l1 drm mms 12 - what is risk

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    Derivatives & Risk

    ManagementLecture 1: Introduction

    Prof. Maneesh

    Gupta

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    About this course

    Syllabus

    Futures and Forwards

    FRA, IRFs and Swaps

    Mechanics and properties of Options

    Option Strategies

    Option Pricing Models

    Option Greeks Option Volatility Models

    Value at Risk

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 2

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    Prerequisites

    Probability Theory

    Basic Statistics

    Time Value of Money

    Bond Mathematics

    Currency Mathematics

    Excel proficiency

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 3

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    Grading

    1. Final Exam (written) 60 marks

    2. Internals

    a. Mid Term exam (written) 15 marks

    b.Attendance 10 marksc. Project (Report + Presentation) 05 marks

    d.Case let / Assignment / Class Test 10 marks

    100 marks

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 4

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    Groups

    Group 1: 01, 04, 09, 16, 25, 36, 49, 58

    Group 2: 02, 05, 10, 17, 26, 37, 50

    Group 3: 03, 06, 11, 18, 27, 33, 38, 51

    Group 4: 07, 12, 19, 28, 39, 52, 57 Group 5: 08, 13, 20, 29, 40, 44, 48, 53

    Group 6: 14, 21, 24, 30, 41, 54, 59

    Group 7: 15, 22, 31, 34, 42, 46, 55, 60 Group 8: 23, 32, 35, 43, 45, 47,56

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 5

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    Format for Assignment

    Covering page

    Bibliography and Websites

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 6

    Name of Institute

    Name of subject

    Topic :Assignment no. :

    Submitted to : Prof. Maneesh Gupta

    Name :

    Roll no. :Class :

    Date :

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    Course Readings

    Options, Futures and OtherDerivatives John C. Hull

    Option Volatility & Pricing Sheldon

    NatenBerg Understanding Options Robert Kolb

    Derivatives: The theory and practice of

    financial engineering Paul Wilmott

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 7

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    Few more books (Not to be

    readYou wont have so much

    time) The complete guide to option pricingformulas Huag

    Fooled by Randomness Taleb

    The Black Swan Taleb

    Derivatives: The wild beast of Finance

    Steinherr

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 8

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    Basic Functions of Finance

    Making Payments

    Providing Resources

    Transferring Resources

    Managing Risk

    Providing Price Information

    Creating Incentives

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 9

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    Steps towards managing Financial

    Risk Diversification & Collateral

    Limited Liability, Seniority Rules,

    Balance Sheet Structure

    Creating tradable instruments & liquidityin organized markets

    Derivatives & Financial Engineering

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 10

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    The Economic Rationale

    Globalization

    Technological advances

    A ripple in one part of the world may

    cause an earthquake in the other part Hand in hand with better Risk

    Management

    Innovations in Derivative instrumentshave been the driving force

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 11

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    Is Derivatives the Wild

    Beast? Nascent Stage

    Cost of Untradeable Risks

    Derivatives reduce Risk or CAN IT?

    Is Risk Management a fundamental

    Corporate objective?

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 12

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    Why you should learn

    Derivatives This course within finance

    Corporate Finance

    Investment Analysis & Portfolio

    Management Market Microstructure

    Where pieces of the puzzle fit in?

    Pricing Microstructure & Investments

    Hedging Corporate, Banking &

    Investments

    All-in-one Cost of Capital CorporateProf. Maneesh Gupta 13

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    Markets & Instruments

    Types of Market OTC

    Exchange Traded

    Our Focus Derivatives on Interest rates Money Market

    Fixed income capital markets

    Equities Currency

    Commodities

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 14

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    What is Risk ?

    Risk is the key concept of modernfinance

    Absence of Risk i.e. a riskless asset

    A risky asset is one with uncertainfuture value

    Concept of Market Efficiency

    Sticky concept

    Insider trading

    15Prof. Maneesh Gupta

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    What are the types of Risk ?

    Market risk

    Currency risk

    Credit risk

    Liquidity risk

    Operational risk

    Political risk

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 16

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    Why is Risk Management

    important ? For a/an

    Individual investor

    Entrepreneur What risk they face

    Bank How do they managethem

    Insurance company

    Investment firm

    Multinational company

    Country

    Hand-written assignment to be submitted to C.R. before

    next Monday

    Prof. Maneesh Gupta 17

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    Some refresher questions

    (part of assignment) Find the mean and s.d. for a normally distributed

    variable if values below 25% have average of 44

    and values above 90% have average of 10 of the

    distribution.

    Ram borrows Rs. 20 lacs for 15 years @ 12%annual compounding. What will be the monthly

    installment?

    What is the price of a bond paying 7.5% coupons

    semiannually and a yield of 9% maturing after 7years? If the same bond is trading at par, then what

    is the yield?

    Calculate three point arbitrage profit for an

    exposure of one million USD given that two banksin N Y quoted USD/JPY=110 25/110 10 andProf. Maneesh Gupta 18