Large scale change through Large scale change through a small window….a small window….

Philip F. Henshaw

id@synapse9.com

UDATE 10 JAN 06

The whole history of growthThe whole history of growth

Probably 3 ½% per year average since the early RenaissanceProbably 3 ½% per year average since the early Renaissance

640 years640 years

Only 8 80yr lifetimesOnly 8 80yr lifetimes

Productivity increase by factor of ~4 BillionProductivity increase by factor of ~4 Billion

From every age the future was just off the page! Can we continue?From every age the future was just off the page! Can we continue?

1347

-51

The whole history of growthThe whole history of growth3 ½% per year since the early Renaissance3 ½% per year since the early Renaissance

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A century of growthA century of growth

A century of growthA century of growth

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A lifetime of growthA lifetime of growth

A lifetime of growthA lifetime of growth

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A decade of growthA decade of growth

The decade of growthThe decade of growth

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The last 100 yearsThe last 100 years

To judge the approach of climax, you look for the symptoms

Issues of limits, over-burden of complexity, divergence

Fast & SlowFast & Slow

Gamma ray burst 1/20 sec Plankton evolution 2 Myr

Recorded growth phases of natural systems

Phases of natural system evolutionPhases of natural system evolution

2 steps of Self organization 2 steps of breakup and decay

Complex system change builds up & tapers off, using proportional change feedback

mechanisms

Possible growth futuresPossible growth futures

after using up the easy stuff just

scrape bye

growth to collapse for

$$$

Continually evolving climax free market

When physical climax occurs, choosing whether to keep trying to provide perpetual growth for the financial one.

Possible growth futuresPossible growth futures

growth to collapse for $$$ A well oiled machine serving all

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