kzn money market fundkznmpf.org/doc/2020_feb_kzn_money_market_fund.pdf · 2020. 3. 30. · sweden...

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FEBRUARY 2020 KZN MONEY MARKET FUND 031 322 9002 [email protected] SmartXchange Building | 5 Walnut Road | Durban | 4000 FRONT OFFICE CONTACT DETAILS The KZN Money Market Fund is a low risk fund that aims to achieve above average money market returns that perform in line with or slightly better than inflation over time. The fund invests only in money market instruments and cash. Specialist asset managers are appointed to select the best money market instruments to investment in and the fund maintains a high degree of liquidity and capital preservation. The fund has little or no chance of capital loss and is not expected to achieve any significant real growth of capital over the long-term. As a result, the fund is best suited to members who have a very short term (1 year or less) investment horizon. This fund is not appropriate for long term investing. The portfolio complies with the prudential investment guidelines set out in Regulation 28 of the Pensions Funds Act. February saw the worst daily fall in the All Share Index since 2008, amidst concerns that the Covid-19 virus will not be contained. Economists were forecasting a V-shaped recovery as the China infection rate continues to drop. However, the rapid increase in cases in the rest of world, particularly in Italy, Iran, South Korea and Japan, has spooked markets. Gold reached a seven-year high as concern over the economic impact of the coronavirus boosted demand for haven assets. The most pressing question is about growth and to what extent global businesses will be forced to shut down, as happened in China, to quarantine the virus. The World Health Organization has stated on more than one occasion that it is too early to declare Covid-19 a pandemic, although it has the potential to become one and this is the time to prepare. A global recession is defined by the IMF as growth lower than 2.5%, not zero; growth was 3.0% last year and was forecast at 3.4% this year, but given Covid-19’s impact, global growth is likely to be back to 3.0% – or lower. Load shedding continued in February, driving manufacturing output to its lowest level since 2014, and South Africa’s three-year average GDP is at its lowest level in 30 years. President Ramaphosa’s State of the Nation Address offered no promise of structural reforms to take place in the immediate future. However, the 2020 Budget focussed on doing the right things, it is promoting growth, through a slow reduction in debt, addressing the elevated wage bill directly, and only moderately increasing tax, as well as rebalancing expenditure towards capital from consumption. Fiscal policy is currently being used as a tool in the US, UK, Japan and China, as monetary policy is tapped out, but the eurozone lacks the fiscal structures required to follow. President Macron has said that the eurozone risks not investing in its own future and is demanding a bigger budget, but Germany disagrees. Meanwhile, the EU remains in a liquidity trap, with only Sweden taking interest rates positive. The FTSE/JSE SWIX Index decreased 9.0%, with Industrials losing 6.5% and Financials 8.2% in the red. The JSE All Bond Index traded flat, while the rand depreciated by 5.1% relative to the US dollar. MONTHLY COMMENTARY ACTUAL ASSET ALLOCATION

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Page 1: KZN MONEY MARKET FUNDkznmpf.org/doc/2020_FEB_KZN_Money_Market_Fund.pdf · 2020. 3. 30. · Sweden taking interest rates positive. The FTSE/JSE SWIX Index decreased 9.0%, with Industrials

FEBRUARY 2020

KZN MONEY MARKET FUND

031 322 [email protected] Building | 5 Walnut Road | Durban | 4000

FRONT OFFICE CONTACT DETAILS

The KZN Money Market Fund is a low risk fund that aims to achieve above average money market returns that perform in line with or slightly better than inflation overtime.

The fund invests only in money market instruments and cash. Specialist asset managers are appointed to select the best money market instruments to investment inand the fund maintains a high degree of liquidity and capital preservation.

The fund has little or no chance of capital loss and is not expected to achieve any significant real growth of capital over the long-term. As a result, the fund is bestsuited to members who have a very short term (1 year or less) investment horizon. This fund is not appropriate for long term investing.

The portfolio complies with the prudential investment guidelines set out in Regulation 28 of the Pensions Funds Act.

February saw the worst daily fall in the All Share Index since 2008, amidstconcerns that the Covid-19 virus will not be contained. Economists wereforecasting a V-shaped recovery as the China infection rate continues todrop. However, the rapid increase in cases in the rest of world, particularlyin Italy, Iran, South Korea and Japan, has spooked markets. Gold reacheda seven-year high as concern over the economic impact of the coronavirusboosted demand for haven assets. The most pressing question is aboutgrowth and to what extent global businesses will be forced to shut down, ashappened in China, to quarantine the virus.

The World Health Organization has stated on more than one occasion thatit is too early to declare Covid-19 a pandemic, although it has the potentialto become one and this is the time to prepare. A global recession is definedby the IMF as growth lower than 2.5%, not zero; growth was 3.0% last yearand was forecast at 3.4% this year, but given Covid-19’s impact, globalgrowth is likely to be back to 3.0% – or lower.

Load shedding continued in February, driving manufacturing output to itslowest level since 2014, and South Africa’s three-year average GDP is at itslowest level in 30 years. President Ramaphosa’s State of the NationAddress offered no promise of structural reforms to take place in theimmediate future. However, the 2020 Budget focussed on doing the rightthings, it is promoting growth, through a slow reduction in debt, addressingthe elevated wage bill directly, and only moderately increasing tax, as wellas rebalancing expenditure towards capital from consumption.

Fiscal policy is currently being used as a tool in the US, UK, Japan andChina, as monetary policy is tapped out, but the eurozone lacks the fiscalstructures required to follow. President Macron has said that the eurozonerisks not investing in its own future and is demanding a bigger budget, butGermany disagrees. Meanwhile, the EU remains in a liquidity trap, with onlySweden taking interest rates positive. The FTSE/JSE SWIX Indexdecreased 9.0%, with Industrials losing 6.5% and Financials 8.2% in thered. The JSE All Bond Index traded flat, while the rand depreciated by 5.1%relative to the US dollar.

MONTHLY COMMENTARY

ACTUAL ASSET ALLOCATION

Page 2: KZN MONEY MARKET FUNDkznmpf.org/doc/2020_FEB_KZN_Money_Market_Fund.pdf · 2020. 3. 30. · Sweden taking interest rates positive. The FTSE/JSE SWIX Index decreased 9.0%, with Industrials

DISCLAIMER

The information and commentary contained in this document is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of a particular individual or entity. It does not in any way constitute a solicitation,recommendation, guidance or proposal, nor does it constitute financial, investment, tax, legal or other advice. Whilst reasonable care was taken in ensuring that the information is accurate, Sygnia Asset Management doesnot warrant its accuracy, correctness or completeness and accepts no liability in respect of any damages and/or loss suffered as a result of reliance on the information in this document. No one should act upon theinformation contained in this document without having obtained appropriate and professional financial, investment, legal, tax and such other relevant advice as may be required in each instance. Sygnia Asset Managementis a licensed financial services provider (FSP 873): 7th Floor, the Foundry, Cardiff Street, Green Point, 8001 Tel: (021) 446 4940/Fax: (021) 446 4950

STATISTIC FUND BENCHMARK

FUND SUMMARY AS AT 29 FEBRUARY 2020

% Positive Months 100.0% 100.0%

% Negative Months 0.0% 0.0%

Worst Month 0.5% 0.5%

Best Month 0.8% 0.6%

Average Return 0.7% 0.6%

Median Return 0.7% 0.6%

Maximum Drawdown 0.0% 0.0%

PERIOD FUND BENCHMARK

PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS TO 29 FEBRUARY 2020

1 Month 0.6% 0.5%

3 Months 2.0% 1.7%

6 Months 3.9% 3.5%

Year to Date 1.3% 1.1%

1 Year 8.3% 7.2%

3 Years 8.5% 7.3%

5 Years 8.3% 7.2%

Since Inception 8.1% 7.3%

Inception Date: 01 July 2007. Returns prior to inception are backtested.

FEES

Total Expense Ratio (TER) 0.19%

Transaction Costs (TC): 0.00%

Total Investment Charge (TIC): 0.19%

PERFORMANCE FUND BENCHMARK

CALENDAR YEAR RETURNS

2015 6.9% 6.5%

2016 8.5% 7.4%

2017 8.7% 7.5%

2018 8.7% 7.3%

2019 8.3% 7.3%

MANAGER ALLOCATION 29 FEBRUARY 2020

MANAGER PERCENTAGE

Coronation – SA Cash 100.0%

BENCHMARK COMPOSITION

KZN Money Market Fund Benchmark

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV YEARDEC

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE

YEAR

0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 6.9%2015

0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 8.5%2016

0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 8.7%2017

0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 8.7%2018

0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 8.3%2019

0.7% 0.6% 1.3%2020

CUMULATIVE INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE