lessons and observations
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International Studies Association Conference, San Francisco April 3, 2013. The Hunt for Joseph Kony and Members of the Lords Resistance Army. Lessons and Observations. James J.F. Forest, Ph.D. Professor and Director, Security Studies, UMass Lowell - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
LESSONS AND OBSERVATIONS
International Studies Association Conference, San FranciscoApril 3, 2013
The Hunt for Joseph Kony and Members of the Lords Resistance Army
James J.F. Forest, Ph.D.Professor and Director, Security Studies, UMass LowellSenior Fellow, Joint Special Operations University
Background Who is Kony and the LRA
History, 1980s rebellion Source of “recruits” Periods of state sponsorship (Sudan) 25 years of terrorizing villages in northern Uganda and
surrounding region
Several efforts to solve this problem 2002-05 Operation Iron Fist 2006-08 Juba Talks 2007-08 Operation Lightning Thunder
Source: Conciliation Resources, 2012. http://www.c-r.org/sites/c-r.org/files/LRA-africa.jpg
Background2011: The US deploys 100+ SOF to the region
Political dimensions Invisible Children Kony2012 Enough Project Sentinel Project AMISOM (Somalia)
Military dimensions AFRICOM ACCE (base in Entebbe) “Light Footprint” Model for the future
Lessons and Observations4 “P”s
1. Preparations and Logistics
2. Perceptions and Expectations Management
3. Partnerships and Relationship Management
4. Policy and Politics
Data Sources = Field research, interviews in Uganda, Washington DC, AFRICOM headquarters; Documents
Lessons Learned #1Preparations and Logistics Figure out how things get done in the local context
NGO, Other countries’ forces, etc.
Technology may be of limited use
Minimize the amount of “stuff” you need (pack judiciously), yet be self-sufficient
Landing strips
Neighbors
Cash/currency
Health/medical
Lessons Learned #2Perceptions and Expectations Management
Manage your own expectations (what you can achieve, tyranny of distance and time, what “should” be) Local militaries’ NCOs, officers, etc.
Manage your partner nation’s expectations (what you can do, authorizations, false perceptions of capabilities)
Publicvisibility
‘Owning’victory
Lessons Learned #3Partnerships and Relationship Management Many kinds: Partner nations, NGOs, Mboro herders, etc.
Choose the right people for this mission; the wrong person can do far more damage than the right person can repair
Plan to invest time
Trust is the most important currency
Sharing hardships (vs. LOGCAP)
Development projects
Lessons Learned #4Politics and Policy Political Sensitivities
Legacy of colonization; honor, pride Regional dynamics (DRC, CAR, Sudan/S. Sudan) – especially
since this is where we are now tracking LRA
Local Politics Centralization of authority Informal power Some corruption
U.S. domestic politics forpremature departure?
Conclusion Brief sample of a much larger study
Overall objective: Inform pre-deployment training of SOF teams to sub-Saharan Africa There will be deployments like this in our future
Final report (unclassified) will be available August 2013 on JSOU website (https://jsou.socom.mil/Pages/Publications.aspx)