leadership lessons of a challenger - vodafone idea · 2020. 4. 4. · leadership lessons of a...
TRANSCRIPT
Himanshu Kapania
Managing Director, Idea Cellular Limited
Leadership Lessons of a Challenger
Public 1
4th Mar 2014
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“ …The most important thing is to dreamaudaciously, and to pursue that big dream with allthe passion and fire within you. Its about reachingfor that dream, no matter what and riding even themost gigantic waves of turbulence and disruption,much like a champion surfer… ”
– Kumar Mangalam Birla, Chairman, Aditya Birla GroupTaken from ‘The Turning Points in Our Journey of Transformation’, AIMA
28.4%
17.8% 16.7%
13.5%
9.8% 9.6%
4.2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Bharti Voda RCom BSNL Idea Tata Others
Revenue Market Share Q1 FY08
Year 2008 – A new journey begins for IdeaPublic
3
Indian Mobility – a Rs 833 Bn industry in FY08
Idea – a clear challenger at 5th place
Source: TRAI published data
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5 existing players became pan-India GSM operators in 20083 new players enter the marketChose to intensify the battle in already crowded urban India
Idea chose its contrarian path – ‘Bharat’Focused on hinterland comprising Idea’s 15 established marketsThese now deliver 95% of Idea’s revenue & 108% of its EBITDA
Finding a Gap & Playing on Strengths
379
857
139%
42%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Urban Rural
Population (Mn) Mobility Penetration
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Latent unmet demand for basic voice services
Source: TRAI published data as of Dec 2013
o VLR penetration today is at just 60% nationally
o Factor in multiple-SIMs and it is further lower
o Clear headroom for deeper penetration into rural geographies
261
392
584
806
919868 886
22.8%
33.7%
49.6%
68.0%76.0%
70.9% 71.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Mar '08 Mar '09 Mar '10 Mar '11 Mar '12 Mar '13 Dec '13
Mobility Subs EoP (Mn)
Subs Penetration
112 120 122 124 130
57.5%
59.0%59.5%
60.0%
61.7%
55%
57%
59%
61%
63%
65%
200
400
600
800
Q3 FY 13 Q4 FY 13 Q1 FY 14 Q2 FY 14 Q3 FY 14
Mobility VLR (Mn) Idea VLR (Mn) VLR Penetration
762739731723702
17%16.7%16.7%16.6%16%
(VLR Share %)
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Idea’s strength in Rural Markets
Large scope of growth for Idea given its strong presence in underpenetrated Rural Markets
Industry Mobility Rural Subs Proportion
!DEA Mobility Rural Subs Proportion
Source: TRAI published data as of Sep 2013
40.2%
54.4%
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I
Potential in voice businessthat is yet to be captured by the industry
Internal
886 Mn Indians on Mobile Voice
Next Round – The Data Game
One to One
One to Many
Internet on MobileCentral Role in the Transition to Digital Lifestyle
8Source: TRAI published data as of Sep 2013
Internal
In 2013, 210 Mn Indians had Internet Access
Next Round – The Data Game
188 Mn of them on Mobile Internet!
More than 600 Mn waiting to be connected… in next 4-5 yrs
9Source: TRAI published data as of Sep 2013
Internal
APAC Data Penetration vis-à-vis India
10
95.0% 95.0%
62.6%
50.4% 49.9% 47.6% 44.6%37.0% 35.3%
23.6%
13.0%
68.6%
49.5%
38.1% 38.8%26.0%
52.2%
72.0%
29.8%26.1%
10.0%16.0%
0%
10%
20%30%
40%
50%
60%70%
80%
90%
100%
Korea Japan Malaysia APAC Avg. Indonesia Taiwan Singapore China Thailand India Philippines
Smartphone Penetration % Data Users Penetration %
30.5%34.5%
28.0%
69.7%
28.9% 27.1%20.5%
32.2% 29.6%
10.1% 7.3%
2,300
1,700
1,4011,215
973717
465
440278
242 00%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Singapore Taiwan Korea Japan APAC Avg. Malaysia Indonesia Thailand China India Philippines
Usage/Sub (MB) Data Rev % ARPU
Source: UBS Global Research Report – APAC Telecom Sector, dated 27th Feb 2014
18.9 21.8 26.2 30.9 33.6 25.5
16%
19%22%
25%26%
20%
-2 %
3%
8%
13%
18%
23%
28%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
4.1 5.1 5.5 6.28.7
7.2% 7.8%8.5%
10.0%
11.7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14
3G EOP 3G Devices % Total Subs
Data Adoption increasing among Idea Subscribers
Data Users (Mn)
12.7
10.69.58.2
3G Devices on Idea Network (Mn)
Public
15.1
Note: Data Users definition has been revised for Q3 FY14 to users of Data >100kb only11
52 55 54 55
91
5
15
25
35
45
55
65
75
85
95
Q3 FY13 Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 Q3 FY14***
167 163 160178
309
31.0
33.9 33.5
31.029.6
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
Q3 FY13 Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 Q3 FY14***
Data Usage/Sub (MB) Blended ARMB (Ps)
3,108
3,874
4,616
5,415
6,169 5.6%
6.4%7.3%
8.7%9.5%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Q3 FY13 Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 Q3 FY14
Data Revenue Data Rev % GSR
5,528 6,190 7,4579,873 11,371
4,512 5,2316,334
7,5789,469
Q3 FY13 Q4 FY13 Q1 FY14 Q2 FY14 Q3 FY14
2G Data Traffic (Mn MB) 3G Data Traffic (Mn MB)
Rising Data Usage and Revenue for Idea
10,04011,421
13,791
17,451
(Rs Mn)
Blended Data ARPU (Rs.)
Usage and ARPU are both computed on Data Usage Subscribers
Public
20,840
***Note: Data Users definition has been revised for Q3 FY14 to users of Data >100kb only
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Data usage is not just an Urban phenomenon
Rural consumers are discovering data usage
And that’s bringing in fast Data growth
9.7%
11.4%12.7%
13.3%14.4% 14.8%
16.1%
29.7%
33.1%32.3%
31.2%
29.7% 30.2% 30.5%
18.9%19.9%
20.8% 21.2%22.3% 22.4%
23.0%
15.4%
7.5%9.1%
7.4%
13.1%
6.6%
4.1%
8.9%
Q3 08 Q3 09 Q3 10 Q3 11 Q3 12 Q3 13 Q3 14
In 6 Years, Idea moved from No.5 to No.3 in RMSHigh Incremental Revenue Share will continue to drive Idea RMS
Public
14Source: Collated from TRAI published data
[ -6.5% ]
[ -1.7% ][ -7.9% ]
IDEA
RComTATABSNL
31.3%
27.2%
23.0%
IRMSQ3 ’08-’14
Others [ +4.8% ]
BHARTI
VODA
[ +0.8% ]
[ +4.1% ]
[ +6.4% ]
Q3 FY 13 Q4 FY 14 Q1 FY 14 Q2 FY 14 Q3 FY 14
Idea Rev Rest of Ind. Rev
In fact, Idea is One Among Top 3, Not No. 3Growing at 2.5 times over ‘Rest of the Industry’
Public
15Source: Collated from TRAI published data
11.2 27.4
29.0%
71.0%
16.1%
83.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Idea Rest of Ind.
Incr Rev Q3'14 vs. Q3'13Share of Incremental RevenueRMS Q3'FY14
Rs. Bn
409.2388.0377.2
Total Ind. Rev
Industry Revenue Trends
415.8
1.8x
0.85x
Industry Incr Rev: Rs.38.6 Bn
Incremental Revenue YoYInd. YoY Growth – 10.2%Idea YoY Growth – 20.0%
Bn Bn
402.1
1,981 1,976 1,911 2,670
3,991 3,985 3,981
1543
838
Q1 FY 13 Q2 FY 13 Q3 FY 13 Q4 FY 13 Q1 FY 14 Q2 FY 14 Q3 FY 14
PAT Dividend from Indus
10,502
12,313
11,085
13,067
17,438
14,556
15,663
Q1 FY 13 Q2 FY 13 Q3 FY 13 Q4 FY 13 Q1 FY 14 Q2 FY 14 Q3 FY 14
Cash Profits
12,889 12,615 13,173 15,037
18,436 17,430 18,135
23.3% 23.6% 23.5%
24.7%
28.2%27.6% 27.4%
20.0%
22.0%
24.0%
26.0%
28.0%
30.0%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
Q1 FY 13 Q2 FY 13 Q3 FY 13 Q4 FY 13 Q1 FY 14 Q2 FY 14 Q3 FY 14
EBITDA EBITDA %
55,382
53,481
56,135
60,951
65,355
63,170
66,105
Q1 FY 13 Q2 FY 13 Q3 FY 13 Q4 FY 13 Q1 FY 14 Q2 FY 14 Q3 FY 14
Gross Revenue
Idea Financials* - High Growth Trend Continues
Rs. Mn.
Public
3,519
4,829
16*Idea Standalone and its 100% subsidiaries
5.0% 5.7% 5.9%
7.3%8.0%
4.0%
6.2%6.9%
9.9%10.5%
Q2 FY 12 + Q3 FY 12
Q4 FY 12 + Q1 FY 13
Q2 FY 13 + Q3 FY 13
Q4 FY 13 + Q1 FY 14
Q2 FY 14 + Q3 FY 14
ROCE ROE2.58
2.30 2.27
1.53 1.26
Q2 FY 12 + Q3 FY 12
Q4 FY 12 + Q1 FY 13
Q2 FY 13 + Q3 FY 13
Q4 FY 13 + Q1 FY 14
Q2 FY 14 + Q3 FY 14
Net Debt : Annualised EBITDA
(730)
5,909 5,941
11,617 11,092
Q2 FY 12 + Q3 FY 12
Q4 FY 12 + Q1 FY 13
Q2 FY 13 + Q3 FY 13
Q4 FY 13 + Q1 FY 14
Q2 FY 14 + Q3 FY 14
Free Cash Flow (incl. Dividend) (Rs. Mn)17.8%
12.3%
14.8%
13.1%
14.8%
7.1%7.8% 7.3%
10.7% 11.2%
Q2 FY 12 + Q3 FY 12
Q4 FY 12 + Q1 FY 13
Q2 FY 13 + Q3 FY 13
Q4 FY 13 + Q1 FY 14
Q2 FY 14 + Q3 FY 14
Capex to Sales Ratio RoI
Idea Financials* Improving Investment Efficiency and Strengthening Balance Sheet
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Bala
nce
Shee
t St
reng
th
FCF = EBITDA – Interest – MAT – Capex
ROE = PAT Annualized/ Avg. Shareholders FundsROCE = (PAT + Net Int. Post Tax) Ann/ Avg. Net Capital Emp.
Capex: Rs.19.2 BnRev: Rs.129.3 Bn
Net Debt: Rs.89.5 BnEBITDA: Rs.35.5 Bn
Inve
stm
ent E
ffic
ienc
y
ROI = EBIT / Net Block
*Idea standalone including 100% subsidiaries
4,76310,119
29,01049,856
66,188 73,66883,190 90,094
100,228
12,82517,140
19,128
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 Dec '13
2G Sites 3G Sites
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Width & Depth of Reach remains the Mantra
1,300,000 transacting retailers
930,000 data selling outlets
26,000 distributors
38,000 + DSEs, 4700 TSM/Es, 600 + ASMs
…or Distribution presence
Be it Network Coverage…119,356
107,23496,015
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Brand Idea Empowers India
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III
Pure-play mobility operator
Focusing on basics of building infrastructure
Honing our sharp execution skills
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Idea well positioned with all technologies
900 1800 2100 GSM 3G LTEMaharashtra 7.8 11.0 5.0 √ √ √Kerala 6.2 11.8 5.0 √ √ √MP 6.2 8.8 5.0 √ √ √UP West 6.2 1.8 5.0 √ √ xAndhra Pradesh 6.2 7.8 5.0 √ √ √Gujarat 6.2 1.6 5.0 √ √ xPunjab 7.8 8.0 5.0 √ √ √Haryana 6.2 6.0 5.0 √ √ √Delhi 5.0 8.6 - √ √ xMumbai - 6.4 - √ x xKarnataka 6.2 5.0 - √ x √UP East - 6.2 5.0 √ √ xHP - 4.4 5.0 √ √ xJ&K - 5.0 5.0 √ √ xNorth East - 10.0 - √ x √7 Other S.A.s - 38.1 - √ x xTotal 64.0 140.5 55.0
No. of Service Areas where Idea can deploy 22 12 8Industry Revenue Contribution % 100% 57% 39%IDEA Revenue Contribution % 100% 79% 57%
Service AreaCurrent Spectrum Profile
(Holding in MHz)Spectrum Utilisation
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IV
Important to invest in building cutting edge capabilities
Equally important to launch technology at ‘right time’ –neither too early nor too late
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Lessons for ourselvesWhat we believe we do right …
o We remain a pure-play mobility player and embrace latesttechnologies at an opportune time
o We continue to believe in the mass-market – bringingmobility solutions within the reach of Bharat
o We stick to our basics and continue to hone our sharpexecution skills
o We lend a keen ear to our eco-system – ourconsumers, our trade, our partners, our competitors – andtake our cues for our next move from all of them
THANK YOU
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