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Page 1: Lecture 11 Oct 26 Open Economy I

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!"#$%"&#!'"&( #%&"*&+#!'"* &", #-$

'.$" $+'"'/0

(123451 66

'237815 9:; 9<6=

1

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>-0 ,' +'?"#%!$* #%&,$ @

• 

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• 

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• 

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• 

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• 

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3

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• 

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4

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•  +'"*!,$% #-$ W'(('>!"Y W&+#* &U'?# #-$ .%',?+#!'"

'..'%#?"!#!$* 'W #-$ #>' $+'"'/!$*X

MINUTES NEEDED

TO MAKE ONE KG OF

AMOUNT PRODUCED

(KG) IN 8 HOURS

MEAT POTATOES MEAT POTATOES

RUSSIA

BRAZIL

60 MIN./KG 15 MIN./KG 8 32

20 MIN./KG 10 MIN./KG 24 48

5

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• 

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6

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• 

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CONSIDER THE NUMERICAL EXAMPLE

RUSSIA BRAZIL

MEAT POTATOES MEAT POTAOES 

WITHOUT TRADE

Production & Consumption 4 16 12 24

WITH TRADE

Production 0 32 18  12

Trade Gets 5 Gives 15 Gives 5 Gets 15

Consumption  5 17 13 27

Gains from Trade  +1 +1 +1 +39

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#-$ .%',?+#!'" .'**!U!(!#!$* W%'"#!$% 'W

%?**!&

Potatoes Kg 

16 

32 

 A 

Meat Kg 

’ 

If there is no trade,

Russia chooses 

this production and 

consumption. 

10

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#-$ .%',?+#!'" .'**!U!(!#!$* +?%b$ 'W

U%&c!(

Potatoes Kg 

12 

24 

Meat Kg 

’ 

48 

24 

If there is no trade,

Brazil chooses 

this production and 

consumption. 

11

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-'> #%&,$ $d.&",* #-$ *$# 'W +'"*?/.#!'"

'..'%#?"!#!$*

Potatoes Kg 

16 

17 

32 

 A 

 A* 

Meat Kg 

’ 

Russia’s

production and 

consumption

without trade 

Russia’s

consumption

with trade 

Russia’s

production

with trade 

12

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-'> #%&,$ $d.&",* #-$ *$# 'W +'"*?/.#!'"

'..'%#?"!#!$*

Potatoes Kg 

12 

24 

13 

27 

Meat Kg ’ 

48 

24 

12 

18 

B* 

Brazil’s consumption

with trade 

Brazil’s

production

with trade 

Brazil’s

production and 

consumption 

without trade 

13

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#-$ Y&!"* W%'/ #%&,$

• 

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• 

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• 

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#-$ "&#!'"&( !"+'/$ !,$"#!#0

!" &" '.$" $+'"'/0

Y  = C  + I  + G  + NX

or, NX  = Y   – (C  + I   + G  )

net exports

domestic

spending

output

17

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#%&,$ *?%.(?*$* &", ,$W!+!#* 

•  #%&,$ *?%.(?*X

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• 

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•  !/.'%#* g $d.'%#*

*!c$ 'W #-$ #%&,$ ,$W!+!# h N"#  

NX   = EX  – IM = Y   – (C   + I + G )

18

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•  >E1A $< I   274A35P BC F A13 87557J15

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#-$ (!"l U$#>$$" #%&,$ &", +&.!#&(

W('>* 

NX   = Y   – (C   + I   + G )

%&'(%)*

NX   = (

Y   –

C   –

G) –

I  

= S   – I

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*&b!"Y &", !"b$*#/$"#

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• 

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 –  .%',?+#!'" W?"+#!'"X 0 h 0 h W`l; (a

 –  +'"*?/.#!'" W?"+#!'"X + h +`0 N #a

 –  !"b$*#/$"# W?"+#!'"X ! h !`5a

 – 

$d'Y$"'?* .'(!+0 b&%!&U($*X Y h Y; # h #

 –  +FA C7OI1 L75 5

24

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"&#!'"&( *&b!"Y

r

S, I

NATIONAL SAVING

DOES NOT

DEPEND ON THE

INTEREST RATE 

( )S Y C Y T G  =  ! ! !

S  

25

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&**?/.#!'"* &U'?# +&.!#&( W('>*

• 

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26

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!"b$*#/$"# ,$/&",

Investment is still a downward-sloping function of the interest

rate 

r *

but the exogenousworld interest

rate… …determines

the country’slevel of

investment. I (r* )

r

S, I

I (r )

27

-&, #-$ $+'"'/0 U$$"

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-&, #-$ $+'"'/0 U$$"

& +('*$, '"$

r

S, I

I (r )

S  

r

THE INTEREST

RATE WOULD

ADJUST TO

EQUATEINVESTMENT

AND SAVING:

I(r) = S28

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!" & */&(( '.$" $+'"'/0

r

S, I

I (r )

S  

r* 

The exogenous

world interestrate determines

investment…

difference

between savingand investment

determines net

capital outflow

and net exports

NX

WHAT IS‘SMALL’?

29

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+'"*!,$% $WW$+#* 'W #-%$$ +-&"Y$*

• 

WBC2FO Q7OB2P F3 E7M1

•  WBC2FO Q7OB2P F857FH

•  &A BA251FC1 BA BAI1C3M1A3 H1MFAH

30

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W!*+&( .'(!+0 &# -'/$

r

S, I

I (r )

1S  

An increase in G  

or decrease in T  

reduces saving.1

*r  

NX 1

2S  

NX 2

Results:

0I  !   =

0NX S  !   =  !   <

31

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  W!*+&( .'(!+0 &U%'&,

r

S, I

I  (r  )

1S  Expansionary

fiscal policy

abroad raises

the world

interest rate. 1

*

r  

NX 1

NX 2

Results:

0I  !   <

0NX I  !   =  "!   >

2

*r  

1( )*I r  

2( )*I    r  

32

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 &" !"+%$&*$ !" !"b$*#/$"# ,$/&",

r

S, I

I (r )1

 EXERCISE:

Use the model to

determine the impact

of an increase in

investment demandon NX, S, I, and

net capital outflow.

NX 1

*r   

I 1

33

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r

S, I

I (r )1

ANSWERS:

I > 0,

S = 0,

net capital

outflow and

NX fall by the

amount I

NX 2

NX 1

*r   

I 1I 2

I (r )2

34

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#-$ "'/!"&( $d+-&"Y$ %&#$

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7L L751BGA 24551A2P

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35

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G77HC

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36

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?",$%*#&",!"Y #-$ ?"!#* 'W w 

• 

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•  >7A Q15 l751FA #b

• 

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l751FA G77H

•  h ?AB3C 7L l751FA G77Hx 4AB3 7L !AHBFA G77H

• 

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!AHBFA .FCEMBAF *EFJO h %Cno<<<

• 

%Cn9= h l%> 6 `%Cn6 h l%> <n<_a

• 

>EF3 BC w @

37

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  w !" #-$ %$&( >'%(, y '?% /',$(

• 

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7L L751BGA G77HC

•  23 09+ &5-+0 &07)(8

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C7 w BC 3E1 51OFSI1 Q5B21 7L 7A1 274A35P\C743Q43 BA 315MC 7L 3E1 73E15 274A35P\C 743Q43

38