16.5

    ReportedPAT 1,453 1,990 2,657 3,209

    yoygrowth(%) 53.3 36.9 33.6 20.8

    EPS(Rs) 8.2 10.4 13.9 16.8

    P/E(x) 16.5 13.0 9.7 8.0

    Price/Book(x) 3.4 2.5 1.9 1.6

    EV/EBITDA(x) 11.4 7.4 5.5 4.4

    RoE(%) 20.6 22.9 22.3 21.5

    RoCE(%) 22.4 25.6 26.2 26.2

    Source:Company,IndiaInfolineResearch

  • 7/29/2019 KPIT_Technologies_290813

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    AnExpress Idea isarecommendationbasedonourviewonthesectorand/orstockfromaneartomediumtermperspective,typicallylessthanthreemonths.Theviewcanbebasedonfundamentalsand/ortechnicalparametersforthestockand/orourviewonthesectoronthewhole.

    Publishedin2013.IndiaInfolineLtd2013Thisreport isforthepersonal informationoftheauthorisedrecipientand isnotforpublicdistributionandshouldnotbereproducedorredistributedwithoutprior

    permission.Theinformationprovidedinthedocumentisfrompubliclyavailabledataandothersources,whichwebelieve,arereliable.Effortsaremadetotryandensureaccuracy

    ofdatahowever, India Infolineand/oranyof itsaffiliatesand/oremployeesshallnotbe liable for lossordamage thatmay arise fromuseof thisdocument. India

    Infolineand/oranyofitsaffiliatesand/oremployeesmayormaynotholdpositionsinanyofthesecuritiesmentionedinthedocument.

    Thereportalso includesanalysisandviewsexpressedbyourresearch team.Thereport ispurelyfor informationpurposesanddoesnotconstruetobe investment

    recommendation/adviceoranofferorsolicitationofanoffertobuy/sellanysecurities.Theopinionsexpressedareourcurrentopinionsasofthedateappearinginthe

    materialandmaybesubjecttochangefromtimetotimewithoutnotice.

    Investorsshouldnotsolelyrelyonthe informationcontained inthisdocumentandmustmake investmentdecisionsbasedontheirown investmentobjectives,risk

    profileandfinancialposition.Therecipientsofthismaterialshouldtaketheirownprofessionaladvicebeforeactingonthisinformation.

    IndiaInfolineand/oritsaffiliatecompaniesmaydealinthesecuritiesmentionedhereinasabrokerorforanyothertransactionasaMarketMaker,InvestmentAdvisor,

    etc.to

    the

    issuer

    company

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    ThisreportispublishedbyIIFLIndiaPrivateClientsresearchdesk.IIFLhasotherbusinessunitswithindependentresearchteamsseparatedby'Chinesewalls'catering

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