lesson 5: relevance macerata, 6 th december alessandro valenza, director, t33 srl
TRANSCRIPT
Lesson 5: Relevance
Macerata, 6th December
Alessandro Valenza , Director, t33 srl
Agenda
What does relevance mean?
Assessing the needs
Context Indicator
The SWOT and PEST analysis
Utility / Relevance: Definition
• The term RELEVANCE, in the context of an evaluation, refers to the appropriateness of the explicit objectives of the program in relation to the socio-economic problems it is supposed to address.
• In ex ante evaluation, questions of relevance are the most important because the focus is on choosing the best strategy or justifying the one proposed. (European Commission – DG REGIO EVALSED GUIDE)
• UTILITY is used in ex post evaluation connecting the real impact with the social needs.
Utility and Relevance
In relation to the projectRelated Evaluation Questions
• To what extent are the programme objectives justified in relation to the needs?
• Can their raison d'être still be proved? Do they correspond to local, national, international priorities?
• Are the expected or unexpected effects globally satisfactory from the point of view of direct or indirect beneficiaries?
(Source Evalsed)
The Utility / Relevance Evaluation Process
Identify the theory change
Collecting context information
Setting the correct
Indicators
SWOT analysisAssessing the
needs and objectives
Collecting Information
Qualitative• Interviews to project actors
(Donors, Policy Owner, Control body, Implementing Body)
• Workshop / Focus group with the stakeholders
• Interview with Sector experts (Accademics, researchers, etc.)
Quantitative• National / regional statistics
• Data from the project
• Data and Information from previous studies (literature review)
Context Indicator
“Simple”Nature Economic Indicator
DYNAMIC
Growth in Export (%) 2007-2008
Growth level of GDP over 2006-2007 (%)
STATIC
Income level for GDP per capita ( STATIC)
“Comparable”• Sector - Area (eg. Regional/
National)
• Average / Median - Maps
Context information - Context
Map 1: Life expectancy at birth, 2009
Thematic - Research and development
Map 5: Total intramural R&D expenditure, 2009
Research and development expenditures are key factors both for gaining competitiveness on a global scale and for overcoming the current economic recession. R&D expenditure of 3% of the GDP is one of the five headline targets in the Europe 2020 Strategy (Map 5).
Total intramural R&D expenditures in Umbria are up to 1% of the GDP. Such value is far from the European target of 3%.
The proposed regulations for the next funding period suggest “strengthening research, technological development and innovation” as one possible thematic objective.
Analytical tools: PEST
• PEST analysis is a tool from business science. It is a useful tool for understanding the general feature of the Context.
• PEST is an acronym for Political, Economic, Social and Technological factors which provide a framework for reviewing a situation, or a strategy.
• It is very simple, and is a good subject for work group session or brainstorming meeting.
• PEST factors are essentially external, completing a PEST analysis is helpful prior to completing a SWOT analysis
PEST MATRIX CRITERIApolitical•ecological/environmental issues•current legislation home market•future legislation•international legislation•regulatory bodies and processes•government policies•government term and change•trading policies•funding, grants and initiatives•home market lobbying/pressure groups•international pressure groups•wars and conflicts
economic•home economy situation•home economy trends•overseas economies and trends•general taxation issues•taxation specific to product/services•seasonality/weather issues•market and trade cycles•specific industry factors•market routes and distribution trends•customer/end-user drivers•interest and exchange rates•international trade/monetary issues
social•lifestyle trends•demographics•consumer attitudes and opinions•media views•law changes affecting social factors•brand, company, technology image•consumer buying patterns•fashion and role models•major events and influences•buying access and trends•ethnic/religious factors•advertising and publicity•ethical issues
technological•competing technology development•research funding•associated/dependent technologies•replacement technology/solutions•maturity of technology•manufacturing maturity and capacity•information and communications•consumer buying mechanisms/technology•technology legislation•innovation potential•technology access, licencing, patents•intellectual property issues•global communications
Analytical tools: SWOT
• SWOT is an acronym for Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats.
• A SWOT analysis is a subjective assessment of data which is organized by the SWOT format into a logical order that helps understanding, presentation, discussion and decision-making. The four dimensions are a useful extension of a basic two heading list of pro's and con‘
• Strengths and Weaknesses are internal factors , whereas
• Opportunities and Threats might be: Obstacles or Advantages for strengths and weaknesses coming from
external factors The evolution in the near future
SWOT Analysis
NOW Strengths Weaknesses
IN THE FUTURE
Opportunities (external driving
forces empowering the strengths )
Threats (external obstacles)
PEST AND SWOT COMBINATION
• PEST is useful before SWOT - not generally vice-versa - PEST definitely helps to identify SWOT factors.
• PEST assesses more generally the global situation.
• SWOT is an assessment of the more specific sector / territory or policy/ project / programme.
Practical example (1) Assessment the relevance of the issues: PESTPEST
Analysis factors
Importance / Impact/ Time frame
PoliticalEconomicalSocialTechnological
Relative Importance:- Critical- Important- Un-important- Unknown
Impact• Very positive• Positive• Medium• Negative• Very negative
Time frame (short / long term)
SWOTP EST
StrengthsHere you have to locate the items that in the PEST Are short term important / criticalPositive/ very
positive
WeaknessesHere you have
to locate the
items that in the PEST Are short term important /
criticalNegative / Very
negative
Opportunities
Here you have to locate the items that in the PEST Are long term important /
criticalPositive/ very
positive
ThreatsHere you have to locate the items that in the PEST Are Long term important / criticalNegative / Very
negative
POLITICAL
ECONOMIC
SOCIAL
TECHNOLOGICAL
FROM SWOT TO NEEDS
S W
T O
Vantaggi comparati
Debolezze strutturali
COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
STRUCTURAL GAPS
Compiti del valutatore:Verificare la “consistency” del’analisi bisogni
S T
T O
Potenziali di soluzione
Ostacoli – colli di bottiglia
• Obstacles (needs)
• Potential for solutions
See you