lcorpe reinterpretation rivetfest2019 - indico...slide title louie corpe, ucl ([email protected]) 1...

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Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL ([email protected]) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

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Page 1: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

Slide title

Louie Corpe, UCL ([email protected]) 1

Reinterpretation theory & practice

RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019

L. Corpe (UCL)

Page 2: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

Motivation and introduction

2

• 7th year of LHC operation, in total over ~150/fb @13 TeV... ...but no BSM physics so far

• In last half-century, HEP has been in lucky position to be in theory-driven ‘top-down’ mode... Searching for particles with a theoretical roadmap:

• W, Z, top, Higgs: knew what to look for, designed searches to find it

• A little data goes a long way when you know what you are looking for!

• Now all pieces of SM are found: we don’t have a roadmap to guide us

• Enter new era of data-driven ‘bottom-up’ physics.

• So how to proceed?

• Rivet (+its ecosystem) could play an important role in this paradigm shift

Page 3: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

• BSM physics likely to manifest as tiny deviations from SM...

• Renewed emphasis on precision measurements of SM observablesWhat ingredients are needed? The obvious ones:

• reduce experimental uncertainties

• better MC modelling of processes

• improved accuracy of theory predictions

• What more can be done? Improve efficiency of feedback loop!

• ensure we make best use of experimental data to tune MC

• make the most of searches: re-interpretability and fiducial measurements

• Take stock of results to determine which models are actually viable

• Market Survey: What is the current state of ‘re-interpretation’ ?

Motivation and introduction

3

Theory

Page 4: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

Re-interpretation/Preservation tools

4

Search Measurement

Approx/Exact Limits

RECAST

Data

BDT/Non-standard(eg LLPs) Cut-based

Analysis logic preservation

Some BSM model

Reco-level Particle-level(unfolded)

Rivet Routine

Data preservationinc Errors, Covariance...

Observed data as yields

Efficiency maps+ detector smearing

Data as YODA/YAML:

Yields/diff XS/Err Breakdowns

Data as YODA/YAML: Yields/Histos/Err

Breakdowns

RIVET/YODA HEPData

Theory/Models eg FeynRules

Suboptimal or Missing Links / Inputs (LC bias)

Original Observations

Reco-level measurements

Unfolded measurements

CONTUR

SM predictions

CR/SR Unfolding

Rivet Routine

Full analysisWorkflow in Gitlab

New BSM Model

KeyTopFitter

Page 5: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

Re-interpretation/Preservation tools

Bank of models

5

Search Measurement

Approx/Exact Limits

RECAST

Data

BDT/Non-standard(eg LLPs) Cut-based

Analysis logic preservation

Some BSM model

Reco-level Particle-level(unfolded)

Rivet Routine

Data preservationinc Errors, Covariance...

Observed data as yields

Efficiency maps+ detector smearing

Data as YODA/YAML:

Yields/diff XS/Err Breakdowns

Data as YODA/YAML: Yields/Histos/Err

Breakdowns

RIVET/YODA HEPData

Theory/Models eg FeynRules

Suboptimal or Missing Links / Inputs (LC bias)

Original Observations

Cut-based searches

Reco-level measurements

Unfolded measurements

CONTUR

SM predictions

CR/SR Unfolding

Rivet Routine

(Simplified) Likelihood Generator

Full analysisWorkflow in Gitlab

New BSM Model

KeyTopFitter

Slow, cumbersome.Sample generation load?Sustainable? Permanence? MC predictionsCov Matrix Searches

MC predictionsCov Matrix

Radial effs for LLPs?

Page 6: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

6

Looking past RECAST

• RECAST is currently the only way to preserve analyses which depend strongly on detector response or BDTs. But...

• Concerns about how useable the RECAST paradigm would be

• Simulation of new signals: heavy connoting load

• Will theorists really be able to request new grids of signals

• etc..

• Could RIVET handle this instead?

• 3D efficiency (add eff vs Lxy or time for LLPs)

• What to do about BDTs?

• Event getting the eff within 50% would be good enough

Page 7: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

7

Correlation Fixation

• Many re-interpretation schemes rely on having correlation matrix preserved ...

• If preserved as error breakdown: we already have most elements in place since last year.

• Switch to column representation rather than annotation?

• For correlation matrices, both HEPData and YODA need a new format, and need to be able to make sure they can comunicate:

• 2D-histo like object, which is aware of which rows/columns correspond to bins of other histograms

• YODA: annotation on top of a Histo2D? Binned how? Annotation just a python dict?

• Or some dedicated new object/class?

Page 8: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

8

Prescription for storing MC predictions

• If we are to do proper limit setting, need to store the MC bkg prediction from the analysis.

• How to distinguish this from data in HEPData / YODA?

• Extra label?

• How to use it automatically ?

Page 9: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

9

Miscellanea

• What’s needed to make TopFitter and Rivet/HEPData communicate?

• Bank of simplified models

• Using smeared routines for searches in CONTUR

• Simplified Likelihood Generator

• Automatically use cov/correlation or error breakdown to add a chi2 value in new matplotlib make-plots?

Page 10: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

10

Backup

Page 11: LCorpe ReInterpretation RivetFest2019 - Indico...Slide title Louie Corpe, UCL (l.corpe@ucl.ac.uk) 1 Reinterpretation theory & practice RivetFest, Lunga House May 2019 L. Corpe (UCL)

11Search

Measurement

CR/SR Unfold

RIVET/YODA HEPData

Approx/Exact Limits

RECASTMC predictions

Bank of simplified models

Data

BDT/Non-standard(eg LLPs) Cut-based

Some BSM model

Reco-level Particle-level(unfolded)

Rivet Routine

Observed data as yields

Efficiency maps+ detector smearing

Data as YODA/YAML:

Yields/diff XS/Err Breakdowns

Data as YODA/YAML: Yields/Histos/Err

Breakdowns

Cov Matrix

Cut-based searches

reco measurementsUnfolded

measurements

SearchesCONTUR

SM predictions

SM predictions

What about non-resonant signals?

Cov MatrixMC predictions

New BSM Model

Full analysisWorkflow in Gitlab

Slow, cumbersome.Sample generation load?Sustainable? Permanence?

Likelihood Builder