l exploration & production lagniappe to explore2 petroleum news † week of november 25, 2018...
TRANSCRIPT
l E X P L O R A T I O N & P R O D U C T I O N
l E X P L O R A T I O N & P R O D U C T I O N
l E X P L O R A T I O N & P R O D U C T I O N
Vol. 23, No. 47 • www.PetroleumNews.com A weekly oil & gas newspaper based in Anchorage, Alaska Week of November 25, 2018 • $2.50
New LLC set for AGDC: 8-Starto have public, 3rd party investors
page2
Three more key members ofDunleavy team know oil biz;AIDEA award; Lynden land swap
IN ADDITION TO SOON-TO-BE CHIEF
OF STAFF Tuckerman Babcock and
Commissioner of Natural Resources Corri
Feige, there are three other key members of
Gov.-elect Mike Dunleavy’s team who are
knowledgeable about oil and gas — former
Alaska Gov. Sean Parnell, Rep. Dan Saddler
and Brett Huber.
All three men are members of the transition
team; Parnell as special adviser on the proposed $43 billion
Alaska liquefied natural gas project, Saddler as director of the
transition policy council, and Huber as both senior policy advis-
see INSIDER page 7
North Slope, Beaufort Sea salesgenerate $28.1 million high bids
The Alaska Division of Oil and Gas received $28.1 million
in apparent high bids in its 2018 areawide Beaufort Sea and
North Slope oil and gas sales. Bids were opened in Anchorage
Nov. 15. The state received no bids in the other sale offered,
the North Slope Foothills (see map on page 11).
Division Director Chantal Walsh said after the sale that the
North Slope sale, at $27.3 million, was the third largest since
1998 when areawide sales began. And the average bid per acre
in that sale, $121, was the highest since 1998, she said.
The state received 147 bids on 133 tracts, 223,680 acres, in
the North Slope sale from six bidding groups.
A new bidder, Lagniappe AK LLC, was the high bidder on
120 tracts, the division said (see page 1 story on Lagniappe).
see LEASE SALE page 10
Another methane hydrate testwell planned for the North Slope
Apparently BP is planning to drill another methane hydrate
test well on Alaska’s North Slope. On Nov. 15, during a talk
to the Resource Development Council’s annual conference,
Tom Walsh, managing partner of Petrotechnical Resources of
Alaska, commented that the plan is to start drilling the well in
December and to use the well to test the long-term production
of natural gas from the hydrates. Both BP and ConocoPhillips
have been involved with the U.S. Department of Energy in
North Slope methane hydrate research. The Japan Oil, Gas
and Metals National Corp. has also been involved in the
research.
According to data published by the Alaska Oil and Gas
Conservation Commission, the well is called the Hydrate 01
see METHANE WELL page 8
Alberta over a barrel: pure-play v.integrated companies; low prices
A rift without parallel is tearing through the ranks of
Canada’s oil industry.
Pure play oil sands operators are lined up against integrat-
ed companies — those who both produce and refine.
As the West Texas Intermediate price has tumbled under
US$60 a barrel it has dragged down the return on Western
Canada Select bitumen-blend to US$18 and, briefly, below
US$15 when a U.S. federal judge halted work on
TransCanada’s Keystone XL pipeline.
The Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers has
estimated that the price discount cost Canada C$13 billion in
the first 10 months of 2018, or about C$50 million a day.
see OVER A BARREL page 8
Lagniappe to exploreNorth Slope’s latest player has similarities, differences to Armstrong
By KAY CASHMANPetroleum News
Taking a page from Bill Armstrong’s play
book, Alaska’s newest North Slope player,
Lagniappe, is committed to an aggressive explo-
ration program in an area where previous drilling
might have missed oil.
The only differences between the two compa-
nies are that Lafayette, Louisiana-based Lagniappe
AK LLC, part of Lagniappe AK Holdings, bid
much higher than Denver-based Armstrong Oil &
Gas has ever bid in Alaska — and that very little
previous drilling has occurred in the area in which
Lagniappe chose acreage.
Lagniappe, formed in Alaska just prior to the
Nov. 15 bid opening for the 2018 state areawide
North Slope oil and gas sale, was the high bidder
on 120 tracts (see page 1 story and map on page
11), bidding an average of more than $72 an acre
for a total of $14.1 million. The 195,200-acre
block is on the eastern North Slope, versus where
The key to the futureBP sees improved efficiency through new technologies as vital for Prudhoe Bay
By ALAN BAILEYPetroleum News
K eeping the giant Prudhoe Bay field
operating for another 40 years will
be critical to future generations of
Alaskans, Janet Weiss, president of BP
Alaska, told the Resource Development
Council’s annual conference on Nov. 14.
And a key to the longevity of the field is
the use of new technologies, to improve
operational efficiency and produce more oil out of
the field’s reservoir rocks, Weiss said.
Industry foundationThe legacy North Slope fields of Prudhoe Bay
and Kuparuk River provide the foundation for the
continuing health of the North Slope oil
industry.
“This is not just a one-generation
wonder, but it’s there for the next gener-
ation and the generation after that,”
Weiss said.
Sustaining Prudhoe Bay through the
next four decades will take the type of
grit and innovation that has enabled the
stemming of production decline over the
past three years, she said. BP will be car-
rying out a major new seismic survey across the
field this winter. The company has another drilling
rig starting up in the field in December, and anoth-
er rig starting in January, Weiss said.
And efficiency matters — last year BP reduced
Milne Point progressesDrilling about to start at Moose Pad; polymer flooding proving successful
By ALAN BAILEYPetroleum News
Hilcorp Alaska is moving ahead,
upping the oil production from the
Milne Point field on the North Slope,
David Wilkins, the company’s senior vice
president for Alaska, told the Resource
Development Council’s annual conference
on Nov. 14. The company is about to start
drilling on the new Moose Pad at the west-
ern edge of the Milne Point unit. The company has
also seen success in injecting water and polymer into
the field reservoir to boost the production of viscous
oil, Wilkins said.
The Moose Pad, the first new well pad at Milne
Point since 2002, can accommodate 50 to 70 wells
and, unusually for the North Slope, has pro-
cessing facilities on the same pad as the
wells, Wilkins said. Construction of the 14-
acre pad began in 2017 and, including the
construction of a three-mile access road,
cost $120 million. Construction also
included the installation of a 15-megawatt
turbine generator plant. The processing
facility can handle 85,000 barrels of fluid
per day. Hilcorp anticipates an eventual
price tag of about $400 million for the
development, with a potential to recover some 60
million barrels of oil. That represents a development
cost of $6 to $7 per barrel, Wilkins said.
“We need more of that and we’ve got more ideas,
with our partner BP,” Wilkins said. In 2014 Hilcorp
see NEW PLAYER page 10
see PRUDHOE FUTURE page 12
see HILCORP PRODUCTION page 6
Petroleum News, or PN, tracked downLagniappe’s founder and top executive
who said the company planned toaggressively explore the block.
JANET WEISS
DAVID WILKINS
2 PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018
EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION
FINANCE & ECONOMY
LAND & LEASING
NATURAL GAS
5 National drilling rig count up 1 to 1,082
4 BOEM to prepare EIS for 2019 Beaufort Sea
5 Study finds healthy polar bears in Chukchi
3 IEA predicts a volatile world oil market
Sees possible oil supply shortfall in early 2020s, rising naturalgas demand, growing use of renewables for power generation
2 AGDC OKs 8-Star limited liability company
8-Star will have public, 3rd-party investors, be controlled byAGDC; 8-Star will control Alaska LNG, which will hold assets
ENVIRONMENT & SAFETY
Lagniappe to exploreNorth Slope’s latest player has similarities, differences to Armstrong
The key to the future BP: Efficiency through new technologies vital for Prudhoe Bay
Milne Point progressesDrilling to start at Moose Pad; polymer flooding proving successful
ON THE COVER
Oil Patch Insider: More key members of Dunleavyteam know oil biz; AIDEA award; Lynden land swapNorth Slope, Beaufort Sea salesgenerate $28.1 million high bids
Another methane hydrate testwell planned for the North SlopeAlberta over a barrel: pure-play v.integrated companies; low prices
Petroleum News Alaska’s source for oil and gas newscontents
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3601 C Street, Suite 1424Anchorage, AK 99503
(907) 272-1232(907) 272-1344
l N A T U R A L G A S
AGDC OKs 8-Star limited liability company8-Star will have public, 3rd-party investors, be controlled by AGDC; 8-Star will control Alaska LNG LLC, which will hold assets
By KRISTEN NELSONPetroleum News
K eith Meyer, president of Alaska Gasline
Development Corp., told the board Nov.
8 that the project structure for the Alaska lique-
fied natural gas project will include two new
limited liability companies. The first LLC, 8-
Star Alaska LLC, will be controlled by AGDC
and will have both public and third-party
financial investors.
At the Nov. 8 meeting the board unanimously
approved two resolutions related to 8-Star. The first
notes that the Alaska Legislature tasked AGDC with
establishing the operating structure for a natural gas
pipeline project and allowed it to acquire ownership or
participation interest in an Alaska LNG project or an
entity that has ownership interest in or is engaged in the
project.
The resolution further states that “AGDC’s liquefied
natural gas project has advanced to the point
where potential customers, investment bankers,
and investors require an understanding of the
operating structure,” and to that end “AGDC
seeks to acquire an ownership interest in a
Delaware limited liability company with the
name of 8-Star Alaska, LLC, or a name that is
available and substantially similar thereto.”
The board approved a purchase price not to
exceed $10,000 for purchase of interest in 8-
Star.
The second resolution authorizes AGDC to “license,
share, transfer, or otherwise convey corporate assets to
8-Star which AGDC deems appropriate or necessary to
advance an Alaska liquefied natural gas project and
facilitate 8-Star’s business operations,” including but not
limited to “Alaska LNG Project or ASAP content and
agreements, permits and authorizations, rights-of-way,
and geographical information system databases.”
The 8-Star LLC will allow Alaskans and others to
invest in the project at the appropriate time.
The second entity, Alaska LNG LLC, will be con-
trolled by 8-Star, have strategic partner investors and
hold project assets. Both the LLCs will be tax pass-
throughs
Alaska LNG will be the entity which will construct,
own and operate the project.
The new administrationMeyer said AGDC is working with the incoming
administration and Legislature.
Gov.-elect Mike Dunleavy has named former Gov.
Sean Parnell to be his special advisor on the AKLNG
KEITH MEYER
see AGDC COMPANIES page 5
A draft environmental impact statement for theAlaska LNG project is scheduled from FERC
in February.
SIDEBAR, Page 10: Armstrong on Dunleavy
SIDEBAR, Page 12: New BP system improves operational efficiency
PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018 3
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By ALAN BAILEYPetroleum News
I n its recently published World Energy Outlook 2018
report, the International Energy Authority sees major
changes impacting world energy markets, with the grow-
ing use of electrical power, the increasing use of renew-
able energy sources, instability in oil markets and the
globalization of natural gas markets, as gas demand
grows.
The EIA sees oil consumption continuing to grow,
driven by petrochemical, trucking and aviation demand.
However, in the absence of an uptick in the number of
conventional oil development projects, shale oil devel-
opment could experience difficulty in keeping up with
that increasing demand, possibly leading to a supply gap
in the early 2020s.
Demand for natural gas continues to rise as China
becomes a major gas consumer. The use of solar photo-
voltaic power is expanding rapidly, but there is a need to
drive other low-carbon technologies and to push for fur-
ther improvements in energy efficiency, the IEA sug-
gests.
Three scenariosThe report considers three possible future energy sce-
narios: the continuation of current energy policies; the
introduction of new policies and energy targets that have
been announced; and the implementation of more radical
policies that fully address the need to meet global cli-
mate change goals. In all cases the report sees govern-
ment policies as decisive in determining what route ener-
gy usage and supply will take.
In general, energy demand is expected to grow, as the
center of gravity for energy consumption continues to
shift towards Asia. In its new policies scenario, the
report anticipates global energy demand increasing by
more than 25 percent by 2040, requiring more than $2
trillion per year in investment in new energy supplies.
“Our analysis shows that over 70 percent of global
energy investments will be government driven and as
such the message is clear — the world’s energy destiny
lies with government decisions,” said Dr. Fatih Birol,
IEA executive director. “Crafting the right policies and
proper incentives will be critical to meeting our common
goals of securing energy supplies, reducing carbon emis-
sions, improving air quality in urban centers, and
expanding basic access to energy in Africa and else-
where.”
Transformation of electricity sectorThe electricity sector is undergoing a particularly dra-
matic transformation. Its share in global energy use is
approaching 20 percent and is expected to grow further.
A combination of government policies and cost reduc-
tions for renewable energy sources is fueling a rapid
growth in the use of renewable energy power generation.
However, the characteristics of this form of electricity
supply require changes in the manner in which electrical
systems operate, to ensure supply reliability.
Even in advanced economies, where there are well
developed electricity supply systems, major investment
in the infrastructure will be needed, to accommodate
changes in the power generation mix. But lack of suffi-
cient revenues generated by wholesale power markets to
finance system upgrades could compromise supply reli-
ability, the report suggests. And continuing improve-
ments in energy efficiency have been dampening elec-
tricity demand and causing declines in electricity usage
in the developed world.
In developing countries, on the other hand, there is
rapidly increasing electricity demand with, for example,
the increasing use of cooling systems driven by electric
motors. While the implementation of cleaner and more
universally available and affordable electricity supplies
plays a crucial role in economic development and emis-
sions reductions in these countries, there are questions
over whether investments will appropriately match the
development needs.
Importance of solar PVThe report sees solar photovoltaic technology,
referred to as solar PV, as a key technology in future
electricity generation. With this technology becoming
increasingly competitive, the IEA sees solar PV installed
capacity moving past that of wind, hydropower and
eventually coal in the coming decades. The majority of
this capacity would be in utility-scale installations,
although there would also be strong support for installa-
tion of the technology by individual households.
However, the IEA also predicts that the operation of
electrical systems will need to become increasingly flex-
ible, to support the intermittency of solar PV generation.
The cost of battery technology is declining rapidly,
enabling batteries to increasingly compete with gas-fired
peaking plants in the task of leveling out the varying
solar powered generation. However, conventional power
plants remain the chief means of providing system flex-
ibility, supported by new system interconnections, the
use of electricity storage, and adjustments on the demand
side, the IEA says.
One interesting question revolves around the extent to
which the increasing use of electrically powered vehi-
cles, the use of electric heating and improved electricity
access will push up global electricity demand in the next
l F I N A N C E & E C O N O M Y
IEA predicts a volatile world oil marketSees possible oil supply shortfall in early 2020s, rising natural gas demand and growing use of renewables for power generation
However, the IEA also predicts that theoperation of electrical systems will need tobecome increasingly flexible, to support the
intermittency of solar PV generation.
see IEA OUTLOOK page 4
l L A N D & L E A S I N G
BOEM to prepare EISfor 2019 Beaufort Sea
By KRISTEN NELSONPetroleum News
The federal Bureau of Ocean Energy
Management said Dec. 15 that it will
prepare an environmental impact statement
for a potential 2019 oil and gas lease sale in
the Beaufort Sea. In a Federal Register
notice published Nov. 16, BOEM referred to
regulations implementing the National
Environmental Policy Act and said the EIS
would be for the proposed 2019 Beaufort
Sea lease sale in the Beaufort Sea planning
area.
The National OCS Oil and Gas Leasing
Draft Proposed Program was released Jan.
4. This proposed lease sale area includes all
available OCS blocks in the Beaufort Sea
planning area, 11,876 whole and partial
lease blocks covering some 65 million acres.
Two potential exclusion areas are identi-
fied in the draft: the Barrow and Kaktovik
whaling areas.
The current proposal calls for leasing and
an EIS for the entire Beaufort Sea planning
area, including the proposed whaling exclu-
sion areas.
BOEM’s Nov. 1 leasing report shows 40
Beaufort Sea leases active: Eni holds a block
of 13 leases off Nikaitchuq; ASRC
Exploration holds a block of 21 leases at the
Taktuk unit on the east side, offshore
between Deadhorse and Kaktovik; Hilcorp
and BP jointly hold three leases at Liberty;
and Hilcorp holds three leases off Northstar,
which it operates.
Scoping meetingsBOEM has scheduled four scoping meet-
ings, each of which will be from 7-9 p.m.:
•Dec. 3, Barrow High School, Utqiagvik;
•Dec. 4, Kisik Community Center,
Nuiqsut;
•Dec. 5, Community Center,
Kaktovik; and
•Dec. 8, Dena’ina Civic and Convention
Center, Anchorage.
In announcing the EIS preparation, Dr.
James Kendall, director of BOEM’s Alaska
region, said: “We look forward to receiving
thoughtful, substantive input on this EIS. We
especially need to hear from residents of the
Beaufort Sea communities, letting us know
how the proposed leasing area is currently
being used and what specific areas need
extra attention. To address these issues, we
will use rigorous science together with tradi-
tional knowledge and other input we receive
from this early step in the leasing process.”
The draft proposed leasing program pro-
poses lease sales in the Beaufort Sea in
2019, 2021 and 2023, BOEM said. The last
BOEM Beaufort Sea sale was in April 2007,
resulted in leasing of 90 blocks and brought
in more than $42 million.
Draft alternativesBOEM said the Federal Register notice
is a continuation of information gathering
“and is published early in the environmental
review process in furtherance of the goals
of NEPA.”
The agency said comments received dur-
ing scoping would help inform the EIS for
the lease sale, and if a decision is made to
hold the lease sale, “that decision and the
details related to the lease sale (including
the lease sale area and any mitigation) will
be announced in a Record of Decision and
Final Notice of Sale.”
BOEM said there are draft alternatives
on which it is also seeking public input:
•Offshore whale area alternative — pro-
posed to minimize conflicts between sub-
sistence whaling and oil and gas activities;
•Environmentally important areas alter-
native — proposed to reduce impacts to
known environmentally important areas,
Barrow Canyon, Harrison Bay/Colville
River Delta, the Bolder Patch and Kaktovik.
•Deepwater exclusion alternative —
focus environmental analyses while offer-
ing leases in areas with highest known
resource potential.
BOEM said maps and more details on
the alternatives can be found at
https://www.boem.gov/beaufort2019.
The agency said the draft alternatives are
based on previous OCS oil and gas leasing
programs and on response to stakeholder
comments during development of the
2019-24 draft proposed program. l
4 PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018
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few decades. A more aggressive move in
this direction could lead to a 90 percent
increase in electricity demand by 2040,
relative to the 60 percent increase envis-
aged in the IEA’s new policies scenario.
Increasing electrification would bring
benefits in terms of reducing local pollu-
tion, but power generation would require
further decarbonization if climate
change goals are to be met. And some
aspects of the energy system, including
road freight, shipping and aviation, are
not amenable to electrification using cur-
rent technologies, the IEA report says.
Impact on oil and gas demandAlongside this increasing use of elec-
tricity in a number of energy arenas, in
its new policies scenario the IEA sees the
use of oil-based fuels in cars peaking in
the mid-2020s. However, the use of
these fuels in aviation and the trucking
industry, coupled with growing petro-
chemical demand, would drive the
demand for oil to continue to grow. But
the use of oil and oil products in devel-
oping countries would account for all of
that demand growth.
The IEA anticipates global demand
for coal remaining somewhat static.
Although fewer new coal-fired power
plants are now planned than has been
typical in the past, a number of new
plants are currently coming into opera-
tion.
The IEA expects natural gas to over-
take coal as a global energy source in
2030, as trade in liquefied natural gas
more than doubles in response to
demand from developing countries,
especially China. Although the increas-
ing use of solar PV and wind power in
Europe will likely dampen the demand
for gas for power generation there, gas
supplies will remain vital for the heating
of buildings and for ensuring uninter-
rupted power supplies.
Climate change targetsBut the IEA’s new policies scenario
falls far short of meeting targets for
addressing global climate change.
Achieving those targets would require
much more aggressive moves towards
the use of renewable energy sources.
Interestingly, IEA’s report also points to
connections between people’s need for
access to water and how this may impact
fuel and energy technology choices.
The report also comments on steps
that industry can take to reduce green-
house gas emissions from fossil fuel
usage, including the elimination of gas
flaring, reducing methane emissions,
and the use of carbon dioxide for
enhanced oil recovery from oil fields.
Another possibility being investigated is
the conversion of hydrocarbons to
hydrogen, coupled with the capture of
the carbon. l
continued from page 3
IEA OUTLOOKThe IEA expects natural gas to
overtake coal as a global energysource in 2030, as trade in
liquefied natural gas more thandoubles in response to demand
from developing countries,especially China.
The agency said the draftalternatives are based on previousOCS oil and gas leasing programs
and on response to stakeholdercomments during development of
the 2019-24 draft proposedprogram.
By DAN JOLINGAssociated Press
The first formal count of polar bears in
waters between the United States and
Russia indicates they’re doing better than
some of their cousins elsewhere.
Polar bears are listed as a threatened
species because of diminished sea ice due to
climate change. But university and federal
researchers estimate a healthy and abundant
population of nearly 3,000 animals in the
Chukchi Sea off Alaska’s northwest coast,
according to a study published Nov. 14 in
Scientific Reports.
“It the near-term, it’s absolutely good
news,” said lead author Eric Regehr, who
began the project more than a decade ago as
a U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service biologist
and last year joined the University of
Washington’s Polar Science Center.
In the longer term, it doesn’t mean the
Chukchi Sea bear population will not be
affected.
“Polar bears need ice to hunt seals, and
the ice is projected to decline until the
underlying problem of climate change is
addressed,” Regehr said.
The study shows there is variation
around the world in the effects of sea ice
loss on polar bears, he said Nov. 15.
“Some subpopulations are already
declining while others are still doing OK,”
he said.
Polar bears are classified as marine
mammals because they spend most of their
lives on sea ice. Less sea ice means less pro-
ductive time to hunt ice seals, more time on
shore and longer, energy-sapping swims.
The world’s polar bears are divided into
19 subpopulations, including two in U.S.
waters. Besides Chukchi bears, the United
States shares the southern Beaufort Sea
population with Canada.
Stress in southern Beaufort bears from a
loss of sea ice was partly why the United
States in 2008 declared polar bears a threat-
ened species.
Fewer cubs were surviving into their
second year and adult males weighed less
and had smaller skulls, the U.S. Geological
Survey found. Researcher Steven Amstrup
PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018 5
229-6000
®Providing integrated environmental and engineering solutions for the oil and gas industryRick Farrand (907) 343-2705
project. Parnell, responsible for pas-
sage of Senate Bill 138 in 2014 which
allowed state equity participation in an
LNG project, was defeated in a re-elec-
tion bid by Gov. Bill Walker, who engi-
neered the state takeover of the Alaska
LNG project when industry partners
BP, ConocoPhillips and ExxonMobil
wanted to put the project on hold for
economic reasons.
In discussing the Parnell appoint-
ment, Tuckerman Babcock,
Dunleavy’s chief of staff, told KTUU
“No one knows more about the project
than the former governor.” Babcock
said Parnell had moved the project to a
point never achieved before.
After the state takeover of the proj-
ect, it moved ahead but funding has
been an issue. In the last legislative ses-
sion Walker budgeted for designated
program receipts for AGDC, allowing
it to accept money from third parties.
As proposed, the authority was open
ended, allowing AGDC to accept any
amount of money from third parties.
The House limited the amount to $1
billion for the fiscal year ending in
June and a separate $1 billion for the
fiscal year ending June 30, 2019. The
Senate dropped the $1 billion provi-
sions, but left references to designated
program receipts in the bill.
AGDC has been operating on what
Meyer has called an austerity budget,
stretching funds previously allocated
by the Legislature. During the session
Meyer said he wanted third-party fund-
ing in place in 2018 to keep up the pace
of the project, so funding issues won’t
cause slippage in the schedule to have
first gas in 2024-25. He has said that as
long as the project is in construction in
2020, AGDC can make the 2024-25
online schedule.
Project updatesIn an update on negotiations, Lieza
Wilcox, AGDC vice president commer-
cial and economics, said Chinese parties
visited Alaska in October to advance the
joint development agreement. Sales and
purchase agreement negotiations are
ongoing she said, with workshops for
key parties planned in November.
Meyer noted that a delegation from
Vietnam visited Oct. 22 and said the
JDA parties’ top negotiators were in
town Oct. 22-26, advancing agreements
and conducting upstream resource
reviews.
Wilcox said AGDC has been work-
ing with the Department of Revenue and
the Department of Natural Resources on
aligning economic model assumptions.
She said AGDC provided assumptions
for both a two-train and a phased three-
train scenario.
DNR, she said, is using their project
economic model in the department’s
royalty best interest finding process.
AGDC Senior Vice President of
Program Management Frank Richards
reviewed fulfillment of Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission data requests
and noted that on the Alaska Stand
Along Pipeline the U.S. Army Corps of
Engineers and the federal Bureau of
Land Management are expected to sign
a joint record of decision in mid-
November. A draft environmental
impact statement for the Alaska LNG
project is scheduled from FERC in
February. l
continued from page 2
AGDC COMPANIESAGDC has been operating on
what Meyer has called anausterity budget, stretching
funds previously allocated bythe Legislature.
EXPLORATION & PRODUCTIONNational drilling rig count up 1 to 1,082
The number of rigs drilling for oil and natural gas in the U.S. was up by one the
week ending Nov. 16 to 1,082.
At this time last year there were 915 active rigs.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported that 888 rigs target-
ed oil (up two from the previous week) and 194 targeted natural gas (down by one).
The company said 71 of the U.S. holes were directional, 939 were horizontal
and 72 were vertical.
Among major oil and gas producing states, Texas was up by three rigs and
Pennsylvania was up one.
Alaska, California, Colorado, Louisiana, North Dakota and Wyoming were
unchanged.
New Mexico was down by one and Oklahoma was down by two.
Baker Hughes shows Alaska with six active rigs, up one from a year ago.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May 2016 at 404.
—PETROLEUM NEWS
l E N V I R O N M E N T & S A F E T Y
Study finds healthypolar bears in Chukchi
see CHUKCHI BEARS page 6
purchased 50 percent of BP’s interests in
Milne Point and became field operator.
Gross production from Milne Point is
currently flowing at about 23,000 barrels of
oil per day. Wilkins said that production
could increase to around 24,000 or 26,000
barrels per day by the end of the year,
depending on which new wells come on
line by then. Hilcorp will have two drilling
rigs operating in the field next year and
anticipates drilling more than 20 wells,
bringing the production up to around 35,000
barrels per day by the end of 2019.
Viscous oilOne challenge at Milne Point is the
increasing proportion of viscous oil coming
from the field reservoir. Currently around
10,500 barrels per day of the field produc-
tion consists of this type of oil, oil that has a
relatively high viscosity and that, therefore,
is difficult to flow from the field reservoir
rock.
To address the challenge of viscous oil
production, Hilcorp has installed a small
polymer injection system on J pad at Milne
Point, injecting polymer along with water
into the reservoir for enhanced oil recovery,
Wilkins said. Apparently this technique has
a 30-year track record in the oil industry but
has not previously been tried at Milne Point.
J pad has two horizontal production wells
and two horizontal injection wells that are
being used for the polymer flooding pro-
gram.
Without polymer flooding it may only be
possible to recover some 10 to 15 percent of
the viscous oil that is in the reservoir. The
use of polymer flooding should enable the
production of an additional 2 million barrels
of oil using the four J pad wells, Wilkins
said. But, with the current polymer plant
being quite small, there is potential to
expand the use of this technology.
“I think it’s going to play a big role on
the North Slope,” Wilkins said.
In total there are 1.3 billion barrels of rel-
atively heavy oil at Milne Point. If, say 40
percent of that could be recovered, that
would represent a major boost to oil produc-
tion, he said.
In many ways Hilcorp’s efforts at Milne
Point reflect the company’s core business,
targeted at squeezing as much production as
possible from aging oil and gas assets.
“We do something different. We focus
our whole company … on the tail end of the
asset life,” Wilkins said.
LibertyIn Alaska, however, Hilcorp has also
been forging ahead with some projects
aimed more at the front end of field life. In
particular the company is planning to devel-
op the Liberty oil field from a gravel island
on the federal outer continental shelf of the
Beaufort Sea. Liberty will involve a more
than $1 billion investment for Hilcorp, with
the potential to produce more than 70,000
barrels per day of oil and a field life of 20 to
30 years. In October the Bureau of Ocean
Energy Management issued a record of
decision, approving development of the
field essentially in the manner that Hilcorp
had proposed.
The development plan involves the con-
struction of a 9.3-acre gravel island in 19
feet of water, and the laying of 5.6 miles of
a pipe-within-a-pipe pipeline to deliver oil
into the onshore Badami pipeline. Hilcorp
has commented that the field design reflects
the design of other Beaufort Sea offshore
fields.
“Keep it simple and work on what’s
worked in the past,” Wilkins said.
Wilkins commented that Hilcorp needs
to talk to its partners about the approved
development plan and to obtain a federal
permit for the pipeline design. The compa-
ny anticipates obtaining a Bureau of Safety
and Environmental Enforcement permit for
a worst-case discharge contingency plan-
ning. This should happen at some time in
the first half of next year, following which
the project should move ahead.
Cross-inlet pipeline projectIn the Cook Inlet region, Hilcorp recent-
ly completed its cross-inlet pipeline project.
This project has connected the oil produc-
tion infrastructure on the west side of the
inlet via a subsea pipeline to the oil refinery
at Nikiski on the Kenai Peninsula. The new
pipeline arrangements have eliminated the
need for the Drift River oil terminal on the
west side of the inlet, a terminal beset with
safety concerns because of its proximity to
the Redoubt Volcano.
At this point the reconfigured pipeline
system is delivering 15,000 barrels of oil
per day to the Nikiski refinery, Wilkins said.
The project also involved laying a new sub-
sea gas pipeline, to maintain the capacity of
cross-inlet gas transportation. During the
past summer Hilcorp laid 24 miles of
pipeline and reconfigured 115 miles of
existing pipeline. The project, which cost
$90 million, provided 300 construction
jobs, involving 500,000 manhours of work
and 53 contractors, Wilkins said. Wilkins
commented on the successful coordination
with government agencies, with 92 permits
being issued without delaying the project.
“Everybody wanted to see this project
done right and wanted to see it done the
right way,” he said.
Wilkins also commented on Hilcorp’s
philosophy of pushing responsibility to the
lowest possible level in the company’s
organization, making work enjoyable and
encouraging people to be creative. He par-
ticularly commented on Hilcorp Alaska
safety record, which has been improving
steadily since the company started operat-
ing in the state. It seems that 2018 is seeing
a particularly low rate of recordable safety
incidents. l
6 PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018
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Better.
at the time said the trends were consistent
with changes in nutritional status likely
associated with declines in sea ice.
A more recent study by USGS researcher
Karyn Rode found that Chukchi bears
spend more time on shore and have almost
30 fewer days to hunt seals on ice than 20
years ago, Regehr said. However, that does-
n’t appear to have affected the population,
he said. Polar bears have an amazing ability
to build fat reserves, Regehr said, and the
Chukchi’s abundant seal population appar-
ently allows bears to compensate for the
loss of hunting time. The difference with the
southern Beaufort was obvious from an air-
plane, he said.
When ice melts, many Chukchi bears
rest on Russia’s Wrangell Island, where they
occasionally can find a whale or walrus car-
cass.
The Chukchi population study used data
collected by sampling about 60 polar bears
between 2008 and 2016. Some were fitted
with GPS transmitters. The data was used in
a model designed to estimate population
size for highly mobile large carnivores.
Blaine Griffen, an associate professor of
biology at Brigham Young University, said
the study was good news.
“It’s nice to see that there’s at least one
population that’s doing better than others,”
he said.
The difference may be geography, he
said. The Chukchi Sea has a more extensive
continental shelf area with primary produc-
tivity that enables the food chain to support
seals. l
continued from page 5
CHUKCHI BEARS
continued from page 1
HILCORP PRODUCTION
er and co-chair of the transition policy
council. While Parnell and Huber will con-
tinue to serve in the position of special
adviser on AK LNG and senior policy
adviser/special assis-
tant, respectively,
after Dunleavy is
sworn in on Dec. 3,
Dan Saddler’s role
“remains to be seen,”
transition team
spokesperson Sarah
Erkmann Ward told
Petroleum News
Nov. 18.
According to Babcock the transition
will not have separate teams working on
each policy area like previous transitions.
Instead, the policy council will form sepa-
rate advisory teams as needed. The coun-
cil’s job is to take the policy statements
that Dunleavy made during the campaign
and flesh them out for the commissioners
of each state government department.
Sean Parnell ‘well positioned’ to work on LNG project
Parnell, who was the state’s 10th gov-
ernor from 2009 to 2014, will be analyz-
ing the Alaska LNG
project as it stands
today and making
recommendations to
Dunleavy on the
next steps.
Babcock said
Parnell is “well posi-
tioned” for the task:
“No one knows
more about the proj-
ect than the former
governor. Sean Parnell, in his previous
work on AK LNG, moved the project
along to a point it had really never reached
before. And he stands ready to evaluate
where we are as we move forward and
advise the governor-elect.”
The former governor took over from
Gov. Sarah Palin when she stepped down
to run for U.S. vice-president at the
request of Republican presidential candi-
date John McCain.
Parnell, who lost to current Gov. Bill
Walker when he later ran for re-election,
had served as Alaska’s lieutenant gover-
nor, an Alaska state senator, a state repre-
sentative, deputy director of the Alaska
Department of Natural Resources Division
of Oil and Gas and also worked for oil and
gas company ConocoPhillips. He has been
an attorney in private practice for more
than 20 years in the areas of commercial
transactions and commercial litigation.
As a legislator in the 1990s, as lieu-
tenant governor and as governor, Parnell
was involved in negotiating and passing
gas line legislation. As governor, he spon-
sored or helped pass several pieces of leg-
islation creating and authorizing the
Alaska Gasline Development Corp., or
AGDC. While serving at DNR’s Division
of Oil and Gas, Parnell served as an alter-
nate lead negotiator on the state’s gas line
team. As an attorney, his experience
includes work on oil and gas transactions.
He currently works for the Anchorage
law office of Holland & Hart LLP.
Dan Saddler: conservative,communicator, pro-resourcedevelopment
Saddler, R-Eagle River, who was
defeated in this year’s Republican primary
for Senate District G by Rep. Lora
Reinbold, R-Eagle River, will leave his
seat in the state House in January.
His professional
experiences include
being an engineering
magazine editor, a
newspaper reporter,
a legislative staffer
for four Republican
lawmakers in
Alaska, DNR
spokesman, deputy
press secretary for
former Gov. Frank
Murkowski and a public relations execu-
tive for Arctic Slope Regional Corp.
He has also served as an alternate
member for the state of Alaska on the U.S.
Department of Interior’s royalty policy
committee, which advises Interior
Secretary Ryan Zinke on policy and strate-
gies to improve management of the multi-
billion-dollar federal and American Indian
mineral revenue program, including oil
and gas policy and regulations.
Originally from Ohio, he got his bache-
lor’s degree from Miami University in
1983 and his master’s degree in journal-
ism from Ohio State University in 1987.
Saddler worked as a newspaper reporter in
Ohio and later at the Anchorage Times,
where he covered military, resource devel-
opment and finance.
Saddler and his wife Chris raised their
children in Eagle River where they have
spent the last 26-plus years.
When running for the Senate earlier
this year, Saddler said, “After my journal-
ism career, I entered public service
because I believe our founding fathers had
it right — free men must step up and gov-
ern themselves to protect their God-given
rights. … I’m a conservative, pro-life, pro-
gun, pro-business, pro-resource develop-
ment, small government kind of guy.”
Brett Huber: legislative, naturalresources policy savvy
Brett Huber Sr., a veteran legislative
staffer who managed Dunleavy’s cam-
paign, will be a senior policy advisor in
the administration.
He has a low-key
manner and years of
experience in legisla-
tive and natural
resource issues. He
was chief of staff
and policy advisor to
state senators Rick
Halford, Lesil
McGuire and Pete
Kelly as well as Dunleavy.
According to Must Read Alaska, Huber
has an “in-depth knowledge of natural
resource policy and fish and game man-
agement. He previously worked as execu-
tive director of the Kenai River
Sportfishing Association and as a program
director for the Alaska Department of Fish
and Game. Huber is past president of the
Alaska Outdoor Council and AOC
Political Action Committee. He also
served as chairman of the public advisory
committee for the Exxon Valdez Oil Spill
Trustee Council.
—KAY CASHMAN
AIDEA gets prestigiousnational award
THE COUNCIL OF DEVELOPMENT
FINANCE AGENCIES, or CDFA, recently
announced the Alaska Industrial
Development and Export Authority
(AIDEA) as winner of the 2018 CDFA
Distinguished Development Finance State
Agency Award.
“The CDFA Excellence in
Development Finance Awards recognize
outstanding development finance pro-
grams, agencies, leaders, projects, and
success stories,” said Toby Rittner, presi-
dent and CEO of CDFA. “These awards
honor excellence in the use of financing
tools for economic development, as well
as individuals who champion these
efforts.”
On hand to receive the award for
AIDEA were CEO and Executive Director
John Springsteen; Chief Investment
Officer Alan Weitzner; Infrastructure
Development Sr. Finance Officer Jeff San
Juan; Business Development and
Communications Director Michael Catsi.
—KAY CASHMAN
Ayakulik Island landswap benefits Lynden
AYAKULIK ISLAND IS PARTIALLY
OWNED by Jim Jansen, chairman of
Lynden Inc., a shipping and logistics com-
pany. A funding bill recently passed by the
U.S. Senate authorizing a land swap
PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018 7
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continued from page 1
INSIDER
SEAN PARNELLDAN SADDLER
BRETT HUBER
see INSIDER page 9
MIKE DUNLEAVY
JUD
Y P
ATR
ICK
“The differential has blown out to
such an extreme level for two reasons:
the lack of access to markets and the fact
that we have only one customer (the
U.S.),” said Tim McMillan, chief execu-
tive officer of CAPP.
He suggested the cloak of secrecy that
surrounds transportation and marketing
makes it impossible to get a precise esti-
mate on how much the discounts are
costing, but said it is entirely possible the
real costs could reach C$100 billion a
year.
Campaign for curtailmentCenovus Energy and Canadian
Natural Resources — accompanied by
junior producers Athabasca Oil and
Whitecap Resources — are campaigning
for the Alberta government to temporari-
ly curtail oil output in the province to
cope with the bottleneck in pipelines.
Athabasca CEO Ron Broen said the
government has legislation on the books
to ask producers to restrain production
and that would “have an immediate
impact on the (price) differentials.”
He said Premier Rachel Notley should
determine “what is best for the people of
Alberta and not any particular company
or big industry.”
Cenovus CEO Alex Pourbaix said
Canadian crude is “now the lowest-price
oil in the world. This is a crisis for gov-
ernments, the industry and every person
in Alberta who relies on services that
depend on resource revenues.”
The company said, “this is an extraor-
dinary situation brought on by extraordi-
nary circumstances.”
“Our inability as a country to build
critical new pipeline projects means we
are now in a situation where we can’t get
our growing oil production to market.
This has resulted in a market failure.”
Cenovus pointed out that Alberta used
the current legislation nearly 40 years
ago to impose mandatory production cuts
during a dispute with the Canadian gov-
ernment over a national energy program,
adding that “government has a duty to
protect the value of its oil resources on
behalf of Albertans.”
Pourbaix said companies on both
sides of the issue are unable to negotiate
a settlement because that would be seen
as collaboration, whereas the Notley gov-
ernment can use its existing legislation to
order a temporary reduction to alleviate
the price discounts.
Integrated companies don’t want cutsOn the other side of the fence, the
leading integrated companies — Suncor
Energy, Imperial Oil and Husky Energy
— show no signs of endorsing the cam-
paign for production cuts.
They all argue that market forces
should prevail, which means the lower
the price of WCS the cheaper they can
acquire feedstock for refineries.
That view was endorsed by Martin
King, an analyst with GMP FirstEnergy,
who said it would be simply better to let
the market deal with excess supplies than
to have the province intervene.
“It’s going to be ugly to watch, but the
market will end up correcting this faster
than any kind of government edict would
bring about,” he told the Calgary Herald.
Whitecap CEO Grant Fagerheim said
he generally prefers market solutions, but
he noted the transportation system is bro-
ken because of the Canadian govern-
ment’s inability to see construction pro-
ceed on pipelines such as the Trans
Mountain expansion and Enbridge’s
Northern Gateway.
He said a market failure caused by
governments can only be fixed through
political intervention, calling for a
“roundtable discussion” to determine the
benefits of suspending output.
Report: Voluntary reductionA report by Peters & Co. estimates the
industry has already voluntarily reduced
production by about 140,000 barrels per
day of bitumen and heavy oil.
Pourbaix estimated that an effective
solution would need cutbacks of 200,000
to 300,000 bpd.
So far, the Notley government has
skirted a public debate on the issue of
curtailment, opting instead to lobby the
Canadian government to buy more tanker
cars to boost crude-by-rail shipments out
of Alberta, while pressing for more
pipelines to be built.
Alberta Energy Minister Marg
McCuaig-Boyd said the crude-by-rail
option is currently receiving the most
attention.
Warning letter from large investorThe sense of urgency, as companies
start preparing capital budgets for 2019,
got a sharp jolt from Darren Peers, an
analyst at Los Angeles-based Capital
Group, which runs about US$1.7 trillion
in global assets, including a stake of
US$30 billion in Canada’s oil patch and
is the largest shareholder in Suncor,
Canadian Natural, Enbridge and Keyera,
along with significant stakes in
TransCanada, Cenovus and Whitecap.
In a letter to Prime Minister Justin
Trudeau, Peers warned that investors and
companies will avoid the Canadian ener-
gy sector unless more is done to improve
market access.
“Capital Group’s energy investments
are increasingly shifting to other jurisdic-
tions and that is likely to continue with-
out strong government action,” he wrote.
8 PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018
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well. The well location appears to be on
the western side of the Prudhoe Bay unit.
BP is operator for the well, but there is no
public information about how the well
would be funded.
Methane hydrate is a solid in which
molecules of methane, the primary com-
ponent of natural gas, are held inside a
lattice of water molecules. Huge quanti-
ties of the material, which remains stable
within a certain range of relatively high
pressures and low temperatures, are
known to exist around the base of the per-
mafrost under the North Slope. The mate-
rial represents a major gas resource with
the possibility of commercial production,
should a viable production technique be
developed. Production would involve
some combination of reducing the pres-
sure or increasing the temperature around
the hydrates.
Several methane hydrate test wells,
including two on the North Slope, have
been drilled in various parts of the world
in the past. So far, although short-term
gas production from hydrates has been
demonstrated, no one has demonstrated
sustained production. In addition to the
demonstrating the technical feasibility of
achieving gas production over extended
periods of time, it would be necessary to
assess the development and production
costs, to determine whether production is
economically viable.
—ALAN BAILEY
continued from page 1
METHANE WELL
continued from page 1
OVER A BARREL
see OVER A BARREL page 9
PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018 9
Oil Patch Bits
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“I hope that your government will be
even more proactive in securing mar-
ket access which will assure the com-
petitiveness of Canadian energy com-
panies.”
Peers candidly warned Trudeau that
if market access continues to be under
threat “global investors will seek
opportunities elsewhere and the
Canadian companies will be further
impaired. (They) will struggle to
access capital, create jobs, develop
resources and provide a significant
revenue stream (for Canada).”
Martin Pelletier, portfolio manager
at TriVest Wealth Counsel in Calgary,
said “desperate times call for desperate
measures,” but he would sooner see
the industry come up with a solution
that have the government impose one.
Where the province could play an
important role would be to involve oil
executives to mediate an industry-led
agreement.
A spokeswoman for Canada’s
Natural Resources Minister Amarjeet
Sohi said the government understands
“that market access is an essential
component to Canadian competitive-
ness and that is why we are working
hard to expand to non-U.S., global
markets.”
—GARY PARK
continued from page 8
OVER A BARRELbetween the federal government and a pri-
vate owner would give Jansen complete
ownership of a roughly 11-acre stretch of
federally owned tideland from Lash Dock
to Shannon’s Point in Womens Bay south
of the city of Kodiak, the Kodiak Daily
Mirror reported.
The Coast Guard funding bill, if
signed into law, would allow the swap of
the privately owned Ayakulik Island off
southwest Kodiak Island in the Kodiak
Archipelago for the Womens Bay
acreage.
Tiny Ayakulik Island is a nesting place
for red-faced cormorants, a bird native to
the Aleutian Islands but observed infre-
quently on Kodiak. The 11-acre island
would be set aside for conservation under
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
The land in Womens Bay is in an area
of Coast Guard activity. The Coast Guard
has final authority on development in the
area and can place “operational restric-
tions on commercial activity,” the bill
states.
Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan intro-
duced the land swap provision in the bill.
“The land transaction could occur
without congressional involvement, were
it not for the need to provide the U.S.
Coast Guard with the tools necessary to
protect operations,” the senator’s office
said in a statement.
More information can be found from:
Kodiak (Alaska) Daily Mirror,
http://www.kodiakdailymirror.com.
—ASSOCIATED PRESS
continued from page 7
INSIDER
Don’t miss another issue!Subscribe to Petroleum News: Call 907.522.9469
Preliminary results from the sale show
Lagniappe bidding a total of $14.1 mil-
lion, an average of more than $72 per acre
for 195,200 acres, a large block south of
Badami. This acreage is immediately east
of a block of 12 tracts held by Oil Search,
and south of a large block of acreage
which Eni acquired earlier this year from
Caelus Energy Alaska. The tracts drew no
competing bidders.
Repsol E&P, a partner at Pikka, was
apparent high bidder on 12 tracts, some
26,560 acres, for $13.1 million, an aver-
age of $492 per acre, on tracts primarily
east of Pikka.
Two of those were the only unleased
tracts between Repsol and Oil Search
acreage some distance south of Pikka.
One of the Repsol tracts is at the south-
ern tip of the Pikka unit. The remaining
nine are generally between Brooks Range
Petroleum Corp. acreage and that compa-
ny’s Southern Miluveach unit south of
Kuparuk in an area east of Pikka.
On four those tracts Repsol placed the
highest bid per acre in the sale, $586. The
totals bid for those four tracts, more than
$1.5 million each, were also the highest
bonus bids on sale tracts.
Prior to the sale Repsol held 234,533
acres of state oil and gas leases.
A bidding group of J. Andrew
Bachner, 90 percent, and Keith C.
Forsgren, 10 percent, tied with
Regenerate Alaska Inc. (each bidding
$26.11 per acre) for a tract on the eastern
edge of the sale, adjacent to existing
Regenerate acreage and ExxonMobil
acreage south of Point Thomson.
Regenerate is an 88 Energy subsidiary,
and currently holds some 14,194 acres of
state oil and gas acreage. Bachner and
Forsgren are frequent oil and gas lease
sale bidders: Bachner currently holds
some 15,513 acres of state oil and gas
leases; Forsgren holds some 1,724 acres.
ASRC Exploration LLC and Caracol
Petroleum LLC were unsuccessful bid-
ders in the North Slope areawide sale.
Caracol is a working interest owner in the
Southern Miluveach unit and currently
hold some 25,789 acres of state oil and
gas leases; ASRC Exploration is the oper-
ator of the Placer unit and currently holds
some 14,715 state oil and gas lease acres.
Neither of those units are in production.
Beaufort Sea saleOil Search dominated the Beaufort Sea
sale, taking four of eight tracts in that sale
for $529,368 of the $848,198 bid. The
state received 12 bids on eight tracts,
20,270 acres, in that sale.
The Oil Search tracts are north of
Pikka, operated by Oil Search, and adja-
cent to existing Oil Search acreage. The
company bid from $48.03 to $57.17 per
acre for the tracts, which range in size
from 2,080 to 2,880 acres, a total of
10,080 acres.
Hilcorp Alaska took a single tract,
1,680 acres, for $57.52 per acre, at the
northwestern corner of the Liberty
prospect which Hilcorp is in the process
of developing. Hilcorp is a Cook Inlet and
North Slope producer, with some 329,677
acres of state oil and gas leases prior to
this sale.
J. Andrew Bachner, 90 percent, and
Keith C. Forsgren, 10 percent, took three
of the seven tracts on which they bid, los-
ing out to Oil Search on the other four.
The bidding group paid $26.11 an acre for
a total of 10,080 acres. The three tracts
are adjacent to each other at Harrison
Bay.
SALSAThe division had no takers for three
packages of tracts, each offered as a
block, for which there is publicly avail-
able data.
In announcing the block offerings —
called Special Alaska Lease Sale Areas or
SALSA — in July, Walsh said the divi-
sion “has gathered and highlighted large
amounts of publicly available data that
bears on the SALSA areas.”
Each of the three SALSA areas,
Harrison Bay, Gwydyr Bay and Storms,
has 3-D seismic available, data which was
acquired through the state’s tax credit
program and available through the
Department of Natural Resources for a
modest fee, Walsh said in announcing the
program this summer.
Two of the SALSA areas were in the
Beaufort Sea sale area, Harrison Bay on
the coast west of the Colville River unit
and Gwydyr Bay on the central North
Slope coast between Milne Point and
Northstar north of Prudhoe Bay. Storms
was in the North Slope sale area, south of
Prudhoe Bay and immediately east of the
Guitar unit.
Bidders were required to bid on the
blocks as a whole. The block sizes varied,
with Harrison Bay the largest at some
66,430 acres, Storms at some 30,720
acres and Gwydyr Bay at some 23,040
acres.
—KRISTEN NELSON
10 PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018
Armstrong and its partners are developing
their acreage west of the central Slope.
Lagniappe top exec speaksPetroleum News, or PN, tracked down
Lagniappe’s founder and top executive
who said the company planned to aggres-
sively explore the block, which is exactly
what Armstrong did when it acquired its
leases in the Cook Inlet basin and west of
the central North Slope where it found a
huge oil deposit that was missed by previ-
ous drilling and is currently being devel-
oped by Armstrong partner Oil Search
(Repsol is also a major partner).
Beyond that, PN was sworn to secrecy
until the company is ready to say more.
As reported by a PN news bulletin on
Nov. 15, titled “Lagniappe connected to
Armstrong???” another similarity with
Armstrong is that Lagniappe used a dif-
ferent company name and agent for a
major lease sale transaction.
In Armstrong’s case it was 70 & 148
LLC, the latitude and longitude coordi-
nates for Prudhoe Bay, then North
America’s largest oil field, bidding about
$6.9 million on 200,000 acres-plus in the
October 2008 state North Slope and
Beaufort Sea areawide lease sales and
using Bill Armstrong’s assistant’s name
and address as the agent. (Google maps
showed her apartment was close to
Armstrong’s Denver office.)
Armstrong and its partners could have
as much oil at their Pikka and Horseshoe
discoveries west of the central North
Slope as that of Prudhoe Bay, says former
Commissioner of Natural Resources
Mark Myers, who has seen the well logs.
The discoveries prompted a re-think of
North Slope oil potential and new explo-
ration and development, although it is still
in its early stages.
Which company savvyenough to hide identity?
In the case of Lagniappe, which means
“a little extra” in Cajun, the principal in
charge of the firm at the address on
Lagniappe's Alaska business license is
attorney Durelle Allen of Allen & Kirmse
Ltd., who declined to comment on the
lease sale.
The individuals from the many nation-
al and international oil companies that
gave Allen & Kirmse glowing recommen-
dations, posted on the firm’s website, in
everything from land services to broker-
ing deals included Armstrong Vice
President and minority owner Ed Kerr,
who said their “technical expertise was
the very best … while their diligence and
timeliness allowed us to maintain a com-
petitive edge on our competition. Over
the past 32 years,” Kerr said he has
worked with Allen & Kirmse “in 12 dif-
ferent states as well as the Beaufort Sea.”
When PN asked Bill Armstrong if he
was behind the huge North Slope lease
acquisition, he said “no comment.”
So, which company with deep enough
pockets to gamble $14.1 million is savvy
enough to use a fake name and an agent to
hide behind?
Stay posted. l
Armstrong on DunleavySo what does Bill Armstrong of Armstrong Oil & Gas
think of Gov.-elect Mike Dunleavy?
“This is a great time to be in Alaska. Politically, maybe
the best it has been in the 17 years I have working been in
the state. Republicans control both houses and there is a pro-
development governor,” he told Petroleum News Nov. 19.
“The new governor, Mike Dunleavy, is a really smart guy
who appreciates the importance of proper resource (oil and
gas) development. Gov. Dunleavy knows that Alaska, par-
ticularly the North Slope, still has a lot of remaining potential and realizes that the
state can work together with the industry for smoother regulatory/permitting
issues, access to infrastructure, buildout of roads and facilities, the importance of
a fair, stable fiscal regime, etc.,” Armstrong said.
“The governor’s appointment of Sean Parnell as adviser on the AK LNG proj-
ect is a good example of his practicality. Sean really understands the business. He
has been in the oil business prior to public service and he knows the relationships
between government and industry well. As governor, Sean put in place a fair,
competitive tax law, SB 21, that replaced the disastrous ‘windfall profits’ tax
(called ACES). Sean and the new governor know the importance of a gas pipeline
and what it could do for the state,” he continued.
“Corri Feige is another good example of Dunleavy’s practicality. Corri was
DNR Division of Oil and Gas director before. She knows the importance of work-
ing with big and small companies alike. She understands that the state can work
hand in hand with the industry and everyone can win.”
—KAY CASHMAN
continued from page 1
NEW PLAYER
BILL ARMSTRONG
continued from page 1
LEASE SALEHilcorp will have two drilling rigs
operating in the field next yearand anticipates drilling more than20 wells, bringing the productionup to around 35,000 barrels per
day by the end of 2019.
Catch thesefall savings
l E X P L O R A T I O N & P R O D U C T I O N
l P I P E L I N E S & D O W N S T R E A M
l N A T U R A L G A S
Vol. 23, No. 37 • www.PetroleumNews.com A weekly oil & gas newspaper based in Anchorage, Alaska Week of September 16, 2018 • $2.50
page2
Newfield looking at Alaska;Begich, Dunleavy weigh in;L48 shale boom tapering off TEXAS-BASED INDEPENDENT
NEWFIELD EXPLORATION has people visit-ing Alaska to look at the North Slope’s geo-logic potential.Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas,the visiting scientists are not handing out busi-ness cards to everyone they meet, so the visitis very hush-hush.Per the big independent’s website,
Newfield is an oil company focused on profitably growing liq-uids-rich unconventional resource plays in the Anadarko andArkoma basins of Oklahoma, the Williston basin (Bakken) of
State looks for RIK gas interest;includes Prudhoe, Point ThomsonThe Alaska Department of Natural Resources, Division of Oiland Gas, is soliciting interest in potential royalty in-kind naturalgas from the Prudhoe Bay and Point Thomson units. The solicitation, dated Aug. 31, asks for expressions of interestby letter within 30 days.
DNR said it is considering whether to take the state’s royaltyon future natural gas production from Prudhoe Bay and PointThomson in value or in kind. “If DNR takes the royalty in kind, it is currently considering anoncompetitive contract,” solicitation says. The department saidthat to consider a noncompetitive contract it “first considerswhether there is a lack of competition and whether a noncompet-
GAO questions lack of preliminarydesign review for polar icebreakersThe U.S. Government Accountability Office has issued areport raising questions over the reliability of the estimatedcost and schedule for developing new heavy polar icebreakersfor the U.S. Coast Guard. The Department of HomelandSecurity, the agency that includes the Coast Guard, hasaccepted the GAO’s findings.
Currently the Coast Guard only operates two polar capableicebreakers: the Healy, a medium duty icebreaker, much usedas a base for polar research, and the Polar Star, which is aheavy-duty icebreaker but is 41 years old. A third icebreaker,the Polar Sea, sister ship to the Polar Star, is laid up in port andhas become a source of spare parts for the Polar Star.
Colville barges diesel to SlopeTransportation company Colville has transported 2 milliongallons of diesel fuel by barge to Prudhoe Bay on the NorthSlope, the company has announced. This was the first bulkdelivery of fuel to the Slope by barge since the 1990s, andpossibly the largest shipment of its type ever, the companysaid. The supply barge, owned and operated by CrowleyMarine, arrived at Deadhorse on Sept. 6. Because of the shal-low water depths, the barge had to be moored 3 miles off-shore, with the fuel being carried to shore in smaller vessels.Onshore, the fuel was pumped into tanker trucks for transferto Colville’s tank farm in Deadhorse.
The U.S. Coast Guard and BP oversaw the operation, saidDave Pfeifer, Colville president and chief executive officer.More typically, fuel for use on the North Slope is deliveredto Deadhorse from a refinery in Valdez, using tanker trucks
see INSIDER page 10
see GAS INTEREST page 8
see POLAR ICEBREAKERS page 8
see DIESEL DELIVERY page 7
EIA: Brent averaged $73/barrel inAugust; US crude 10.9 million bpd
Pt Thomson extensionState stays 2019 date in 2012 settlement on Alaska LNG project progress
By KRISTEN NELSONPetroleum News
The state has stayed a deadline in its 2012 set-tlement with Point Thomson operatorExxonMobil Production Co. The settlement required a plan for expansion ofPoint Thomson production by the end of 2019 if amajor gas sale hadn’t been sanctioned by June2016. Late last year the state and ExxonMobilreached agreement on the company’s expansionplan. The settlement required either increasingproduction to 30,000 barrels per day of condensate(the current facilities support 10,000 bpd, althoughthat rate has rarely been achieved) or moving nat-ural gas to Prudhoe Bay for injection there (requir-ing an agreement with the Prudhoe Bay working
interest owners and construction of a gas pipelinebetween the fields). Moving natural gas to Prudhoe wasExxonMobil’s choice. That work has now been deferred.
An optimistic outlookConocoPhillips ups GMT-2 forecast; moves ahead on Willow, further explorationBy ALAN BAILEY
Petroleum News
In a highly upbeat presentation to ajoint meeting of the Alaska House andSenate Resources committees on Sept.10, Scott Jepsen, ConocoPhillips Alaskavice president of external affairs andtransportation, overviewed his compa-ny’s current exploration and develop-ment plans in Alaska, and the resultingmajor uptick in the company’s expectations for itsfuture Alaska oil production.
Increased production estimateJepsen said that his company has upped the esti-
mated peak production for its GreaterMooses Tooth 2 development in thenortheastern National PetroleumReserve-Alaska from 30,000 barrels ofoil per day to 38,000 bpd. The federalBureau of Land Management has pub-lished a final environmental impact state-ment for the project, with a record ofdecision anticipated in October. Thatcould lead to a final investment decision
for the project later this year, Jepsen said.Meanwhile the Greater Mooses Tooth 1 devel-opment is moving ahead, with first oil anticipatedby the end of the year. Peak production is expectedto run at about 30,000 bpd.
Trudeau treads carefullyAdministration examining options to salvage Trans Mountain, including an appeal
By GARY PARKFor Petroleum News
T he future of large-scale resourceprojects in Canada depends heavilyon how his government responds to afederal court ruling that has stalledprogress on the Trans Mountain pipelineexpansion, said Prime Minister JustinTrudeau.
“What we need is not just thispipeline. We need to be able to build resource proj-ects of all different types with appropriate sociallicense,” he told reporters.He said the objective is to ensure that TransMountain and other projects do not get “bogged”down in endless court battles.
Trudeau, firing back at his critics,noted that TransCanada’s Keystone XLproject was long ago approved inCanada, but has become entangled in theUnited States over a failure to engage indetailed consultations with communitiesalong the pipeline right of way.
“This is the way that the world isgoing and if we can demonstrate clarityand certainty for businesses through theprocess to the investors we will be ableto get more built,” he said.
Decision impacts communitiesTrudeau called the court decision on TransMountain “frustrating and devastating” for com-
see POINT THOMSON page 12
see CONOCO OUTLOOK page 11
see TRANS MOUNTAIN page 9
Also Sept. 10, the Alaska GaslineDevelopment Corp. announced thatExxonMobil and AGDC had agreed towhat the corporation called “certain keyterms including price and a volume basisfor a Gas Sales Agreement,” captured ina “Gas Sales Precedent Agreement”
signed Sept. 10.
SCOTT JEPSEN
JUSTIN TRUDEAU
A limited offer from Petroleum News!
First time subscribersmention this ad to receive 15% off.
CONTACT
Renee Garbutt [email protected]
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12 PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF NOVEMBER 25, 2018
operational costs at Prudhoe Bay by 6 percent, thus adding years to the
expected life of the field.
“It’s exciting times,” Weiss said.
To illustrate some of the types of technical innovation that are improv-
ing operational efficiencies in the field, Weiss introduced some BP
employees, who described technologies that they are now using.
Drone useRandy Sulte, program execution manager, described the use of drones
to carry out inspection operations more efficiently and safely. For exam-
ple, following flooding and subsequent road damage on the North Slope
last spring, it was possible to use a drone to obtain high quality images for
appraising the situation. Previously it would have been necessary to do an
overflight in an aircraft, an operation that would not have been immediate-
ly possible because of low clouds. And the drone can be used to eliminate
personnel safety risks in operations such as inspecting flares.
Remote accessHolly Willman, Prudhoe Bay East Area operations support team leader,
demonstrated technology in which a 3-D virtual reality headset is now
used to remotely move around in and inspect facilities on the North Slope.
This technology enables, for example, a facilities engineer to make meas-
urement of pipework in a facility without having to leave BP’s Anchorage
office. That enables planning to be conducted efficiently offsite, while also
eliminating any personnel safety issues during the planning process.
Commercial dataDakota Chastain and Bridger Vance, commercial analysts in BP’s
finance department, described how new computer applications are enabling
people to interact with financial data in new ways, thus enabling rapid
insights into what is happening from a commercial perspective. The com-
mercial team is also developing mobile apps that can simplify and speed up
people’s access to the data. Ultimately the idea is to save money, and to be
able to work faster and smarter, to extend the life of the Prudhoe Bay assets,
they said. l
New BP system improves operational efficiencyBP is deploying a new computer system, called the Apex system, to improve operational
efficiencies in the company’s global oil field operations. In Alaska the system is starting to
help the company streamline the manner in which it routes fluids around the Prudhoe Bay
field infrastructure, Amy Adkinson, BP systems optimization engineer, has told Petroleum
News.
Much effort in maximizing field production goes into the planning and use of production
and injection wells, to best access oil remaining in the field reservoir, and into the optimum
use of water injection, gas injection and enhanced oil recovery techniques to maintain reser-
voir pressures and entice as much oil as possible to the surface.
The routing of fluidsBut there is a whole other aspect of operational efficiency involving the routing of fluids
coming from the wells through the complex of pipework and production facilities that enable
oil to be separated and transported to the trans-Alaska pipeline for export from the North
Slope, while also recycling produced water and gas back through the field. The pipelines and
facilities have operating limitations, but presumably work at optimum efficiency if fully used.
At the same time, if some component of the infrastructure is working at full capacity, that
may limit the possibility of bringing some wells on line, a factor that in turn impacts the
potential to maximize field production.
Prudhoe Bay is particularly complex, with hundreds of wells, multiple gathering centers
and flow stations, and a field pipeline network that can enable choices over how to route flu-
ids through various facilities for maximum efficiency. In addition, as the field matures, it now
produces much more gas and water than oil, making the management of the various fluids
particularly important. The idea is to route the fluids in a manner that supports the appropriate
mix of well and facility usage, keeping the best wells in operation, Adkinson explained.
Faster processingAlthough BP has modeling systems for managing the fluid flow, these systems are slow
to use. The new Apex system, which is being tuned to the complexities of the Prudhoe Bay
field, is much faster. Essentially, engineers can simulate different operational scenarios, eval-
uate the results and decide on an optimum course of action.
“Apex can unlock that efficiency, so that we can ask a question of our system, model it
and have an answer in a matter of a day, versus a week,” Adkinson said.
Also the field operators are able to move from static modeling of the fluid flows, to more
dynamic modeling, assessing how the fluid flows will evolve over time.
Hooked into well modelsThe system models fluid flows from the interfaces between wells and the reservoir
through to first stage fluid separation. The system is hooked into the production models for
individual wells, enabling well production to be simulated, feeding fluid production data into
the surface infrastructure simulation. Currently the focus is on gas flows through to the field’s
central gas processing facility, although attention is also moving to using the new system to
help figure out how to deal with produced water.
“We’ve got a team of engineers that are working on (the system) … trying to find all of
the useful ways we can use it … to leverage what we already have,” Adkinson said.
For example, if there is a plan to bring on new production in one part of the field, it is pos-
sible to use the system to simulate the impact of this on field operations as a whole —
because of facility and pipeline constraints it is possible that bringing on the new production
might force production to be backed out somewhere else in the field. And one concern is to
ensure that the velocity of fluids through the pipelines is maintained below prescribed limits,
to ensure that pipeline corrosion inhibitors mixed into the fluids will work effectively.
Rapid evaluationsOnce the Apex system is fully operational, a reservoir engineer will be able to use the sys-
tem to quickly evaluate the impact of some planned well work on the surface systems, more
accurately assessing the impact on overall production at the field.
And it will be possible to use the system to evaluate the impact on production of recon-
figuring some aspect of the surface infrastructure.
The Apex system represents the next step in optimizing Prudhoe Bay operations, using
technology in a new way to find things that are not intuitively evident, and then to test the
impact of changes before putting those changes into effect, Adkinson said.
—ALAN BAILEY
continued from page 1
PRUDHOE FUTURE
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