livelihood diversifying potential of livestock based carbon sequestration options in pastoral and...
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Livelihood diversifying potential of livestock based carbon sequestration options in pastoral and agro
pastoral systems in Africa
Mohammed Y Said
Augustine Ayantunde, Shem Kifugo, Zipporah Musymi, Jan de Leeuw, Keith Shepard, Ermias, Jonas Koala, Didier Zida, Louis Savadogo, Briggite Kaufman, Hussein Tadiche Wario, Hassan Roba, Uwe Richter, Jan Pfister and Asch Folkard, Kenea Feyisa and
Ayana Angasa
Collaborators: ILRI, ICRAF, INERA, DISTL, Hawassa University, University of Hohenheim
Outline of Presentation
• Global emissions of greenhouse gases
• Characterization of Pastoral and agro-pastoral systems in Africa
• Livelihood diversifying potential of livestock based carbon sequestration options
• Case examples – Burkina Faso, Ethiopia and Kenya – current research
Characteristics – pastoral and agro-pastoral systems
High variability of rainfall in pastoral and agro-pastoral areas
1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 Kilometers
N
Rainfall (coefficient of variation)<33%>33%
Pastoral
Farming SystemArid pastoral-oasesAgro-pastoral
Source: de Leeuw et al (in press)
African pastoral and agro pastoral societies in Savanna areas are considered vulnerable to climate change
This is so because these systems are mainly practiced in the dry arid and semi arid areas
where climate is highly variable
What opportunities exist to strengthen resilience of local communities to climate change?
Rangelands deliver a number of environmental services: Elsewhere communities have benefited from PES such as wildlife
The local communities could play a crucial role in carbon sequestration while at the same time diversifying their
livelihood by adopting Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) strategy
Perspective from this study
Climate Change
• Rainfall have remained steady over the past 20 years, but reduced by 15% below 1920-69 average
• Temperature have increased by 0.6oC Celsius since 1975
Source: Funk et al., 2012
Quantification of carbon stock in savannah woodlands in Burkina Faso (1992 – 2013)
Jonas Kola, Didier Zida and Luis Savadogo (INERA)
Photos: Didier et al., 2013
Silvicultuture treatment applied to each experimental site
Grazing Fire Selective cutting Number of plots of
2500 m2
Grazing
No Grazing
No Fire
Annual early fire
3 year fire exclusion
No fire
Annual early fire
3 year fire exclusion
No Cutting
Selective cutting
Cutting + Direct seeding
No Cutting
Selective cutting
Cutting + Direct seeding
No Cutting
Selective cutting
Cutting + Direct seeding
No Cutting
Selective cutting
Cutting + Direct seeding
No Cutting
Selective cutting
Cutting + Direct seeding
No Cutting
Selective cutting
Cutting + Direct seeding
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Woody vegetation studies
Selective tree cutting : – Tiogo : December 1993
– Laba : January 1994
Measurement, cutting and weighing of trees in 48 plots per site.
Maping and yearly follow up of all stumps
Photos: Didier et al., 2013
Woody vegetation studies
Construction of allometric function for predicting woody biomass : - Weighing all cut trees
- Mesurement of variables
(girth, height, ....).
Construction de tarifs de cubage Satisfactory function for 11 fuelwood
species (0,528 < R2 <0,880)
Best function:
Anogeissus leiocarpa (R2 = 0,880 ; p<0,001) ;
Weak function : Acacia macrostachya (R2 =0,528; p<0,001).
Source: Didier et al., 2013
Herbaceous vegetation studies
Annual inventory in each plot since 1992 to 2011.
Annual assessment of herbaceous biomass (1993- 2011)
Impact of grazing intensity on soil infiltrability and herbaceous biomass
Photos: Didier et al., 2013
Early fire behaviour
Factors:
Livestock (exclosure vs free grazing)
Type of vegetation (Perennial vs annual grasses)
Burning direction (Wind direction vs opposite wind direction)
Parameters assessed:
Combustion efficiency ;
Rate of spread of fire
Flame height;
Fire temperature in a gradient (-10 cm; -2 cm; 0 cm; 50 cm; 300 cm; 500 cm) with sensors.
Resident temperature time (T>60°C)
Source: Didier et al., 2013
Investigate the effect of different land management options including grazing, prescribed cutting and fire on the above carbon stocks
Investigate the effect of different land management options including grazing, prescribed cutting and fire on surface albedo
Investigate the overall radiative forcing (from albedo and above ground carbon sequestration) of different land management options
Fe
asib
ility o
f m
an
ag
in
g
la
nd fo
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arb
on
seq
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Investigate the possibility of using High Resolution remote sensing data (Ge-oeye) to map above ground carbon
Integrate remotely sensed signals and field data to
Participatory rangeland use analysis to understand
grazing management and decision making by Borana
pastoralists in S. Ethiopia
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PhD study of Hussein Tadiche Wario
supervised by Assoc. Prof. Dr. Brigitte Kaufmann, Dr Hassan Roba, Dr. Uwe Richter
Scenario analysis
• Conduct participatory scenario planning exercise in feedback seminars
• Alternative grazing management scenarios explored based on the map and the current grazing system
• Analyze tradeoffs for adopting each of the management scenarios
• Modeling alternative scenarios?
Digitizing the grazing units’ map
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1. Overlay of community grazing
units’ map on Google earth
2. Polygons plotted along grazing unit
borders
Source: Wario et al., 2013
Solar powered GPS devices carried by herders and use of cameras
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One day herd grazing itinerary
Source: Wario et al., 2013
Example: grazing movement of one herd over a year
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March 2011-May 2011 Wet season grazing area. Cattle camp moved to lowland, Good grass variety, area liked by livestock, faster weight gain, better mating frequency
Oct 2011-Feb 2012 Cattle camp moved to lowlands, grazing same unit as March-May 2011, good grass amounts and reproductive performance enhancing
Aug 2011-Sept’ 2011 The grazing unit has tree and shrub species that shade leaves hence had good leave litter during this period
June-July 2011 Cattle camp moved to
settlement near the mountains.
This grazing unit is on the
Mountain, dry season reserve,
good grass cover, close to
traditional wells. Small area
exhausted within a month
March 2012 –April 2012 Dry season grazing reserve, had good grass growth, is part of lowland area liked by livestock, enhances faster weight gain and good mating rates
Source: Wario et al., 2013
Which livelihood decisions
work well?
What livelihood decisions
do people make?
How do people value different livelihoods?
Modelling based on existing datasets
Discrete choice experiments
Experimental games
Household decisions
Games as experiments
• Behavioural economics • Controlled settings • e.g. co-operation, common-pool
resources, public goods • Mostly lab-based, undergraduate
populations in USA/Europe • Highly abstract
This study: • Game tailored to real situation • Played with local people, familiar
with decision-making context • Dynamic resource; droughts
Economic games Introduction
Source: Aidan 2013
Economic games Effects of “in-game” variables on decision-making
Allocation of resources to livestock
Proportion of cattle grazed illegally
Source: Aidan 2013