life cycle cost analysis of vehicle detection technologies ... · user selected detection...
TRANSCRIPT
Life Cycle Cost Analysis ofVehicle Detection Technologiesand Their Impact on Adaptive
Traffic Control SystemsITE 2016 Western District Meeting
July 12, 2016
Christopher Sobie, EIT
1
Introduction
§ Goal: Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) of SignalControl and Vehicle Detection Technologies§ LCCA Tool for Agencies to use in ASCT Selection§ Adaptive / Responsive Signal Control Technologies§ Collect real-time traffic data§ Adapt / respond to improve traffic flow
§ Vehicle Detection Systems§ Invasive detection§ Non-invasive detection
2
Methodology
§ Technology Selection§ ODOT Preference
§ Cost Information§ Practitioner survey§ Technology cost information (initial cost) - vendors§ Annual maintenance costs – agency practitioners
§ Life Cycle Cost Analysis Tool (LCCAT)§ Life cycle cost analysis – basic engineering economics§ Required user savings for more expensive alternatives§ Up to ten alternatives simultaneously§ Signal control and detection selection
3
Motivation
§ Life Cycle Cost Analysis in Transportation§ No life cycle analysis when altering a few key factors
§ Adaptive Signal Control Cost Analysis§ ASCT deployment on the rise§ No connection between specific ASCTs and detection deployment§ Combination of single ASCT and several detection alternatives
§ Operations and Maintenance§ No detailed operational and maintenance costs in analysis
§ Provide Guidance to Agencies for ASCT Selection§ Provide Required Operational Improvements
4
Background – Adaptive Systems
§ Use real-time data§ Optimize cycle lengths, splits, offsets§ Minimize delay, stops, increase flow§ ASCTs in LCCA:§ Sydney Coordinated Adaptive Traffic System (SCATS)§ Trafficware SynchroGreen§ Rhythm Engineering InSync: Fusion§ Northwest Signal (Peek) Transcend§ Coordinated Signal Timing (Baseline)
5
Background – Vehicle Detection
§ Provide traffic signal with information§ Invasive Detection§ Reliable and accurate§ Susceptible to hazards
§ Non-Invasive Detection§ Easier to install and maintain§ Reconfigurable§ Features
§ Resulting error counteracts system benefits§ Five Primary Detection Types§ Loop, video, radar, thermal, hybrid
6
Background – Vehicle Detection
§ Detection in LCCA§ Inductive Loops
§ Sensys Magnetometers
§ Wavetronix SmartSensor Matrix
§ Wavetronix SmartSensor Advanced
§ Iteris VersiCam
§ Traficon FLIR
§ Iteris Vantage Vector
7
Background – Operations and Maintenance
§ Paramount for ASCT and Detection§ Factors Considered§ Agency costs to maintain ASCT System§ Costs to maintain ASCT server/central software§ Detection maintenance visits per year§ Detection troubleshooting visits per year§ Type of traffic control required§ Cost for traffic control for operations and maintenance visits
§ All Detection Life Span = 10 years§ Sensys Magnetometers = 8.5 years
8
Data Collection
§ Agency / Vendor Survey§ Signal Control Costs§ Detection Costs§ Recommended Detection Deployments
§ Responses§ Filled out surveys§ Bid sheets§ Cost estimates§ Emails
9
Data Collection – Signal Control
§ Agency and Vendor Survey
10
Data Collection – Signal Control
11
Coor
dina
ted Intial Cost per Intersection $3,760
Additional Cost per Intersection $0Annual Maintenance Cost $1,200Server or Central Software Cost $0
Sync
hro
Gree
nInitial Cost per Intersection $13,500Additional Cost per Intersection $0Annual Maintenance Cost $0Server or Central Software Cost $20,000
InSy
nc:
Fusio
n
Initial Cost per Intersection $10,000Additional Cost per Intersection $2,750Annual Maintenance Cost $750Server or Central Software Cost $0
SCAT
S
Initial Cost per Intersection $20,000Additional Cost per Intersection $0Annual Maintenance Cost $17,500Server or Central Software Cost $0
Tran
scen
d Initial Cost per Intersection $35,000Additional Cost per Intersection $0Annual Maintenance Cost $0Server or Central Software Cost $0
Data Collection – Vehicle Detection
§ Agency and Vendor Survey
12
Data Collection – Inductive Loop
13
Inductive Loop Detection Purchase $600Inductive Loop Detection Channels 2 channels $150 / cardNumber of Stopbar Detectors per Major StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 7 $4,500
Number of Stopbar Detectors per Minor StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 4 $2,550
Number of Advanced Detectors per MajorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 2 $1,350
Number of Advanced Detectors per MinorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 2 $1,350
Estimated Lifespan of Detection 15 yearsAnnual Maintenance Visits / Cost per Approach None $0.00Traffic Control Maintenance / Cost perApproach None $0.00
Data Collection – Sensys Magnetometers
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Sensys Magnetometers Detection Purchase $550Sensys Magnetometers Detection Channels 4 channels $525 / cardOther Costs: Wireless Access Point $5,000 / IntersectionNumber of Stopbar Detectors per Major StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 7 $5,625
Number of Stopbar Detectors per Minor StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 4 $3,975
Number of Advanced Detectors per MajorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 2 $2,875
Number of Advanced Detectors per MinorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 2 $2,875
Estimated Lifespan of Detection 8.5 yearsAnnual Maintenance Visits / Cost per Approach None $0.00Traffic Control Maintenance for Replacementat End of Lifespan / Cost per Approach 1 lane $437.50
Data Collection – Iteris VersiCam
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Iteris VersiCam Detection Purchase $3,000Iteris VersiCam Detection Channels 4 channels $3,000Iteris VersiCam Advanced Detection Channels 2 channels $1,500Number of Stopbar Detectors per Major StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $6,000
Number of Stopbar Detectors per Minor StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $6,000
Number of Advanced Detectors per MajorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $4,500
Number of Advanced Detectors per MinorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $4,500
Estimated Lifespan of Detection 10 yearsAnnual Maintenance Visits / Cost per Approach 1 $158.25Traffic Control Maintenance / Cost perApproach 1 lane $437.50
Data Collection – Traficon FLIR Thermal
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Traficon FLIR Detection Purchase $3,538Traficon FLIR Detection Channels 4 channels $4,010Iteris VersiCam Advanced Detection Channels 2 channels $2,610Number of Stopbar Detectors per Major StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $7,548
Number of Stopbar Detectors per Minor StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $6,148
Number of Advanced Detectors per MajorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $6,148
Number of Advanced Detectors per MinorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $6,148
Estimated Lifespan of Detection 10 yearsAnnual Maintenance Visits / Cost per Approach 1 $158.25Traffic Control Maintenance / Cost perApproach 1 lane $437.50
Data Collection – Iteris Vantage Vector
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Iteris Vantage Vector Detection Purchase $5,880Iteris Vantage Vector Detection Channels 4 channels $1,000Number of Stopbar Detectors per Major StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $7,880
Number of Stopbar Detectors per Minor StreetApproach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $6,880
Number of Advanced Detectors per MajorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $1,000
Number of Advanced Detectors per MinorStreet Approach / Approach Detection Cost 1 $1,000
Estimated Lifespan of Detection 10 yearsAnnual Maintenance Visits / Cost per Approach 1 $291.67Traffic Control Maintenance / Cost perApproach 1 lane $437.50
Life Cycle Cost Analysis Tool (LCCAT)
§ Developed using Microsoft Excel§ Selection of Signal Control and Detection§ 10 alternatives simultaneously§ Any combination of vehicle detection
§ Net Present Values§ Converts future annual and replacement costs
§ Provides Life Cycle Cost Summary§ Required user savings for more expensive
alternatives
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LCCAT Introduction Tab
19
LCCAT Alternatives Selection
20
3%1010
Inductive Loop Inductive Loop Inductive Loop Inductive Loop 22
Sensys Magnetometers: Stopbar Sensys Magnetometers: Advanced Sensys Magnetometers: Stopbar Sensys Magnetometers: Advanced
Inductive Loop None Inductive Loop None
Inductive Loop: Stopbar Inductive Loop: Advanced Inductive Loop: Stopbar Inductive Loop: Advanced
Inductive Loop None Inductive Loop None
Video: Iteris VersiCam Radar: Wavetronix SmartSensor Advanced Video: Iteris VersiCam Radar: Wavetronix SmartSensor Advanced
Agency Choice None Agency Choice None
Minor Stopbar Detection
Signal Control4
Vendor Recommended Detection Configuration
Mainline Stopbar Detection
Minor Stopbar Detection
User Selected Detection Configuration
Analysis Parameters
Minor Advanced Detection
Mainline Advanced Detection Minor Stopbar Detection Minor Advanced Detection
Mainline Advanced Detection Minor Stopbar Detection Minor Advanced Detection
User Selected Detection Configuration
SCATS
InSync: Fusion
Signal Control3
Vendor Recommended Detection Configuration
Mainline Stopbar Detection Mainline Advanced Detection
Minor Stopbar Detection Minor Advanced Detection
User Selected Detection Configuration
Mainline Stopbar Detection Mainline Advanced Detection
ALTERNATIVE 1
Signal Control1
Vendor Recommended Detection Configuration
Mainline Stopbar Detection Mainline Advanced Detection Minor Stopbar Detection Minor Advanced Detection
Mainline Stopbar Detection Minor Advanced Detection
Major Street Approaches
Real Discount Rate (r)
Analysis Period (n)Number of Intersections
Minor Street Approaches
Minor Stopbar Detection
User Selected Detection Configuration
ALTERNATIVE 2
ALTERNATIVE 3
Signal Control2
Vendor Recommended Detection Configuration
Mainline Stopbar Detection
Mainline Advanced Detection
Mainline Advanced Detection Minor Stopbar Detection Minor Advanced DetectionSCATS
CoordinatedSignal Timing
Mainline Stopbar Detection
ALTERNATIVE 4
Mainline Stopbar Detection Mainline Advanced Detection Minor Advanced Detection
LCCAT Analysis Summary
21
Alternative 1 $334,962Alternative 3 $1,107,553Alternative 1 $232,600Alternative 1 $102,362Alternative 2 $27,510
Alternative 1 0.0%Alternative 2 203.1%Alternative 3 230.6%Alternative 4 173.0%Alternative 5 N/AAlternative 6 N/AAlternative 7 N/AAlternative 8 N/AAlternative 9 N/AAlternative 10 N/A
Alternative Signal ControlMainline Stopbar
DetectionAdvancedDetection
Minor StopbarDetection
Minor AdvancedDetection Total Initial Costs
Total PresentAnnual Costs
Total PresentReplacement
CostsLife Cycle
Cost
Alternative 1 CoordinatedSignal Timing
Inductive Loop: StopbarInductive Loop:
AdvancedInductive Loop: Stopbar
Inductive Loop:Advanced $232,600 $102,362 $0 $334,962
Alternative 2 SCATSSensys
Magnetometers:Stopbar
Radar: WavetronixSmartSensor Advanced
SensysMagnetometers:
Stopbar
Radar: WavetronixSmartSensor Advanced $643,600 $344,023 $27,510 $1,015,133
Alternative 3 SynchroGreen Video: Iteris VersiCam Video: Iteris VersiCam Video: Iteris VersiCam Video: Iteris VersiCam $755,000 $352,553 $0 $1,107,553
Alternative 4 InSync: Fusion Thermal: Traficon / FLIR Thermal: Traficon / FLIR Thermal: Traficon / FLIR Thermal: Traficon / FLIR $647,340 $267,251 $0 $914,591
Alternative 5 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Directions: This tab contains the output results from the alternativescomparison
Percent Increase in CostCompared to Lowest Alternative
Alternatives Selected
Lowest Life Cycle CostHighest Life Cycle CostLowest Initial CostLowest Present Annual CostLowest Replacement Cost
$0
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Life
Cycl
eCo
stAlternatives
Life Cycle Cost Analysis
Total Present Replacement Costs Total Present Annual Costs Total Initial Costs
Alternative 1 $334,962
Autos Transit TrucksAlternative 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Alternative 2 10.04 0.01 2.11 7.69Alternative 3 11.40 0.01 2.39 8.73Alternative 4 8.56 0.01 1.79 6.55Alternative 5 N/A N/A N/A N/AAlternative 6 N/A N/A N/A N/AAlternative 7 N/A N/A N/A N/AAlternative 8 N/A N/A N/A N/AAlternative 9 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Alternative 10 N/A N/A N/A N/Aa =
$88,500Guidelines for Assigning Values of Time (From AASHTO Red Book)
Average VehicleOccupancy
VehicleClassification
Percent1.50 75%20.00 1%1.05 24%
Required Reduction in Crashes(per 10 years)
$21.24
EquivalentIncap. Injuries
Value of Time per Hour(wage x percentage x occupancy)
$13.92$185.60
EquivalentFatalities
0.000.450.510.38N/AN/A
$20.23100%Truck In-Vehicle Business
$18.56$18.56
k =$1,512,000
N/A
Recommended Percent ofWage / Compensation
Average Wages /Compensation
$0
$334,962$1,015,133$1,107,553$914,591
$0$0$0$0$0
N/AN/AN/A
Directions: This tab contains the user benefits from the alternatives life cycleanalysis
Alternative
Transportation Mode and Trip PurposeAuto Drive Alone / CommuteTransit Bus In-Vehicle Commute
Lowest Life Cycle CostRequired User Time Savings (hr/day)
Life Cycle Cost
50%50%
LCCAT User Cost Summary
22
Results and Discussion
§ Scenarios§ Technology Specific Results§ Vehicle Detection – 1 Intersection | 10 Years§ Vehicle Detection Annual Maintenance Costs§ Signal Control – 10 Intersection | 10 Years
§ Integrated Technology Results§ Detection by Signal Control§ Signal Control by Detection§ Vendor Recommended Installation§ Preferred Detection Installation
§ Inductive Loop Sensitivity Analysis
23
Results – Vehicle Detection 1 Int | 10 years
24
Results – Vehicle Detection 1 Int | 10 years
25
AlternativeRequired User TimeSavings (hour / day)
Required Reduction inCrashes (per 10 years)
Autos Trucks Fatalities IncapacitatingInductive Loop 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SensysMagnetometer 0.21 0.04 0.01 0.16
WavetronixRadar 0.97 0.20 0.04 0.75
Iteris VersiCam 0.85 0.18 0.04 0.75Traficon FLIR 0.78 0.16 0.03 0.60Iteris Vantage
Vector 0.57 0.12 0.03 0.44
AlternativeTotalInitialCosts
TotalPresentAnnualCosts
TotalPresent
ReplacementCosts
Life CycleCost
PercentIncreasein Cost
Comparedto Lowest
Inductive Loop $19,500 $0 $0 $19,500 0.0%Sensys
Magnetometer $30,700 $0 $4,491 $35,191 80.5%
WavetronixRadar $46,520 $38,949 $0 $85,469 338.3%
Iteris VersiCam $42,000 $35,255 $0 $77,255 296.2%
Traficon FLIR $51,984 $20,327 $0 $72,311 270.8%Iteris Vantage
Vector $33,520 $24,880 $0 $58,400 199.5%
Results – Detection Annual Maintenance
26
Results – Detection Annual Maintenance
27
AlternativeLife Cycle
MaintenanceCost
PercentIncrease in
CostCompared to
LowestInductive Loop $0 N/A
Sensys Magnetometer $0 N/AWavetronix Radar $38,949 91.6%
Iteris VersiCam $35,255 73.4%Traficon FLIR $20,327 0%
Iteris Vantage Vector $24,880 22.4%
Results – Signal Control 10 Int | 10 Year
28
Results – Signal Control 10 Int | 10 Year
29
AlternativeTotalInitialCosts
TotalPresentAnnualCosts
Total PresentReplacement
Costs
LifeCycleCost
PercentIncrease in
CostComparedto Lowest
CoordinatedSignal Timing $37,600 $102,362 $0 $139,962 0.0%
SCATS $200,000 $149,279 $0 $349,279 149.6%SynchroGreen $335,000 $0 $0 $335,000 139.3%
InSync: Fusion $127,500 $63,977 $0 $191,477 36.8%Transcend $350,000 $0 $0 $350,000 150.1%
AlternativeRequired User TimeSavings (hour / day)
Required Reduction inCrashes (per 10 years)
Autos Trucks Fatalities IncapacitatingCoordinated
Signal Timing 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SCATS 3.09 0.65 0.14 2.37
SynchroGreen 2.88 0.60 0.13 2.20InSync: Fusion 0.76 0.16 0.03 0.58
Transcend 3.10 0.65 0.14 2.37
Results – Vendor Recommended Install
30
Signal ControlTechnology
Vendor Recommend Detection Configuration
MajorStopbar
MajorAdvanced
MinorStopbar
MinorAdvanced
CoordinatedSignal Timing
InductiveLoop
InductiveLoop
InductiveLoop
InductiveLoop
SCATS InductiveLoop None Inductive
Loop None
SynchroGreen AgencyChoice*
AgencyChoice*
AgencyChoice*
AgencyChoice*
InSync: Fusion AgencyChoice* None Agency
Choice* None
Transcend InductiveLoop
AgencyChoice*
InductiveLoop
AgencyChoice*
Agency Choice* = inductive loops for vendor recommended comparison
Results – Vendor Recommended Install
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AlternativeTotalInitialCosts
TotalPresentAnnualCosts
TotalPresent
ReplacementCosts
LifeCycleCost
PercentIncreasein Cost
Comparedto Lowest
CoordinatedSignal Timing $232,600 $102,362 $0 $334,962 0.7%
SCATS $341,000 $149,279 $0 $490,279 47.5%SynchroGreen $530,000 $0 $0 $530,000 59.4%InSync: Fusion $295,500 $63,977 $0 $332,477 0.0%
Transcend $545,000 $0 $0 $545,000 63.9%
AlternativeRequired User TimeSavings (hour / day)
Required Reduction inCrashes (per 10 years)
Autos Trucks Fatalities IncapacitatingCoordinated
Signal Timing 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.03
SCATS 2.33 0.49 0.10 1.78
SynchroGreen 2.92 0.61 0.13 2.23
InSync: Fusion 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Transcend 3.14 0.66 0.14 2.40
Signal ControlTechnology
Preferred Detection Configuration
MajorStopbar
MajorAdvanced
MinorStopbar
MinorAdvanced
CoordinatedSignal Timing
InductiveLoop LeftTurn Only
InductiveLoop
InductiveLoop
InductiveLoop
SCATS InductiveLoop Radar Inductive
Loop Radar
SynchroGreen Video InductiveLoop Video Inductive
Loop
InSync: Fusion Video Radar Video Radar
Transcend InductiveLoop Radar Inductive
Loop Radar
Results – Preferred Detection Installation
32
AlternativeRequired User TimeSavings (hour / day)
Required Reduction inCrashes (per 10 years)
Autos Trucks Fatalities IncapacitatingCoordinated
Signal Timing 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SCATS 9.59 2.01 0.43 7.34
SynchroGreen 8.05 1.69 0.36 6.16
InSync: Fusion 11.72 2.46 0.53 8.97
Transcend 9.60 2.01 0.43 7.35
Results – Preferred Detection Installation
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AlternativeTotalInitialCosts
TotalPresentAnnualCosts
TotalPresent
Replacement Costs
Life CycleCost
PercentIncrease in
CostComparedto Lowest
CoordinatedSignalTiming
$184,600 $102,362 $0 $286,962 0.0%
SCATS $592,600 $344,023 $0 $936,623 226.4%SynchroGreen $629,000 $203,275 $0 $832,275 190.0%
InSync:Fusion $619,100 $461,996 $0 $1,081,096 276.7%
Transcend $742,600 $194,745 $0 $937,345 226.6%
Results – Inductive Loop Sensitivity Analysis
34
Conclusion
§ Detection has great impact on life cycle cost of ASCT§ InSync: Fusion had lower cost than coordinated
signal timing with vendor recommended detection§ Prevailing Factor: Annual Maintenance Costs§ Non-invasive detection traditionally sold as maintenance
free, but require annual maintenance which increases cost§ Cost of higher initial and life cycle costs can be offset
by improvements in safety and efficiency§ Sensys magnetometers only detection requiring
replacement§ Inductive loops life cycle cost is sensitive to life span
35
Literature Review
§ Life Cycle Cost Analysis in Transportation§ Decrease traffic congestion§ Stimulate economic growth§ Mitigate emissions§ Reduce injuries / fatalities
§ Adaptive Signal Control Cost Analysis§ Limited research in this area§ Weighted C/B analysis of detection§ Ongoing maintenance and operational costs not included§ No connection between ASCTs and varying detection
§ Operations and Maintenance§ Paramount for agencies when selecting ASCT technologies
37
Equation 1: Present Value Annual Cost (PVAC)
Equation 2: Present Value Future Cost (PVFC)
Equation 3: Total Present Life Cycle Cost
( ⁄ , , ) = ×(1 + ) − 1
(1 + )
( ⁄ , , ) = ×1
(1 + )
= + +
LCCAT Analysis Summary
38
Where:
· IC = Initial cost
· P = Present Value
· A = Annual Payment
· F = Future Payment
· i = discount rate
· n = number of yearsin analysis period
§ Life Cycle Cost Calculation
LCCAT Analysis Summary
39
§ Life Cycle Cost Calculation
Equation 4: Initial Cost Signal Control (ICSC)
Equation 5: Initial Cost Vehicle Detection (ICVD)
= × ( + + )
= × ℎ × ( ℎ + )
Equation 6: PV Annual Maintenance Cost Signal Control (AMCSC)
Equation 7: PV Annual Maintenance Cost Vehicle Detection (AMCVD)
= × ( × )
= ×( × ℎ
× ( + ))
LCCAT Analysis Summary
40
§ Annual Maintenance Cost Calculations
LCCAT Analysis Summary
41
§ Future Expense Cost Calculations
Equation 8: PV Future Expense Cost Vehicle Detection (FECVD)= ×
( × ℎ × )
Equation 8: Value of Time per Hour (VT)
Equation 9: User Time Cost (hour per day over time n)
= × × ℎ
=
− 0
× 365 ×
LCCAT User Cost Summary
42
§ User Time Savings
Where:
· Li = life cycle cost for the ith alternative
· L0 = lowest life cycle cost for all
alternatives in analysis
· VTT = value of time per hour for
transportation mode T
· n = chosen analysis period (years)
· VCP = vehicle classification percentage
Data Collection – Inductive Loop
43
Data Collection – Sensys Magnetometers
44
Data Collection – Iteris VersiCam
45
Data Collection – Traficon FLIR Thermal
46
Data Collection – Iteris Vantage Vector
47