LATEST TRENDS IN

UK COASTAL SHIPPING

STEPHEN TAYLOR

UK PORT TRAFFIC – LONG TERM

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

Tonnes(m

)

Alldomestic TotalUKporttraffic

UK PORT TRAFFIC – LONG TERM

Imports51%

Exports15%

Coastal27%

One-port7%

1975UKTRAFFIC

Imports56%

Exports31%

Coastal8%

Oneport5%

2017UKTRAFFIC

UK PORT TRAFFIC – 21ST CENTURY

55.0

33.336.4

16.2

59.4

36.2

1.54.8

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

2000 2017

moftonnes

UKdomestictrafficvolume(allcommodities)

Inwardcoastal Inwardtooneport

Outwardcoastal Outwardfromoneport

Tonnes (000s) 2000 2017 CAGR % Sector share

Ores 20,457 22,864 0.7% 25.3%

Oil products 35,779 16,358 -4.5% 18.1%

Unaccompanied road goods trailers 13,118 15,686 1.1% 17.3%

Crude oil 61,409 14,811 -8.0% 16.4%

Road goods vehicles and trailers 7,173 8,271 0.8% 9.1%

General cargo & containers

Domestic cargo – growth sectors

Tonnes (000s) 2000 2017 CAGR % Sector share

Other dry bulk 11 888 29.8% 1.0%

Containers over 40' 11 364 22.8% 0.4%

Shipborne trailers 13 31 5.0% 0.0%

Containers between 20' and 40' 1,184 2,334 4.1% 2.6%

General cargo & containers

OUTWARD LoLo TRAFFICCoastal

onlyTEUs (000) Coastal All TEUs Coastal Coastal All TEUs Coastal CAGR

only % only % %

1 Growth of coastal LoLo traffic

Southampton 3.7 532.7 0.7% 111.8 966.2 12% 22%

Felixstowe 31.4 1,391.5 2.3% 43.8 2,062.1 2% 2%

Tees & Hartlepool 0.1 20.6 0.3% 27.0 173.5 16% 45%

Clyde 0.9 22.0 4.2% 17.0 45.6 37% 19%

Bristol 7.6 26.0 29.4% 15.4 53.3 29% 4%

Tyne 2.6 15.2 17.4% 12.1 26.6 46% 9%

Aberdeen 1.1 1.2 89.5% 8.1 8.9 91% 13%

Grimsby & Immingham 0.9 30.4 2.9% 7.2 187.7 4% 13%

Orkney 0.7 0.7 100.0% 3.6 3.6 100% 11%

2 New coastal trade flows

Warrenpoint 0.0 13.2 0.0% 16.2 16.3 100%

3 Decline of coastal LoLo trade

Liverpool 35.0 276.1 12.7% 26.5 391.5 7% -2%

Belfast 56.0 97.2 57.7% 22.8 105.8 22% -5%

Forth 15.8 75.5 20.9% 10.7 114.5 9% -2%

Cardiff 6.4 23.3 27.5% 1.0 1.4 75% -10%

London 0.9 274.5 0.3% 0.5 739.3 0% -3%

Boston 1.3 15.2 8.4% 0.0 0.0 -100%

Goole 0.2 60.6 0.3% 0.0 0.0 -100%

Harwich 2.4 53.8 4.4% 0.0 0.4 0% -100%

Medway 12.2 257.8 4.7% 0.0 46.5 0% -100%

Other LoLo ports 0.0 134.7 0.0% 0.0 174.3

4 TOTAL UK OUTWARD 179.1 3,322.4 5.4% 323.8 5,117.2 6.3% 3.5%

20172000

INWARD LoLo TRAFFIC 2000 2017Coastal

only

TEUs (000) Coastal All TEUs Coastal Coastal All TEUs Coastal CAGR

only % only % %

1 Growth of coastal LoLo traffic

Southampton 1.7 546.0 0% 38.2 1,028.4 4% 20%

Forth 19.5 61.2 32% 36.3 122.0 30% 4%

Clyde 10.8 29.3 37% 23.6 42.9 55% 5%

Felixstowe 21.9 1,433.8 2% 23.0 2,098.5 1% 0%

Tees & Hartlepool 0.9 21.6 4% 18.5 178.5 10% 20%

Tyne 3.6 10.5 34% 16.7 22.9 73% 9%

Aberdeen 1.1 1.2 89% 7.8 8.7 90% 12%

Orkney 1.3 1.3 100% 3.1 3.1 100% 5%

London 0.2 293.6 0% 0.7 641.1 0% 8%

2 New coastal trade flows

Bristol 0.0 27.3 0% 16.4 51.5 32%

Warrenpoint 0.0 12.6 0% 16.2 16.2 100%

3 Decline of coastal LoLo trade

Liverpool 33.8 246.7 14% 29.3 368.5 8% -1%

Belfast 54.0 96.3 56% 29.0 108.8 27% -4%

Medway 10.9 257.6 4% 1.7 57.0 3% -10%

Cardiff 4.3 20.0 21% 0.8 1.3 62% -9%

Grimsby & Immingham 1.1 34.8 3% 0.0 192.6 0% -19%

Hull 0.0 138.5 0% 0.0 139.2 0%

Harwich 3.8 60.3 6% 0.0 0.1 0%

Other LoLo ports 0.0 94.8 0% 0.0 41.2 0%

4 TOTAL UK INWARD 168.8 3,387.4 5.0% 261.4 5,122.5 5.1% 2.6%

THE COMPETITION

Map courtesy of Arup

Tonnes (000s) 2000 2017

Coastwise One Port Total Coastwise One Port Total CAGR %

Southampton 6 0 6 96 0 96 18.1%

Plymouth 22 0 22 125 0 125 10.7%

Belfast 419 0 419 2,128 0 2,128 10.0%

Bristol 27 0 27 100 0 100 8.1%

Ipswich 90 0 90 222 0 222 5.4%

London 118 0 118 247 0 247 4.5%

Glensanda 2,952 0 2,952 2,131 158 2,289 -1.5%

Port Talbot 318 0 318 245 0 245 -1.5%

Tees & Hartlepool 192 0 192 144 0 144 -1.7%

Other ports 722 38 760 464 64 528 -2.1%

Clyde 1,182 0 1,182 75 0 75 -15.0%

Warrenpoint 0 0 0 247 0 247

TOTAL OUTWARDS 6,048 38 6,086 6,223 221 6,444 0.3%

DOMESTIC DRY BULKS TRAFFIC _ OUTWARD

2000 2017

Coastwise One Port Total Coastwise One Port Total CAGR %

Shoreham 61 332 393 78 1,310 1,388 7.7%

Tees & Hartlepool 8 148 156 192 310 502 7.1%

Bristol 65 361 425 493 671 1,164 6.1%

Liverpool 180 157 337 710 87 797 5.2%

Forth 99 0 99 205 0 205 4.4%

Poole 15 51 66 61 59 120 3.6%

Londonderry 105 0 105 180 0 180 3.2%

Southampton 129 474 603 111 815 925 2.5%

Ipswich 175 127 302 266 159 425 2.0%

London 1,336 5,816 7,151 1,193 8,395 9,588 1.7%

Portsmouth 0 326 326 0 427 427 1.6%

Newport 8 247 256 153 149 302 1.0%

Clyde 256 0 256 187 0 187 -1.8%

Cardiff 1 313 314 42 178 220 -2.1%

Manchester 147 0 147 100 0 100 -2.2%

Tyne 8 619 627 42 358 399 -2.6%

Belfast 561 0 561 285 0 285 -3.9%

Kilroot Power Station 1,178 0 1,178 585 0 585 -4.0%

Medway 2,617 1,060 3,677 839 372 1,212 -6.3%

Other ports 470 1,048 1,518 318 180 499 -6.3%

Plymouth 0 0 0 215 0 215

TOTAL INWARDS 7,419 11,078 18,497 6,256 13,468 19,724 0.4%

DOMESTIC DRY BULKS TRAFFIC _ INWARD FLOWS

Tonnes (000s)

2000 2017

Port Coastwise One Port Total Coastwise One Port Total CAGR %

Poole ~ 0 ~ 39 0 39 31.7%

Newport 2 0 2 51 0 51 22.7%

Hull 6 2 8 2 165 166 19.8%

Londonderry 5 0 5 18 14 32 11.8%

Heysham 0 11 11 0 64 64 10.7%

Milford Haven 3 0 3 0 14 14 8.7%

Belfast 78 0 78 131 125 256 7.2%

Forth 21 12 32 6 57 63 4.0%

Goole 5 0 5 10 0 10 3.8%

Peterhead 1 374 375 ~ 689 689 3.6%

Tees & Hartlepool 24 10 34 13 36 49 2.2%

Grimsby & Immingham 4 5 9 0 11 11 1.5%

Clyde 20 0 20 24 0 24 1.0%

Orkney 14 0 14 16 0 16 0.8%

Aberdeen 85 805 890 63 817 879 -0.1%

Great Yarmouth ~ 184 184 3 153 156 -1.0%

Cromarty Firth 2 38 41 1 16 17 -4.9%

Medway 82 ~ 82 25 0 25 -6.8%

Other ports 182 11 193 34 2 37 -9.3%

536 1,450 1,987 435 2,163 2,598 1.6%

Other General Cargo (tonnes 000s)

CONCLUSIONS

1. Long term decline in domestic coastal traffic

2. From 34% in 1975, domestic traffic now 13% of total UK port traffic

3. 2017 domestic traffic at 90.5mt was the lowest volume this century

4. Declining volume of liquid bulk shipments is the major cause

5. However a number of domestic market sectors demonstrate volume growth

6. Sea dredge aggregates are a major sector within Dry bulks

7. Project cargo to & from offshore energy installations is a growth sector

8. Container traffic in TEUs a source of growth, but a very mixed picture by port

9. Intermodal rail freight services are a major competitor in the LoLo sector

Stephen Taylor staylor@pclp.co 07875 539 344

mailto:staylor@pclp.co