life science in china rong-hui gao jan2013 [kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · china medical...

24
1 Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge 1 Dr. Rong Hui Gao M.D. MBA G-Med Consulting Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge (I) Industry Overview (II) Opportunities 2 (II) Opportunities

Upload: others

Post on 29-Sep-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

1

Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge

1

Dr. Rong Hui GaoM.D. MBAG-Med Consulting

Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge

(I) Industry Overview

(II) Opportunities

2

(II) Opportunities

Page 2: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

2

Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge

• Industry Overview

- Pharmaceutical

- Medical Device

Di ti

3

- Diagnostic

- Medical Reform

Industry Overview

Pharmaceutical (1)

Bio-Medical industry – 7,782 companies in total

• Pharmaceutical: 5,646

• Medical device: 1,168

• Pharmaceutical machinery: 163

4

• Pharmaceutical machinery: 163

• Healthcare materials: 677

Source: CPA

Page 3: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

3

Sino–Euro Bio-Bridge

Pharmaceutical (2)

Pharmaceutical5,646

5

Chemical2,508

TCM2,271

Biologics867

Source: CPA

Industry Overview

Pharmaceutical (3)

• 817,000 tons chemical API;

• 533.18 billion tablets;

• 129.43 billion capsules;

• 28.34 billion injections;

• 11.7 billion infusion solution;

• 16.24 billion powder injections;

6

p j ;

• 3rd drug consumption market globally

Fast market growth (24% annual growth for past 10 years)

Source: CPA

Page 4: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

4

Industry Overview

Pharmaceutical (4)

9626

12073

15255

20,5%19,0%

29,4%

17,0%

24,9%

28,5%

21,6%

25,4%26,4%

20,0%

25,0%

30,0%

35,0%

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

Healthcare Industry Output 2000 to 2011

RMB 100M

(€190B)

7

1761 2122 24522917

32544211 4928

6157

791415,6%

11,6%

0,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011General Output Year-on-year Growth Rate source: ims

Industry Overview

Pharmaceutical (5)

权重(%)Output Breakdown (%)权重(%)

化学药品原料制造

化学药品制剂制造

中药饮片加工

中成药制造

Output Breakdown (%)

Biologics10.5%API 19.9%

Chemical API manufacturing

TCM manufacturing

TCM decoction pieces processing

Chemical manufacturing

8

生物生化药品制造

卫生材料及医药用品制造

医疗仪器设备及器械制造Chemicals 26.8%TCM 21.7%

Biologics manufacturing

Healthcare material

Medical device &machinery

source: ims

Page 5: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

5

Industry Overview

Pharmaceutical (6)

5,646 manufacturers, 13,000 distributors and 390,000 pharmacies in China

Accounts for ¼ of international chemical API trading volume

Fast market growth, but a long way to go to catch up with leading countries.

9

Industry Overview

Medical Device (1)

W t 8 15% 1 1 72% 70% Hi hWest:8-15%

China:5%

1:1

1:3

72%

7%

70%

30%

High

Low

Device:Pharma

Of GDP

10

Global Market Share

Mid/High-End Market

Market Concentration

Page 6: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

6

Industry Overview

Medical Device (2)

RMB BillionChina medical device market (2007-2014E)

Comments

• China medical device market grew to RMB 120 bn (EUR 15bn)in 2009, taking over Japan as the 2nd largest market in the world

• High-end market will grow at 10% per year

• Mid to low end market will grow t 30%

RMB Billion

+20%

+13%

11

at ~30% per year

• Every 8-12 years, large equipment need to be replaced, a significant driver for the market

Source: National Statistics Bureau; China Mechanic and electrical data online

Industry Overview

Medical Device (3)

Class III:1,399

Class II: 6,468

Total:7,867

Pharma Distributors

13,000

D H <2 1

Device Device

DistributorsDistributors

150,000

D: H >20:1

HospitalsHospitals

12

Total purchase value: RMB 500bn (EUR 62bn) in 2011Average sales: less than RMB 4M (EUR 50K ) / distributor

D:H <2:1 D: H >20:1

Page 7: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

7

Industry Overview

Medical Device (4)

Imports vs. Domestically med devices

Imports (slowing trend)

• Many MNCs are shifting f t i t Chi

p y

Domestic(including MNCs)

~55%~45%

Domestic production(more MNCs)

• All large MNCs have at least one JV with a local Chinese firm

• Need for a strong distribution/sales network compels MNC companies to produce

13

manufacturing to China

• Local Chinese companies are investing more in R&D to compete with MNCs; RMB 62 bn (EUR 800M) stimulus package from Chinese government

Importsdomestically

• Hospital purchase contracts favor locally produced products

Source: China Market Research Group, Espicom China Medical Device Market Q42010

Industry Overview

Diagnostic (1)

IVD M k T d i Chi ($ )IVD Market Trends in China ($mm)

600800

1.200

1.511

2.073

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

Mill

ion

US

D

14

300 400 450 600

0

500

1995 1997 2000 2002 2004 2006 2009 2011

Source: McEvoy & Farmer

Page 8: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

8

Industry Overview

Diagnostic (2)

2 500Segment not Total IVD Sales ($mm)

318 68

120 521

678 82

112

100

200

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

1,511

2,073

Mill

ion

US

D

Molecular Testing:Infection DiseaseFlorescent in situ hybridization, micr

covered: microbiology, clinical pathology, cytology

15Source: McEvoy & Farmer

360 476

69 81 68

89 244

68

0

500

2008 2010

Segment not covered Molecular Testing IM Coagulation

Hemo,Flow Urine Chemistry Critical Chemistry Routine Chemistry

CAGR 13%

y ,oarrays, oncology, etc.

Clinical Chemistry

Industry Overview

Diagnostic (3)Contribution of Each Market Segment

16Source: McEvoy & Farmer

Page 9: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

9

Industry Overview

Medical Reform (1)

• Government spending over RMB 1240 bn (EUR 155bn),

Four of the five tasks have developed rapidly

• Healthcare insurance

• Grass roots medical service system

17

• Grass-roots medical service system

• Public health

• Essential drug

• Hospital reform has not been implemented

Industry Overview

Medical Reform (2)

Universal reimbursement coverage system

• New Rural Cooperative Medical System

• Medical Insurance System of Unemployed Urban Residents

18

•.Medical Insurance System of Employed Urban Residents

• Complementary Medical Insurance System

• Commercial Medical Insurance for Public Servants

Page 10: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

10

Industry Overview

Medical Reform (3)

Government continues to increase investment

• By 2015, Government’s subsidies to rural residents’ medical insurance will be further increased by 50% from the level in 2012

• Reimbursement rate will increase to 75%

19

• Reimbursement cap will increase up to RMB 80,000 (EUR 10,000) per person p.a.

Fact Sheets (1)

• Population 1.35bn by 2010• Chinese people aged 60 or above stood at 118.85 million in 2010, accounting for 13.26 percent of the

total populationtotal population• Life expectancy: 74.84 years, male: 72.82 years female: 77.11 years,2012E (source NBS)

• 300M emerging middle class • Urbanization 45% vs. 55% 2010

• New cancer patients 3.12M p.a.; 2.7M patients died of cancer p.a. • 90m diabetics; 160m hypertensive population• Obesity rate less than 5% country wide, but more than 20% in some cities• 80% adults do not exercise regularly

• Lifestyle: Ch i ti h bit f Chi l ti f t f d d t d i k

20

– Changing eating habits of Chinese population, more fast food and sweet drinks– 60% male adults smoke

Page 11: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

11

Fact Sheets (2)

Six people are diagnosed with cancer every single minute in Chinay g

21High Low

Mortality

Opportunities

22

Page 12: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

12

Opportunities

Government continues to increase investmentincrease investment

• China’s pharmaceutical market is expected to experience 24% of CAGR during 2011-2015.

• Fast growth disease area: anti-oncology and anti-diabetes and immunopotentiator

23

• Fast growth pharma sectors: bio-similar, modernized TCM

• Large scale primary care medicine

• Strong demand for high-end devices in large cities and hospitals; basic needs increase for low end products

2008 GDP per capita by province 2008 exp. per capita on healthcare (urban) by province

High income market for best-in-class products Low income market for basic needs

Heilongjiang

Jilin

LiaoningInner

Mongolia

ShandongHebei

Jiangsu

Xinjiang

Qinghai

Tibet

Ningxia

Shaanxi Henan

Gansu

Shanxi

Anhui

Beijing

Tianjin

Shanghai

Heilongjiang

Jilin

LiaoningInner

Mongolia

ShandongHebei

Jiangsu

Xinjiang

Qinghai

Tib t

Ningxia

Shaanxi Henan

Gansu

Shanxi

A h i

Beijing

Tianjin

Shangha

24

Tibet

Sichuan

HunanGuizho

uYunnan

Guangxi Guangdong

JiangxiZhejiang

Hubei

Hainan

Anhui

Fujian

iChongqing

Tibet

Sichuan

HunanGuizho

uYunnan

Guangxi Guangdong

JiangxiZhejiang

Hubei

Hainan

Anhui

Fujian

iChongqing

> RMB 50K / y

RMB 30K – 50K / y

RMB 15K – 30K / y

<RMB 15K / y

> RMB 1k / y

RMB 800 – 1k/ y

RMB 600 – 800 / y

<RMB 600 / y

Source: National Statistics Bureau

Page 13: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

13

Opportunities

Concentration of cities based on current city potential Comments

t C

ity

Pot

enti

al I

nd

ex

Tier 1 & 2 Cities (Shanghai, Beijing, Nanjing, Xi’an, and others)

NEXT STEP: Tier 3, 4 ad 5

• Tier 1 and 2 cities are already being penetrated by large MNCs for high-end to low-end products

• New government reform will have the greatest influence in smaller cities not heavily penetrated by MNC players

• Current city potential index reflects the current

25

Source: IMS health analysis

Cu

rren cities

(Chaoyang, Yulin, Guilin, Zhuhai, etc)

China Cities (from the highest potential to the lowest potential)

category

opportunity that combines primary research with available data to project the potential for a specific category

25

OpportunitiesSmaller but high growth cities: Longnan, Yulin, Chaoyang, Ankang,

Growth and current sales potential in Chinese cities

nti

al G

row

th I

nd

ex

Ji’an, ShuozhouMedium Size Cities: Changchun, Dalian, Xi’an, Urumqi etc.

Large Cities: Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Tianjin etc.

26Current City Potential Index

Po

ten

Source: IMS health analysis

26

Page 14: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

14

Opportunities

Evolution of the healthcare provision system

Tertiary care providers

Current situation Future situation

• Treat all types of patients with all levels of severity, large number of operations and outpatients

Disproportionate number of patients

• Include out and inpatients and emergency treatment

Not fully utilized

Secondary care providers

• Tier 1/Community Primary care providers

Tertiary Care providers

• Specialized hospital• Focus on sophisticated

treatment & research

• Large regional hospital

• Provide emergency and l h it l

Secondary care providers

27

• Tier 1/Community

hospitals

• OutpatientsLow utilization

general hospital services

• Through CHCs in urban areas and a 3 tier system in rural areas with village clinics, township centers and county hospitals

• Treat mostly outpatients with small/common ailments

• Prevention

Primary Care providers

27Source: IMS

Opportunities

Sector 1. BioPharmaceuticals

BioPharmaceutical sector is a strategic focus in 12th Five Year Plan for theBioPharmaceutical sector is a strategic focus in 12th Five Year Plan for the Chinese central government, 15/25 funded projects are biopharm projects. (including vaccine).

• Key players:• Bio-similar: CP Guojian, Biomab, Simcere, and Sansheng etc.• CMO: BI, CP Guojian, Genor AutekBio• Development: T-Mab, CP Guojian, BioMab etc.

2828

• Potential collaboration areas: • Product development (clinical stage)• Process development (productivity and cost)• Quality and engineering process• TA: onco, autoimmune, diabetes, liver disease

Page 15: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

15

Opportunities

Sector 2. VaccineThe current Chinese vaccine market is about 1.2bn US dollar, with 25% growth rate More than 40 manufacturers produce over 3025% growth rate. More than 40 manufacturers produce over 30 products.

• Class I: HBV, BCG, polio, DPT, MMR,DPT, HAV, meningitis, Japanese encephalitis, areas of focus groups hemorrhagic fever vaccine, anthrax vaccineand leptospirosis vaccine.(covered by national immunination program)• Class II: Influenza, chickenpox, influenza B, Haemophilus, oral rotavirus, pneumonia, rabies (self paid)

2929

• Key local players: China National Biotech Group, Sinovac, Bio Tech Pharma, Walvax, Innovax and Cansino • Potential collaboration areas:

• R&D capability improvement (tech platform)• Product development on new products• Manufacturing process upgrade• Capacity

Opportunities

Sector 2. Vaccine

Vaccine engineer center in CMC, 46,000M2,including R&D labs:Pre-clinical, clinical trial, Lab BL2+ for bac. and virus, Information system in large, sera and strains pool for trials

3030

Page 16: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

16

Industry Overview

Sector 3. Diagnostic

• National 12th Five-Year PlanI R&D bilit d d l t f i ti• Improve R&D capability and encourage development of innovative instruments and reagents

• Enhance international footprint• Support transformation of leading local companies

• Market continues to grow at 15-20% annually.• Cost $1.5/person VS $25 to $30/person in developed countries

31Source: McEvoy & Farmer

• Independent Clinical Labs becomes part of IVD market.

Key players: KingMed, Da An, Adicon, D. A. Diagnostics and Lawke (Local IVD manufacturing is booming, 87 in 2004, 137 in 2010). Potential Collaboration area: POCT

Opportunities

Sector 4. Stem Cell

Unit: 100M RMB (12.5M EUR)

Stem cell technology development in China

• Large population, can provide abundant resources for stem

cells. For example, more than 17 new borns are born in

China each year

• The process of approval for clinical use of stem cells is

much shorter For example the period from animal

3232

China Growth Rate

Data Source: The world stem cell market data issued by SelectBiosciences

much shorter. For example, the period from animal

experiments to clinical phase I is less than 18months,

whereasUSA needs about 6-8 years.

Page 17: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

17

Opportunities

Sector 4. Stem Cell

Strategic Government Initiative to develop Stem Cell technologyg p gy

Stem Cell

•Stem Cell Clinical•Stem Cell R&D

China’s 7 Emerging

Industries of Strategic

Importance:

1.Energy Saving and

Environmental Protection

2.New Energy

National New&Hi-Tech Plan:Torch Project

National High Technology Research

3333

•Stem Cell Bank•Stem Cell Cosm.•CRO

3.New Energy Vehicles

4.Biology

5.High-end Equipment

Manufacturing

6.Information Technology

7.New Material

and Development Program 863 Project

National Basic Research Program of China973 Project

Source: Angecon

Opportunities

Sector 4. Stem Cell

Current Status of Stem Cell in China

• The industry develop into: stem cell repository, therapy, cell production, cellbank and related services, etc.

• The clinical market for stem cells is still in the early stage, but lacks of industry standard and quality control system. Some unqualified companies exploit opportunity to make profit and

3434

unqualified companies exploit opportunity to make profit andhave negaitve effect to the industry.

• China has huge medical needs, - 240m CV patients, 92m diabetic, 40m Alzheimer's disease,14.6m hematological cancer patients

Page 18: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

18

Opportunities

Europe China

Innovative tech &

products

Leading talents

Hi h R&D t

Lack of new tech & products Lack of leading talents

Low R&D cost

“Bridging” Need Gaps

35

High R&D cost

Funding shortage

Market growth

Strong competition

Increase VC fundFast market growth Strong gov’t support

• Technology Transfer

• R&D collaboration

• Outsource

• Commercialization

• Cross-border M&A

Opportunities

Align the portfolio with high growth

opportunities 1

Picking the right portfolio

Getting the right people,leadership

and executing

opportunities 1

2 3

Build right sales & distribution model, the right balance of depth and breadth

Excel on building the right size, structure

and capabilities

Match local demand with value

proposition and relationship

36

Building theright

commercial model

Setting the right pricing

& market access

strategies

and executing well

4

Source: IMS

36

Page 19: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

19

Opportunities

Government Incentives

St t L l P i i l L l Municipal LevelState Level Provincial Level Municipal Level

• S&T Dev Program (€24B) on new drug) 12th Five year plan

• Mega New Drug Development Program (€10B)

• Thousand talent program (€120)

• Talent scheme

• Start up fund

• Subsidy for leasing or purchasing premises/land

• Tax incentives

• Talent scheme

• Match fund

• Innovative tech industrialization grant

• Tax incentive on hi-tech

3737

(€120)

• Strategic project, P863, P973

• Grant for platform development

• Grant for central labs

• Financing (seed/VC funds) companies….

Opportunities

Investment Approach (1)

• Wholly owned enterprises• Site selection (location, infrastructure, labour cost, tax, incentives etc.)• Recruiting and retaining talent• Local partners• Government relationship

3838

• Joint Venture• Control majority of equity• D.D. on potential partner’s credibility, avoid state partner• Manage IP • Backup plan

Page 20: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

20

Opportunities

Investment Approach (2)

• Distribution• Select right distributors with good experience on regulatory, hospital relationship• Manage Key hospitals or KOL if possible• Be aware of market dynamics and informal practice

• Licensing

3939

• Licensing• Select a capable and reliable licensee• Protect your IP (consult attorney with local expertise) • Be aware of the market trend

Opportunities

Investment Approach (3)

• Co-Development• Select a partner with good track record with MNCs or western clients• Local partner in healthy financial condition and strong team • IP protection

• Acquisition

4040

q• Select a range of target candidates• Thorough D.D…• Valuation is high• Retain staff

Page 21: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

21

Sino–Europe Bio Partnering 2013

To Foster Innovation and Partnership

41

SEBP2013

Hosts: Shanghai S&T Committee; Zhangjiang Pharma Valley

Co-Hosts: BioXcluster, BioWinOrganizer: G-Med Consulting

Time: May 29, 2013Place: Shanghai

Sino–Europe Bio Partnering

Four Modules

• Industry Insight

• Fostering Innovation

• Partnership

42

SEBP2013

• Partnership

• Bio-cluster Workshop

Page 22: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

22

Sino–Europe Bio Partnering

Industry Insight INDUSTRY INSIGHTIndustry Insight

• Bio-medical industry overview in China

• Life science industry overview in Europe

• Medical reform impact to the industry

• Key issues on regulatory approval

43

SEBP2013

• IP issues on patent and transactions

• Investment society in China

Sino–Europe Bio Partnering

Industry Insight INDUSTRY INSIGHTFostering Innovation

• Focus on the 12th Five Year plan in life science

• New EU model to foster innovation

• BioXcluster program introduction

• Innovation development in China by EU firm

44

SEBP2013

• Local innovation development in Zhangjiang

Page 23: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

23

Sino–Europe Bio Partnering

Industry Insight INDUSTRY INSIGHTPartnership

Road show: 18-20 companies.

Track 1 : Biotech Pharma15-20 companies

45

SEBP2013

Track 2: Medical Device : 15-20 companies

Sino–Europe Bio Partnering

Industry Insight INDUSTRY INSIGHTBio-cluster Workshop

How to support SME go International ?

• How can EU clusters help SME go international?

• How can Chinese clusters support EU companies?

H t ti i th t hi f SME

46

SEBP2013

• How to optimize the partnership for SME

Page 24: Life Science in China Rong-Hui Gao Jan2013 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · 2016. 8. 4. · China medical device market (2007-2014E) Comments • China medical device market grew to RMB

24

Challenges

Ri k hRisk, what risk?

47

48

Thank you !Contact: Dr. Rong Hui [email protected]+86 13706135759