latest who update (22 sept. 2014) estimates 20k cases by 2 nov. cdc says 1.4 m by jan. 20 up to 70%...
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Latest WHO Update (22 Sept. 2014)
• Estimates 20k cases by 2 Nov.
• CDC says 1.4 M by Jan. 20
• Up to 70% fatality rate
• Ages 14 – 44, older are most fatal
• Most who die, do so within 4 days
• Those who live, leave care in 11 days
• ? Those who receive care live longer
• 300 HCW’s infected with 50% CFR
Epidemiology (cont.)
• Index case– 2 yo ♂ Guinea 12/2013• Then Guinea confirmed cluster 03.14• Then spread to Liberia and Sierra
Leone• Then recently to Nigeria via air travel• Then to Senegal• WHO Public Health Emergency of
International Concern – 08/2014
Air Traffic Connections From West African Countries to the Rest of the World
DRC (Congo) Outbreak (aka Zaire)
• Zaire strain but not related to West Africa outbreak
• 70 cases, 42 deaths, lab 30 (7 HCWs) as of Sept. 29, 2014
WHO Ebola Response Roadmap• Released August 28, 2014
• Reverse the trend in new cases and infected areas within 3 months, stop transmission in capital cities and major ports, and stop all residual transmission within 6-9 months.
• Estimation of Costs: US $490m
• Really over $600m+
Cases Underestimated? ( by x 2.5)
1. Patients hidden by families
2. Denial of the disease
3. In rural areas, corpses are burned
before identification/dx.
4. Invisible caseloads of patients
5. “Shadow Zones”
Modes of Transmission
There are 3 modes of infection:
1. Objects contaminated with the virus (Unsterilized needles, medical equipment)
2. Suboptimal healthcare conditions (Lack of PPE)
3. Personal contact with diseased humans (blood vomit, urine, feces,
sweat, semen, breast milk, sputum) or infected animal meat/bushmeat
http://www.ecplanet.com/pic/2003/12/1071257871/ebola.jpg
Chlorinated Hand Wash Station
West Africa Ebola Outbreak
West Africa Ebola Outbreak
Transporting Suspected Ebola Patient—Sierra Leone
Public Health Actions
• Notifications to healthcare professionals with education/info on patient care and disease prevention
• Education/information to the public
• Negate misinformation/myths
Latest USG Response (Sept. 16, 2014)
• 3000 US military for medical
and logistics support• -Train 500 health care workers a week;
-Erect 17 health care facilities in the region with 100 beds each;-Set up a joint command to coordinate between US and international relief efforts;-Provide home health care kits to hundreds of thousands of households;-Carry out a home- and community-based campaign to train local populations on how to handle exposed patients.
Preventive Measures-Africa
• Stop the consumption of animal meat• Isolate the sick• Prompt disposal of victim’s bodies• Trace those who had contact with
infected• Disinfect homes of the dead and the sick• Protective clothing for HCW, and anyone
handling infected animals
Contact Tracing
Infection Prevention and Control Recommendations
• Standard contact & droplet precautions including gloves, fluid-resistant gowns, eye protection, face mask, and additional PPE as needed
• Single patient room with private bathroom, door closed, restrict visitors
• Avoid aerosol generating procedures
• Invoke specific environmental controlshttp://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/hcp/infection-prevention-and-control-recommendations.html
Isolation Unit
Isolation Ward- Cohorting