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2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around Emerging Technologies January 25, 2018 @smartertranspo Company/BestBestKrieger

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Page 1: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP

Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around

Emerging TechnologiesJanuary 25, 2018

@smartertranspo

Company/BestBestKrieger

Page 2: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

HYPE OR REAL? ON THE ROAD NOW

(Sources: drive.com; wired.com)

Page 3: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

BREAKING NEWS

Page 4: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

HAVE YOU SEEN THESE?

Page 5: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

WHAT ARE OUR CHALLENGES?

• Safe Integration • Interoperability and

Harmonization• Crossing state lines • What about transit?• Regional collaboration

• Innovating Procurement • Equity • Public Trust / Adoption

• Can we make the “CASE”?

• Paying for Infrastructure

Page 6: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

WHERE TO START?

Page 7: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

BACK TO THE BASICS

Page 8: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Shaping anAutomated Future• AVs TNCs & ART

Page 9: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

AV Benefits

Page 10: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

AV Benefits - Northern CA Case Study

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Tot

al N

etw

ork

Del

ay

Automated Vehicle Fleet Percentage

AUTOMATED VEHICLE FLEET PERCENTAGE

EFFECT ON TOTAL NETWORK DELAY

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Net

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k A

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peed

Automated Vehicle Fleet Percentage

AUTOMATED VEHICLE FLEET PERCENTAGE

EFFECT ON NETWORK AVERAGE SPEED

Page 11: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

AV Costs

• The reality is that AV could actually make things worse.”

• 35% more miles traveled in personal AVs• 90% more miles traveled in AV taxis*• “The only thing worse than a Single

Occupant Vehicle is a Zero Occupant Vehicle…”

Page 12: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

AV Tests

• Decrease access time• Decrease parking costs• Decrease impact of lost

in-auto time• Increase auto availability• Increase non-work trip-

making• Increase auto occupancy• Increase freeway

capacity

Page 13: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

AV Tests - What Happened

Page 14: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

AV Tests - What Happened

Page 15: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

TNC Effects

• Decrease access time• Decrease parking costs• Decrease impact of lost

in-auto time• Increase auto availability• Increase non-work trip-

making• Increase auto occupancy• Increase freeway

capacity

Page 16: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

TNCs - Growth

$-

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

2013 2014 2015 2016

Gro

ss B

oo

kin

gs (

bil

lio

ns $

)

Page 17: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

TNCs - Growth

Page 18: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

TNCs - Growth

Page 19: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

TNCs – Market Share

Page 20: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

TNCs – Market Share

Page 21: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

TNCs – Mode Shifts and Induced Trips

San

FranciscoDenver

Mode Shifts from

- Taxi/Auto 57 % 46 %

- Transit/Carpool 33 % 30 %

- Walk/Bike 10 % 12 %

Induced Trips 8 % 12 %

New Vehicle Trips ~50 % (of TNC)

Page 22: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

TNCs: Increased VMT

• Unsustainable? (Bruce Schaller in NYC)

• Net increase of 600 million VMT

• Mode shift to TNC/taxi from transit

• Univ. of Colorado• Small sample size!• TNC drivers travel

69 extra miles for every 100 miles with a passenger

Page 23: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

AV transit

Reduced

travel delay

Improvement in travel

time advantage over BRT

20-seat veh. 46% 33%

4-seat veh. 49% 35%

AV Transit

Page 24: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Strategies

Page 25: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Transit Planning

• Maintain highly productive “trunk line” service

• Substitute shared AVs for dispersed service areas

• Partner with DOTs for a managed system for all modes

Page 26: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Dedicated Lanes

Page 27: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Transit/TNC Integration

Page 28: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Transit/TNC Integration

• Private Public Partnership• Bloomberg Philanthropies

Innovation Team Award Centennial, Lyft and Xerox

• Pioneer• First fully subsidized first and last

mile ridesharing program

• On-Demand, Demand Responsive• Optimized using the Lyft platform

• Seamless• Integrated into the GoDenver

transportation planning app

• ADA and Concierge Service• Point to point service for users with

limited mobility

Page 29: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Allocating Public Space - TNCs

Page 30: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Allocating Public Space• Competition will increase

for public space• Curbside

Management• Use of public

roadways• Pricing

• Equity will become more important

Page 31: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Site Design

Page 32: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

AV REGULATORY UPDATE

• H.R. 3388 – “SELF DRIVE Act”• Passed House by voice vote on 9/6/17

• S.1885 – “AV START Act”• Passed out of Senate Commerce, Science, and

Transportation Committee on 10/4/17

• NHTSA Automated Driving Systems 2.0: A Vision for Safety – ONLY Guidelines

• At least 21 states and D.C. have passed AV legislation; 6 states have Executive Orders

• NCSL is a great resource

Page 33: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

WHAT ABOUT DRONES?

• Registration requirements

• Commercial – Part 107

• Recreational –Registration requirements back in play

• DOT UAS Integration Pilot Program

• City concerns

Page 34: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

LEGAL AND POLICY FOUNDATION

Page 35: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

PROPOSED “TIPs”

• Opportunity to promote Vision• Important “Smart” Issues:

• Data Sharing• Privacy and Cybersecurity• Land Use • Health and Safety (i.e. Disposal) • Resiliency• Coordination with Law Enforcement

Page 36: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

WHAT IS THE SECRET SAUCE?

(Source: Amazon.com)

Page 37: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

DATA!!!

• Event Data • Health information • Geolocation data• Travel patterns• Driver behavior• Driver communications• Biometric data• Shopping habits –

“Alexa”

Page 38: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

Are WE the problem?

Page 39: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

“SMART” INFRASTRUCTURE

• What is going to be needed?

• Sensors?• Antennas?• V2X?

• Local control of ROW

• What is technology of the future?

Page 40: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

CHANGING BEHAVIOR: WAIT OR REGULATE?

Page 41: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

WHY THIS IS IMPORTANT: OPPORTUNITIES!

• Enhanced mobility• Disabled• Low-income• Seniors

• Economic opportunities • Innovation Districts• Secondary Impacts

• Efficient Use of Funding • First/Last Mile

Projects• Social Impacts (Source: techcrunch.com)

Page 42: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

SUGGESTIONS FOR MOVING FORWARD

Page 43: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

GETTING RIGHT PEOPLE IN THE ROOM

• Planners• Public Works• IT• Procurement• Policy• Risk Manager • Law Enforcement• Attorneys

• We like talking EARLY! • Private and Public • Elected Officials

Page 44: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

GETTING HERE

Page 45: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

STAY INFORMED AND BE PROACTIVE, NOT REACTIVE

Page 46: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

NEW OPPORTUNITIES TO BE PROACTIVE

Ongoing DOT Request for Comments• NHTSA: Removing Regulatory Barriers for

Vehicles with Automated Driving Systems (Due March 5, 2018)

• FTA: (Due March 2, 2018)• Automated Transit Buses and Related

Technologies• Removing Barriers to Transit Bus

Automation• FHWA: Infrastructure Needs (Due March 5,

2018)

Page 47: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

A Potential Message

•Safety•Transparency•Obligate Funding

•Partnerships and Pilots

Page 48: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

STAFFING FOR THE FUTURE

• Monitor code for cyber threats?• Partnership opportunity?

• App development• Communications / Public Outreach • Programmers

• Another partnership opportunity • AV Fleet Managers

Page 49: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case
Page 50: Laying the Foundation for Maximizing ... - Best Best & KriegerJan 25, 2018  · 2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP Laying the Foundation for Maximizing Benefits Around ... Northern CA Case

2018 Best Best & Krieger LLP

GREG RODRIGUEZ@smartertranspo

Best Best & Krieger LLP

Office: Washington, D.C.

Phone: (202) 370-5308

Email: [email protected]

www.bbklaw.com

MATTHEW RIDGWAY@Ridgway3M

Fehr & Peers

Office: Washington, D.C.

Phone: 202-854-2750

Email: [email protected]

www.fehrandpeersdc.com