lessons_cyclones_teach.pdf
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EDITORIALS
october 26, 2013 vol xlviII no 43 EPW Economic & PoliticalWeekly8
It is too early to resort to self-congratulation. Just because
this time around, early warning systems kicked in and over
nine lakh people were evacuated to shelters before tropical
cyclone Phailin hit the coasts of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha on
12 October, one cannot assume that finally, crucial lessons in
disaster management have been learnt in India. While it is true
that the local administration and the state governments in
Odisha and Andhra Pradesh did respond by the book, and had
put in place basic infrastructure such as cyclone shelters to
deal with the crisis, this still remains the exception and not the
rule. One only has to recall what happened in Uttarakhand
in June when torrential rain and flash floods swept away
villages and killed an estimated 580 people (although over
5,000 are still missing). In that instance too, as this time, the
meteorological department had prior information of unusually
heavy rains. Yet no action was taken to prevent pilgrims from
venturing into areas that are known to be prone to flash floods
and landslides. Instead, the administration rushed aroundtrying to cope with a disaster that brutally exposed its lack of
preparedness.
Disaster management began to be taken seriously in India only
after the 2004 tsunami hit its coasts leaving in its wake wide-
spread destruction and death. In 2005, the Disaster Management
Act was brought in, leading to the creation of a National Disaster
Management Authority (NDMA) in 2006, headed by the prime
minister. Each state was also required to have a similar authority.
In addition, a National Disaster Response Force (NDRF) was created
to assist state governments dealing with a natural disaster. In
fact, if you read the documents explaining Indias disaster
response system, you would find little that is wrong with it.
India is one of the most disaster-prone areas in the world with
60% of its landmass prone to earthquakes, 40 million hectares
vulnerable to flooding, 8% of its land area exposed to cyclones
and 68% of the land liable to be affected by drought. Despite
this, the NDMAhas not yet prepared a vulnerability atlas that
maps all such areas in specific detail so that steps to mitigate
natural calamities can be put in place before disaster strikes.
Possibly the very idea of a national disaster management
agency is a problem because it tends to make state governments
take their own responsibility less seriously. Yet, as is evident
from the example of Odisha, the key people when disastersstrike are district administrators and only after that state and
central government personnel. Preparedness must begin at the
district and even panchayat level. This is the point at which
there is constant failure. Once the calamity strikes, even the
most efficient national system cannot be adequate to deal
with the disaster, given the size of this country and the logistics
of reaching help to distant locations. So even if Odisha, which
experienced a worse cyclone in 1999 that led to almost 10,000
deaths, has learnt some lessons and put in place response meas-
ures at the district level, this is not true for other states.
Secondly, although cyclones, earthquakes, tsunamis, or even
droughts and floods cannot be averted, there are many steps to
mitigate natural disasters that can be taken. With the advent
of climate change, the incidence of extreme weather events
will increase. The only way round is to take steps to minimise
the impact of these occurrences. For example, earthquake-
prone zones have to make building codes mandatory and
ensure that infrastructure and other developmental works do
not stress the natural fragility of the region. In all hill areas
there have been gross violations of such norms, not least inthe Uttarakhand.
It is also well known that the impact of cyclones and tsunamis
can be checked to some extent if mangroves along the coasts are
not disturbed as they act as shock absorbers. Yet, many state
governments wilfully ignore this fact as they allow industrial
and urban development to deliberately or accidentally destroy
these precious natural buffers. Disaster mitigation has to be
woven into developmental policy. It can never be an add-on. It is
part of the approach of environmentally sustainable develop-
ment. Yet, in India, there is plenty of lip service paid to these
concepts, including in official government documentation, and
yet policy decisions pay little heed to them. The hand wringing
after a calamity does not result in a decisive change of direction
in developmental policy.
And finally, the main challenge of relief and rehabilitation
still remains. In Odisha alone, according to the government,
over 2,00,000 houses and an equivalent number of hectares of
agricultural land have been damaged. Lakhs of people have lost
their means of l ivelihood. To get these people, whose lives were
saved because of timely evacuation, on their feet again is an
even more daunting task than the important emergency inter-
vention on the night the cyclone hit the coast. So the response to
the Odisha cyclone suggests that some lessons have been learnt,but to have an effective disaster management plan in place,
there are many more steps that must be taken.
Lessons Cyclones Teach
There is much that still remains to be understood about disaster management.