limitations, aggregation, and constraints

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Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints Lecture X

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Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints. Lecture X. Limitations to Flexible Functional Forms. The limitations of Flexible Functional Forms, particularly with respect to the limitations imposed by the Taylor series expansion varieties can be demonstrated in several ways. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Lecture X

Page 2: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Limitations to Flexible Functional Forms The limitations of Flexible Functional

Forms, particularly with respect to the limitations imposed by the Taylor series expansion varieties can be demonstrated in several ways. Chambers demonstrates the limitations of the

functional forms based on limitations in imposing separability.

Page 3: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

These arguments are similar to arguments related to imposing separability on various demand systems (i.e. the AIDS models).

I prefer to demonstrate the limitations to Flexible Function Forms by resorting to the basic notions behind the Taylor Series expansion on which it is based. Specifically, as presented last time:

Page 4: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

0 0

0

22

0 0 02

01

1

2

1

!

x x x x

ii

ii x x

f x f xf x f x x x x x

x x

f xx x

i x

0

0 0

0 0

2 332 *

02 3

*0

1 1

2 6

for some ,

x x

x x x x

f xf x f x x x

x

f x f xx x x x

x x

x x x

Page 5: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Focusing on the “residual term”

As long as the third derivative of the function is non-zero at the point of approximation, we know that the Flexible Functional Form has a “specification” or “approximation” error

Further, if we bring this concept together with our typical notions of sampling theory, this approximation error may confound the estimation of parameters.

0

33* *

03

1for some ,

6x x

f xx x x x x x

x

Page 6: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Finally, there is a problem with the estimation of a functional form and the point of approximation. Implicitly, if one estimates the quadratic cost

function, we parameterize the system based on approximations from the arithmetic average.

Similarly, if the Translog is used, the approximation is from the sample’s geometric average

Page 7: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

This raises problems from two perspectives. First, the sample average may not adequately

represent a relevant production point. Second, this point of approximation plays into

outlier problems.

Page 8: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Aggregation Issues

One level of aggregation involves the use of a single cost function to depict decisions of numerous farmers. Again, one assumption is that farmers all face

similar production functions. A more alarming conclusion, however, can be

drawn by assuming that all farmers face the same production function, but possess heterogeneous unobserved inputs such as human capital.

Page 9: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

An extension to the heterogeneity issue can be found if we parameterize an aggregate cost function. Capalbo and Denny (AJAE, 1986) examine the

impact of changes in technology on U.S. agricultural production using a cost function approach.

01 1, 2 2c w y w w Aw y y By w y t

Page 10: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

However, to estimate this model we must assume that there exists an aggregate cost function.

In other words, we could assume that agriculture in the United States is controlled by a single entity that minimizes cost.

Alternatively, we could assume that the minimizing behavior of each individual is the same as an aggregate minimization.

Page 11: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

As mentioned in earlier lectures, a key element in the estimation of cost functions is parsimony. In general, the number of parameters in a

quadratic system is (n+m+1)(n+m)/2+(n+m) where n is the number of inputs, and m is the number of outputs.

Page 12: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

For accounting purposes in farm level datasets and for degrees of freedom difficulties in when aggregate data is used, we often aggregate inputs and/or outputs.

We may aggregate diesel, gasoline, and L.P. gas into a single fuel category.

Adding to this we may aggregate fertilizer with fuel to form an agricultural chemical component.

Page 13: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

In each of these cases, we make fixed factor assumptions between the aggregated inputs.

Given that these aggregation issues exist, what can be done? One alternative would be to give up on applied

work altogether. Another alternative is to use the best data

possible, but take a more Baysian approach–When do the results look right?

Page 14: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Imposing Restrictions

Given the development of the cost function, we are particularly interested in imposing three general conditions on the estimated parameters: Homogeneity, Symmetry, and Concavity.

Homogeneity: The cost function is homogeneous of degree one in prices and the demand functions are homogeneous of degree zero in prices.

Page 15: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

The homogeneity restrictions are typically given by:

within the quadratic form, the second result is clear since the Aij is the matrix of second

derivatives which must be singular.

1

1

1

0

N

ii

N

ijj

A

Page 16: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

One way to visualize these restrictions are through the demand function for each variable:

*

1

1

1 1 1

1 1 1

, ,

0; 0

1

N

i ii

N

i i i ii

N N N

i i i i i ii i i

N N N

i i i i ii i i

c w y w x w y

w A w y

w w A w w y

w Aw w y

w w w

Page 17: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Given these restrictions, the next concept is: How do we impose homogeneity?

One way to impose homogeneity is manually–divide each input price by the last input price and drop a term into the constant:

In the Translog approximation, this leads to the well-know subtraction of the Nth price.

* ii

N

ww w

Page 18: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Concavity As we have discussed concavity is a result of

optimizing behavior. If the cost-function is not concave, then taking

linear combination in price space could further reduce cost.

Thus, a non-concave cost function is inconsistent with economic theory.

Page 19: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Two approaches to imposing concavity. The Lau decomposition:

0x Ax x P Px Px Px

Page 20: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

11 12 13

22 23

33

11 11 12 13

12 22 22 23

13 23 33 33

11 11 11 12 11 13

11 12 12 12 22 22 12 13 22 23

11 13 12 13 22 23 13 13 23 23 33 33

0

0 0

0 0

0 0

0 0

a a a

P a a

a

a a a a

P P a a a a

a a a a

a a a a a a

a a a a a a a a a a

a a a a a a a a a a a a

Page 21: Limitations, Aggregation, and Constraints

Featherstone and Moss (AJAE 1994). The alternative approach is to use the fact that a

positive definite symmetric matrix has all positive eigenvalues and a negative definite symmetric matrix has all negative eigenvalues. Thus, we could simply constrain

max 0 :i eigen A